• Title/Summary/Keyword: equivalent ARMA model

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An INS Filter Design Considering Mixed Random Errors of Gyroscopes

  • Seong, Sang-Man;Kang, Ki-Ho
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.262-264
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    • 2005
  • We propose a filter design method to suppress the effect of gyroscope mixed random errors at INS system level. It is based on the result that mixed random errors can be represented by a single equivalent ARMA model. At first step, the time difference of equivalent ARMA process is performed, which consider the characteristic of indirect feedback Kalman filter used in INS filter. Next, a state space conversion of time differenced ARMA model is achieved. If the order of AR is greater than that of MA, the controllable or observable canonical form is used. Otherwise, we introduce the state equation of which the state variable is composed of the ARMA model output and several step ahead predicts of that. At final step, a complete form state equation is presented. The simulation results shows that the proposed method gives less transient error and better convergence compared to the conventional filter which assume the mixed random errors as white noise.

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Kalman Filter Design For Aided INS Considering Gyroscope Mixed Random Errors (자이로의 불규칙 혼합잡음을 고려한 보조항법시스템 칼만 필터 설계)

  • Seong, Sang-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2006
  • Using the equivalent ARMA model representation of the mixed random errors, we propose Klaman filter design methods for aided INS(Inertial Navigation System) which contains the gyroscope mixed random errors. At first step, considering the characteristic of indirect feedback Kalman filter used in the aided INS, we perform the time difference of equivalent ARMA model. Next, according to the order of the time differenced ARMA model, we achieve the state space conversion of that by two methods. If the order of AR part is greater than MA part, we use controllable or observable canonical form. Otherwise, we establish the state apace equation via the method that several step ahead predicts are included in the state variable, where we can derive high and low order models depending on the variable which is compensated from gyroscope output. At final step, we include the state space equation of gyroscope mixed random errors into aided INS Kalman filter model. Through the simulation, we show that both the high and low order filter models proposed give less navigation errors compared to the conventional filter which assume the mixed random errors as white noise.

Computational explosion in the frequency estimation of sinusoidal data

  • Zhang, Kaimeng;Ng, Chi Tim;Na, Myunghwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.431-442
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    • 2018
  • This paper highlights the computational explosion issues in the autoregressive moving average approach of frequency estimation of sinusoidal data with a large sample size. A new algorithm is proposed to circumvent the computational explosion difficulty in the conditional least-square estimation method. Notice that sinusoidal pattern can be generated by a non-invertible non-stationary autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. The computational explosion is shown to be closely related to the non-invertibility of the equivalent ARMA model. Simulation studies illustrate the computational explosion phenomenon and show that the proposed algorithm can efficiently overcome computational explosion difficulty. Real data example of sunspot number is provided to illustrate the application of the proposed algorithm to the time series data exhibiting sinusoidal pattern.

Estimation of Smoothing Constant of Minimum Variance and its Application to Industrial Data

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Nagao, Kazuko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.44-50
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    • 2008
  • Focusing on the exponential smoothing method equivalent to (1, 1) order ARMA model equation, a new method of estimating smoothing constant using exponential smoothing method is proposed. This study goes beyond the usual method of arbitrarily selecting a smoothing constant. First, an estimation of the ARMA model parameter was made and then, the smoothing constants. The empirical example shows that the theoretical solution satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. The new method was also applied to the stock market price of electrical machinery industry (6 major companies in Japan) and forecasting was accomplished. Comparing the results of the two methods, the new method appears to be better than the ARIMA model. The result of the new method is apparently good in 4 company data and is nearly the same in 2 company data. The example provided shows that the new method is much simpler to handle than ARIMA model. Therefore, the proposed method would be better in these general cases. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

Development of Frequency Dependent Equivalent using Genetic Algorithm and it's Application for Electromagnetic Transient Analysis of Practical Power System Model (유전알고리즘을 이용한 주파수의존 등가회로 모델개발과 전자기 과도현상 해석)

  • Choi, Sun-Young;Park, Seung-Yub
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.104-112
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    • 2015
  • This paper deals with an methodology for acquiring optimal order of rational function model in FDNE(frequency dependent network equivalents) with GA(genetic Algorithm). In order to analyze the modern power system with huge complexity, an practical and efficient equivalent model is needed which represents the system's characteristics of transient phenomenon. this paper shows developing a z domain rational function model which have the resultant coefficient from proposed GA simulation. To demonstrate this methodology, some simulations are performed with practical power system of NZ which applied with fault condition and nonlinear converter load.

