• 제목/요약/키워드: exceedance probability

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Seismic performance evaluation and retrofitting with viscous fluid dampers of an existing bridge in Istanbul

  • Bayramoglu, Guliz;Ozgen, Alpay;Altinok, Enver
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.463-477
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, seismic performance of Kozyatagi Bridge is evaluated by employing nonlinear elasto-plastic dynamic analysis and the deformation-based performance. The time-history records of the 1999 Izmit, 1971 San Fernando and 1989 Loma Prieta earthquakes are modified by adopting a probability of exceedance of 2% in 50 years corresponding to the return period of 2475 years. The analysis is carried out for three different bearing cases which are movable bearings, restrained bearings, and movable bearings with viscous fluid dampers in the radial direction. The analysis results show that the bridge can be retrofitted with viscous fluid dampers. In this case the reinforced concrete piers need not be strengthened by any jacketing techniques in order to preserve the original architectural appearance of the bridge. The retrofitting design of the bridge with viscous fluid dampers is also presented in detail.

풍력발전사업 에너지생산량 산정 오차가 사업성지표에 미치는 영향 및 AHP를 이용한 중요인자 분석 (Influences of Energy Production Estimation Errors on Project Feasibility Indicators of a Wind Project and Critical Factor Analysis by AHP)

  • 김영경;장병만
    • 경영과학
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • Case studies are made to investigate the relationship between the accuracy of energy production estimation and project feasibility indicators such as rate of return on equity (ROE) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for three wind farm projects. It is found out that 1% improvement in the accuracy of energy production estimation may enhance the ROE by more than 0.5% in the case of P95, thanks to improved financing terms. AHP survey shows that MCP correlation of measured in situ wind data with long term wind speed distribution and hands-on experiences of flow analysis are more important than other factors for more precise annual energy production estimation.

점지진원 모델을 이용한 한반도내의 인공지진 생성 (Artificial Earthquakes Generation in Korean Peninsular using point source model)

  • 권오성;한상환
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.214-221
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    • 2002
  • This study introduces a method to generate artificial earthquakes in Korean Peninsular using historical earthquake catalogues and point source model. For this purpose, three earthquake catalogues compiled by different researchers are compared to each other. And epicenters and magnitudes of future earthquakes are generated based on those catalogues. In generating ground motion accelertation, point source model proposed by Boore and Atkinson was adopted. Parameters of the model for South-Eastern part of Korean Peninsular was proposed by Noh and kn. From the epicenters, magnitudes, and ground motion models, possible earthquakes for 50,000 years are generated. Using these generated earthquakes ground accelrations and uniform hazard response spectra (UHRS) having 2%, 5%, and 10% exceedance probability in 50 years are proposed.

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Influence of soil-structure interaction on seismic responses of offshore wind turbine considering earthquake incident angle

  • Sharmin, Faria;Hussan, Mosaruf;Kim, Dookie;Cho, Sung Gook
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2017
  • Displacement response and corresponding maximum response energy of structures are key parameters to assess the dynamic effect or even more destructive structural damage of the structures. By employing them, this research has compared the structural responses of jacket supported offshore wind turbine (OWT) subjected to seismic excitations apprehending earthquake incidence, when (a) soil-structure interaction (SSI) has been ignored and (b) SSI has been considered. The effect of earthquakes under arbitrary angle of excitation on the OWT has been investigated by means of the energy based wavelet transformation method. Displacement based fragility analysis is then utilized to convey the probability of exceedance of the OWT at different soil site conditions. The results show that the uncertainty arises due to multi-component seismic excitations along with the diminution trend of shear wave velocity of soil and it tends to reduce the efficiency of the OWT to stand against the ground motions.

System identification and reliability assessment of an industrial chimney under wind loading

  • Tokuc, M. Orcun;Soyoz, Serdar
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2018
  • This study presents the reliability assessment of a 100.5 m tall reinforced concrete chimney at a glass factory under wind loading by using vibration-based identified modal values. Ambient vibration measurements were recorded and modal values such as frequencies, shapes and damping ratios were identified by using Enhanced Frequency Domain Decomposition (EFDD) method. Afterwards, Finite Element Model (FEM) of the chimney was verified based on identified modal parameters. Reliability assessment of the chimney under wind loading was performed by obtaining the exceedance probability of demand to capacity distribution. Demand distribution of the chimney was developed under repetitive seeds of multivariate stochastic wind fields generated along the height of chimney. Capacity distribution of the chimney was developed by Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, it was found that reliability of the chimney is lower than code suggested limit values.

