• 제목/요약/키워드: atmospheric modeling (WRF)

검색결과 34건 처리시간 0.035초

광양만 권역의 영역 설정에 따른 입자확산 및 대기질 수치모의 비교 (Numerical Simulation and Comparison of Particle Dispersion and Air Quality with Domain Setting of Gwangyang Bay Area)

  • 이현미;이화운;이순환
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.591-605
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    • 2010
  • Recirculation of airmass in coastal region occurs because of the change from land to sea breeze and was shown to produce a contrary result on air quality. This study examines the numerical simulation to analyze the effect of recirculation flow in Gwangyang Bay, Korea. For this purpose two case studies are performed by the WRF-FLEXPART-CMAQ modeling system, each for a different Meso-Synoptic Index. Additionally this research make a comparative study of large domain (Domain L) and small domain (Domain S). The horizontal wind fields are simulated from WRF. Changes in the land-sea breeze have an effect on the particle dispersion modeling. The numerical simulation of air quality is carried out to investigate the recirculation of ozone. Ozone is transported to eastward under strong synoptic condition (Case_strong) because of westerly synoptic flow and this pattern can confirm in all domain. However ozone swept off by the land breeze and then transported to northward along sea breeze under conditions of clear sky and weak winds (Case_weak). In this case re-advected ozone isn't simulate in Domain S. The study found that recirculation of airmass must be concerned when numerical simulation of air quality is performed in coastal region, especially on a sunny day.

연안 분지 지역 상공에서의 대기 중 CO2 시뮬레이션 결과와 항공 관측 사례 비교 (Comparisons of Aircraft Observations and Simulation Results of Atmospheric CO2 over Coastal Basin Areas)

  • 박창현;이귀옥;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.741-750
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    • 2017
  • A model coupling a meteorological predictive model and a vegetation photosynthesis and respiration model was used to simulate $CO_2$ concentrations over coastal basin areas, and modeling results were estimated with aircraft observations during a massive sampling campaign. Along with the flight tracks, the model captured the meteorological variables of potential temperature and wind speed with mean bias results of $0.8^{\circ}C$, and 0.2 m/s, respectively. These results were statistically robust, which allowed for further estimation of the model's performance for $CO_2$ simulations. Two high-resolution emission data sets were adopted to determine $CO_2$ concentrations, and the results show that the model underestimated by 1.8 ppm and 0.9 ppm at higher altitude over the study areas during daytime and nighttime, respectively, on average. Overall, it was concluded that the model's $CO_2$ performance was fairly good at higher altitude over the study areas during the study period.

수리 모형을 이용한 Korea Land Data Assimilation System (KLDAS) 자료의 수문자료에 대한 영향력 분석 (Interactions between Soil Moisture and Weather Prediction in Rainfall-Runoff Application : Korea Land Data Assimilation System(KLDAS))

  • 정용;최민하
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2011년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2011
  • The interaction between land surface and atmosphere is essentially affected by hydrometeorological variables including soil moisture. Accurate estimation of soil moisture at spatial and temporal scales is crucial to better understand its roles to the weather systems. The KLDAS(Korea Land Data Assimilation System) is a regional, specifically Korea peninsula land surface information systems. As other prior land data assimilation systems, this can provide initial soil field information which can be used in atmospheric simulations. For this study, as an enabling high-resolution tool, weather research and forecasting(WRF-ARW) model is applied to produce precipitation data using GFS(Global Forecast System) with GFS embedded and KLDAS soil moisture information as initialization data. WRF-ARW generates precipitation data for a specific region using different parameters in physics options. The produced precipitation data will be employed for simulations of Hydrological Models such as HEC(Hydrologic Engineering Center) - HMS(Hydrologic Modeling System) as predefined input data for selected regional water responses. The purpose of this study is to show the impact of a hydrometeorological variable such as soil moisture in KLDAS on hydrological consequences in Korea peninsula. The study region, Chongmi River Basin, is located in the center of Korea Peninsular. This has 60.8Km river length and 17.01% slope. This region mostly consists of farming field however the chosen study area placed in mountainous area. The length of river basin perimeter is 185Km and the average width of river is 9.53 meter with 676 meter highest elevation in this region. We have four different observation locations : Sulsung, Taepyung, Samjook, and Sangkeug observatoriesn, This watershed is selected as a tentative research location and continuously studied for getting hydrological effects from land surface information. Simulations for a real regional storm case(June 17~ June 25, 2006) are executed. WRF-ARW for this case study used WSM6 as a micro physics, Kain-Fritcsch Scheme for cumulus scheme, and YSU scheme for planetary boundary layer. The results of WRF simulations generate excellent precipitation data in terms of peak precipitation and date, and the pattern of daily precipitation for four locations. For Sankeug observatory, WRF overestimated precipitation approximately 100 mm/day on July 17, 2006. Taepyung and Samjook display that WRF produced either with KLDAS or with GFS embedded initial soil moisture data higher precipitation amounts compared to observation. Results and discussions in detail on accuracy of prediction using formerly mentioned manners are going to be presented in 2011 Annual Conference of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation.

