• 제목/요약/키워드: Weather sensitivity

검색결과 161건 처리시간 0.03초

서울 건물정보 자료를 활용한 UM 기반의 도시캐노피 모델 입력자료 구축 및 평가 (Development and Evaluation of Urban Canopy Model Based on Unified Model Input Data Using Urban Building Information Data in Seoul)

  • 김도형;홍선옥;변재영;박향숙;하종철
    • 대기
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.417-427
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to build urban canopy model (Met Office Reading Urban Surface Exchange Scheme, MORUSES) based to Unified Model (UM) by using urban building information data in Seoul, and then to compare the improving urban canopy model simulation result with that of Seoul Automatic Weather Station (AWS) observation site data. UM-MORUSES is based on building information database in London, we performed a sensitivity experiment of UM-MOURSES model using urban building information database in Seoul. Geographic Information System (GIS) analysis of 1.5 km resolution Seoul building data is applied instead of London building information data. Frontal-area index and planar-area index of Seoul are used to calculate building height. The height of the highest building in Seoul is 40m, showing high in Yeoido-gu, Gangnam-gu and Jamsil-gu areas. The street aspect ratio is high in Gangnam-gu, and the repetition rate of buildings is lower in Eunpyeong-gu and Gangbuk-gu. UM-MORUSES model is improved to consider the building geometry parameter in Seoul. It is noticed that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of wind speed is decreases from 0.8 to 0.6 m s-1 by 25 number AWS in Seoul. The surface air temperature forecast tends to underestimate in pre-improvement model, while it is improved at night time by UM-MORUSES model. This study shows that the post-improvement UM-MORUSES model can provide detailed Seoul building information data and accurate surface air temperature and wind speed in urban region.

산림 미기상 해석을 위한 최적모델 개발 (Development of Optimal Modeling System for Analyzing Mountain Micrometeorology)

  • 이석준;최용한;정재희;원명수;임규호
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2015
  • 지구 온난화와 연관된 기후 변화는 악기상 현상의 발생 빈도 및 강도를 증가시킨다. 따라서 산불, 산사태 등 산림 재해의 예방 및 대응을 위한 정밀한 산림 미기상 예측 시스템의 개발이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 2013년 3월 봉화와 강릉에서 발생한 산불을 WRF와, 3D-var로 모의 하였다. WRF에서 나온 Output 자료를 이용하여 MUKLIMO 모형을 기반으로 산림 미기상 해석 및 모의를 위한 예측 시스템의 구축과 최적화를 이루었다. 이를 위해 3차원 변분 자료 동화 방법을 사용하여 기상청 AWS 관측 자료를 동화하였고, WRF의 예보에 MUKLIMO 모형을 결합하여 100m의 고해상도 바람장을 산출하였다. 자료동화를 수행하지 않은 CNTL 실험에 비해 자료 동화를 수행한 KMA 혹은 KMA_KFRI실험의 모의 결과가 관측과 가까워짐을 확인하였다. MUKLIMO에서 산출된 바람장 자료를 이용하여 보다 정확한 산림 미기상 예측 시스템을 구축할 수 있었다.

레일 단락감도 불량으로 발생하는 무경보 예방을 위한 건널목보안장치 설계 (Study on Design of Rail Level Crossing System for Preventing from Non-Alarming Status Caused by Track Shunting Sensibility Errors)

  • 장동완;전태현
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.160-166
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    • 2010
  • 철도와 도로가 평면 교차하는 개소에서 열차의 진입을 통행자에게 알려 사고를 방지하는 운전보안설비를 건널목 보안장치라 하며, 이 장치는 레일을 전기회로의 일부로 사용하여 회로를 구성하고 철도차량의 차축에 의해 레일사이를 단락함에 따라 열차의 유무를 검지하는 궤도회로장치에 의한 것이 대부분이다. 그 만큼 건널목보안장치에서 궤도회로장치가 중요한 역할을 하지만, 열차운행 횟수 감소로 눈, 비, 습기 등에 의하여 레일에 녹이 발생하여 열차가 궤도회로를 점유하여도 단락감도 불량으로 궤도회로가 낙하되지 않아 건널목보안장치 무경보 발생으로 도로차량과 충돌하는 사고발생이 우려된다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같은 문제점을 보완하기 위하여 열차에 의해 궤도를 단락하는 열차검지방식에서 적외선 센서에 의해 열차접근을 확인하여 건널목보안장치를 제어하는 방식으로 변경하여 열차안전운행을 확보하는 효율적인 안전장치로서의 역할을 수행할 수 있도록 설계 방법을 제안한다.

