• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional distribution

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Establish for Link Travel Time Distribution Estimation Model Using Fuzzy (퍼지추론을 이용한 링크통행시간 분포비율 추정모형 구축)

  • Lee, Young Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.2D
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2006
  • Most research for until at now link travel time were research for mean link travel time calculate or estimate which uses the average of the individual vehicle. however, the link travel time distribution is divided caused by with the impact factor which is various traffic condition, signal operation condition and the road conditional etc. preceding study result for link travel time distribution characteristic showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the link travel times. therefore, it will be more accurate to divide up the link travel time into the one involving delay and the other without delay, rather than using the average link travel time in terms of assessing the traffic situation. this study is it analyzed transit hour distribution characteristic and a cause using examine to the variables which give an effect at link travel time distribute using simulation program and determinate link travel time distribute ratio estimation model. to assess the distribution of the link travel times, this research develops the regression model and the fuzzy model. the variables that have high level of correlations in both estimation models are the rest time of green ball and the delay vehicles. these variables were used to construct the methods in the estimation models. The comparison of the two estimation models-fuzzy and regression model- showed that fuzzy model out-competed the regression model in terms of reliability and applicability.

Frequency analysis for annual maximum of daily snow accumulations using conditional joint probability distribution (적설 자료의 빈도해석을 위한 확률밀도함수 개선 연구)

  • Park, Heeseong;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.627-635
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    • 2019
  • In Korea, snow damage has been happened in the region with no snowfalls in history. Also, casual damage was caused by heavy snow. Therefore, policy about the Natural Disaster Reduction Comprehensive Plan has been changed to include the mitigation measures of snow damage. However, since heavy snow damage was not frequent, studies on snowfall have not been conducted in different points. The characteristics of snow data commonly are not same to the rainfall data. For example, some parts of the southern coastal areas are snowless during the year, so there is often no values or zero values among the annual maximum daily snow accumulation. The characteristics of this type of data is similar to the censored data. Indeed, Busan observation sites have more than 36% of no data or zero data. Despite of the different characteristics, the frequency analysis for snow data has been implemented according to the procedures for rainfall data. The frequency analysis could be implemented in both way to include the zero data or exclude the zero data. The fitness of both results would not be high enough to represent the real data shape. Therefore, in this study, a methodology for selecting a probability density function was suggested considering the characteristics of snow data in Korea. A method to select probability density function using conditional joint probability distribution was proposed. As a result, fitness from the proposed method was higher than the conventional methods. This shows that the conventional methods (includes 0 or excludes 0) overestimated snow depth. The results of this study can affect the design standards of buildings and also contribute to the establishment of measures to reduce snow damage.

Exploring interaction using 3-D residual plots in logistic regression model (3차원 잔차산점도를 이용한 로지스틱회귀모형에서 교호작용의 탐색)

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2014
  • Under bivariate normal distribution assumptions, the interaction and quadratic terms are needed in the logistic regression model with two predictors. However, depending on the correlation coefficient and the variances of two conditional distributions, the interaction and quadratic terms may not be necessary. Although the need for these terms can be determined by comparing the two scatter plots, it is not as useful for interaction terms. We explore the structure and usefulness of the 3-D residual plot as a tool for dealing with interaction in logistic regression models. If predictors have an interaction effect, a 3-D residual plot can show the effect. This is illustrated by simulated and real data.

Analysis of CRLB Performances with CAF under Multiple Emitters (CAF 이용 다중 발기하에서의 CRLB 성능 분석)

  • Lee, Young-kyu;Yang, Sung-hoon;Lee, Chang-bok;Park, Young-Mi;Lee, Moon-Seok
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.589-594
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we described the Cramer-Rao Lower Bound (CLRB) performances of Time Difference of Arrival (TDOA) and Frequency Difference of Arrival (FDOA) methods when there are multiple emitters. The TDOA and FDOA values between two receivers can be simultaneously estimated by using the so-called Complex Ambiguity Function (CAF). In the case of multiple emitters, there exist Inter Symbol Interferences (ISIs) in the measurement data. Therefore, it is required to reduce the effect of ISI and provide a performance evaluation method of TDOA and FDOA estimations. In order to eliminate the ISIs, using of a filter bank before calculating CAF is proposed when the carrier frequencies of the emitters are different to one another. Angle of Arrival (AOA) or Received Signal Strength (RSS) methods before calculating CAF were proposed to reduce the ISIs when the carrier frequencies are the same. In order to evaluate the CRLB of TDOA and FDOA estimations, we employed the conditional probability distribution method and described the numerical comparison results.

Attitudes of Pregnant women s husbands to Breast Feeding (임부 남편의 모유수유에 대한 태도 유형 분석)

  • 정혜경;김경희
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.392-402
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    • 1998
  • By using Q-methodology, this study examines the attitudes of pregnant womens' husbands toward breastfeeding. Also, the research provides basic data necessary to develop a strategy for recommending breastfeeding. A total of 112 items for the Q-population were collected from related literature and interviews with the general public, specialists, pregnant women and their husbands. Finally, 38 statements were selected. Twenty one husbands of pregnant women classified these statements on each card on a 1 to 9 point scale(forced normal distribution) and wrote the reasons for both the most supported and the most resisted statements. The materials collected were analyzed by using pc QUANL program. The analysis drew down following fact that even though the attitudes of the husbands of pregnant were very similar, they could be classified to three types according to the motivation and recognition the degree of choosing breastfeeding. Type 1 is the mother's duty supporter, who insists that breastfeeding is completely natural and the proper duty of the mother. Type 2 is the emotional value supporter, who thinks that breastfeeding emotionally affects both the baby and the mother in a positive way. Type 3 is the conditional choice supporter, who chooses the most proper suckling way of feeding according to given conditions.

