• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation theory

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The Estimation of Analytical Method for Axial Force-Moment Relationships of High-Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory (신뢰성 이론을 이용한 고강도콘크리트 구조물의 축력-모멘트관계에 있어서의 해석방법에 대한 평가)

  • 최광진;장일영;송재호;홍원기
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1998.04b
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 1998
  • The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation) including probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation). Finally, The established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data(data for Linear statstical method and Monte Carlo Simulation) for axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

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Theoretical Estimation of Partial Miscibilities by the Extended Flory-Huggins Lattice Theory

  • Jung, Hae-Young;Jhon, Mu-Shik
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.132-135
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    • 1985
  • Four types of the phase diagrams indicating the partial miscibilities in polymer-polymer or polymer-solvent systems have been explained in terms of the extended Flory-Huggins lattice theory. In this article, the term $kT_{\chi}$ in the theory is expressed as a function of temperature. Using such $a_{\chi}$-parameter, the simplest forms of geometrical conditions are derived for each type of the four partial miscibilities in polymer systems. The calculated partial miscibilities are in good agreement with the experiment.

A study on the estimation of the credibility in an extended Buhlmann-Straub model (확장된 뷸만-스트라웁 모형에서 신뢰도 추정 연구)

  • Yi, Min-Jeong;Go, Han-Na;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1181-1190
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    • 2010
  • When an insurer develops an insurance product, it is very critical to determine reasonable premiums, which is directly related to insurer's profits. There are three methods to determine premiums. Frist, the insurer utilizes premiums paid to the similar cases to the current one. Second, the insurer calculates premiums based on policyholder's past records. The last method is to combine the first with the second one. Based on the three methods, there are two major theories determining premiums, Limited Fluctuation Credibility Theory not based on statistical models and Greatest Accuracy Credibility Theory based on statistical models. There are well-known methods derived from Greatest Accuracy Credibility Theory, such as, Buhlmann model and Buhlmann-Straub model. In this paper, we extend the Buhlmann-Straub model to accommodate the fact that variability grows according to the number of data in practice and suggest a new non-parametric method to estimate the premiums. The suggested estimation method is also applied to the data gained from simulation and compared with the existing estimation method.

Iterative parameter estimation for nonlinear measurements (비선형 측정에 대한 반복 계수측정 기법)

  • Chung, Tae-Ho;Je, Chang-Hae;Lyou, Joon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.314-317
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, the IPE(Iterative Parameter Estimation) methods for the nonlinear measurements are proposed. The IPE methods convert the problems of the parameter estimation for the nonlinear measurements to that of the solution of the nonlinear equations approximately and use several iterative numerical solutions, such as fixed points theory, Newton's methods, quasi-Newton's methods and steepest descent techniques. the IPE methods for the nonlinear measurements-in the case of the error estimation for the inertial navigation systems are simulated, and it is found that the estimation errors for the nonlinear measurements decrease rapidly and converge to almost that of the linear LSE(Least Squares Estimation) when the IPE methods are applied.

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A Study on Commercial Power of Traditional Market

  • Baik, Key-Young;Youn, Myoung-Kil
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • This study investigated commercial power theory of traditional market through the analysis of literature review. Consumers' store selection models are made up a theory based on normative hypothesis, theory of mutual reaction, utility function estimation model, and cognitive-behavioral model. Detailed models are as follows. Normative hypothesis based theory is divided into Reilly's retail gratification theory and Converse's revised retail g ratification theory. Interaction theory is composed of Huff's probability gratification theory, MCI model and Multi-nominal Logit Model (MNL model). There are four models in retail organization position theory such as central place theories, single store position theory, multi store position - assign model, and retail growth potential model. In case of single store position theory, theoretical and empirical techniques have developed for a decision to optimum single store position. Those are like these, a check list, the most simple and systematic method, analogy, and microanalysis technique. Aforementioned models are theoretical and mathematical commercial power measurement and/or model. The study has rather limitations because the variation factors included in formula are only a part of actual commercial power. Therefore, further study shall be made continuously to commercial power areas and variables.