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A new approach for modeling pulse height spectra of gamma-ray detectors from passing radioactive cloud in a case of NPP accident

  • R.I. Bakin;A.A. Kiselev;E.A. Ilichev;A.M. Shvedov
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권12호
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    • pp.4715-4721
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    • 2022
  • A comprehensive approach for modeling the pulse height spectra of gamma-ray detectors from passing radioactive cloud in a case of accident at NPP has been developed. It involves modeling the transport of radionuclides in the atmosphere using Lagrangian stochastic model, WRF meteorological processor with an ARW core and GFS data to obtain spatial distribution of radionuclides in the air at a given moment of time. Applying representation of the cloud as superposition of elementary sources of gamma radiation the pulse height spectra are calculated based on data on flux density from point isotropic sources and detector response function. The proposed approach allows us to obtain time-dependent spectra for any complex radionuclide composition of the release. The results of modeling the pulse height spectra of the scintillator detector NaI(Tl) Ø63×63 mm for a hypothetical severe accident at a NPP are presented.

PM2.5 예보를 위한 모델 성능평가와 편차보정 효과 분석 (Model Performance Evaluation and Bias Correction Effect Analysis for Forecasting PM2.5 Concentrations)

  • 김영성;최용주;김순태;배창한;박진수;신혜정
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2017
  • The performance of a modeling system consisting of WRF model v3.3 and CMAQ model v4.7.1 for forecasting $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations were evaluated during the period May 2012 through December 2014. Twenty-four hour averages of $PM_{2.5}$ and its major components obtained through filter sampling at the Bulgwang intensive measurement station were used for comparison. The mean predicted $PM_{2.5}$ concentration over the entire period was 68% of the mean measured value. Predicted concentrations for major components were underestimated except for $NO_3{^-}$. The model performance for $PM_{2.5}$ generally tended to degrade with increasing the concentration level. However, the mean fractional bias (MFB) for high concentration above the $80^{th}$ percentile fell within the criteria, the level of accuracy acceptable for standard model applications. Among three bias correction methods, the ratio adjustment was generally most effective in improving the performance. Albeit for limited test conditions, this analysis demonstrated that the effects of bias correction were larger when using the data with a larger bias of predicted values from measurement values.

2014년 특별관측 기간 동안 청미천 농경지에서의 WRF/Noah-MP 고해상도 수치모의 (High-Resolution Numerical Simulations with WRF/Noah-MP in Cheongmicheon Farmland in Korea During the 2014 Special Observation Period)

  • 송지애;이승재;강민석;문민규;이정훈;김준
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.384-398
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 청미천 농경지를 중심으로 고해상도 지형 및 토지피복 자료 기반의 WRF/Noah-MP 결합시스템을 구축하고 수치모의 한 결과를 2014년 8월 21일부터 9월 10일까지의 청미천 하계 특별관측 자료와 비교하여, 농경지에서의 지면 및 대기모의 성능을 평가하였다. 지면 및 대기 변수의 단기 및 중기모의에 있어서 Noah-MP의 동적 식생 가동이 얼마나 유용한지를 살펴보기 위하여, 동적 식생을 포함하지 않은 실험(CTL)과 포함한 실험(DVG)을 관측기간에 대해 양방향 6중 둥지격자 시스템으로 수행하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 크게 세 가지로서 다음과 같다. 1) CTL 실험은 낮 동안의 순단파 복사 에너지를 과대 모의 함에 따라 현열 및 잠열 플럭스와 보웬비도 관측에 비해 과대 모의하는 경향을 보였다. CTL 실험의 기온은 관측을 대체로 잘 따라갔으나 일출 후 기온의 상승 속도가 관측에 비해 빠른 모습을 보였다. 최저 기온 및 최고 기온의 시점은 잘 모의하였는데, 특히 일 최저기온의 모의는 관측과 $0.3^{\circ}C$ 오차 이내의 성능을 보여, 동해 및 병해충과 연관된 엽면수분 지속시간 예측에 고무적인 결과로 평가되었다. CTL 실험의 10m 바람은 동서 및 남북 풍속 모두 대체로 과대 모의하는 경향을 보였고, 강수 또한 과대 모의하는 경향을 보였으나 강수의 시작 종료시점은 대체로 잘 포착하였다. 2) Noah-MP의 동적 식생을 구동시킨 DVG 실험은 CTL 실험에 비해 엽면적지수, 단파 복사, 지표면 플럭스, 보웬비, 기온, 바람, 강수의 모의를 전반적으로 관측에 더 가깝게 생산하는 것으로 나타났다. 강수, 온도, 복사, 가용 영양소 등의 변동에 대응하여 엽면적지수를 예단하는 DVG 실험은 CTL 실험보다 더 큰 엽면적지수를 생산했으며, 이는 실측에 더 가까운 결과였다. DVG 실험에서도 일출 후 기온 상승률은 관측에 비해 높았는데, 이는 CTL와 DVG 실험 모두에서 공통으로 사용한 YSU 경계층 방안이 갖는 혼합층의 조기 성장 특성과 관련이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. CTL 실험이 보인 바람과 강수의 과대모의 경향도 DVG 실험에서는 어느 정도 완화되는 개선점을 보였다. 3) 수평 해상도의 증가에 따른 청미천 농경지의 수치모의 성능 향상은 지표면 플럭스, 기온, 바람 강수 모두에서 미비하거나 거의 없는 것으로 나타났으며, 보다 정확한 평가를 위해서는 농경지 상의 여러 지점에서 입체적인 관측이 이뤄져야 하고, 모형에 사용되는 지형 및 토지피복 자료의 도메인 간 일관성이 확보되어야 할 것이다.

