• Title/Summary/Keyword: factor estimation

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Immunological Monitoring of Urinary Aflatoxins and Estimation of Liver Cancer Incidence in Koreans

  • Choi, Mun-Jung;You, Young-Chan;Kim, Hyung-Sik;Lee, Byung-Mu
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 1996
  • Polyclonal antiserum R101 against aflatoxin $B_1$ ($AFB_1$) was raised in New Zealand white rabbits after injection of bovine serum albumin-$AFB_1$ conjugate. Competitive ELISA (enzyme linked immuno-sorbent assay) demonstrated that antiserum R101 has the highest binding for $AFB_1$ (50% inhibition at 170 fmol) and aflatoxicol II (50% inhibition at 112 fmol). It also reacts with other aflatoxins such as $AFB_2$, $AFG_1$, $AFG_2$, and aflatoxin metabolites ($AFM_1$, $AFM_2$, $AFP_1$, and $AFQ_1$), but it does not cross-react with $AFG_2a$. Using this antiserum, aflatoxins were quantitated in 100 urine samples of undergraduate students at the College of Pharmacy, Sung Kyun Kwan University, Republic of Korea. By ELISA, $AFB_1$ and its metabolites were detected in human urine samples (N=100, male=89, female=11, ages=20~31 yrs) with a range of 1.4~200.6 ng/kg/day (mean$\pm$SD=$18.11{\pm}33.01\;ng\;AFB_1/kg/day$ in males, $3.82{\pm}2.65\;ng/kg/day$ in females). Assuming that urinary excretion is about 7.6% of $AFB_1$ intake (Groopman et al., 1992), we estimated that Koreans were daily exposed to a total dietary $AFB_1$ of $240.20{\pm}438.67\;ng/kg/day$ in males and $50.35{\pm}29.88\;ng/kg/day$ in females, respectively. When the human monitoring data was applied to a linear regression model of Y=21.67X-10.04 {Y=liver cancer incidence per 100,000, X=Log $AFB_1$ intake (ng/kg/day), r=0.99} developed from previously reported epidemiological data, calculated liver cancer incidences attributed to $AFB_1$ exposure were 41.56/100,000 in males and 26.84/100,000 in females. The incidences were similarly correlated with liver cancer mortality rates of 43.43/100,000 in males and 11.23/100,000 in females in Korea. These results suggest that aflatoxin exposure may be an important risk factor for the high incidence of liver cancer in Korea.

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Effects of Body Condition Score and Estimation of Growth Curves for Chest Girth and Ultra Sonic Longissimus Muscle Area, Backfat Thickness and Marbling Scores in Hanwoo(Korean cattle) Cows (한우 암소의 흉위, 초음파 측정 배장근단면적, 등지방두께, 근내지방도에 대한 발육곡선 추정 및 신체충실지수 효과)

  • Lee, Deuk-Hwan;Lee, Gil-Hwan;Cho, Chung-Il;Kim, Nae-Soo
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.581-590
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    • 2008
  • Growth curves for ultrasonic carcass traits such as longissimus muscle area, backfat thickness and marbling score as well as chest girth which was simultaneously measured when carcass traits were investigated using ultrasound measuring technique were estimated to identify growth patterns and to adjust maturing effects in order to evaluating genetic merits on cows in farming basis. 27,410 records from 22,451 cows on which of 15~90 month of age were investigated from the national wide of Korea using by ultrasonic scanning techniques by the skilled persons from 2002 to 2007. Van Bertalanffy growth function was applied for estimating growth curves on these traits. Carcass traits and chest girth would be linearly increased by body condition score. It might be used for multiplicative correction factors for pre- adjustment on the body condition scores. Growth pattern on chest girth would be quickly reached to mature size and stable on after reached to asymptotic mature size. Longissimus muscle area would also be reached to mature size but little smoother than chest girth. Otherwise, growth curve on backfat thickness would be steadily increasing up to 7 years of age. It also showed large individual difference by way of mean square error. Marbling score would be steadily increased but sharper than those on backfat thickness. It would be reached to mature size up at 5 years of age. Those growth curves would be used for correcting function on age at investigating on genetic evaluation system.

Estimation of Engine Output for Marine Diesel Engines (선박용 디젤엔진의 출력산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Kyun-Sik;Lee, Jin-Uk;Jung, Jin-Ah;Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.436-442
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    • 2011
  • To obtain the engine output correctly is basically very important factor for estimating a engine performance. But, it has been reported that the IHP measured from electronic indicator such as MIPS(Mean Indication Pressure System) has a deviation compared to mechanical indicator. It was reported by authors that the uncertainty of crank angle for TDC position could be one of the reasons. In this paper, the uncertainty of crank angle for TDC position and its influence to engine output were investigated respectively about M/E and G/E for marine diesel engines. For the purpose, two sampling methods of pressure in cylinder were considered which were 'angle base sampling' and 'time base sampling'. Angle base sampling is real crank angle acquired from angle encoder which is attached to crank shaft and time base sampling is crank angle calculated by detected revolution with Z-pluse of encoder. Time base sampling is same method of MIPS. This paper concluded that time base sampling method is not suitable for obtaining the output of marine diesel engine on board because of instantaneous speed variation and load fluctuation. Also it is verified that the variation of engine speed by load fluctuation should be one of reasons additionally in case of M/E.

