• Title/Summary/Keyword: baseline model

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Approximate Dynamic Programming Based Interceptor Fire Control and Effectiveness Analysis for M-To-M Engagement (근사적 동적계획을 활용한 요격통제 및 동시교전 효과분석)

  • Lee, Changseok;Kim, Ju-Hyun;Choi, Bong Wan;Kim, Kyeongtaek
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2022
  • As low altitude long-range artillery threat has been strengthened, the development of anti-artillery interception system to protect assets against its attacks will be kicked off. We view the defense of long-range artillery attacks as a typical dynamic weapon target assignment (DWTA) problem. DWTA is a sequential decision process in which decision making under future uncertain attacks affects the subsequent decision processes and its results. These are typical characteristics of Markov decision process (MDP) model. We formulate the problem as a MDP model to examine the assignment policy for the defender. The proximity of the capital of South Korea to North Korea border limits the computation time for its solution to a few second. Within the allowed time interval, it is impossible to compute the exact optimal solution. We apply approximate dynamic programming (ADP) approach to check if ADP approach solve the MDP model within processing time limit. We employ Shoot-Shoot-Look policy as a baseline strategy and compare it with ADP approach for three scenarios. Simulation results show that ADP approach provide better solution than the baseline strategy.

Evaluating the economic benefit of diverse drought mitigation strategies for Korean reservoir systems based on simulated inflow sequences (유입량 모의 기법을 활용한 국내 다목적댐 가뭄 대책의 경제적 효과 평가)

  • Ji, Sukwang;Shin, Geumchae;Lee, Seungyub;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.485-496
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    • 2023
  • Recently, South Korea has been making efforts to mitigate the risk of water scarcity during droughts by utilizing various drought response measures in dam operations. While various studies have been conducted on this topic, there is currently a lack of research on the economic effects of drought response measures. In this study, we evaluated the economic effects of drought response measures on nationwide multipurpose dams by using a long-term simulated inflow model based on ARIMA and Copula and a dam operation model that reflects drought response measures. The results showed that the expected benefits per unit flow rate were highest for coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, at KRW 1,176 and KRW 1,139, respectively, while the benefits of emergency water supply utilization and water supply adjustment were estimated at KRW 956 and KRW 875, respectively. Additionally, when we examined the changes in the economic benefits of drought response measures based on the assumption of increased drought severity in the future, the changes in the drought risk resulting from reduced inflow increased the economic benefits of all drought response measures. The economic benefits of water supply adjustment increased by 2.6% compared to the baseline, while the economic benefits of coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures increased by 11.7% compared to the baseline. This suggests that dam-network-based measures, such as coordinated operation and alternative water supply measures, are crucial as drought risk increases. This study is expected to serve as a fundamental reference for selecting and utilizing drought response measures in the future.

Estimation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Transport Sector in New Town Development (신도시 계획단계에서의 교통부문 온실가스 배출량 산정 및 감축효과 분석방법론 연구)

  • Han, Sang-Jin;Park, Kyung-Uk;Park, Su-Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.45-69
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    • 2013
  • This study estimates baseline greenhouse gas emissions from transport sector when a new town is developed. It has adopted a general greenhouse gas estimation model developed by Schipper, celine, Roger(2000) for the estimation, and showed how various transport related statistics can be utilized in detail. Particularly, it has produced unit greenhouse gas emission factor per vehicle types, vehicle-km, and trip-km. To evaluate effects of greenhouse gas reduction policies, it has calculated how much emissions will be reduced from bicycle promotion. It has turned out that about 369 thousand tons of carbon dioxide will be emitted from transport sector once the 1st Geomdan New Town is developed in Incheon metropolitan city. If the policy of bicycle promotion can attract people to use bicycle as much as 5% of total trips, then it can reduce about 1,869 tons of carbon dioxide.

