• Title/Summary/Keyword: causal loop

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An Improvement of Coherence and Validity between CLD and SFD of System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스의 CLD와 SFD의 일관성 및 타당성 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jae Un;Kim, Hyun Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2014
  • System Dynamics(SD) is one of the complexity theories that has attracted attention as a computer-aided simulation methodology to analyze a dynamic problem and to develop a policy(strategy) in social science. Though there are properly unproven cases in research models which were developed in various fields by SD methodology during the last five decades, they are utilized as models to represent SD sub-theories. For this reason, this study targeted the population dynamics model which was frequently utilized to explain SD fundamentals and it proved errors of reasoning a structure of the existing causal and dominant feedback loop. Consequently, we presented a strategy to strengthen the coherence between CLD(causal loop diagram) and SFD(stocks-and-flows diagram) for improving validity of the existing model. The findings of this study contribute to the advancement of the existing SD and to the reinforcement of validation for policy research models of SD.

최저가 낙찰제의 확대시행이 건설산업과 공공부문에 미치는 영향성 분석 Causal Loop Diagram 이용

  • Park, Kwang-Kuk;Kim, Tae-Min;Kim, Chang-Duk;Yu, Jung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2007
  • In the construction industry government is not only an owner but also a consumer. Accordingly it should develop the construction industry and this role is important. Among them, the law of the ordering method is standards of selecting a successful bidder and have powerful influence over the construction industry and owners. Therefore this study said how the lowest bid method, which has taken effect still more, has influence on the construction industry and the public sector with the Causal Loop Diagram. According to analyzing this construction law, we can grasp the point of the strength and weakness of this law also examine a trend of how the present law is changed. While we studied, we tried to adhere to neutrality and form a new opinion about it because the previous studies were opposed to each other. As a result, to improve the relation between the government and private company, which were opposed to each other about arguments for and against the lowest bid method, this study suggest the method of making better the relation. The final goal of it is researching the inefficient factors and improving the weakness of this law.

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Causal Loop Diagramming of Location Conflict on LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) Facilities and Policy Alternatives (비선호시설 입지갈등에 대한 인과지도 작성과 정책 대안)

  • Lee, Joong-Hoon;Kwon, Hyuk-Il;Kim, Yeon-Sik;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.151-171
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    • 2007
  • Without exception, diverse LULU(Locally Unwanted Land Use) facilities have been under the location conflict, especially between the public government units and local residents. In spite of repeated trials-and-errors, literally, the location conflict has shown no sign of improvement over time in Korea. As practical means to tackle these issues, this study focuses on divulging explicit and implicit relationships among key factors derived from the location conflict on the LULU facilities. Here, major research variables cover residents' agreement, residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion. As the location conflict on the LULU facilities could be strengthened or resolved by the dynamic feedback system, it applies basic tools geared toward causal loop diagramming. After repeated experiments, the study highlights the fact that the residents' perception, compensation expectation, and public opinion, individually and collectively, exert significant impact on the residents' agreement ratio.

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A Study on Dynamic of Korea Defense Industry Using the System Dynamics Model (시스템다이내믹스 모형을 이용한 한국 방위산업의 동태성 연구)

  • Seo, Hyeok;Oh, Ki-Yeol
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.117-138
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    • 2005
  • The defence industry of the Republic of Korea(ROK) has grown up since 1970, however it is facing a growth hindrance due to its structural problem. Many professionals of defense industry has developed some measures to upgrade and energize the defence industry of ROK, and also the current government is implementing various transformations and new policies under the initiative of cooperative independence defence. But most of papers published so far have some limitations resulting from their qualitative contents. And also it is true for them not to show policy alternatives devised by the system thinking. This paper identifies essential factors of defense industry, then analyze the causal relation among those factors. It also shows the causal loop to identify the politic leverages, on which concrete measures to resolve the structural problems are based.

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Causal Loop Diagrams Model of IT Professionals' Happiness : Through System Dynamics Analysis Approach (IT 전문가 행복 인과관계 다이어그램 모형 : 시스템 다이내믹스 분석 접근법으로)

  • Chang, Yun Hi
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 2016
  • The following research investigates core factors required for IT professionals to achieve and remain happy on their jobs through dynamic and structural CLD and suggests personal, organizational, and government level (happiness) promoting factors. Researcher adopted the system dynamics methodology which is qualitative research techniques pursue behavior probability by using CLD. It spotlights 6 CLD: job satisfaction, organizational commitment, positive sensitivity, negative sensitivity, amicable relationship, job sustainment intention, in addition to numerous factors that affect them from an integrative perspective. It differentiates itself from one-way relationship focused qualitative research to an advanced mutual and realistic perspective exploratory research.

