• 제목/요약/키워드: Variance and Mean Squared Error

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Accuracy Measures of Empirical Bayes Estimator for Mean Rates

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2010
  • The outcomes of counts commonly occur in the area of disease mapping for mortality rates or disease rates. A Poisson distribution is usually assumed as a model of disease rates in conjunction with a gamma prior. The small area typically refers to a small geographical area or demographic group for which very little information is available from the sample surveys. Under this situation the model-based estimation is very popular, in which the auxiliary variables from various administrative sources are used. The empirical Bayes estimator under Poissongamma model has been considered with its accuracy measures. An accuracy measure using a bootstrap samples adjust the underestimation incurred by the posterior variance as an estimator of true mean squared error. We explain the suggested method through a practical dataset of hitters in baseball games. We also perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the accuracy measures of mean squared error.

An alternative method for estimating lognormal means

  • Kwon, Yeil
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.351-368
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    • 2021
  • For a probabilistic model with positively skewed data, a lognormal distribution is one of the key distributions that play a critical role. Several lognormal models can be found in various areas, such as medical science, engineering, and finance. In this paper, we propose a new estimator for a lognormal mean and depict the performance of the proposed estimator in terms of the relative mean squared error (RMSE) compared with Shen's estimator (Shen et al., 2006), which is considered the best estimator among the existing methods. The proposed estimator includes a tuning parameter. By finding the optimal value of the tuning parameter, we can improve the average performance of the proposed estimator over the typical range of σ2. The bias reduction of the proposed estimator tends to exceed the increased variance, and it results in a smaller RMSE than Shen's estimator. A numerical study reveals that the proposed estimator has performance comparable with Shen's estimator when σ2 is small and exhibits a meaningful decrease in the RMSE under moderate and large σ2 values.

Biased SNR Estimation using Pilot and Data Symbols in BPSK and QPSK Systems

  • Park, Chee-Hyun;Hong, Kwang-Seok;Nam, Sang-Won;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.583-591
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    • 2014
  • In wireless communications, knowledge of the signal-to-noise ratio is required in diverse communication applications. In this paper, we derive the variance of the maximum likelihood estimator in the data-aided and non-data-aided schemes for determining the optimal shrinkage factor. The shrinkage factor is usually the constant that is multiplied by the unbiased estimate and it increases the bias slightly while considerably decreasing the variance so that the overall mean squared error decreases. The closed-form biased estimators for binary-phase-shift-keying and quadrature phase-shift-keying systems are then obtained. Simulation results show that the mean squared error of the proposed method is lower than that of the maximum likelihood method for low and moderate signal-to-noise ratio conditions.

ESTIMATING VARIOUS MEASURES IN NORMAL POPULATION THROUGH A SINGLE CLASS OF ESTIMATORS

  • Sharad Saxena;Housila P. Singh
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.323-337
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    • 2004
  • This article coined a general class of estimators for various measures in normal population when some' a priori' or guessed value of standard deviation a is available in addition to sample information. The class of estimators is primarily defined for a function of standard deviation. An unbiased estimator and the minimum mean squared error estimator are worked out and the suggested class of estimators is compared with these classical estimators. Numerical computations in terms of percent relative efficiency and absolute relative bias established the merits of the proposed class of estimators especially for small samples. Simulation study confirms the excellence of the proposed class of estimators. The beauty of this article lies in estimation of various measures like standard deviation, variance, Fisher information, precision of sample mean, process capability index $C_{p}$, fourth moment about mean, mean deviation about mean etc. as particular cases of the proposed class of estimators.

Families of Estimators of Finite Population Variance using a Random Non-Response in Survey Sampling

  • Singh, Housila P.;Tailor, Rajesh;Kim, Jong-Min;Singh, Sarjinder
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.681-695
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a family of estimators for the finite population variance investigated by Srivastava and Jhajj (1980) is studied under two different situations of random non-response considered by Tracy and Osahan (1994). Asymptotic expressions for the biases and mean squared errors of members of the proposed family are obtained; in addition, an asymptotic optimum estimator(AOE) is also identified. Estimators suggested by Singh and Joarder (1998) are shown to be members of the proposed family. A correction to the Singh and Joarder (1998) results is also presented.