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MULTI-PHYSICAL SIMULATION FOR THE DESIGN OF AN ELECTRIC RESISTOJET GAS THRUSTER IN THE NEXTSAT-1 (차세대 인공위성 전기저항제트 가스추력기의 다물리 수치모사)

  • Chang, S.M.;Choi, J.C.;Han, C.Y.;Shin, G.H.
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2016
  • NEXTSat-1 is the next-generation small-size artificial satellite system planed by the Satellite Technology Research Center(SatTReC) in Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology(KAIST). For the control of attitude and transition of the orbit, the system has adopted a RHM(Resisto-jet Head Module), which has a very simple geometry with a reasonable efficiency. An axisymmetric model is devised with two coil-resistance heaters using xenon(Xe) gas, and the minimum required specific impulse is 60 seconds under the thrust more than 30 milli-Newton. To design the module, seven basic parameters should be decided: the nozzle shape, the power distribution of heater, the pressure drop of filter, the diameter of nozzle throat, the slant length and the angle of nozzle, and the size of reservoir, etc. After quasi one-dimensional analysis, a theoretical value of specific impulse is calculated, and the optima of parameters are found out from the baseline with a series of multi-physical numerical simulations based on the compressible Navier-Stokes equations for gas and the heat conduction energy equation for solid. A commercial code, COMSOL Multiphysics is used for the computation with a FEM (finite element method) based numerical scheme. The final values of design parameters indicate 5.8% better performance than those of baseline design after the verification with all the tuned parameters. The present method should be effective to reduce the time cost of trial and error in the development of RHM, the thruster of NEXTSat-1.

Effect of Repeated Public Releases on Cesarean Section Rates

  • Jang, Won-Mo;Eun, Sang-Jun;Lee, Chae-Eun;Kim, Yoon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.2-8
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: Public release of and feedback (here after public release) on institutional (clinics and hospitals) cesarean section rates has had the effect of reducing cesarean section rates. However, compared to the isolated intervention, there was scant evidence of the effect of repeated public releases (RPR) on cesarean section rates. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the effect of RPR for reducing cesarean section rates. Methods: From January 2003 to July 2007, the nationwide monthly institutional cesarean section rates data (1 951 303 deliveries at 1194 institutions) were analyzed. We used autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time-series intervention models to assess the effect of the RPR on cesarean section rates and ordinal logistic regression model to determine the characteristics of the change in cesarean section rates. Results: Among four RPR, we found that only the first one (August 29, 2005) decreased the cesarean section rate (by 0.81 percent) and continued to have an impact period through the last observation in May 2007. Baseline cesarean section rates (OR, 4.7; 95% CI, 3.1 to 7.1) and annual number of deliveries (OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.6 to 4.7) of institutions in the upper third of each category at before first intervention had a significant contribution to the decrease of cesarean section rates. Conclusions: We could not found the evidence that RPR has had the significant effect of reducing cesarean section rates. Institutions with upper baseline cesarean section rates and annual number of deliveries were more responsive to RPR.

Analyzing Consumptive Use of Water and Yields of Paddy Rice by Climate Change (기후변화 시나리오에 따른 미래 논벼의 소비수량 및 생산량 변화 분석)

  • Lee, Tae-Seok;Choi, Jin-Yong;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Oh, Yun-Gyeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2012
  • Agriculture is dependable to weather condition and its change so that it is necessary to understand the impacts of climatic change. The aim of this study is to analyze the change of consumptive use of water and rice yield due to climate change using CERES-Rice. In this study, the weather data of three emission scenario of A1B, A2 and B1 created from CGCM (Coupled General Circulation Model) were used from 2011 to 2100, and downscaled daily weather data were simulated using LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator). The input data for cultivated condition for simulating CERSE (Crop-Environment Resource Synthesis)-Rice were created referring to standard cultivation method of paddy rice in Korea. The results showed that consumptive uses of water for paddy rice were projected decreasing to 4.8 % (2025s), 9.1 % (2055s), 12.6 % (2085s) comparing to the baseline value of 403.5 mm in A2 scenario. The rice yield of baseline was 450.7 kg/10a and projected increasing to -0.4 % (2025s), 3.9 % (2055s), 17.5 % (2085s) in A1B scenario. The results demonstrated relationships between consumptive use of water and rice yields due to climate change and can be used for the agricultural water resources development planning and cultivation method of paddy rice for the future.

