• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate change assessment

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Assessment of the Impacts of Rice Self-sufficiency on National Rresources in Korea through Water-Energy-Food-Land Nexus Approach (물-에너지-식량-토지 넥서스를 통한 미래 쌀 수급 변화에 따른 자원별 이용량 변화 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Hur, Seung-Oh
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.4
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 2018
  • The aim of this study is to apply the Water-Energy-Food-Land Nexus approach which can analyze the trade-offs among resources, and assess the holistic impacts of food security. First, we applied rice as a study crop and analyzed the trend of consumption of rice and the area of paddy fields. Second, the portfolios of water, energy, and land for rice production were constructed using data of footprints and productivity. Finally, the self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) of rice in target year was set as food security scenario and assessed the impacts of food security on water, energy, and land availability. In 2030, the SSR of rice decreased to 87 %, and water use for producing rice decreased from 4,728 to $3,350million\;m^3$, and the water availability index increased from 0.33 to 0.53. However, food security is essential issue and we set the 50 % and 100 % SSR of rice as high and low food security scenarios. For 100% SSR in 2030, about $3,508million\;m^3$ water was required and water availability index reached to 0.5. In other words, there is the trade-off between food security and water-energy-lands availability. Therefore, it is difficult to make a decision whether a high level of SSR is better or worse. However, this study showed the both positive and negative impacts by change of food security and it can be useful for setting the policy decision considering both food security and sustainable resource management at the same time.

An Analysis of Environmental Policy Effect on Green Space Change using Logistic Regression Model : The Case of Ulsan Metropolitan City (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 환경정책 효과 분석: 울산광역시 녹지변화 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sung-Joo;Ryu, Ji-Eun;Jeon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the qualitative and quantitative effects of environmental policies in terms of green space management using logistic regression model(LRM). Landsat satellite imageries in 1985, 1992, 2000, 2008, and 2015 are classified using a hybrid-classification method. Based on these classified maps, logistic regression model having a deforestation tendency of the past is built. Binary green space change map is used for the dependent variable and four explanatory variables are used: distance from green space, distance from settlements, elevation, and slope. The green space map of 2008 and 2015 is predicted using the constructed model. The conservation effect of Ulsan's environmental policies is quantified through the numerical comparison of green area between the predicted and real data. Time-series analysis of green space showed that restoration and destruction of green space are highly related to human activities rather than natural land transition. The effect of green space management policy was spatially-explicit and brought a significant increase in green space. Furthermore, as a result of quantitative analysis, Ulsan's environmental policy had effects of conserving and restoring 111.75㎢ and 175.45㎢ respectively for the periods of eight and fifteen years. Among four variables, slope was the most determinant factor that accounts for the destruction of green space in the city. This study presents logistic regression model as a way of evaluating the effect of environmental policies that have been practiced in the city. It has its significance in that it allows us a comprehensive understanding of the effect by considering every direct and indirect effect from other domains, such as air and water, on green space. We conclude discussing practicability of implementing environmental policy in terms of green space management with the focus on a non-statutory plan.

Chlorophyll Fluorescence Analysis for the Assessment of High Temperature Stress in Citrus During the Coloration Period (엽록소 형광 분석을 활용한 착색기 감귤의 고온 스트레스 평가)

  • Tae Seon Eom;Seung Yeon Jang;Ye Bin Hwang;Sung Yung Yoo;Sung Ku Kang;Ji Su Park;Tae Wan Kim
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.33 no.9
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    • pp.613-623
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    • 2024
  • This study was conducted in the greenhouse of the Citrus Research Institute of the Rural Development Administration with the aim of analyzing electron transfer efficiency in citrus under high temperatures caused by climate change and selecting photophysiological indicators to identify high temperature resistant varieties. The "Shiranuhi" cultivar showed no change in maximum fluorescence or Origin-Jump transition stage due to the heat treatment. However, chlorophyll fluorescence parameters, such as RC/CS, ABS/CS, and ETo/CS, increased. Consequently, it was judged that there was no decrease in photosynthetic performance due to high temperature. However, compared to mandarin orange, "unshiu Marcow" was found to have damage to the photosynthetic apparatus due to a significant increase in chlorophyll fluorescence in the O-J transition stage. It was also evaluated as Group III, with the lowest level of high-temperature resistance even in the high-temperature stress index analysis using PI ABS, making it the most vulnerable to high temperatures among the five varieties tested. In conclusion, chlorophyll fluorescence reaction analysis can be used for heat cultivation technology by selecting resistant varieties and identifying the appropriate temperatures.

