• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.421-427
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• 2008

This paper deals with the problem of testing for the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point when the data are from the exponential distributions. The likelihood ratio test statistic and Gombay and Horvath (1990) test statistic are compared in a power study when there exists one change-point in the exponential means. Also the change-point estimator using the likelihood ratio and the change-point estimators based on Gombay and Horvath (1990) statistic are compared for their detecting capability via simulation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.511-518
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• 2009

We consider the problem of testing for change and estimating the unknown change-point in a sequence of time-ordered observations from the binomial and Poisson distributions. Including the likelihood ratio test, Gombay and Horvath (1990) tests are studied and the proposed change-point estimator is derived from their test statistic. A power study of tests and a comparison study of change-point estimators are done via simulation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.443-457
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• 2007

This paper deals with the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point using nonparametric bootstrap technique. A test statistic using Gombay and Horvath (1990)'s functional form is applied to derive a test statistic and nonparametric change-point estimator with bootstrapping idea. Achieved significance level of the test is calculated for the proposed test to show the evidence against the null hypothesis. MSE and percentiles of the bootstrap change-point estimators are given to show the distribution of the proposed estimator in simulation.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.467-478
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• 1999

This paper deals with the problem of change-point estimation where there is one level change in location with iid errors. A change-point estimator using rank average is proposed with the proof of its consistency. A comparison study of various change-point estimators is done by simulation on the mean the proportion and the variance when the errors are from the normal and the double exponential distributions.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.261-269
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• 2015

Nowadays the application of change point analysis has been indispensable in a wide range of areas such as quality control, finance, environmetrics, medicine, geographics, and engineering. Identification of times where process changes would help minimize the consequences that might happen afterwards. The main objective of this paper is to compare the change-point detection capabilities of Bayesian estimate and maximum likelihood estimate. We applied Bayesian and maximum likelihood techniques to formulate change points having a step change and multiple number of change points in a Poisson rate. After a signal from c-chart and Poisson cumulative sum control charts have been detected, Monte Carlo simulation has been applied to investigate the performance of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation. Change point detection capacities of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation techniques have been investigated through simulation. It has been found that the Bayesian estimates outperforms standard control charts well specially when there exists a small to medium size of step change. Moreover, it performs convincingly well in comparison with the maximum like-lihood estimator and remains good choice specially in confidence interval statistical inference.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.561-572
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• 2019

본 연구는 다층적 다중변화점 추정법으로 FDRSeg 기법과 SMUCE 기법의 이론적 특성을 파악하고 모의실험을 통해 경험적 특성을 비교하고자한다. FDRSeg (False discovery rate segmentation)기법은 FDR 기반 조절을 하여 변화점을 추정하고 SMUCE (simultaneous multiscale change-point estimator) 기법은 국소우도함수 기반 다중 검정으로 변화점을 추정한다. 변화점의 개수가 작을경우에는 두 기법에 의한 추정능력이 비슷하다. 변화점 개수가 많을수록 FDRSeg 의 추정이 변화점 개수와 추정측도 면에서 더 좋은 편이다. 실제 데이터 분석으로 검층 주상도 데이터에 대해 각 기법으로 다중변화점 추정을 하고 비교한다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.439-454
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• 2013

This study presents a Bayesian multiple change-point detection approach to segment and classify the observations that no longer come from an initial population after a certain time. Inferences are based on the multiple change-points in a sequence of random variables where the probability distribution changes. Bayesian multiple change-point estimation is classifies each observation into a segment. We use a truncated Poisson distribution for the number of change-points and conjugate prior for the exponential family distributions. The Bayesian method can lead the unsupervised classification of discrete, continuous variables and multivariate vectors based on latent class models; therefore, the solution for change-points corresponds to the stochastic partitions of observed data. We demonstrate segmentation with real data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.75-86
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• 2002

We consider the problem of estimating the change-point in mean change model with one change-point. Gombay and Huskova(1998) derived a class of change-point estimators with the score function of rank. A change-point estimator with the log score function of rank is suggested and is shown to be involved in the class of Gombay and Huskova(1988). The simulation results show that the proposed estimator has smaller rose, larger proportion of matching the true change-point than the other estimators considered in the experiment when the change-point occurs in the middle of the sample.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.687-695
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• 2009

The Bayesian multiple change-point estimation has been applied to the daily means of ozone and PM10 data in Seoul for the period 1999. We focus on the detection of multiple change-points in the ozone and PM10 bivariate vectors by evaluating the posterior probabilities and Bayesian information criterion(BIC) using the stochastic approximation Monte Carlo(SAMC) algorithm. The result gives 5 change-points of mean vectors of ozone and PM10, which are related with the seasonal characteristics.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.641-649
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• 2001

A procedure of detecting change-points is considered with split linear fitting idea from Hall and Titterington(1992). At each given point, left, central and right linear fits are compared to detect the discontinuities or change-points. A simulation study is done with various types of change models and shows that the suggested technique can be a flexible data-analytic tool.