Seismic upgrading of structures with different retrofitting methods

  • Guneyisi, Esra Mete;Azez, Ibrahim
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.589-611
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an analytical study aimed at evaluating the seismic performance of steel moment resisting frames (MRFs) retrofitted with different approaches. For this, 3, 6 and 12 storey MRFs having four equal bays of 5 m were selected as the case study models. The models were designed with lateral stiffness insufficient to satisfy code drift and hinge limitations in zones with high seismic hazard. Three different retrofit strategies including traditional diagonal bracing system and energy dissipation devices such as buckling restrained braces and viscoelastic dampers were used for seismic upgrading of the existing structures. In the nonlinear time history analysis, a set of ground motions representative of the design earthquake with 10% exceedance probability in fifty years was taken into consideration. Considering the local and global deformations, the results in terms of inter-storey drift index, global damage index, plastic hinge formations, base shear demand and roof drift time history were compared. It was observed that both buckling-restrained braces and viscoelastic dampers allowed for an efficient reduction in the demands of the upgraded frames as compared to traditional braces.

Seismic fragility analysis of corroded RC pier strengthened by engineered cementitious composites

  • Yan Liang;Jing-Xiao Shu;Cheng-Xin Zhao;Xi Dong Wang;Guang Yu Yang
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.269-283
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    • 2024
  • When a reinforced concrete (RC) structure is exposed to a corrosive environment for an extended period of time, the material qualities deteriorate, resulting in a loss in seismic performance. Engineered Cementitious Composites (ECC) have been used to reinforce the corroded RC structure, which can achieve reinforcement effectiveness for a small change in cross-section size. In this work, finite element models of unjacketed RC pier and ECC jacketed pier were established and verified by experimental tests, with the buckling effect of longitudinal reinforcement considered. Compared with the unjacketed pier, the displacement of the pier top of the ECC jacketed pier was reduced by about 9.52% under earthquake action. In the case of moderate and major earthquakes, the probability of exceedance of ECC jacketed pier is significantly reduced. For the case of rare earthquake loading, with the ECC jacket, the e of the pier experiencing serious damage and complete damage states is reduced by 10.29% and 29.78%, respectively.

동해항 전면 해역에서의 Freak Waves 발생확률 (Occurrence Probability of Freak Waves at Nearshore of Donghae Harbor in the East Sea)

  • 안경모;오찬영;정원무
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.258-265
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    • 2015
  • 지난 20년 동안 해양구조물과 선박 등에 예상치 못한 피해를 주는 freak waves에 대한 연구자들의 관심이 증가하고 있다. 다양한 연구결과에도 불구하고 아직 freak waves의 발생원인, 발생 메커니즘, 발생확률 등에 대한 상반된 결과로 인해 합의된 결과가 도출되지 못하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 동해항 전면 해상에서 측정된 파랑자료를 분석하여 freak waves에 대한 발생확률을 추정하였다. 유의파고 2.5 m 보다 크고 $H_m/H_S{\geq}2$인 freak waves 3개를 발견하였다. Freak waves의 발생확률은 극치파고분포함수를 사용하여 추정하기 적절하며, Mori, Rayleigh, 그리고 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수는 freak wave의 발생확률을 각각 약 O($10^{-1}$), O($10^{-2}$), 그리고 O($10^{-3}$) 정도로 추정하였다. 본 논문에서 분석된 파랑자료의 freak waves의 발생확률은 O($10^{-2}$)와 O($10^{-3}$) 사이에 위치하였다. 즉, Rayleigh와 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수에 의해 예측된 발생확률의 중간에 위치하였다. 현재 Rayleigh와 Ahn의 극치파고분포함수 중에 어떤 분포함수가 정확한지에 대한 판단은 좀 더 다양한 해역에서의 freak waves의 발생확률에 대한 분석이 필요하다고 판단된다.

밭작물 소비수량에 관한 기초적 연구(III)-고추 및 가을 무우- (Basic Studies on the Consumptive Use of Water Required for Dry Field Crops (3) -Red Pepper and Radish-)