Atmospheric Dispersion Characteristics of Radioactive Materials according to the Local Weather and Emission Conditions

  • An, Hye Yeon;Kang, Yoon-Hee;Song, Sang-Keun;Kim, Yoo-Keun
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2016
  • Background: This study evaluated the atmospheric dispersion of radioactive material according to local weather conditions and emission conditions. Materials and Methods: Local weather conditions were defined as 8 patterns that frequently occur around the Kori Nuclear Power Plant and emission conditions were defined as 6 patterns from a combination of emission rates and the total number of particles of the $^{137}Cs$, using the WRF/HYSPLIT modeling system. Results and Discussion: The highest mean concentration of $^{137}Cs$ occurred at 0900 LST under the ME4_1 (main wind direction: SSW, daily average wind speed: $2.8ms^{-1}$), with a wide region of its high concentration due to the continuous wind changes between 0000 and 0900 LST; under the ME3 (NE, $4.1ms^{-1}$), the highest mean concentration of $^{137}Cs$ occurred at 1500 and 2100 LST with a narrow dispersion along a strong northeasterly wind. In the case of ME4_4 (S, $2.7ms^{-1}$), the highest mean concentration of $^{137}Cs$ occurred at 0300 LST because $^{137}Cs$ stayed around the KNPP under low wind speed and low boundary layer height. As for the emission conditions, EM1_3 and EM2_3 that had the maximum total number of particles showed the widest dispersion of $^{137}Cs$, while its highest mean concentration was estimated under the EM1_1 considering the relatively narrow dispersion and high emission rate. Conclusion: This study showed that even though an area may be located within the same radius around the Kori Nuclear Power Plant, the distribution and levels of $^{137}Cs$ concentration vary according to the change in time and space of weather conditions (the altitude of the atmospheric boundary layer, the horizontal and vertical distribution of the local winds, and the precipitation levels), the topography of the regions where $^{137}Cs$ is dispersed, the emission rate of $^{137}Cs$, and the number of emitted particles.

WRF-CMAQ 모델링 시스템을 활용한 PM2.5 농도변동 원인 분석: 2016년과 2017년의 가을철을 중심으로 (Analysis of the Changesin PM2.5 Concentrations using WRF-CMAQ Modeling System: Focusing on the Fall in 2016 and 2017)