ARMA Modeling for Nonstationary Time Series Data without Differencing

  • Shin, Dong-Wan;Park, You-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.371-387
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    • 1999
  • For possibly nonstationary autoregressive moving average, modeling based on the original observations rather than the differenced observations is considered. Under this scheme, sample autocorrelation functions, parameter estimates, model diagnostic statistics, and prediction are all computed from the original data instead of the differenced data. The methods and results established under stationarity of data are shown to naturally extend to the nonstationarity of one autoregressive unit root. The sample ACF and PACF can be used for ARMA order determination. The BIC order is strongly consistent. The parameter estimates are asymptotically normal. The portmanteau statistic has chi-square distribution. The predictor is asymptotically equivalent to that based on the differenced data.

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Grounding Characteristics Analysis of the Stainless-steel Plate Grounding Electrode for Distribution Poles (배전전주용 스테인리스강판 접지전극의 접지 특성분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Chul;Lee, Kyu-Jin;Kim, Min-Sung;Jung, Ji-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.94-100
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    • 2010
  • Grounding system insures a reference potential point for electric devices and also provides a low impedance path for fault currents or transient currents in the earth. The ground impedance as function of frequency is necessary for determining its performance since fault currents could contain a wide range of frequencies. In this paper, the grounding resistance, grounding impedance and transient grounding impedance are measured by using 3-point fall-of-potential method in order to analyse grounding characteristics of the stainless-steel plate grounding electrode. An equivalent transfer function model of the grounding impedance and transient grounding impedance are identified from the measured values by using ARMA method and evaluated by comparing conventional grounding impedances.

A Hybrid Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy Utilizing Genetic Algorithm: An Application to the Data of Processed Cooked Rice

  • Takeyasu, Hiromasa;Higuchi, Yuki;Takeyasu, Kazuhiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.244-253
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    • 2013
  • In industries, shipping is an important issue in improving the forecasting accuracy of sales. This paper introduces a hybrid method and plural methods are compared. Focusing the equation of exponential smoothing method (ESM) that is equivalent to (1, 1) order autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) model equation, a new method of estimating the smoothing constant in ESM had been proposed previously by us which satisfies minimum variance of forecasting error. Generally, the smoothing constant is selected arbitrarily. However, this paper utilizes the above stated theoretical solution. Firstly, we make estimation of ARMA model parameter and then estimate the smoothing constant. Thus, theoretical solution is derived in a simple way and it may be utilized in various fields. Furthermore, combining the trend removing method with this method, we aim to improve forecasting accuracy. This method is executed in the following method. Trend removing by the combination of linear and 2nd order nonlinear function and 3rd order nonlinear function is executed to the original production data of two kinds of bread. Genetic algorithm is utilized to search the optimal weight for the weighting parameters of linear and nonlinear function. For comparison, the monthly trend is removed after that. Theoretical solution of smoothing constant of ESM is calculated for both of the monthly trend removing data and the non-monthly trend removing data. Then forecasting is executed on these data. The new method shows that it is useful for the time series that has various trend characteristics and has rather strong seasonal trend. The effectiveness of this method should be examined in various cases.

Grounding Characteristics Analysis of the Rod-Type Grounding Electrodes used for Electric Distribution Systems (배전계통에 사용되는 봉형 접지전극의 접지 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Chul;Jung, Ji-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2011
  • Grounding system insures a reference potential point for electric devices and also provides a low impedance path for fault currents or transient currents in the earth. The ground impedance as function of frequency is necessary for determining its performance since fault currents could contain a wide range of frequencies. In this paper, the grounding resistance, grounding impedance and transient grounding impedance are measured by using 3-point fall-of-potential method in order to analyse grounding characteristics of the copper and concrete rod grounding electrodes. An equivalent transfer function model of the ground impedance and transient grounding impedance are identified from the measured values by using ARMA method and evaluated by comparing the conventional grounding impedance.

A Study on the Transient Ground Impedance Modeling for Rod-type Grounding Electrodes by Frequency and Time Domain Characteristic Tests (주파수 및 시간영역 특성시험에 의한 봉형 접지전극의 과도 접지임피던스 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Uk;Kim, Kyung-Chul;Shin, Pan-Seok;Choi, Jong-Ki;Choi, Sun-Kyu;Kim, Dong-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2010
  • Grounding system insures a reference potential point for electric devices and also provides a low impedance path for fault currents in the earth. The ground impedance as function of frequency is necessary for determining its performance since fault currents could contain a wide range of frequencies. Copper and concrete rod electrodes are the most commonly used grounding electrode in electric distribution systems. In this paper, the ground impedance of copper and concrete rods has been measured by frequency and time domain characteristic tests. An equivalent transfer function model of the ground impedance is identified from the measured values by using ARMA method and evaluated by comparing conventional grounding impedances.