• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1499-1504
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• 2008

This study shows risk-based evaluation results of casualty accidents for passengers, railway staffs and MOP(Member of public) on the national railway in South Korea. To evaluate risk of these accidents, the hazardous events and the hazardous factors were identified by the review of the accident history and engineering interpretation of the accident behavior. A probability evaluation model for each hazardous event which was based on the accident appearance scenario was developed by using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) technique. The probability for each hazardous event was evaluated from the historical data and structured expert judgment. In addition, the severity assessment model utilized by the Event Tree Analysis (ETA) technique was composed of the accident progress scenarios. And the severity for the hazardous events was estimated using fatalities and weighted injuries. The risk assessment model developed can be effectively utilized in defining the risk reduction measures in connection with the option analysis.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.97-111
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• 2007

In risk assessment, there are several methods such as Safety Review, Checklist, FMEA(Failure Mode and Effect Analysis), FTA(Fault Tree Analysis), ETA (Event Tree Analysis) etc, however, the level of accident is indentified by the probability of accident and severity resulting from accident which used widely in assessing accidents and disasters. In this paper, the risk assessment method to decide the level of risk will be introduced by using severity, frequency and detection according to accident theory.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.79-87
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• 2009

The objective of this study is to develop accident scenario models for the risk assessment of railway casualty accidents. To develop these scenario models, hazardous events and hazardous factors were identified by gathering various accident reports and information. Then, the accident scenario models were built up. Each accident scenario model consists of an occurrence scenario model and a progress scenario model. The occurrence scenario refers to the occurrence process of the event before the hazardous event. The progress scenario means the progress process of the event after the hazardous event. To manage a large amount of accident/incident data and scenarios, a railway accident analysis information system was developed using railway accident scenario models. To test the feasibility of the developed scenario models, more than 800 domestic railway casualty accidents that occurred in 2004 and 2005 were investigated and quantitative and qualitative analyses were performed using the developed information system.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제40권6호
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• pp.391-400
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• 2016

최근 우리나라 연근해에서 발생한 몇 건의 대형 해양사고에서, 신속하고 체계적인 초기대응이 사고 전개양상과 사고결과에 얼마나 큰 영향을 미치는지를 확인하였다. 또한, 이를 통해 다양한 해양사고 상황에 대한 정확한 정보와 전개될 수 있는 시나리오, 적용 가능한 사고대응 방법들에 대한 정보를 신속하게 확보하는 것이 해양사고 초기대응을 위하여 무엇보다 중요함을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 현실적인 문제를 해결하기 위한 일환으로, 본 연구에서는, '위험도기반 초기대응 지원 시스템'의 개념을 제시하고, 해양사고 이후 전개 가능한 모든 시나리오와 적용 가능한 사고대응 방법들을 식별하기 위하여 사건전개 시나리오 식별 브레인스토밍 기법을 제안하였으며, 식별된 사고대응 방법들의 적용으로 인한 피해저감 효과 등을 정량화하기 위하여 사건수목분석 (Event Tree Analysis: ETA) 기법을 활용한 사건전개수목을 제안하였다. 그리고 각각의 사고대응 방법에 대한 상세분석을 위해서는 PERT/CPM의 사용을 제안하였다. 또한, 상기 제시한 위험도기반 초기대응 지원시스템의 구성 체계를 설명하기 위하여, 유조선 좌초사고에 대한 사고대응 작업을 예로 간략한 위험도분석 작업을 수행하였다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.17-28
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• 2009

초보운전자와 일반운전자의 교통사고 유형별 위험도를 비교분석 하기 위해 우리나라에서 2005년부터 2006년까지 2년간의 발생한 교통사고 자료를 바탕으로 초보운전자에 의한 사고와 일반운전자에 의한 사고로 구분하여 분석하였다. 이를 위해 초보운전자와 일반운전자의 구분을 신규운전면허 취득 후 경과연도가 1년 이하인 운전자를 초보운전자 그룹으로, 1년이 초과한 운전자를 일반운전자 그룹으로 구분하였다. 두 그룹간의 위험도 비교는 사고발생 빈도와 심각도를 함께 반영할 수 있는 위험도 모형을 설정하여 비교분석 하였으며, 이 때 사고건수와 사망사고 건수의 적절한 적용비율 산정을 위해 가중치를 설정했으며, 가중치는 두 그룹간의 $x^2$값이 가장 작을 때의 값으로 도출하여 적용하였다.($\omega=0.6$) 교통사고 유형별 위험도 분석결과, 사고위험도가 높은 사고유형은 측면직각 충돌사고, 횡단 중 보행자와의 사고, 주정차 중 추돌사고로 분석되었고, 일반운전자 그룹에 비해 상대적으로 초보운전자 그룹의 위험도가 높은 사고유형은 공작물 충돌사고와 측면직각 충돌사고 등으로 분석되었다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제44권5호
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• pp.453-458
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• 2012

