• Title/Summary/Keyword: econometric results

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Econometric Analysis of the Determinants of Real Effective Exchange Rate in the Emerging ASEAN Countries

  • RAKSONG, Saranya;SOMBATTHIRA, Benchamaphorn
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.731-740
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    • 2021
  • This research aims to investigate the determinants of real effective exchange rate in emerging ASEAN countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. The research was conducted by using quarterly time series data set from 1980Q1 to 2020Q3. Cointegration and the error correction model (ECM) methods were applied to test the long run and short run relationship of the real effective exchange rate and its determinants. The results indicate that the ratio of foreign direct investment to GDP and the government spending have significantly positive impact on real effective exchange rate in the Emerging ASEAN countries. The trade opening had influencing real effective exchange rate in most the Emerging ASEAN countries, except Vietnam. In addition, the international reserve (INR) had significant long-run impacts variables on real effective exchange rate in Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam. In the short run equilibrium, the error collection term suggest that Indonesia and Malaysia are the fastest speed adjustment to equilibrium. In addition, the term of trade influence the real effective exchange rate in Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines but it is not in Thailand and Vietnam. However, FDI is a major factor of the real effective exchange rate in Vietnam, but not for other countries.

The Impact of Cross-Border Tourism on Bilateral Trade: Evidence from BRICS Countries

  • He, Yugang
    • The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - With the improvement of people's living standards, traveling abroad has become a common way for people to release the pressure of life and work. In economics, this kind of way can affect the international trade. Because of this background, this paper sets BRICS countries as an example to explore the impact of cross-border tourism on bilateral trade. Research design, data, and Methodology - The annual time series data sets form 1998 to 2016 are used to perform an empirical analysis under a series of econometric approaches such as the Phillips-Perron test and the Engle-Granger two-step test. In this paper, the cross-border tourism and the bilateral trade will be used to conduct an empirical analysis based on the econometric approaches to analyze the impact of cross-border tourism on bilateral trade. Results - The finding of this paper show that there is a long-run relationship between cross-border tourism and bilateral trade in this sample. Moreover, the cross-border tourism is the Granger causality of bilateral trade. Namely, the cross-border tourism can promote the development of bilateral trade. Conclusions - In short, the evidences that this paper presents show that the cross-border tourism is a driving factor that impacts the bilateral trade in the sample of BRICS countries.

A Study on the Relationship between Public Subsidies and Private R&D Expenditure: A Meta-Regression Analysis of the Econometric Evidence (정부보조금의 민간R&D투자에 대한 관계: 계량경제학적 문헌에 대한 메타회귀분석)

  • Kim, Ho;Kim, Byung-Keun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.141-174
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the results of a meta-regression analysis on econometric evidence concerning the relationship between public funding of R&D and private R&D expenditure by reviewing literature and synthesizing existing results. The analysis on the effects of public financing on private investments in R&D has been the object of numerous studies, none of which having arrived at definite conclusion. A meta-analysis based upon a data-base including all relevant studies was carried out to examine whether the characteristics of the applied analysis influence the results. Three different empirical results are presented.

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The Effects of Institutions on the Labour Market Outcomes: Cross-country Analysis

  • KIM, YONG-SEONG;KIM, TAE BONG
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.69-94
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    • 2017
  • This paper re-examines the impacts an institutional arrangement may have on labour market outcomes such as the employment and unemployment rates. Based on the results from a generalized econometric model, the generosity of unemployment insurance benefits, organized labour and active labour market policy have effects on a labour market in line with previous findings. However, taxes on labour and the degree of employment protection are found to affect neither the employment rate nor the unemployment rate. Thus, some findings in this paper validate earlier findings, whereas others do not.

Measuring the Maximum Social Welfare Effects of Outlook Information Service for Fruits Sector in Korea (과일류 관측의 최대 사회후생 효과 계측)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.6646-6651
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    • 2014
  • This study was carried out to find the social welfare effects of agricultural outlook information service for fruit in Korea. The goals of an agricultural outlook information service are to improve the efficiency of the agricultural product market, and stabilize the farmer's income and consumer price. This paper introduces the results of econometric analysis for the effects of social welfare benefits. According to the results of econometric analysis for the citrus industry, the effects of the social welfare benefits were estimated to be 15,228 million KRW on apples (ratio of the total revenue, 1.5%), 3,154 million KRW on pears (ratio of the total revenue, 1.8%), 1,936 million KRW on peaches (ratio of the total revenue, 0.9%), 5,211 million KRW on grapes (ratio of the total revenue, 1.0%), 44,976 million KRW on citrus (ratio of the total revenue, 5.4%), and 2,590 million KRW on sweet persimmon (ratio of the total revenue, 0.8%) in 2012.

