• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind power prediction

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Flow Analysis on a 1kW-class Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine Blade for Hybrid Power Generation System (복합발전 적용을 위한 1kW급 수평축 풍력터빈 유동해석)

  • Lee, Jun-Yong;Choi, Nak-Joon;Choi, Young-Do
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.60.2-60.2
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    • 2011
  • This study is to develop a 1kW-class small wind turbine blade which will be applicable to relatively low speed regions. For this blade, a high efficiency wind turbine blade is designed and a light and low cost composite structure blade is adopted considering fatigue life. In this study, shape design of 1kW-class small wind turbine blade for hybrid power generation system is carried out by BEMT(blade element momentum theory). X-FOIL open software was used to acquire lift and drag coefficients of the 2D airfoils used in power prediction procedure. Moreover, pressure and velocity distributions are investigated according to TSR by CFD analysis.

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Prediction of Agricultural Wind and Gust Using Local Ensemble Prediction System (국지앙상블시스템을 활용한 농경지 바람 및 강풍 예측)

  • Jung Hyuk Kang;Geon-Hu Kim;Kyu Rang Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2024
  • Wind is a meteorological factor that has a significant impact on agriculture. Gust cause damage such as fruit drop and damage to facilities. In this study, low-altitude wind speed prediction was performed by applying physical models to Local Ensemble Prediction System (LENS). Logarithmic Law (LOG) and Power Law (POW) were used as the physical models, and Korea Ministry of Environment indicators and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data were applied as indicator variables. We collected and verified wind and gust data at 3m altitude in 2022 operated by the Rural Development Administration, and presented the results in scatter plot, correlation coefficient, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and Threat Score (TS). The LOG-applied model showed better results in wind speed, and the POW-applied model showed better results in gust.

Design Method for the Darrieus Type Wind Turbine (다리우스형 풍력블레이드의 설계 방법)

  • Lee, Jang-Ho;Du, Lian
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.1465-1469
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    • 2009
  • Darrieus wind turbine blade is one of the vertical wind power system in which the lift of blade is used. In the calculation of wind power for the type of that, the multiple streamtubes method is known as an effective method. But it has big difference in the region of higher tip speed ratio because the incoming air velocity is used in the calculation of lift. The incoming air velocity is reduced from inlet to outlet continually by transferring energy to the wind blade. In this study, the air velocity on the blade, which is called blade velocity, is obtained with newly developed algorithm and used to determine the lift. And it is verified that applying blade velocity on the lift calculation cause the power prediction to improve dramatically in the region of higher tip speed ratio.

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Prediction of module temperature and photovoltaic electricity generation by the data of Korea Meteorological Administration (데이터를 활용한 태양광 발전 시스템 모듈온도 및 발전량 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-min;Moon, Seung-Jae
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the PV output and module temperature values were predicted using the Meteorological Agency data and compared with actual data, weather, solar radiation, ambient temperature, and wind speed. The forecast accuracy by weather was the lowest in the data on a clear day, which had the most data of the day when it was snowing or the sun was hit at dawn. The predicted accuracy of the module temperature and the amount of power generation according to the amount of insolation decreased as the amount of insolation increased, and the predicted accuracy according to the ambient temperature decreased as the module temperature increased as the ambient temperature increased and the amount of power generated lowered the ambient temperature. As for wind speed, the predicted accuracy decreased as the wind speed increased for both module temperature and power generation, but it was difficult to define the correlation because wind speed was insignificant than the influence of other weather conditions.

Analyses of the Meteorological Characteristics over South Korea for Wind Power Applications Using KMAPP (고해상도 규모상세화 수치자료 산출체계를 이용한 남한의 풍력기상자원 특성 분석)

  • Yun, Jinah;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Choi, Hee-Wook
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2021
  • High-resolution wind resources maps (maps, here after) with spatial and temporal resolutions of 100 m and 3-hours, respectively, over South Korea have been produced and evaluated for the period from July 2016 to June 2017 using Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Post Processing (KMAPP). Evaluation of the 10 m- and 80 m-level wind speed in the new maps (KMAPP-Wind) and the 1.5 km-resolution KMA NWP model, Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), shows that the new high-resolution maps improves of the LDAPS winds in estimating the 10m wind speed as the new data reduces the mean bias (MBE) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) by 33.3% and 14.3%, respectively. In particular, the result of evaluation of the wind at 80 m which is directly related with power turbine shows that the new maps has significantly smaller error compared to the LDAPS wind. Analyses of the new maps for the seasonal average, maximum wind speed, and the prevailing wind direction shows that the wind resources over South Korea are most abundant during winter, and that the prevailing wind direction is strongly affected by synoptic weather systems except over mountainous regions. Wind speed generally increases with altitude and the proximity to the coast. In conclusion, the evaluation results show that the new maps provides significantly more accurate wind speeds than the lower resolution NWP model output, especially over complex terrains, coastal areas, and the Jeju island where wind-energy resources are most abundant.

