• 제목/요약/키워드: confidence factor

검색결과 1,068건 처리시간 0.03초

프리스트레스트 콘크리트 교량의 크리프와 건조수축효과의 민감도 해석 (Sensitivity Analysis of Creep and Shrinkage Effects of Prestressed Concrete Bridges)

  • 오병환;양인환
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 가을 학술발표대회 논문집(III)
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    • pp.656-661
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box girder bridges. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measures are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs to each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partial rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardized rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Probability band widens with time, which indicates an increase of prediction uncertainty with time. The creep model uncertainty factor and the relative humidity appear as the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

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담장 감시 시스템을 위한 배경 제거 알고리즘 (A Background Subtraction Algorithm for Fence Monitoring Surveillance Systems)

  • 이복주;추연호;최영규
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, a new background subtraction algorithm for video based fence monitoring surveillance systems is proposed. We adopt the sampling based background subtraction technique and focus on the two main issues: handling highly dynamic environment and handling the flickering nature of pulse based IR (infrared) lamp. Natural scenes from fence monitoring system are usually composed of several dynamic entities such as swaying trees, moving water, waves and rain. To deal with such dynamic backgrounds, we utilize the confidence factor for each background value of the input image. For the flickering IR lamp, the original sampling based technique is extended to handle double background models. Experimental results revealed that our method works well in real fence monitoring surveillance systems.

중년층의 라이프스타일 유형에 따른 주거조건 및 노후서비스 (Housing status and Senior Services corresponding to Life Styles of the Middle aged)

  • 김한나;윤정숙
    • 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국주거학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to classify the middle aged corresponding to their Life Styles and analyze the senior housing types and services. the specific objectives of this study are as follows : First, analyze the specific of demography. Second classify the Life Style of the middle aged. Third, analyze the housing types and services that are classified. In analyzing the collected data, the frequency, factor analysis, cronbach's a, cluster analysis(K-means), X$^2$ ANOVA conducted within the SPSS 12.0. The Life Style were segmented four group : Actively outgoing group, self-confidence familial group, self-uncertainty responsible group, unsociable negative group. This study shows that the segmentation group's preference of senior housing types and services is different by the Life Style.

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유중가스를 이용한 변압기 고장진단용 전문가 시스템 개발 (Fault Diagnostic Expert System Using Dissolved Gas Analysis in Transformer)

  • 전영재;윤용한;김재철;윤상윤;최도혁
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1996년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.859-861
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents the novel fault diagnostic expert system based on dissolved gas analysis(DGA) techniques in power transformer. The uncertainty of key gas analysis, norm threshold, and gas ratio boundaries are managed by using a fuzzy set concept. The uncertainty of rules are handled by fuzzy measures. Trend analysis through the monthly increment of key gas and DGA analysis are combined by the Dempster-Shafer theory, and the state of transformer and confidence factor are yielded by using this combined analysis. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed diagnosis technique, the expert system has been tested by using KEPCO's transformer gas records.

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웰빙 라이프스타일과 기능성 섬유에 대한 지식이 고기능성 스포츠레저웨어의 중요도 지각에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Well-being Lifestyle and Functional Textile Knowledge on the Perception of High Functional Sports/Leisure Wear Importance)

  • 정인희
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제33권9호
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    • pp.1495-1505
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes how well-being lifestyle and functional textile knowledge effect the perception of high functional sports/leisure wear importance. A survey was conducted among male and female sports/leisure wear consumers aged 15 and over in the Daegu and Gyeongbuk area from May $12^{th}$ to June $2^{nd}$ 2009. A total of 288 responses were analyzed using descriptive statistics, factor analysis, and regression. As a result, 9 factors were determined as sub-elements of a well-being lifestyle. Knowledge levels for functional textiles were high in elastic, UV blocking, air permeable, and antibacterial properties. The perception of high functional sports/leisure wear importance was positively influenced by functional textile knowledge and two well-being lifestyle constructing factors ('self-confidence/affirmative thinking' and 'health/environment oriented eating habits').