Effects of Growth Controls on Homebuilding in California Local Jurisdictions: Focusing on the late 1980s (캘리포니아 주내 지방정부의 성장관리 규제가 주택건설에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 1980년대말을 중심으로)

  • Pillsung Byun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.906-921
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    • 2003
  • This paper discusses the price effects of local growth controls on the housing markets of California jurisdictions in the late 1980s empirically. Particularly, based on spatial econometric modeling, the study focuses on the homebuilding constrained by growth controls which is one of the price effects. The modeling produces the California-wide generalizable results, differentiates among the individual effects of various growth controls on homebuilding, and covers spatial effects. Thereby, this study intends to supplement the existing work on the price effects of growth controls. The modeling results find that restrictive residential zoning had the effect of significantly restricting housing construction in the late 1980s. On the other hand, urban growth boundaries had the effect of accommodating homebuilding. Population growth or housing permit caps and adequate public facility ordinances had no significant effects on housing construction.

Comparative Study of Causality based quantitative Economic Impact Analysis Models for Utilizing Spectrum Resource (전파자원 활용을 위한 인과 관계 기반 정량적 경제 파급 효과 분석모형 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Taehan;Kim, Tae-Suk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.430-446
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we conducted a comparative study on the methodology for impact analysis as the economic grounds for formulating policy and investment plan concerned with utilizing spectrum resource. In order to provide numerical results for objective comparison and selection among policy and investment planning, methods to be analyzed are focused on quantitative methodology based on mathematical models, consequently the utility and limits of econometric model, input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium and system dynamics are compared from various viewpoints including analysis cost. Besides, we compared the methodologies in the standpoint of utilizing spectrum and discussed the recent findings of mixed models combining multiple methodologies to exploit the advantages of each methodology and to offset the limit. Results of the research can be used as reference indicators to select the method that conforms to the purpose and priority of analysis verifying the efficiency of execution of policies and investment plans.

A Review of the Research on E-commerce Ecosystem in China (중국 전자상거래 생태계 동향에 관한 연구)

  • Gao, Lan;Han, Jeong-Soo;Kim, Hyung-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2019
  • Based on the theory of information ecology, this paper conducts a quantitative analysis on the research literature of e-commerce ecosystem in China, and clarifies the research hotspots and development trends, so as to provide reference for subsequent studies. With the key words related literatures collected by CNKI as the data source, and the software CiteSpaceIV is used to draw a visual knowledge map, the distribution of e-commerce ecosystem research papers in China is statistically analyzed by econometric analysis method, and literature research is summarized and evaluated. The research results show that previous studies mainly focus on the concept of e-commerce ecosystem, and there are relatively few research results on the construction and evolution mechanism of e-commerce ecosystem, so the depth and breadth of research should be expanded. Applying the concept of e-commerce ecosystem to solve the problems in cross-border e-commerce will be the future research trend.

Developing Wastepaper Demand-Supply Model and Policy Measures to Increase Wastepaper Recycling Rate (폐지시장(廢紙市場)의 수요(需要)·공급(供給) 모델의 개발(開發)과 회수율(回收率) 제고방안(提高方案))

  • Choi, Kwan;Han, Sang-Yoel
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.83 no.2
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    • pp.133-147
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    • 1994
  • Wastepaper recycling has significant implications not only in providing scarce raw material input for the paper industry but in environmental concerns such as reducing solid waste disposal, energy conservation and preservation of forest resources. The objectives of this study was (1) to develop an econometric model of demand for and supply of wastepaper, (2) to forecast wastepaper consumption and price to the year 2000 applying the econometric models estimated and (3) to estimate the elasticity of variables which are included in the wastepaper supply and demand equations. In this study wastepaper was classified into three groups, old newsprint, old corrugated and mixed For each group such as demand and supply equation were estimated. The demand equations were estimated as a function of paper and paper product consumption and wholesale price index and supply equations as a function of wastepaper price, one year lagged paper and paperproduct consumption and transportation price. Applying the econometric models to forcasting results in the future consumption and supply of wastepaper projected as 11.645 million MT and 7.396 million MT in 2000, respectively. The rate of wastepaper self-supply is forcasted about 63.5% in 2000. Especially, the rate of old neswprint self-supply is predicted about 16% which means about 2.2 million MT of old newsprint should be imported from foreign countries. Lastly, some policy measures to promote wastepaper recycling rate based upon economic and physical characteristics of wastepaper and market structure are suggested.

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Estimation of Future Land Cover Considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways using Scenario Generators (Scenario Generator를 활용한 사회경제경로 시나리오 반영 미래 토지피복 추정)

  • Song, Cholho;Yoo, Somin;Kim, Moonil;Lim, Chul-Hee;Kim, Jiwon;Kim, Sea Jin;Kim, Gang Sun;Lee, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 2018
  • Estimation of future land cover based on climate change scenarios is an important factor in climate change impact assessment and adaptation policy. This study estimated future land cover considering Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) using Scenario Generators. Based on the storylines of SSP1-3, future population and estimated urban area were adopted for the transition matrix, which contains land cover change trends of each land cover class. In addition, limits of land cover change and proximity were applied as spatial data. According to the estimated land cover maps from SSP1-3 in 2030, 2050, and 2100, respectively, urban areas near a road were expanded, but agricultural areas and forests were gradually decreased. More drastic urban expansion was seen in SSP3 compared to SSP1 and SSP2. These trends are similar with previous research with regard to storyline, but the spatial results were different. Future land cover can be easily adjusted based on this approach, if econometric forecasts for each land cover class added. However, this requires determination of econometric forecasts for each land cover class.