Development of an Analysis Program for Small Horizontal Wind Turbines Considering Side Furling and Optimal Torque Scheduling (사이드 펄링과 최적 토크스케줄을 고려한 소형 풍력터빈 해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Jang, Hyeon-Mu;Kim, Dong-Myeong;Paek, In-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 2018
  • A program to design a small capacity wind turbine blade is proposed in this study. The program is based on a matlab GUI environment and designed to perform blade design based on the blade element momentum theory. The program is different from other simulation tools available in a point that it can analyze the side-furling power regulation mechanism and also has an algorithm to find out optimal torque schedule above the rated wind speed region. The side-furling power regulation is used for small-capacity horizontal axis wind turbines because they cannot use active pitch control due to high cost which is commonly used for large-capacity wind turbine. Also, the torque schedule above the rated wind speed region should be different from that of the large capacity wind turbines because active pitching is not used. The program developed in this study was validated with the results with FAST which is the only program that can analyze the performance of side-furled wind turbines. For the validation a commercial 10 kW wind turbine data which is available in the literature was used. From the validation, it was found that the performance prediction from the proposed simple program is close to those from FAST. It was also found that the optimal torque scheduling from the proposed program was found to increase the turbine power substantially. Further experimental validation will be performed as a future work.

Evaluation of the Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Northeast Region of Jeju Island (제주 북동부지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 예측성능 평가)

  • Oh, Hyun-Seok;Ko, Kyung-Nam;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2009
  • In order to clarify predictive accuracy for the wind resource predicted by running WindPRO(Ver. 2.5) which is software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, an investigation was carried out at the northeast region of Jeju island. The Hangwon, Susan and Hoichun sites of Jeju island were selected for this study. The measurement period of wind at the sites was for one year. As a result, when the sites had different energy roses, though the two Wind Statistics made by STATGEN module were used for the prediction, it was difficult to exactly predict the energy rose at a given site. On the other hand, when the two Wind Statistics were used to predict the average wind speed, the wind power density and the annual energy production, the relative error was under ${\pm}20%$ which improved more than that when using only one Wind Statistics.

Development of Wind Farm AEP Prediction Program Considering Directional Wake Effect (방향별 후류를 고려한 풍력발전단지 연간 에너지 생산량 예측 프로그램 개발 및 적용)

  • Yang, Kyoungboo;Cho, Kyungho;Huh, Jongchul
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.469-480
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    • 2017
  • For accurate AEP prediction in a wind farm, it is necessary to effectively calculate the wind speed reduction and the power loss due to the wake effect in each wind direction. In this study, a computer program for AEP prediction considering directional wake effect was developed. The results of the developed program were compared with the actual AEP of the wind farm and the calculation result of existing commercial software to confirm the accuracy of prediction. The applied equations are identical with those of commercial software based on existing theories, but there is a difference in the calculation process of the detection of the wake effect area in each wind direction. As a result, the developed program predicted to be less than 1% of difference to the actual capacity factor and showed more than 2% of better results compared with the existing commercial software.

Software Development to Predict the Power Characteristics of a Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine Rotor (수평축 풍력발전용 로터 성능해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim, Beom-Seok;Nam, Chung-Do;Kim, You-Taek;Kim, Jin-Gu;Lee, Young-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.168-169
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    • 2005
  • The optimum design and the performance analysis software called POSEIDON for the HAWT (Horizontal Axis Wind Turbine) was developed by use of BEMT. The Prandtl's tip loss theory was adopted to consider the blade tip loss. The lift and the drag coefficient of S-809 airfoil were predicted via X-FOIL and also the post stall characteristics of S-809 were estimated by the Viterna's equations. All the predicted aerodynamic characteristics are fairly well agreed with the wind tunnel test results, performed by Sommers in Delft university of technology. The rated power of the testing rotor is 20kW(FIL-20) at design conditions. The experimental aerodynamic parameters and the X-FOIL data were used for the power prediction of the FIL-20 respectively. The comparison results shows good agreement in power prediction.

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Basic Configuration Design and Performance Prediction of an 1 MW Wind Turbine Blade (1 MW 풍력터빈 블레이드 형상기본설계 및 성능해석)

  • Kim, Bum-Suk;Kim, Mann-Eung;Lee, Young-Ho
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2008
  • In modem wind power system of large capacity above 1MW, horizontal axis wind turbine(HAWT) is a common type. And, the optimum design of wind turbine to guarantee excellent power performance and its reliability in structure and longevity is a key technology in wind Industry. In this study, mathematical expressions based upon the conventional BEMT(blade element momentum theory) applying to basic 1MW wind turbine blade configuration design. Power coefficient and related flow parameters, such as Prandtl's tip loss coefficient, tangential and axial flow induction factors of the wind turbine analyzed systematically. X-FOIL was used to acquire lift and drag coefficients of the 2-D airfoils and we use Viterna-Corrigan formula to interpolate the aerodynamic characteristics in post-stall region. In order to predict the performance characteristics of the blade, a performance analysis carried out by BEMT method. As a results, axial and tangential flow factors, angle of attack, power coefficient investigated in this study.