Assessment of Precipitation Characteristics and Synoptic Pattern Associated with Typhoon Affecting the South Korea (우리나라 내습태풍 유형에 따른 강우특성 및 종관기후학적 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Park, Kun-Chul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.463-477
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    • 2015
  • The recent unusual climate and extreme weather events have frequently given unexpected disaster and damages, facing difficulties in the management of water resources. In particular, climate change could result in intensified typhoons, and this would be the worst case scenario that can happen. The primary objective of this study is to identify the patterns of typhoon-induced precipitation and the associated synoptic pattern. This study focused on analyzing precipitation patterns over the South Korea using historic records as opposed to a specified season or duration, and further investigates the potential connection with heavy rainfall to synoptic patterns. In this study, we used the best track data provided by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center of Japan for 40 years from 1973 to 2012. The patterns of the typhoon-induced precipitation were categorized into four groups according to a given typhoon track information, and then the associated synoptic climatology patterns were further investigated. The results demonstrate that the typhoon-induced precipitation patterns could be grouped and potentially simulated according to the identified synoptic patterns. Our future work will focus on developing a short-term forecasting model of typhoon-induced precipitation considering the identified climate patterns as inputs.

Reaction Characteristics of Phytoplankton Before and After the Yellow Dust Event in Taean Peninsula and Yellow Dust Impact Assessment (태안반도주변에서 춘계 황사 전·후 식물플랑크톤 반응특성과 황사분진 영향평가)

  • Yoo, Man Ho;Youn, Seok Hyun;Oh, Hyun Ju;Choi, Joong Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.898-906
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    • 2018
  • To investigate the effect of yellow dust on phytoplankton, a field survey and physiological experiments were carried out in the waters near Taean Peninsula from April 22 to 26, 2006, when yellow dust occurred. Phytoplankton populations during the yellow dust period were in the range of $26{\sim}290{\times}10^3cells{\cdot}L^{-1}$, a somewhat low standing crop. An increase in diatoms (a main taxonomic group), especially benthic diatoms such as Paralia sulcate, a typical species for active mixed sea water areas, was also remarkable. In addition, the Chl-a concentration after yellow dust exceeded the Chl-a concentration change range according to the tide before yellow dust. As the concentration of yellow sand increased in a yellow sand treatment experiment, primary productivity decreased, and the maximum assimilation number showed the same tendency. In the 48h culture experiment, primary productivity of the test group was lower than that of the control group at the early stage (T0) of yellow sand treatment, but after 48 hours (T48), the test group showed higher primary productivity than the control group. In particular, the primary productivity of the test group significantly increased to 321 % after 48 hours. Therefore, strong physical environment accompanied by yellow dust may temporarily inhibit the growth of phytoplankton in the waters adjacent to China in the early stage of yellow dust, but the formation of stable water mass has also been identified as a potential factor promoting the growth of phytoplankton.

Analysis of the Impact of Key Design Elements for the EU-ETS Phase 4 on the K-ETS in the Future (EU ETS 4기의 주요 제도 설계가 향후 국내 배출권거래제 운영에 미칠 영향 분석)

  • Son, Insung;Kim, Dong Koo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.129-167
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    • 2021
  • The emission trading system is an essential policy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and converting low-carbon society. EU ETS is a good benchmark that is ahead of Korea's emission trading system in terms of operating period and design know-how. Therefore, this study focused on the key design elements of EU ETS phase 4 such as total emission allowances issued (Cap), free allocation method, carbon leakage list, market stability reserve, and innovation supporting system. In addition, we analyzed the impact of key design elements and their changes during EU ETS Phase 1 to 4 on the design and operation of Korea emission trading system in the future. First of all, the expected impact on the design of Korea emission trading system is to increase three demands: preparing benchmark renewal plans, establishing criteria for selecting free allocation industries that reflect domestic industrial structure and characteristics and introducing two-stage evaluations for free allocation industries, and preparing specific plan to support innovation and industries using allowance auction revenues. The next three impacts on the operation of Korea emission trading system are the increased needs for objective and in-depth impact assessment of plan and amendments, provision of system stability and response opportunities by quickly confirming plan and amendments prior to the implementation, and coordination of the emission trading system governance and stakeholder participation encouragement.

Improvement in Regional-Scale Seasonal Prediction of Agro-Climatic Indices Based on Surface Air Temperature over the United States Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 미국 지표 기온 기반 농업기후지수의 지역 규모 계절 예측성 개선)

  • Chan-Yeong, Song;Joong-Bae, Ahn;Kyung-Do, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.201-217
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    • 2022
  • The United States is one of the largest producers of major crops such as wheat, maize, and soybeans, and is a major exporter of these crops. Therefore, it is important to estimate the crop production of the country in advance based on reliable long- term weather forecast information for stable crops supply and demand in Korea. The purpose of this study is to improve the seasonal predictability of the agro-climatic indices over the United States by using regional-scale daily temperature. For long-term numerical weather prediction, a dynamical downscaling is performed using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, a regional climate model. As the initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF, the global hourly prediction data obtained from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM) are used. The integration of WRF is performed for 22 years (2000-2021) for period from June to December of each year. The empirical quantile mapping, one of the bias correction methods, is applied to the timeseries of downscaled daily mean, minimum, and maximum temperature to correct the model biases. The uncorrected and corrected datasets are referred WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively in this study. The daily minimum (maximum) temperature obtained from WRF_UC presents warm (cold) biases over most of the United States, which can be attributed to the underestimated the low (high) temperature range. The results show that WRF_C simulates closer to the observed temperature than WRF_UC, which lead to improve the long- term predictability of the temperature- based agro-climatic indices.