Numerical Simulation of Extreme Air Pollution by Fine Particulate Matter in China in Winter 2013

  • Shimadera, Hikari;Hayami, Hiroshi;Ohara, Toshimasa;Morino, Yu;Takami, Akinori;Irei, Satoshi
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2014
  • In winter 2013, extreme air pollution by fine particulate matter ($PM_{2.5}$) in China attracted much public attention. In order to simulate the $PM_{2.5}$ pollution, the Community Multiscale Air Quality model driven by the Weather Research and Forecasting model was applied to East Asia in a period from 1 January 2013 to 5 February 2013. The model generally reproduced $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in China with emission data in the year 2006. Therefore, the extreme $PM_{2.5}$ pollution seems to be mainly attributed to meteorological (weak wind and stable) conditions rather than emission increases in the past several years. The model well simulated temporal and spatial variations in $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations in Japan as well as China, indicating that the model well captured characteristics of the $PM_{2.5}$ pollutions in both areas on the windward and leeward sides in East Asia in the study period. In addition, contribution rates of four anthropogenic emission sectors (power generation, industrial, residential and transportation) in China to $PM_{2.5}$ concentration were estimated by conducting zero-out emission sensitivity runs. Among the four sectors, the residential sector had the highest contribution to $PM_{2.5}$ concentration. Therefore, the extreme $PM_{2.5}$ pollution may be also attributed to large emissions from combustion for heating in cold regions in China.

수도권 초미세먼지 농도모사: (V) 북한 배출량 영향 추정 (PM2.5 Simulations for the Seoul Metropolitan Area: (V) Estimation of North Korean Emission Contribution)

  • 배민아;김현철;김병욱;김순태
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.294-305
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    • 2018
  • Quantitative assessment on the impact from North Korean emissions to surface particulate matter(PM) concentration in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), South Korea is conducted using a 3-dimensional chemistry transport model. Transboundary transport of air pollutants and their precursors are important to understand regional air quality in East Asian countries. As North Korea locates in the middle of main transport pathways of Chinese pollutants, quantifiable estimation of its impact is essential for policy making in South Korean air quality management. In this study, the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling System is utilized to simulate regional air quality and its sensitivity, using the Comprehensive Regional Emissions inventory for Atmospheric Transport Experiment 2015 and the Clean Air Policy Support System 2013 emissions inventories for North and South Korea, respectively. Contributions were estimated by a brute force method, perturbing 50% of North and South Korean emissions. Simulations demonstrate that North Korean emissions contribute $3.89{\mu}g/m^3$ of annual surface PM concentrations in the SMA, which accounts 14.7% of the region's average. Impacts are dominant in nitrate and organic carbon (OC) concentrations, attributing almost 40% of SMA OC concentration during January and February. Clear seasonal variations are also found in North Korean emissions contribution to South Korea (and vice versa) due to seasonal characteristics of synoptic weather, especially by the change of seasonal flow patterns.

눈송이의 크기와 질량 관계가 지표 강수 모의에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Mass-size Relationship for Snow on the Simulated Surface Precipitation)

  • 임교선
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문은 기상 모델의 미세구름물리 모수화 과정 내의 눈송이의 질량-크기 관계가 지표 강수 모의에 미치는 영향에 대해 연구에 관한 것이다. WDM6와 WSM6 미세구름물리 모수화 방안이 연구를 위해 사용되었다. 실제 관측된 자료를 바탕으로 산출된 Thompson의 눈송이의 질량-크기 관계를 도입하여 WDM6와 WSM6 내의 눈송이의 질량-크기 관계식을 대체하였다. 이상적인 스콜선과 한반도 겨울철 강수 사례에 대해 수정된 WDM6와 WSM6를 사용하여 민감도 실험을 실시하였다. 결과적으로, 대기 하층에서는 싸락눈과 빗방울의 혼합비가 증가하였고 눈송이의 혼합비는 감소하였다. 이러한 혼합비와 지표 강수의 변화는 빗방울과 눈송이의 충돌 및 병합 과정과 싸락눈의 융해 과정에 기인한 것으로 분석되었다.