A Study on the Causal Loop Analysis and the Economics of BTO and BTL System of PFI (BTL과 BTO사업의 인과순환구조 분석과 경제성 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.35-62
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    • 2011
  • PFI(Private Finance Initiative) for suppling SOC and public facilities instead of Government Infrastructure Project introduced from 1994. BTO(Build-Transfer-Operate) project had been major type of PFI system from 1994 to 2005. But after changed the Law of PFI on SOC, the BTL project newly introduced. In BTO system, the Government retrieves the investment through the operating income, but in BTL system, the government lease the facilities. As the BTO and BTL projects are widely adopted and implemented to ease the fiscal burden of government, but it has caused the tremendous fiscal burden each year over the period operation. Therefore this study attempted to analyze the question, that is, why government fiscal burden tipping? Hence, this paper, compares the difference of business structure between BTO and BTL project and explore the vicious and virtuous business structure, with the method of circular causal loop analysis. As a result, it has shown that there are some positive feedback and negative feedback loops cause the tipping and easing of government fiscal burden.

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Soft SD Modeling about the characteristics of Ouroboros effects (우로보로스 효과(Ouroboros Effect)와 그 네트워크의 인과적 특성 연구)

  • Hong, Young-Kyo;Kim, Tae-Yeon;Choi, Nam-Hee;Lee, Man-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 2013
  • This article deals with a Causal-Loop analysis of the characteristics of Ouroboros effects. The meaning of the effects is that solutions to problems are usually intended as final fixes, but more often than not, while solving one problem, they generate more problems. It means 'to worsen through attempts to make better.' The Ouroboros effects are very dangerous because they are regarded as a kind of self-destructive mechanisms. While existing researchers recognize the risks of the effects, they are not able to solve the systematic problem but only to describe the symptom. Such a way to deal with the effects results in difficulty to clarify the cause-and-effect relationship within the system. Thus the authors are focusing on explaining the effects by SD (System Dynamics), which are considered as the sole methodology to do effectively so far since SD is a great tool to discover structural causes. To solve the self-destructive problem of the effects, the authors analyze the characteristics of several cases of the effects in elaborating the CLD (Causal Loop Diagram) for each case. The analysis reveals the structural characteristics of the effects and how to correct them towards maintaining the sustainability of systems.

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A Study on the Railway Control by Creation of the Causal Loop Diagram- - Centering on railroad safety management system technical standards 11.7 - (인과순환지도(CLD) 작성을 통한 철도관제업무에 관한 연구 - 철도안전관리체계 기술기준 11.7 철도관제를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jung Soo;Lee, Sang Oh
    • Journal of The Korean Society For Urban Railway
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.287-298
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    • 2018
  • This research is intended to understand and make practical suggestions on various aspects of the railroad traffic controllers focusing on railroad control of the railroad safety management system's technical standards. The method of analysis is using the causal loop diagram, which is the soft method of System Dynamics. Content of analysis is about the system. 11.7 of the work of the railroad control system. In addition, we compared and analyzed railroad controllers by four railroad operators, suggesting the importance of railroad control and future practical improvement plans.

A Study on Forecasting of Inter-Korea Air Passenger Demand Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 남북한 항공수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • JiHun Choi;Donguk Won;KyuWang Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to forecast of Air Passenger Demand between South Korea and North Korea using the system dynamics analysis methodology that is based on the system thinking. System dynamics is not only a tool that makes the systematic thought to a model but also a computer program-based analysis methodology that mathematically models the system varying according to time variation. This study analyzed the causal relationship based on the interrelation among variables and structured them by considering various variables that affect aviation cooperation from the perspective of Air passenger demand forecasting. In addition, based on the causal relationship between variables, this study also completed the causal loop diagram that forms a feedback loop, constructed the stock-flow diagram of Inter-Korean model using Vensim program. In this study, Air passenger demand was using by the simulation variable value into System Dynamics. This study was difficult to reflect the various variables constituting the North Korea environment, and there is a limit to the occurrence of events in North Korea.

The causal loop digaram for organizational and human factors in nuclear power plant (원자력 발전소의 조직 및 인적 인자 영향관계 모델개발)

  • 유재국;안남성;곽상만
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.63-84
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    • 2001
  • There are many activities to improve Nuclear Power Plant(NPP) performance and safety such as equipment improvement, redundancy and the like. Since public perception about NPP safety affects nuclear policy of site selection. Recent researches for NPP safety are including not only technical approaches but also social ones. In. this contexture, the purpose of this study is to develope cuassal loop digaram for assessment of organizational and human factors in NPP safety. Through real data from interview with NPP employees we develope causal loop diagram which can explain the relations of cause and effect among variables, and depict social system for organizational and human factors in NPP safety.

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