• 농업과학연구
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.311-331
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• 2021

Climate change with extreme hydrological events has become a significant concern for agricultural water systems. Climate change affects not only irrigation availability but also agricultural water requirement. In response, adaptation strategies with soft and hard options have been considered to mitigate the impacts from climate change. However, their implementation has become progressively challenging and complex due to the interconnected impacts of climate change with socio-economic change in agricultural circumstances, and this can generate more uncertainty and complexity in the adaptive management of the agricultural water systems. This study was carried out for the agricultural water supply system in Seongju dam watershed in Seonju-gun, Gyeongbuk in South Korea. The first step is to identify system disturbances. Climate variation and socio-economic components with historical and forecast data were investigated Then, as the second step, problematic trends of the critical performance were identified for the historical and future climate scenarios. As the third step, a system structure was built with a dynamic hypothesis (causal loop diagram) to understand Seongju water system features and interactions with multiple feedbacks across system components in water, agriculture, and socio-economic sectors related to the case study water system. Then, as the fourth step, a mathematical SD (system dynamics) model was developed based on the dynamic hypothesis, including sub-models related to dam reservoir, irrigation channel, irrigation demand, farming income, and labor force, and the fidelity of the SD model to the Seongju water system was checked.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.156-156
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• 2022

Explicitly spatially distributed and reliable data on industrial water demand is very much important for both policy makers and researchers in order to carry a region-specific analysis of water resources management. However, such type of data remains scarce particularly in underdeveloped and developing countries. Current research is limited in using different spatially available socio-economic, climate data and geographical data from different sources in accordance to predict industrial water demand at finer resolution. This study proposes a random forest regression (RFR) model to predict the industrial water demand at 0.50× 0.50 spatial resolution by combining various features extracted from multiple data sources. The dataset used here include National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP)/Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) night-time light (NTL), Global Power Plant database, AQUASTAT country-wise industrial water use data, Elevation data, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Road density, Crop land, Population, Precipitation, Temperature, and Aridity. Compared with traditional regression algorithms, RF shows the advantages of high prediction accuracy, not requiring assumptions of a prior probability distribution, and the capacity to analyses variable importance. The final RF model was fitted using the parameter settings of ntree = 300 and mtry = 2. As a result, determinate coefficients value of 0.547 is achieved. The variable importance of the independent variables e.g. night light data, elevation data, GDP and population data used in the training purpose of RF model plays the major role in predicting the industrial water demand.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제28권3호
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• pp.299-311
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• 2022

Water-resisting key stratum (WKS) between coal seams is an important barrier that prevents water inrush from goaf in roof under multi-seam mining. The occurrence of water inrush can be evaluated effectively by analyzing the fracture of WKS in multi-seam mining. A "long beam" water inrush mechanical model was established using the multi-seam mining of No. 2+3 and No. 8 coal seams in Xiqu Mine as the research basis. The model comprehensively considers the pressure from goaf, the gravity of overburden rock, the gravity of accumulated water, and the constraint conditions. The stress distribution expression of the WKS was obtained under different mining distances in No. 8 coal seam. The criterion of breakage at any point of the WKS was obtained by introducing linear Mohr strength theory. By using the mechanical model, the fracture of the WKS in Xiqu Mine was examined and its breaking position was calculated. And the risk of water inrush was also evaluated. Moreover, breaking process of the WKS was reproduced with Flac3D numerical software, and was analyzed with on-site microseismic monitoring data. The results showed that when the coal face of No. 8 coal seam in Xiqu Mine advances to about 80 m ~ 100 m, the WKS is stretched and broken at the position of 60 m ~ 70 m away from the open-off cut, increasing the risk of water inrush from goaf in roof. This finding matched the result of microseismic analysis, confirming the reliability of the water inrush mechanical model. This study therefore provides a theoretical basis for the prevention of water inrush from goaf in roof in Xiqu Mine. It also provides a method for evaluating and monitoring water inrush from goaf in roof.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제32권3D호
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• pp.223-229
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• 2012

도로 포장면과 타이어 사이의 마찰 저항을 미끄럼 저항이라고 한다. 미끄럼 저항은 도로 안전에 매우 중요한 요소이며, 다양한 요인이 복합적으로 작용한다. 미끄럼 저항 측정법의 한계를 극복하기 위해 컴퓨터 모델링을 이용한 해석 수행 결과, 속도가 증가하거나 수막두께가 두꺼울수록 미끄럼 저항은 감소하였다. 해석 결과를 이용해 수막두께와 속도에 따라 수막 위를 주행하는 타이어에 발생하는 양력을 계산할 수 있으며, IFI(International Friction Index) 미끄럼 저항 예측모델과 실측 미끄럼 저항과의 차이를 줄이기 위해 양력을 반영한 수정 IFI 미끄럼 저항 예측모델을 개발하였다. 예측모델과 실측 데이터의 상관관계 분석 결과, 기존 IFI 예측모델의 $R^2$는 0.49로, 수정 IFI 예측모델의 $R^2$는 0.64로 나타나 수정 IFI 예측모델이 기존모델에 비해 예측 효과가 우수하였다. 포장면의 상태에 따른 수막두께를 수정 예측모델에 반영할 경우 더욱 정확한 예측모델을 얻을 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제37권11호
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• pp.969-978
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• 2004