Transient Torsional Vibration Analysis of Ice-class Propulsion Shafting System Driven by Electric Motor (전기 모터 구동 대빙급 추진 시스템의 과도 비틀림 진동 분석)

  • Barro, Ronald D.;Lee, Don Chool
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.9
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    • pp.667-674
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    • 2014
  • A ship's propulsion shafting system is subjected to varying magnitudes of intermittent loadings that pose great risks such as failure. Consequently, the dynamic characteristic of a propulsion shafting system must be designed to withstand the resonance that occurs during operation. This resonance results from hydrodynamic interaction between the propeller and fluid. For ice-class vessels, this interaction takes place between the propeller and ice. Producing load- and resonance-induced stresses, the propeller-ice interaction is the primary source of excitation, making it a major focus in the design requirements of propulsion shafting systems. This paper examines the transient torsional vibration response of the propulsion shafting system of an ice-class research vessel. The propulsion train is composed of an electric motor, flexible coupling, spherical gears, and a propeller configuration. In this paper, the theoretical analysis of transient torsional vibration and propeller-ice interaction loading is first discussed, followed by an explanation of the actual transient torsional vibration measurements. Measurement data for the analysis were compared with an applied estimation factor for the propulsion shafting design torque limit, and they were evaluated using an existing international standard. Addressing the transient torsional vibration of a propulsion shafting system with an electric motor, this paper also illustrates the influence of flexible coupling stiffness design on resulting resonance. Lastly, the paper concludes with a proposal to further study the existence of negative torque on a gear train and its overall effect on propulsion shafting systems.

Analysis of Moment Effect of Bridge Design Live Load KL-510 by Statistical Analysis of WIM Data of Expressway (고속도로 WIM 데이터의 통계분석을 통한 교량 설계활하중 KL-510의 모멘트 효과 분석)

  • Paik, Inyeol;Jeong, Kilhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.467-477
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    • 2017
  • The live load effect of KL-510 of the current Korean bridge design code is examined by comparing with that of the multiple trucks of which the weights are statistically estimated from measured traffic data as well as with those of the related live load models. The truck weight data measured on the expressway before and after overweight enforcement are used to obtain the truck weights following the same procedures in deciding the live load model of the design codes and the results are compared with the load effect of KL-510. KL-510 yields a very uniform loading effect compared with the multiple truck effects when the weights are estimated from the data which contains some of the heavy trucks over the operational weight limit. KL-510 yields consistent results with the live load of AASHTO LRFD and shows less variation than the past load model DB-24 over the span lengths considered in this study. As a result of this research, the actual truck combinations equivalent to the notional KL-510 load model are constructed and it can be applied to the evaluation of the existing bridge and the calibration of the load factor of the permit vehicle.

Count Data Model for The Estimation of Bus Ridership (Focusing on Commuters and Students in Seoul) (가산자료모형(Count Data Model)을 이용한 버스이용횟수추정에 관한 연구 (서울시 통근.통학자를 대상으로))

  • 문진수;김순관;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.123-135
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    • 1999
  • The rapid increase of Passenger cars which is caused by the discomfort of Public transit and the Preference of automobiles is the major factor of increasing traffic congestions in Seoul With the point that leading the automobilists to the Public transit can be the most important Policy to ease these traffic congestions, this study focuses on the behavioral aspects of company employees and university students and investigates factors influencing bus ridership. To be brief, by estimating bus ridership through count models, this study investigates factors which influence bus ridership and elicits Political suggestions which lead automobilists to Public transit. The Purpose in this study is the application of appropriate count data model. The count data models have been widely applied to the economic area from the middle of the 1980s and to transportation aspect mainly in the foreign countries from the latter half of the 1980s. Even though a few studies in this country employed count data model to count data. all of them were Poisson regression models without suitable tests for the importance of the model specification. In the end, as the result of statistical test, negative binomial regression model which is suitable for overdispersed data was found to be appropriate for the data of weekly bus ridership. To emphasize the importance of model specification, both of poisson regression model and negative binomial regression model were estimated and the results were compared.

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A Preliminary Evaluation on CO2 Storage Capacity of the Southwestern Part of Ulleung Basin, Offshore, East Sea (동해 울릉분지 남서 주변부의 이산화탄소 저장 용량 예비 평가)

  • Kim, Yu-Lee;Lee, Keum-Suk;Jo, So-Hyun;Kim, Min-Jun;Kim, Jong-Soo;Park, Myong-Ho
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2012
  • A theoretical $CO_2$ storage capacity is estimated on the southwestern continental shelf margin of Ulleung Basin, offshore Korea using 2D/3D multi-channel seismic and wellbore data acquired in the area over the two decades since the late 1980s. For the first time in Korea, the present study applies an efficiency factor to the capacity calculation, together with the other required parameters. For possible $CO_2$ storage volume estimation of the study area, we interpreted the seismic data in the Gorae area from 800 m to 3,000 m below the seafloor integrated with the well data, and identified five different seismic units; the limited depth interval is considered because of fluid state of $CO_2$ and tightness of the formation. The total volumes of each seismic unit were converted with a time-depth relation inferred from the checkshot surveys before the other required parameters including porosity and density were applied to compute the potential storage capacity. The accumulated possible storage volume from the five depositional units in the study area is estimated to be approximately 5,100 Mton ($P_{50}$). The approaches made in this study will be applied to the rest area of the basin and other continental shelves (i.e., Yellow Sea and northern part of East China Sea) in the next phase.