Axisymmetrical bending of single- and multi-span functionally graded hollow cylinders

  • Bian, Z.G.;Wang, Y.H.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.355-371
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    • 2013
  • Single- and multi-span orthotropic functionally graded hollow cylinders subjected to axisymmetrical bending are investigated on the basis of a unified shear deformable shell theory, in which the transverse displacement is expressed by means of a general shape function. To approach the through-thickness inhomogeneity of the hollow cylinder, a laminated model is employed. The shape function therefore shall be determined for each fictitious layer. To improve the computational efficiency, we resort to a transfer matrix method. Based on the principle of minimum potential energy, equilibrium equations are established, which are then solved analytically using the transfer matrix method for arbitrary boundary conditions. Numerical comparisons among a third-order shear deformable shell theory, an exact elastic theory and the present theory are provided for a simply supported hollow cylinder, from which the present theory turns out to be superior in stress estimation. Distributions of displacements and stresses in single- and three-span hollow cylinders with different boundary conditions are also illustrated in numerical examples.

Power and Trim Estimation for Helicopter Sizing and Performance Analysis

  • Laxman, Vaitla;Lim, Jae-Hoon;Shin, Sang-Joon;Ko, Kwang-Ho;Jung, Sung-Nam
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.156-162
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    • 2011
  • The preliminary design stage of helicopters consists of various operations and in each operation design several detailed analysis tasks are needed. The analysis tasks include performance and the required power estimation. In helicopter design, those are usually carried out by adopting the momentum theory. In this paper, an explicit form of computational analysis based on the blade element theory and uniform/non-uniform inflow model is developed. The other motivation of the present development is to obtain trim and required power estimation for various helicopter configurations. Sectional and hub loads, power, trim, and flapping equations are derived by using a symbolic tool. Iterative computations are carried out till convergence is achieved in the blade response, inflow, and trim. The predictions regarding the trim and power estimation turn out to be correlated well with the experimental results. The effect of inflow is further investigated. It is found that the present prediction for the lateral cyclic pitch angle is improved with the non-uniform inflow model as compared to that by the uniform inflow model. The presently improved trim and power estimation will be useful for future helicopter sizing and performance analysis.

An Experimental Study on the Prospect Theory (전망이론에 관한 실험연구)

  • Guahk, Seyoung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2017
  • This paper performed an experimental study to test the validity of the prospect theory proposed by Tversky and Kahneman as an alternative to the expected utility theory. 115 college students attended the hypothetical games to choose one of two lotteries, one is safe option while the other one is risky. The risky options were set up to have low, medium or high probability of payoffs or losses. The amount of payoffs and losses of the lotteries was either large or small. Maximum likelihood estimation of the hypothetical games have shown that in case of high probability of positive payoffs the respondents were risk averse and when the probability of positive payoffs were small the respondents were risk loving. when the possibility of loss is high they were risk loving, while the probability is of loss is low the respondents were found to be risk averse. When the probability of risky options were medium the results were significant statistically in case of only losses. The amount of positive payoff or losses does not affect the results. Overall the results of this experiments support the prospect theory more than those of Laury & Holts (2008).

Measurement Allocation by Shapley Value in Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Byun, Sang-Seon
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.38-42
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we consider measurement allocation problem in a spatially correlated sensor field. Our goal is to determine the probability of each sensor's being measured based on its contribution to the estimation reliability; it is desirable that a sensor improving the estimation reliability is measured more frequently. We consider a spatial correlation model of a sensor field reflecting transmission power limit, noise in measurement and transmission channel, and channel attenuation. Then the estimation reliability is defined distortion error between event source and its estimation at sink. Motivated by the correlation nature, we model the measurement allocation problem into a cooperative game, and then quantify each sensor's contribution using Shapley value. Against the intractability in the computation of exact Shapley value, we deploy a randomized method that enables to compute the approximate Shapley value within a reasonable time. Besides, we envisage a measurement scheduling achieving the balance between network lifetime and estimation reliability.

Analysis of Error Source in Subjective Evaluation on Patient Dentist Interaction : Application of Generalizability Theory (환자-치과의사 관계(PDI Patient Dentist Interaction) 평가의 오차원 분석: 일반화가능도 이론 적용)

  • Kim, Jooah;Cho, Lee-Ra
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.57 no.8
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    • pp.448-455
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    • 2019
  • This study aims to apply the Generalizability Theory (G-theory) for estimation of reliability of evaluation scores between raters on Patient Dentist Interaction. Selecting a number of raters as multiple error sources, this study was analyzed the error sources caused by relative magnitude of error variances of interaction between the factors and proceeded with D-study based on the results of G-study for optimal determination of measurement condition. The estimated outcomes of variance component for accuracy among the Patient Dentist Interaction evaluation with G-theory showed that impact of error was the biggest influence factor in students. The second influence was the item effect, and the rater effect was relatively small. The Generalizability coefficients for case1 and case2 which were estimated through the D- study were calculated relatively low.

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