• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull-Bayesian Model

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The Bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model: a complete classical and Bayesian analysis

  • Fachini-Gomes, Juliana B.;Ortega, Edwin M.M.;Cordeiro, Gauss M.;Suzuki, Adriano K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.523-544
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    • 2018
  • Bivariate distributions play a fundamental role in survival and reliability studies. We consider a regression model for bivariate survival times under right-censored based on the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull (Cordeiro et al., Journal of the Franklin Institute, 347, 1399-1429, 2010) distribution to model the dependence of bivariate survival data. We describe some structural properties of the marginal distributions. The method of maximum likelihood and a Bayesian procedure are adopted to estimate the model parameters. We use diagnostic measures based on the local influence and Bayesian case influence diagnostics to detect influential observations in the new model. We also show that the estimates in the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model are robust to deal with the presence of outliers in the data. In addition, we use some measures of goodness-of-fit to evaluate the bivariate Kumaraswamy Weibull regression model. The methodology is illustrated by means of a real lifetime data set for kidney patients.

BAYESIAN AND CLASSICAL INFERENCE FOR TOPP-LEONE INVERSE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION BASED ON TYPE-II CENSORED DATA

  • ZAHRA SHOKOOH GHAZANI
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.819-829
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    • 2024
  • This paper delves into an examination of both non-Bayesian and Bayesian estimation techniques for determining the Topp-leone inverse Weibull distribution parameters based on progressive Type-II censoring. The first approach employs expectation maximization (EM) algorithms to derive maximum likelihood estimates for these variables. Subsequently, Bayesian estimators are obtained by utilizing symmetric and asymmetric loss functions such as Squared error and Linex loss functions. The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is invoked to obtain these Bayesian estimates, solidifying their reliability in this framework.

Bayesian Model Selection in Weibull Populations

  • Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.1123-1134
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    • 2007
  • This article addresses the problem of testing whether the shape parameters in k independent Weibull populations are equal. We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for equality of the shape parameters. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian model selection procedure based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real example are provided.

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와이블 수명자료들에 대한 베이지안 가설검정 (Bayesian Hypotheses Testing for the Weibull Lifetime Data)

  • 강상길;김달호;조장식
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we address the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the comparison of Weibull distributions. In Bayesian testing problem, conventional Bayes factors can not typically accommodate the use of noninformative priors which are Improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. To overcome such problem, we use the recently proposed hypotheses testing criterion called the intrinsic Bayes factor. We derive the arithmetic and median intrinsic Bayes factors for the comparison of Weibull lifetime model and we use these results to analyze real data sets.

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시변환 스트레스 조건에서의 와이블 분포의 모수 및 가속 모수에 대한 베이시안 추정을 사용하는 이산 시간 접근 방법 (A Discrete Time Approximation Method using Bayesian Inference of Parameters of Weibull Distribution and Acceleration Parameters with Time-Varying Stresses)

  • 정인승
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1331-1336
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a method using Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution and acceleration parameters under the condition that the stresses are time-dependent functions. A Bayesian model based on the discrete time approximation is formulated to infer the parameters of interest from the failure data of the virtual tests and a statistical analysis is considered to decide the most probable mean values of the parameters for reasoning of the failure data.

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Inference of Parameters for Superposition with Goel-Okumoto model and Weibull model Using Gibbs Sampler

  • Heecheul Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.169-180
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    • 1999
  • A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with development of computation is used to be the software system reliability probability model. For Bayesian estimator considering computational problem and theoretical justification we studies relation Markov Chain with Gibbs sampling. Special case of GOS with Superposition for Goel-Okumoto and Weibull models using Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm considered. In this paper discuss Bayesian computation and model selection using posterior predictive likelihood criterion. We consider in this paper data using method by Cox-Lewis. A numerical example with a simulated data set is given.

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이산 시간 접근 방법을 사용하는 2 개의 직렬계 비동일 부품 고장의 와이블 분포 모수의 베이시안 추정에 대한 타당성 조사 (A Feasibility Study on Bayesian Inference of Parameters of Weibull Distributions of Failures for Two Non-identical Components in Series System by using Discrete Time Approximation Method)

  • 정인승
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제33권10호
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    • pp.1144-1150
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    • 2009
  • This paper investigates the feasibility of the Bayesian discrete time approximation method to estimate the parameters of Weibull distributions of failures for two non-identical components connected in series system. A Bayesian model based on the discrete time approximation method is formulated to infer the Weibull parameters of two non-identical components with the failure data of the virtual tests. The study of this paper comes to a conclusion that the method is feasible only for some special cases under the given constraints on the concerned parameters.

Bayesian Method on Sequential Preventive Maintenance Problem

  • Kim Hee-Soo;Kwon Young-Sub;Park Dong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops a Bayesian method to derive the optimal sequential preventive maintenance(PM) policy by determining the PM schedules which minimize the mean cost rate. Such PM schedules are derived based on a general sequential imperfect PM model proposed by Lin, Zuo and Yam(2000) and may have unequal length of PM intervals. To apply the Bayesian approach in this problem, we assume that the failure times follow a Weibull distribution and consider some appropriate prior distributions for the scale and shape parameters of the Weibull model. The solution is proved to be finite and unique under some mild conditions. Numerical examples for the proposed optimal sequential PM policy are presented for illustrative purposes.

A Bayesian approach to maintenance strategy for non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty

  • Jung, K.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2011
  • This paper considers the maintenance model suggested by Jung and Park (2010) to adopt the Bayesian approach and obtain an optimal replacement policy following the expiration of NFRRW. As the criteria to determine the optimal maintenance period, we use the expected cost during the life cycle of the system. When the failure times are assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters, we propose an optimal maintenance policy based on the Bayesian approach. Also, we describe the revision of uncertainty about parameters in the light of data observed. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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Hypotheses Testing for the Shape Parameter of the Weibull Lifetime Data

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we address the Bayesian hypotheses testing for the shape parameter of weibull model. In Bayesian testing problem, conventional Bayes factors can not typically accommodate the use of noninformative priors which are improper and are defined only up to arbitrary constants. To overcome such problem, we use the recently proposed hypotheses testing criterion called the intrinsic Bayes factor. We derive the arithmetic and median intrinsic Bayes factors and use these results to analyze real data sets.

  • PDF