The Future Requirements and Supply of Opticians in Korea (우리나라 안경사 인력의 수급전망과 정책방향)

  • Oh, Youngho
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.398-404
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: Concerns had been voiced about an oversupply of optometrists in Korea. So, this study aimed to forecast the supply and demand for opticians for policy implications. Methods: Baseline Projection model combined with demographic method was adopted as the supply forecasting method and so was a ratio method using the number of physician and population using weight of healthcare utilization. Results: Under the 'physician to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 83~700 opticians in 2010 and an undersupply of 15 to surplus of 6,118 opticians in 2025. Under the 'population to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 1,055 opticians in 2010 and surplus of 9,376 opticians in 2025. Conclusions: We concluded that there would be oversupply for opticians until 2025, although the shortage and surplus of opticians might depend on the ratio's criteria. Hence, policies would need to be developed that could solve the imbalance in requirements and supply for opticians.

(Efficient Fault Diagnosis of Stuck-at-Faults in Multistage Interconnection Networks) (다단계 상호연결망의 고착고장에 대한 효율적인 고장진단 기법)

  • Kim, Yeong-Jae;Jo, Gwang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2002
  • This paper is concerned with the fault diagnosis for stuck-at faults of a multistage interconnection network(MIM) which is a kind of interconnection networks in multicomputer systems. Up to the present, a fault diagnosis scheme has dealt with a fault model of all types, which results in complicated algorithms. In the literature, it is shown that a number of steps and computation are required for the fault detection and isolation algorithms for a class of MINs. In this paper, we propose a simple and easily implementable algorithm for the detection and isolation of the stuck-at fault in MIM. specifically, we develope an at algorithm for the isolation of the source fault in switching elements whenever tile stuck-at fault is detected in MINs. After all, the proposed algorithm is illustrated by an example of 16$\times$16 baseline networks of MINs.

A Tree Regularized Classifier-Exploiting Hierarchical Structure Information in Feature Vector for Human Action Recognition

  • Luo, Huiwu;Zhao, Fei;Chen, Shangfeng;Lu, Huanzhang
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.1614-1632
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    • 2017
  • Bag of visual words is a popular model in human action recognition, but usually suffers from loss of spatial and temporal configuration information of local features, and large quantization error in its feature coding procedure. In this paper, to overcome the two deficiencies, we combine sparse coding with spatio-temporal pyramid for human action recognition, and regard this method as the baseline. More importantly, which is also the focus of this paper, we find that there is a hierarchical structure in feature vector constructed by the baseline method. To exploit the hierarchical structure information for better recognition accuracy, we propose a tree regularized classifier to convey the hierarchical structure information. The main contributions of this paper can be summarized as: first, we introduce a tree regularized classifier to encode the hierarchical structure information in feature vector for human action recognition. Second, we present an optimization algorithm to learn the parameters of the proposed classifier. Third, the performance of the proposed classifier is evaluated on YouTube, Hollywood2, and UCF50 datasets, the experimental results show that the proposed tree regularized classifier obtains better performance than SVM and other popular classifiers, and achieves promising results on the three datasets.

The Study on the Design and Optimization of Storage for the Recording of High Speed Astronomical Data (초고속 관측 데이터 수신 및 저장을 위한 기록 시스템 설계 및 성능 최적화 연구)

  • Song, Min-Gyu;Kang, Yong-Woo;Kim, Hyo-Ryoung
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2017
  • It becomes more and more more important for the storage that supports high speed recording and stable access from network environment. As one field of basic science which produces massive astronomical data, VLBI(: Very Long Baseline Interferometer) is now demanding more data writing performance and which is directly related to astronomical observation with high resolution and sensitivity. But most of existing storage are cloud model based for the high throughput of general IT, finance, and administrative service, and therefore it not the best choice for recording of big stream data. Therefore, in this study, we design storage system optimized for high performance of I/O and concurrency. To solve this problem, we implement packet read and writing module through the use of libpcap and pf_ring API on the multi core CPU environment, and build a scalable storage based on software RAID(: Redundant Array of Inexpensive Disks) for the efficient process of incoming data from external network.