일반적 손실함수 하에서의 파라미터 설계방법 (Parameter Design under General Loss Functions)

  • 정현석;고선우;염봉진
    • 산업공학
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 1994
  • In a recent article, Leon et al. lucidly explained the ideas of the Taguchi two-stage procedure for parameter design optimization, and proposed alternative performance measures called PerMIA to the signal-to-noise ratios. On the other hand, Box proposed an empirical approach to the problem based upon monotone transformations of the performance characteristic(y). This paper develops procedures for parameter design optimization under the assumptions that the expected loss(not necessarily a mean squared error loss) is increasing with respect to the variance of the error in y, and that the mean of y satisfies certain conditions of adjustability. It turns out that the variance of the error in y can play the role of PerMIA, and it is further shown that the derived PerMIA can be adapted to the Box empirical procedure for the minimization of the expected loss in the original metric.

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A FRAMEWORK TO UNDERSTAND THE ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF KRIGING AND SPLINES

  • Furrer Eva M.;Nychka Douglas W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2007
  • Kriging is a nonparametric regression method used in geostatistics for estimating curves and surfaces for spatial data. It may come as a surprise that the Kriging estimator, normally derived as the best linear unbiased estimator, is also the solution of a particular variational problem. Thus, Kriging estimators can also be interpreted as generalized smoothing splines where the roughness penalty is determined by the covariance function of a spatial process. We build off the early work by Silverman (1982, 1984) and the analysis by Cox (1983, 1984), Messer (1991), Messer and Goldstein (1993) and others and develop an equivalent kernel interpretation of geostatistical estimators. Given this connection we show how a given covariance function influences the bias and variance of the Kriging estimate as well as the mean squared prediction error. Some specific asymptotic results are given in one dimension for Matern covariances that have as their limit cubic smoothing splines.

On Copas′ Local Likelihood Density Estimator

  • Kim, W.C.;Park, B.U.;Kim, Y.G.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2001
  • Some asymptotic results on the local likelihood density estimator of Copas(1995) are derived when the locally parametric model has several parameters. It turns out that it has the same asymptotic mean squared error as that of Hjort and Jones(1996).

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A Comparative Study for Several Bayesian Estimators Under Balanced Loss Function

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, the performance of widely used Bayesian estimators such as Bayes estimator, empirical Bayes estimator, constrained Bayes estimator and constrained empirical Bayes estimator are compared by means of a measurement under balanced loss function for the typical normal-normal situation. The proposed measurement is a weighted sum of the precisions of first and second moments. As a result, one can gets the criterion according to the size of prior variance against the population variance.

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다중반응표면 최적화에서 가중평균제곱오차 최소화법을 위한 선호도사후제시법 (A Posterior Preference Articulation Method to the Weighted Mean Squared Error Minimization Approach in Multi-Response Surface Optimization)

  • 정인준
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.7061-7070
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    • 2015
  • 다중반응표면 최적화는 다수의 반응변수(품질특성치)를 동시에 고려하여 최적의 입력변수 조건을 찾는 반응표면분석의 세부 분야이다. 가중평균제곱오차(Weighted Mean Squared Error, WMSE) 최소화법은 평균제곱오차의 두 구성 요소인 제곱편차와 분산에 가중치를 부여한 WMSE를 활용하는데, 반응변수별로 WMSE를 구하여 이들을 종합적으로 최소화한다. 지금까지 WMSE 최소화법과 관련하여 개발된 기법은 대부분 의사결정자의 선호도 정보를 문제풀이 이전에 결정할 것을 요구하는 선호도사전제시법에 해당된다. 그러나 현실적으로 의사결정자가 자신의 선호도 정보를 사전에 정확히 제공하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 한계점을 개선하기 위하여 WMSE 최소화를 위한 선호도사후제시법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 의사결정자의 선호도 정보 없이 다수의 비지배적해를 생성한 후, 의사결정자가 생성된 비지배해 중 최고선호해를 선택하는 단계로 진행된다. 제안된 방법은 의사결정자로 하여금 전체 해집합의 트레이드오프 관계를 보다 폭넓은 시각으로 이해한 후 선호도 정보를 제시할 수 있도록 함으로써, 의사결정자의 선호도에 부합하는 최고선호해를 효과적으로 도출할 수 있다.