OPTIMAL RELIABILITY DESIGN FOR THIN-WALLED BEAM OF VEHICLE STRUCTURE CONSIDERING VIBRATION

  • Lee, S.B.;Baik, S.;Yim, H.J.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2003
  • In the deterministic optimization of a structural system, objective function, design constraints and design variables, are treated in a nonstatistical fashion. However, such deterministic engineering optimization tends to promote the structural system with lest reliability redundancy than obtained with conventional design procedures using the factor of safety. Consequently, deterministic optimized structures will usually have higher failure probabilities than unoptimized structures. Therefore, a balance must be developed between the satisfactions of the design requirements and the objectives of reducing manufacturing cost. This paper proposes the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) technique, which enables the optimum design that considers confidence level for the vibration characteristics of structural system. Response surface method (RSM) is utilized to approximate the performance functions describing the system characteristics in the RBDO procedure. The proposed optimization technique is applied to the pillar section design considering natural frequencies of a vehicle structure.

A new epoch of Sino-Russian relations and their regional and global influence

  • Cimek, Gracjan
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.138-156
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    • 2021
  • The aim of this article is to describe direction of Sino-Russian relations toward a new epoch - as the decision-making centers of both countries define them - indicating the commitment to building the future international order. It includes the synthesis of evolution of relations, descriptions of cooperation building of mutual confidence by both sides in variety of institutions; analyses of geo-economic relations emphasizing their geostrategic dimension and finally dynamics showing how two great powers want to achieve new areas of cooperation focused on building multipolar world order which is the essence of "new epoch". The argument goes towards recognizing the relationship as a "hhybrid alliance". This hybridity is a structural factor that can constrain the use of new dimensions of asymmetric interdependence as political leverage especially by United States against the two non-western powers but also facilitate to use it against West.

고흥군 양식어업형 어촌계의 입지에 따른 어업효율성 분석에 관한 연구 (The Analysis of Geospatial Efficiency of Goheung-Gun Aquaculture Type Ochon-Gye Using Bootstrap-DEA)

  • 김종천;이창수
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the production efficiency of individual fishing communities and provide directions for improvement. The subject of the study is aquaculture type Ochon-Gye in Goheung-gun. The analysis method used bootstrap-DEA to overcome the statistical reliability problem of the traditional DEA analysis technique. In addition, data mining-GIS was applied to identify the spatial productivity of fishing communities. The values of technology efficiency, pure technology efficiency, and scale efficiency were estimated for 32 aquaculture-type fishing villages. Then, using the benchmarking reference set and weights, the projection was presented through adjustment of the input factor excess, and furthermore, the confidence interval of the efficiency values considering statistical significance was estimated using bootstrap.

국내 풍력발전 설비의 이용률과 용량크레딧 분석 (Analysis of Capacity Factors and Capacity Credits for Wind Turbines Installed in Korea)

  • 백천현
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2019
  • The capacity credit (CC) is a key metric for mid- to long-term power system capacity planning. The purpose of this study is to estimate the CCs of domestic wind turbines. Based on hourly capacity factor (CF) data during the seven years from 2011 to 2017, the new so-called probabilistic CF scheme is introduced to effectively reflect the variability of CFs on CC estimation. The CCs are then estimated through the CF-based method and the ELCC (Effective Load Carrying Capability) method reflecting the probabilistic CF scheme, and the results are compared. The results show that the CC value 0.019 for domestic wind turbines proposed in the $8^{th}$ Basic Plan for Electricity Supply and Demand corresponds to the CC with a confidence level slightly lower than 95%.

몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 시운전 선속-동력 성능에 대한 불확실성 해석 (Uncertainty Analysis for Speed and Power Performance in Sea Trial using Monte Carlo Simulation)

  • 서대원;김민수;김상엽
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제56권3호
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    • pp.242-250
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    • 2019
  • The speed and power performance of a ship is not only a guarantee issue between the ship owner and the ship-yard, but also is related with the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) regulation. Recently, International Organization for Standardization (ISO) published the procedure of the measurement and assessment for ship speed and power at sea trial. The results of speed and power performance measured in actual sea condition must inevitably include various uncertainty factors. In this study, the influence for systematic error of shaft power measurement system was examined using the Monte Carlo simulation. It is found that the expanded uncertainty of speed and power performance is approximately ${\pm}1.2%$ at the 95% confidence level(k=2) and most of the uncertainty factor is attributed to shaft torque measurement system.