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Modeling Stock Price Volatility: Empirical Evidence from the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Cuong Thanh;NGUYEN, Manh Huu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to measure stock price volatility on Ho Chi Minh stock exchange (HSX). We apply symmetric models (GARCH, GARCH-M) and asymmetry (EGARCH and TGARCH) to measure stock price volatility on HSX. We used time series data including the daily closed price of VN-Index during 1/03/2001-1/03/2019 with 4375 observations. The results show that GARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1) models are the most suitable models to measure both symmetry and asymmetry volatility level of VN-Index. The study also provides evidence for the existence of asymmetric effects (leverage) through the parameters of TGARCH model (1,1), showing that positive shocks have a significant effect on the conditional variance (volatility). This result implies that the volatility of stock returns has a big impact on future market movements under the impact of shocks, while asymmetric volatility increase market risk, thus increase the attractiveness of the stock market. The research results are useful reference information to help investors in forecasting the expected profit rate of the HSX, and also the risks along with market fluctuations in order to take appropriate adjust to the portfolios. From this study's results, we can see risk prediction models such as GARCH can be better used in risk forecasting especially.

An Analysis of the Demand for Social Education of Women of Songnam City (성남시 여성의 사회교육 요구 분석)

  • 이길순;이원영
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 1997
  • This study aims to analyse the demand of people living in Songnam city for social education. The results of this study were intended to serve as basic material for the social education institution to work out policies for its development. Data, which reached a total of 435, were collected from parents of students, bank clerks, factory workers, and distribution workers, who were living in Choongwon, Sujeong, or Boondang ward of songnam City. The findings of the study were as follows. 1. About 85.7% of the respondents were applying for a social education program : However, given that 63.2% of the positive respondents presented conditional answers, adequate programs to meet their demand should be developed for turning it into effective demand. 2. Specialized vocational training Programs. family life Programs, health and hygienic education program, foreign language learning programs and hobby and leisure programs turned out to be favored. 3. Respondents showed a preference for active participation in the process of education including experiment and field work over remaining passive listeners to a lecture. As to the period of education, 1 to 2 months were most favored; two classes of about 2 hours per week, met on weekdays, were strongly recommended.

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Feature Extraction Based on GRFs for Facial Expression Recognition

  • Yoon, Myoong-Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we propose a new feature vector for recognition of the facial expression based on Gibbs distributions which are well suited for representing the spatial continuity. The extracted feature vectors are invariant under translation rotation, and scale of an facial expression imege. The Algorithm for recognition of a facial expression contains two parts: the extraction of feature vector and the recognition process. The extraction of feature vector are comprised of modified 2-D conditional moments based on estimated Gibbs distribution for an facial image. In the facial expression recognition phase, we use discrete left-right HMM which is widely used in pattern recognition. In order to evaluate the performance of the proposed scheme, experiments for recognition of four universal expression (anger, fear, happiness, surprise) was conducted with facial image sequences on Workstation. Experiment results reveal that the proposed scheme has high recognition rate over 95%.

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Color matching of color CRT and dyed fabric by using experimental method (실험실적 방법에 의한 Color CRT와 염색직물의 칼라 매칭)

  • 김청섭;홍영기;배기서
    • Textile Coloration and Finishing
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.397-404
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    • 2001
  • The accurate representation of the colors of dyed fabric on a color CRT(cathode ray tube) screen is the basis for the automatic process in dyeing industry. In the former study, we had focused on the theoretically color matching method between CIE(International Commission on illumination) and RGB color coordinates, but In this study we tried simulating the colors obtained from fabrics on the color CRT by using experimental method. we obtained the following results. 1. We could simulate all of the color CRT by gamut mapping method, even though some of the KOSCOTE(Korea Standard Color of Textile) colors represented on the color CRT didn't exist in the region of color region 2. We could do conditional matching by CIE system, even though it was hard to do invariant matching the Red, Green, Blue phosphors of the color CRT because of the SPD(Spectral Power Distribution) which had been set up before. 3. We could simulate all the colors obtained from fabrics on the color CRT by matching those two color groups from KOSCOTE fabrics and color CRT using match algorithm and matching programs. 4. If we get over on obstacles by grafting CCM and CCK machines which have been used in educational and industrial areas by matching KOSCOTE with color CRT we will be able to invent color simulation system controled automatically.

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Color matching of color CRT and dyed fabric by using experimental method (실험실적 방법에 의한 Color CRT와 염색직물의 칼라 매칭)

  • Kim, Cheong Seop;Hong, Yeong Gi;Bae, Gi Seo
    • Textile Coloration and Finishing
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2001
  • The accurate representation of the colors of dyed fabric on a color CRT(cathode ray tube) screen is the basis for the automatic process in dyeing industry. In the former study, we had focused on the theoretically color matching method between CIE(International Commission on Illumination) and RGB color coordinates, but In this study we tried simulating the colors obtained from fabrics on the color CRT by using experimental method. we obtained the following results. 1. We could simulate all of the color CRT by gamut mapping method, even though some of the KOSCOTE(Korea Standard Color of Textile) colors represented on the color CRT didn′t exist in the region of color region. 2. We could do conditional matching by CIE system, even though it was hard to do invariant matching the Red, Green, Blue phosphers of the color CRT because of the SPD(Spectral Power Distribution) which had been set up before. 3. We could simulate all the colors obtained from fabrics on the color CRT by matching those two color groups from KOSCOTE fabrics and color CRT using match algorithm and matching programs. 4. If we get over on obstacles by grafting CCM and CCK machines which have been used in educational and industrial areas by matching KOSCOTE with color CRT we will be able to invent color simulation system controled automatically.