Economic Value Estimation of Public Design Facility for Children Using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 어린이 공공디자인 시설의 경제적 가치 추정)

  • Moon, Kwang-Min;Yoon, Sung-Il
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.532-541
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    • 2017
  • Design is an extremely critical and important for the prosperity and development of a corporation, and design for children's facilities can be said to be a critical factor not only from a commercial perspective but also one of the critical factors that can be beneficial to the physical, intellectual and emotional growth and development of children. To measure the economic value of publicly designed children's facilities established with the purpose of children's design education, this research study utilized the Contingent Valuation Method. This research study attempts to provide useful information for policy administrators on the usage of both publicly designed children's facilities with high use value and also high non-use value through economic value measurement. To achieve the objectives of this research, the Contingent Valuation Method that utilized both open-ended questions and also double-bounded dichotomous choice methodologies was used. The results of the pre-verification that used the open-ended questions results from 50 test subject participants and the double-bounded dichotomous choice methodology results from 530 test subject participants confirmed that the average annual per person expense was estimated to be KRW 12,463. The gross benefit amount figure estimated for all households in the nation was estimated to be about KRW 219 billion annually.

Error factors and uncertainty measurement for determinations of amino acid in beef bone extract (사골농축액 시료 중에 함유된 아미노산 정량분석에 대한 오차 요인 및 측정불확도 추정)

  • Kim, Young-Jun;Kim, Ji-Young;Jung, Min-Yu;Shin, Young-Jae
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2013
  • This study was demonstrated to estimate the measurement uncertainty of 23 multiple-component amino acids from beef bone extract by high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC). The sources of measurement uncertainty (i.e. sample weight, final volume, standard weight, purity, standard solution, calibration curve, recovery and repeatability) in associated with the analysis of amino acids were evaluated. The estimation of uncertainty obtained on the GUM (Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement) and EURACHEM document with mathematical calculation and statistical analysis. The content of total amino acids from beef bone extract was 36.18 g/100 g and the expanded uncertainty by multiplying coverage factor (k, 2.05~2.36) was 3.81 g/100 g at a 95% confidence level. The major contributors to the measurement uncertainty were identified in the order of recovery and repeatability (25.2%), sample pretreatment (24.5%), calibration-curve (24.0%) and weight of the reference material (10.4%). Therefore, more careful experiments are required in these steps to reduce uncertainties of amino acids analysis with a better personal proficiency improvement.

Computational estimation of the earthquake response for fibre reinforced concrete rectangular columns

  • Liu, Chanjuan;Wu, Xinling;Wakil, Karzan;Jermsittiparsert, Kittisak;Ho, Lanh Si;Alabduljabbar, Hisham;Alaskar, Abdulaziz;Alrshoudi, Fahed;Alyousef, Rayed;Mohamed, Abdeliazim Mustafa
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.743-767
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    • 2020
  • Due to the impressive flexural performance, enhanced compressive strength and more constrained crack propagation, Fibre-reinforced concrete (FRC) have been widely employed in the construction application. Majority of experimental studies have focused on the seismic behavior of FRC columns. Based on the valid experimental data obtained from the previous studies, the current study has evaluated the seismic response and compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns while following hybrid metaheuristic techniques. Due to the non-linearity of seismic data, Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) has been incorporated with metaheuristic algorithms. 317 different datasets from FRC column tests has been applied as one database in order to determine the most influential factor on the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to the simulated seismic loading. ANFIS has been used with the incorporation of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic algorithm (GA). For the analysis of the attained results, Extreme learning machine (ELM) as an authentic prediction method has been concurrently used. The variable selection procedure is to choose the most dominant parameters affecting the ultimate strengths of FRC rectangular columns subjected to simulated seismic loading. Accordingly, the results have shown that ANFIS-PSO has successfully predicted the seismic lateral load with R2 = 0.857 and 0.902 for the test and train phase, respectively, nominated as the lateral load prediction estimator. On the other hand, in case of compressive strength prediction, ELM is to predict the compressive strength with R2 = 0.657 and 0.862 for test and train phase, respectively. The results have shown that the seismic lateral force trend is more predictable than the compressive strength of FRC rectangular columns, in which the best results belong to the lateral force prediction. Compressive strength prediction has illustrated a significant deviation above 40 Mpa which could be related to the considerable non-linearity and possible empirical shortcomings. Finally, employing ANFIS-GA and ANFIS-PSO techniques to evaluate the seismic response of FRC are a promising reliable approach to be replaced for high cost and time-consuming experimental tests.