  • 남기표;임용재;박지훈;김덕래;이재범;김상민;정동희;최기철;박현주;이한솔;장임석;김정수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.215-231
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 지상 기상 및 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도, GOCI 위성의 AOD 등 다양한 관측 자료와 WRF-CMAQ 모델링을 통해 2016년과 2017년의 우리나라 가을철 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도변화 원인을 분석하였다. 지상에서 관측된 2017년 전국 평균 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도는 2016년에 비해 약 12.3% ($3.0{\mu}g/m^3$) 감소한 것으로 나타났다. 두 해간 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도 차이는 10월과 11월의 두 사례(사례1: 10월 11일~10월 20일, 사례2: 11월 15일~19일) 기간에 주로 발생하였으며, 2017년의 기상조건이 2016년에 비하여 국외로부터 대기오염물질의 장거리 수송이 어렵고, 국내의 대기환기 효과를 증가시키는 방향으로 변화한 것이 주요한 원인으로 분석되었다. WRF-CMAQ 모델링 시스템을 이용하여 기상조건 변화가 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도에 미치는 정량적인 영향을 평가한 결과, $PM_{2.5}$ 모의농도는 2016년 대비 2017년의 사례1 기간에는 64.0% ($23.1{\mu}g/m^3$) 감소, 사례2 기간에는 35.7% ($12.2{\mu}g/m^3$) 감소한 것으로 나타나, 관측 농도 기반 감소율인 53.6% (사례1)와 47.8% (사례2)에 상응하는 감소율을 보였다. 따라서 기상조건 변화가 우리나라 가을철 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도 변화에 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 기상조건 변화로 인한 우리나라 $PM_{2.5}$ 농도 감소에 미친 국내외 기여율은 사례1 기간에 국외로부터의 장거리 수송영향이 52.8% 그리고 대기환기 효과에 따른 국내영향이 47.2% 로 국내외 영향이 유사하게 나타나지만, 사례2 기간에는 국외영향이 66.4% 그리고 국내영향이 33.6%로서 국외영향의 감소효과가 더 크게 나타났다.

충남지역 대형 점오염원이 주변지역 초미세먼지 농도에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Emissions from Major Point Sources in Chungcheongnam-do on Surface Fine Particulate Matter Concentration in the Surrounding Area)

  • 김순태;김옥길;김병욱;김현철
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.159-173
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    • 2017
  • The Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) - Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) system was applied to investigate the influence of major point sources located in Chungcheongnam-do (CN) on surface $PM_{2.5}$ (Particulate Matter of which diameter is $2.5{\mu}m$ or less) concentrations in its surrounding areas. Uncertainties associated with contribution estimations were examined through cross-comparison of modeling results using various combinations of model inputs and setups; two meteorological datasets developed with WRF for 2010 and 2014, and two domestic emission inventories for 2010 and 2013 were used to estimate contributions of major point sources in CN. The results show that contributions of major point sources in CN to annual $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations over Seoul, Incheon, Gyeonggi, and CN ranged $0.51{\sim}1.63{\mu}g/m^3$, $0.71{\sim}1.62{\mu}g/m^3$, $0.63{\sim}1.66{\mu}g/m^3$, and $1.04{\sim}1.86{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively, depending on meteorology and emission inventory choice. It indicates that the contributions over the surrounding areas can be affected by model inputs significantly. Nitrate was the most dominant $PM_{2.5}$ component that was increased by major point sources in CN followed by sulfate, ammonium, and others. Based on the model simulations, it was estimated that primary $PM_{2.5}$ $(PPM)-to-PM_{2.5}$ conversion rates were 41.3~50.7 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 12.4~18.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi, respectively. In addition, spatial gradients of PPM contributions show very steep trends. $NO_X$-to-nitrate conversion rates were 7.61~12.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 3.94~11.3 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for the sub-regions in the SMA. $SO_2$-to-sulfate conversion rates were 4.04~5.28 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for CN, and 3.73~4.43 ($10^{-6}{\mu}g/m^3/TPY$) for the SMA, respectively.

효율적인 대기정책 마련을 위한 대기질 모델 활용방안 고찰: 노후 석탄화력발전소 가동중지에 따른 충남지역 PM2.5 저감효과 분석을 중심으로 (A Study on the Utilization of Air Quality Model to Establish Efficient Air Policies: Focusing on the Improvement Effect of PM2.5 in Chungcheongnam-do due to Coal-fired Power Plants Shutdown)

  • 남기표;이대균;이재범;최기철;장임석;최광호
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 2018
  • In order to develop effective emission abatement strategies for coal-fired power plants, we analyzed the shutdown effects of coal-fired power plants on $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June by employing air quality model for the period from 2013 to 2016. WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) and CMAQ(Community Multiscale Air Quality) models were used to quantify the impact of emission reductions on the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations in June over Chungcheongnam-do area in Korea. The resultant shutdown effects showed that the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June decreased by 1.2% in Chungcheongnam-do area and decreased by 2.3% in the area where the surface air pollution measuring stations were located. As a result of this study, it was confirmed that it is possible to analyze policy effects considering the change of meteorology and emission and it is possible to quantitatively estimate the influence at the maximum impact region by utilizing the air quality model. The results of this study are expected to be useful as a basic data for analyzing the effect of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration change according to future emission changes.