Emergy Evaluation of Typhoon Maemi in Busan (태풍 매미가 부산시에 미치는 영향에 대한 에머지 평가)

  • Park, KyungMin;Kim, Dong-Myung;Lee, Suk Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2017
  • Damage of both life and property has been increased by natural disaster under the influence of climate change, thus many natural disaster vulnerability researches have been carried out to make adaptation policy and impact assessment of climate change recently. Their method for assessing vulnerability usually have used proxy variables for making vulnerability indices. However, because their results were too qualitative and relative it tends to be hard to make absolute comparison and establish standard of prevention or adaptation ability. Accordingly, this study aimed at quantifying natural disaster vulnerability using emergy through recognizing disaster as the relations between order and disorder by system approach. As a result, ordering energy (4.66E+22 sej/yr) and ordered structure (1.98E+22 sej) of Busan in 2003 and disordering energy (7.80E+18 sej), disordered parts (4.55E+20 sej) and rebuilding energy (3.87E+20 sej) by typhoon Maemi were analysed. And then, this was compared with Hurricane Andrew in Dade County. Through this comparison, if the prevention ability of Busan increases, disordered parts can be reduced against the more powerful disordering energy. Also, prevention for additional damages by disaster is needed to practical rebuilding action. In conclusion, it was able to figure out the impact of disaster quantitatively by natural systems and urban systems showing as common measure. Based on this study and further research to make effective prevention for how much prevention ability should be increased will contribute to producing the scientific data for disaster management policy in future.

Estimation on Greenhouse Gases(GHGs) Emission of Large Forest Fire Area in 2013 (RapidEye 영상을 활용한 대형산불피해지의 온실가스 배출량 추정)

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Kim, You-Seung;Kim, Kyong-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.54-67
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    • 2014
  • This study was performed to estimate Greenhouse gases(GHGs) emissions from biomass burning at large forest fire(Ulju, Pohang and Bonghwa) in 2013. The extended methodology to estimate GHGs adopted the IPCC(Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change) Guidelines(2006) equation. For classifying fire damaged area and analyzing burn severity of total three large-fire area damaged, this study used post-fire imagery from Rapideye imagery to compute the Maximum Likelihood Classifiction (MLC). The result of accuracy assessment on burn severity from imagery showed that average overall accuracy was 75.93% and Kapp coefficient was 0.67 Finally, GHGs emissions from biomass burning in the three large-fire area 2013 were estimated as follows: Ulju $CO_2$ 63,260, CO 5.207, $CH_4$ 360, $N_2O$ 28.0 and $NO_x$ $4.4g/kg^{-1}{\cdot}ha^{-1}$, Pohang $CO_2$ 28,675, CO 2.359, $CH_4$ 163, $N_2O$ 12.7 and $NO_x$ $1.9g/kg^{-1}{\cdot}ha^{-1}$ and Bonghwa $CO_2$ 53,086, CO 1,655, $CH_4$ 114, $N_2O$ 23.5 and $NO_x$ $3.6g/kg^{-1}{\cdot}ha^{-1}$.

Applications and Perspectives of Fluvial Biogeomorphology in the Stream Management of South Korea (우리나라 하천 관리에서 생물지형학의 적용과 전망)

  • Kim, Daehyun;Kim, Won;Kim, Eunsuk;Ock, Giyoung;Jang, Chang-Lae;Choi, Mikyoung;Cho, Kang-Hyun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • In fluvial and riparian ecosystems, biogeomorphological research has considered the complex, multi-way relationships between biological and hydro-geomorphological components over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. In this review, we discussed the scope and processes of fluvial biogeomorphology by explaining (1) the multi-lateral interactions between organisms and hydrogeomorphic conditions, (2) the relationships between biodiversity and habitat heterogeneity, and (3) the effects of disturbance on ecosystem patterns. Over time, an organism-landform complex along streams transitions in the sequences of geomorphic, pioneer, biogeomorphic, and ecological stages. Over space, water flow and sediment distributions interact with vegetation to modify channel topography. It is the habitat heterogeneity in streams that enhances riparian biodiversity. However, in the areas downstream of a dam, habitat types and conditions are substantially damaged and biodiversity should be reduced. In South Korea, riparian vegetation flourishes in general and, in particular, invasive species actively colonize in accordance with the changes in the fluvial conditions driven by local disturbances and global climate change. Therefore, the importance of understanding reciprocal relationships between living organisms and hydrogeomorphic conditions will ever increase in this era of rapid climate change and anthropogenic pressure. The fluvial biogeomorphic framework reviewed in this article will contribute to the ecological management and restoration of streams in Korea.