A major issue for all nuclear stakeholders is to keep the probability of circumstances that could lead to core damage as low as possible. In addition, for NPP, appropriate accident management provisions are to be implemented to limit the consequences associated with an accident. Development and application of L2 PSA is a structured way to demonstrate that such objectives are achieved. The paper presents the efforts recently done in Europe to harmonize some best-practices in that field, from research area to risk assessment. The Fukushima Daiichi accident reiterated the importance of these activities and the need to efficiently reinforce the NPP safety based on risk assessment conclusions. New perspectives in Europe are briefly presented.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.141-147
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• 2010

Risk level for each construction work can be very important factors to establish advanced preventionmeasures. But it is important how to produce it. There are three different methods to set it up for consturuction situation. They are as follows; 1) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly accident workers 2) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly workers 3) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / the total workers All these three concepts(=averaged concept)are analyzed. Additionally frequency based on discrete curve, and severity based on continuous curve are also combined for producing risk level with more scientific approach. This risk level can be very useful to make prevention plan or take measures at construction sites. This is study result can change existing risk level concept to new concept of it, namely rail way work and in-water work showed be high risk level and RC work be low risk level, different from the situation which we have thought commonly, so far.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.13-19
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• 2010

Risk level for each construction work can be very important factors to establish advanced prevention measures. But it is important how to produce it. There are three different methods to set it up for construction situation. They are as follows; 1) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly accident workers 2) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / yearly workers 3) occurrence frequency = the number of accident workers of each work kind / the total workers All these three concepts(=averaged concept)are analyzed. Additionally frequency based on discrete curve, and severity based on continuous curve are also combined for producing risk level with more scientific approach. This risk level can be very useful to make prevention plan or take measures at construction sites. This is study result can change existing risk level concept to new concept of it, namely rail way work and in-water work showed be high risk level and RC work be low risk level, different from the situation which we have thought commonly, so far.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제24권7호
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• pp.863-869
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• 2018

최근 해상 교통 환경의 변화로 인해 해군함정 사고가 지속적으로 발생하고 있으며, 특히 2017년 미 해군 구축함 사고로 인해 심각한 인명피해가 발생하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 해군 교육 자료, 해군함정 사고 재결서, 미구축함 사고 분석 보고서의 해군함정 사고사례를 이용해 해군함정 사고를 분석하고 시나리오를 구축하였다. 이를 위해 조사한 자료를 중심으로 함정 사고 현황을 파악하고 사고사례를 분석하였다. 사고재현 절차에 따라 사고사례 17건을 재현하고 해군함정 사고 시나리오를 구축하였다. 해군함정 사고 17건의 CPA, TCPA 및 PARK 모델 위험도 분석 결과, 충돌위험은 평균적으로 사고발생 5~6분 전을 기준으로 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구의 결과를 해군 사례 교육 및 시뮬레이션 교육의 시나리오 기초자료로 제공하여 해양사고 예방에 기여하고자 한다.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제58권3호
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• pp.251-261
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• 2022

Tuna purse seine fishery (TPF) constitute more than 60% of distant water fishery production in Korea based on a statistic of 2018, and 28 ships from four different companies were under operation at the western and central Pacific Ocean. On this research, common risk factors during TPF were investigated via enumeration of five years Korean fisherman's insurance payment statement, followed by some counterplans to diminish the accident rate. The accident rate of TPF on the Pacific Ocean peaked by 43.0% in 2014 and constantly decreased to 23.0% until 2018, presenting an average of 33.6%. Meanwhile, the accident rate on the Indian Ocean reached the highest point 55.1% in 2014 and declined to 11.6% in 2016, having an average of 24.7%. The average accident rate of the Indian Ocean scored 8.9% lower than the rate of the Pacific Ocean, but no statistic significance was observed. Depending on the process of operation, 'casting or hauling of net' was the most frequent part that people received an injury (40.4%). When the accidents were classified by their types, 'falling down' was the most recurrent cause of the injuries (28.5%). At the point of severity, the worst injuries were induced by crush hazard. Considering aforementioned accident frequency and severity, all the factors on the accident type list were divided into three different groups including high risk, moderate risk, and common risk. This study is expected to contribute to the reduction of occupational accidents during the work of fishermen and establishment of a safety management system for distance water fishing vessels.