댐 설계홍수량 산정방법에 관한 연구 (Study on the Calculation Method of Design Flood Discharge of Dam)

  • 이재홍;문영일;백유현;장광진
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.277-281
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 국내의 다목적 댐 전체를 대상으로 강우-유출 모형에 의한 과거의 홍수량 산정방식과 최근의 홍수량 산정방식을 유역 면적 규모별로 분류하여 비교 분석하였다. 홍수량에 영향을 미치는 기본인자로 강우량, 강우의 시간분포, 유효우량 산정방법(손실분석), 강우-유출 모형, 매개 변수 추정 및 기저유량 등을 선정하여 각 인자별 민감도 분석을 수행함으로써 홍수량에 미치는 영향을 정량적으로 분석하였다. 분석결과 최근의 방법으로 산정한 홍수량과 과거의 방법으로 산정한 홍수량이 유역면적 규모에 따라 다양한 변동폭으로 증가하거나 감소하였는데, 강우의 시간분포 변경이 홍수량을 감소시키는 원인으로 분석되었고, 최근 기상이변에 의한 강우량의 증가와 단위도의 매개변수 추정방법의 변경이 홍수량을 증가시키는 가장 큰 원인으로 분석되었다.

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A Comparative Assessment of the Efficacy of Frequency Ratio, Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

  • Park, Soyoung;Kim, Jinsoo
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2020
  • The rapid climatic changes being caused by global warming are resulting in abnormal weather conditions worldwide, which in some regions have increased the frequency of landslides. This study was aimed to analyze and compare the landslide susceptibility using the Frequency Ratio (FR), Statistical Index, Weight of Evidence, Certainty Factor, and Index of Entropy (IoE) at Woomyeon Mountain in South Korea. Through the construction of a landslide inventory map, 164 landslide locations in total were found, of which 50 (30%) were reserved to validate the model after 114 (70%) had been chosen at random for model training. The sixteen landslide conditioning factors related to topography, hydrology, pedology, and forestry factors were considered. The results were evaluated and compared using relative operating characteristic curve and the statistical indexes. From the analysis, it was shown that the FR and IoE models were better than the other models. The FR model, with a prediction rate of 0.805, performed slightly better than the IoE model with a prediction rate of 0.798. These models had the same sensitivity values of 0.940. The IoE model gave a specific value of 0.329 and an accuracy value of 0.710, which outperforms the FR model which gave 0.276 and 0.680, respectively, to predict the spatial landslide in the study area. The generated landslide susceptibility maps can be useful for disaster and land use planning.

A Similarity Weight-based Method to Detect Damage Induced by a Tsunami

  • Jeon, Hyeong-Joo;Kim, Yong-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Il
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.391-402
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    • 2016
  • Among the various remote sensing sensors compared to the electro-optical sensors, SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) is very suitable for assessing damaged areas induced by disaster events owing to its all-weather day and night acquisition capability and sensitivity to geometric variables. The conventional CD (Change Detection) method that uses two-date data is typically used for mapping damage over extensive areas in a short time, but because data from only two dates are used, the information used in the conventional CD is limited. In this paper, we propose a novel CD method that is extended to use data consisting of two pre-disaster SAR data and one post-disaster SAR data. The proposed CD method detects changes by using a similarity weight image derived from the neighborhood information of a pixel in the data from the three dates. We conducted an experiment using three single polarization ALOS PALSAR (Advanced Land Observing Satellite/Phased Array Type L-Band) data collected over Miyagi, Japan which was seriously damaged by the 2011 east Japan tsunami. The results demonstrated that the mapping accuracy for damaged areas can be improved by about 26% with an increase of the g-mean compared to the conventional CD method. These improved results prove the performance of our proposed CD method and show that the proposed CD method is more suitable than the conventional CD method for detecting damaged areas induced by disaster.

PCA에 기반을 둔 인공신경회로망을 이용한 온실의 습도 예측 (Predicting the Greenhouse Air Humidity Using Artificial Neural Network Model Based on Principal Components Analysis)

  • 오우라비압둘하메드바바툰데;이종원;메쓰캄카남즈사니카닐란가니자야세카라;이현우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제59권5호
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2017
  • A model was developed using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) based on Principal Component Analysis (PCA), to accurately predict the air humidity inside an experimental greenhouse located in Daegu (latitude $35.53^{\circ}N$, longitude $128.36^{\circ}E$, and altitude 48 m), South Korea. The weather parameters, air temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, and carbon dioxide inside and outside the greenhouse were monitored and measured by mounted sensors. Through the PCA of the data samples, three main components were used as the input data, and the measured inside humidity was used as the output data for the ALYUDA forecaster software of the ANN model. The Nash-Sutcliff Model Efficiency Coefficient (NSE) was used to analyze the difference between the experimental and the simulated results, in order to determine the predictive power of the ANN software. The results obtained revealed the variables that affect the inside air humidity through a sensitivity analysis graph. The measured humidity agreed well with the predicted humidity, which signifies that the model has a very high accuracy and can be used for predictions based on the computed $R^2$ and NSE values for the training and validation samples.