수문학적 모델에 대한 연구보고에 의하면 유출량 모의 측면에서 집중형 모형은 분포형 모형보다 적용성이 좋다고 볼 수 있다. 분포형모형은 컴퓨터 계산환경 및 현장 실험이 허용하는 범위내에서 지형인자를 단순화하여야만 하기 때문에 양적인 오차를 가진다. 하지만 공간적 지형인자를 고려한다는 측면에서 분포형모형은 지표수 흐름을 분석하는데 더욱 효과적이다. 본 연구의 목적은 흐름의 특성을 결정짓는 최소한의 지형인자(흐름경사, 방향, 누적도)를 고려한 저류함수를 이용하여, 격자기반의 공간적 강우-유출모형을 개발하는 것이며, 이러한 작업의 과정은 개인용 컴퓨터에서 이루어진다 모형의 원형은 비교적 작은 유역인 횡성다목적댐을 대상으로 개발하여, 유역면적이 비교적 넓은 합천댐 유역을 대상으로 적용하였다. 댐지짐에 대한 유역유출 모의결과 Nash J.E. 와 Sutcliffe J.V.가 제안한 효율계수는 약 0.9를 상회하였으나, 유역내 상류 수위관측소에 대한 효율계수는 양호하지 못하였는데, 이러한 이유는 대상댐 유역에 대하여 산정된 수위-유량 곡선식의 고수위부분이 과추정 되었다고 판단된다. 본 연구결과 유역의 공간적으로 분포된 유역특성을 고려한 강우-유출모형은 GIS를 이용하여 손쉽게 구현할 수 있었다. 향후 강우레이더와 같이 공간적으로 분포된 강우량의 실시간 취득이 범용화되면, 본 연구의 분포형 모형을 직접 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 2001년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.947-952
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• 2001

The prediction model is proposed to estimate the variation of compressive strength of fly ash concrete with aging. After analyzing the experimental result with the model, the regression results are presented according to fly ash replacement content and water/cement ratio. Based on the regression results, the influence of fly ash replacement content and water/cement ratio on apparent activation energy was investigated. According to the analysis, the model provides a good estimate of compressive strength development of fly ash concrete with aging. As the fly ash replacement content increases, the limiting relative compressive strength and initial apparent activation energy become greater. The concrete with water/cement ratio smaller than 0.40 shows that the limiting relative compressive strength and apparent activation energy are nearly constant according to water/cement ratio. But, the concrete with water/cement ratio greater than 0.40 has the increasing limiting relative compressive strength and apparent activation energy with increasing water/cement ratio.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.1935-1939
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• 2006

In this study, the new dispersion-correction terms are added to leap-frog finite difference scheme for the linear shallow-water equations with the purpose of considering the dispersion effects such as linear Boussinesq equations for the propagation of tsunamis. And, dispersion-correction factor is determined to mimic the frequency dispersion of the linear Boussinesq equations. The numerical model developed in this study is tested to the problem that initial free surface displacement is a Gaussian hump over a constant water depth, and the results from the numerical model are compared with analytical solutions. The results by present numerical model are accurate in comparison with the past models.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 1999년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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• pp.63-69
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• 1999

The purpose of this study is to develop Water Quality Management System(WQMS), which performs calculating pollutant discharge and forecasting water quality with water pollution model. Operational water quality management requires not only controlling pollutants but acquiring and managing exact information. A GIS software, ArcView was used to enter or edit geographic data and attribute data, and MapObject was used to customize the user interface. PCI, a remote sensing software, was used for deriving land cover classification from 20 m resolution SPOT data by image processing. WQMS has two subsystems, Database Subsystem and Modelling subsystem. Database subsystem consisted of watershed data from digital map, remote sensing data, government reports, census data and so on. Modelling subsystem consisted of NSPLM(NonStorm Pollutant Load Model)-SPLM(Storm Pollutant Load Model). It calculates the amount of pollutant and predicts water quality. This two subsystem was connected through graphic display module. This system has been calibrated and verified by applying to Mokhyun stream watershed.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.84-88
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• 2001

This study presents an application of object-oriented methodology for Open Water Management Program(OWMP). Accordingly, OWMP provides a high degree of reliability which allows modification of parameters by change of region or time to be possible OWMP consists of Data Base Management System(DBMS) and Model System. DBMS make it possible to analyze data related with planning water schedule and establishing database. Model System calculates reservoir inflow, reservoir effluent and basin water demand. A operator decides the reservoir operation with results of Model System and DBMS. OWMP could be adapted to the planning and decision for saving water.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.51-56
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• 2015

To assess downward positions of water spray for the small-scale release of chlorine gas, dispersion coefficients for the Gaussian dispersion model were validated at the small-scale release experiment. And the downwind distances of water spray were assessed with the simulated results. As results, the Gaussian plume model using the Briggs' dispersion coefficient well estimated the dispersed characteristics for small-scale release of chlorine gas. The best adequate downwind position of water spray is the position of the maximum concentration of chlorine at the ground level. And the adequate vertical and horizontal dimensions of water spray consider the maximum width and height of cloud.