  • 김철기;김진한;정하우;최홍규;권영현
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.55-71
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    • 1990
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the basic data for irrigation plans of red pepper and radish during the growing period, such as total amount of evapotranspiration, coefficent of evapotranspiration at each growth stage, the peak stage of evapotranspiration, the maximum ten day evapotranspiration , optimum irrigation point, total readily available moisture and intervals of irrigation date. The plots of experiment were arranged with split plot design which were composed of two factors, irrigation point for main plot and soil texture for split plot, and three levels ; irrigation point with pH1.7-2.0, pF2.1-2.4 and pF2.5-2.8, at soil texture of sandy soil, sandy loam and silty clay for both red pepper and radish, with two replications. The results obtained are summarized as follows. 1.1/10 exceedance probability values of maximum total pan evaporation during growing period for red peppr and radish were shown as 663.6 mm and 251.8 mm. respectively, and those of maximum ten day pan evaporation for red pepper and radish, 67.1 mm and 46.9 mm, respectively. 2.The time that annual maximum of ten day pan evaporation can he occurred, exists at any stage between the middle of May and the late of August for red pepper, and at any stage between the late of August and the late September for radish. 3.The magnitude of evapotranspiration and its coefficient for red pepper was occurred large in order of pF1.7-2.0 pF2.1-2.4 and pF2.5~2.8 in aspect of irrigation point and the difference in the magnitude of evapotranspiration and of its coefficient between levels of irrigation point was difficult to be found out due to the relative increase in water consumption resulted from large flourishing growth at the irrigation point in lower water content for radish. In aspect of soil texture they were appeared large in order of sandy loam, silty clay and sandy soil for both red pepper and radish. 4.The magnitude of leaf area index was shown large in order of pF2.1-2.4, pF2.5-2.8, and pFl.7-2.0, for red pepper and of pF2.5-2.8, pF2.1-2.4, pFl.7-2.0 for radish in aspect of irrigation point, and large in order of sandy loam, silty clay, sandy soil for both red pepper and radish in aspect of soil texture 5.1/10 exceedance probability value of evapotranspiration and its coefficient during the growing period for red pepper were shown as 683.5 mm and 1.03, respectively, while those of radish, 250.3 mm and 0, 99. respectively. 6.The time that the maximum evapotranspiration of red pepper can be occurred is in the middle of August around the date of ninetieth to hundredth after transplanting, and the time for radish is presumed to be in the late of September, around the date of thirtieth to fourtieth after sowing. At that time, 1/10 exceedance probability value of ten day evapotranspiration and its coefficient for red pepper is assumed to be 81.8 mm and 1.22, respectively, while those of radish, 49, 7 mm and 1, 06, respectively. 7.Optimum irrigation point for red pepper on the basis of the yield of raw matter is assumed to be pFl.7-2.0 for sandy soil, pF2.5-2.8 for sandy loam, and pF2.1-2.4 for silty clay. while that for radish is appeared to be pF2.5-2.8 in any soil texture used. 8.The soil moisture extraction patterns of red pepper and radish have shown that maximum extraction rates exist at 7 cm deep layer at the beginning stage of growth in any soil texture and that extraction rates of 21 cm to 35 cm deep layer are increased as getting closer to the late stage of growth. And especially the extraction rates have shown tendency to be greatest at 21cm deep layer from the most flourishing stage of growth for red pepper and at the last stage of growth for radish. 9.The total readily available moisture on the basic of the optimum irrigation point become 3.77-8.66 mm for sandy soil, 28.39-34.67 mm for sandy loam and 18.40-25.70 mm for silty clay for red pepper of each soil texture used but that of radish that has shown the optimum irrigation point of pF2.5-2.8 in any soil texture used. 12.49-15.27 mm for sandy soil, 23.03-28.13 mm for sandy loam, and 22.56~27.57 mm for silty clay. 10.On the basis of each optimum irrigation point. the intervals of irrigation date at the growth stage of maximum consumptive use of red pepper become l.4 days for sandy soil, 3.8 days for sandy loam and 2.6 days for silty clay, while those of radish, about 7.2 days.

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Seismic fragility curves for a concrete bridge using structural health monitoring and digital twins

  • Rojas-Mercedes, Norberto;Erazo, Kalil;Di Sarno, Luigi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.503-515
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents the development of seismic fragility curves for a precast reinforced concrete bridge instrumented with a structural health monitoring (SHM) system. The bridge is located near an active seismic fault in the Dominican Republic (DR) and provides the only access to several local communities in the aftermath of a potential damaging earthquake; moreover, the sample bridge was designed with outdated building codes and uses structural detailing not adequate for structures in seismic regions. The bridge was instrumented with an SHM system to extract information about its state of structural integrity and estimate its seismic performance. The data obtained from the SHM system is integrated with structural models to develop a set of fragility curves to be used as a quantitative measure of the expected damage; the fragility curves provide an estimate of the probability that the structure will exceed different damage limit states as a function of an earthquake intensity measure. To obtain the fragility curves a digital twin of the bridge is developed combining a computational finite element model and the information extracted from the SHM system. The digital twin is used as a response prediction tool that minimizes modeling uncertainty, significantly improving the predicting capability of the model and the accuracy of the fragility curves. The digital twin was used to perform a nonlinear incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) with selected ground motions that are consistent with the seismic fault and site characteristics. The fragility curves show that for the maximum expected acceleration (with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years) the structure has a 62% probability of undergoing extensive damage. This is the first study presenting fragility curves for civil infrastructure in the DR and the proposed methodology can be extended to other structures to support disaster mitigation and post-disaster decision-making strategies.