• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty Bound

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Stabilization Power Systems withan Adaptive Fuzzy Control (적응퍼지제어를 이용한 전력계통 안정화)

  • 박영환;박귀태
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 1998
  • Power systems have uncertain dynamics due to a variety of effects such as lightning, severe storms and equipment failures. The variation of the effective reactance of a transmission line due to a fault is an example of uncertainty in power system dynamics. Hence, a robust controller to cope with these uncertainties is needed. Recently, fuzzy controllers are becoming quite popular for robust control due to its potential of dealing with uncertain systems. Thus in this paper we design an adaptive fuzzy controller based on an input-output linearization approach for the transient stabilization and voltage regulation of a power system under a sudden fault. Also this paper proposes a fuzzy system that estimates the upper bound of uncertain term in the system dynamics to guarantee the Lyapunov stability. Simulation results show that good performance is achieved by the proposed controller.

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A long-term tunnel settlement prediction model based on BO-GPBE with SHM data

  • Yang Ding;Yu-Jun Wei;Pei-Sen Xi;Peng-Peng Ang;Zhen Han
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2024
  • The new metro crossing the existing metro will cause the settlement or floating of the existing structures, which will have safety problems for the operation of the existing metro and the construction of the new metro. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor and predict the settlement of the existing metro caused by the construction of the new metro in real time. Considering the complexity and uncertainty of metro settlement, a Gaussian Prior Bayesian Emulator (GPBE) probability prediction model based on Bayesian optimization (BO) is proposed, that is, BO-GPBE. Firstly, the settlement monitoring data are analyzed to get the influence of the new metro on the settlement of the existing metro. Then, five different acquisition functions, that is, expected improvement (EI), expected improvement per second (EIPS), expected improvement per second plus (EIPSP), lower confidence bound (LCB), probability of improvement (PI) are selected to construct BO model, and then BO-GPBE model is established. Finally, three years settlement monitoring data were collected by structural health monitoring (SHM) system installed on Nanjing Metro Line 10 are employed to demonstrate the effectiveness of BO-GPBE for forecasting the settlement.

An Interval Travel Demand Estimation Method (구간추정법을 이용한 교통수요추정)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Kim, Yong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents the travel demand estimation using interval estimation methods during the trip generation stage, and then followed the other three stages of the four stage trip estimation. We have used real data of Dae-jun City. To estimate travel demand using the interval estimation method, a reliability level was set to 95% by a upper bound value, a middle value and a lower bound value. The four stage traffic demand analysis procedure was equally applied and finally interval traffic was estimated. The result showed a difference between maximum values and middle values depending on the destination during the trip generation stage. It depends on an explanation ability of regression analysis. Most of interval estimation ratio resulted in the traffic assignment stage showed ${\pm}5{\sim}18%$ difference on the average and ${\pm}30{\sim}50%$ at the most.

Health Risk Assessment of Disinfection By-products by Chlorination in Tap Water Ingestion (수도수중 염소 소독부산물로 인한 건강위해성 평가에 관한 연구 - 서울시 수도수중 Trihalomethanes 및 Haloaceticnitriles을 중심으로 -)

  • Chung, Yong;Shin, Dong-Chun;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Park, Yeon-Shin;Kim, Jun-Sung
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.12 no.3_4
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 1997
  • Public concerns about hazardous health effect from the exposure to organic by-products of the chlorination have been increased. There are numerous studies reporting that chlorination of drinking water produces numerous chlorinated organic by-products including THMs, HAAs, HANs. Some of these products are known to be animal carcinogens. The purpose of this study was to estimate health risk of DBPs by chlorinated drinking water ingestion in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex-chemical-mixture. The drinking water sample was collected seperately at six water treatment plant in Seoul at March, April, 1996. In tap water of households in Seoul, DBPs were measured wilfh the mean value of 36.6 $\mu$g/L. Risk assessment processes,. which include processes for the estimation of human cancer potency using animal bioassay data and calculation of human exposure, entail uncertainties. In the exposure assessment process, exposure scenarios with various assumptions could affect the exposure amount and excess cancer risk. The reference dose of haloacetonitriles was estimated to be 0.0023 mg/kg/day by applying dibromoacetonitrile NOAEL and uncertainty factor to the mean concentration. In the first case, human excess cancer risk was estimated by the US EPA method used to set the MCL (maximum contaminant level). In the second and third case, the risk was estimated for multi-route exposure with and without adopting Monte-Carlo simulation, respectively. In the second case, exposure input parameters and cancer potencies used probability distributions, and in the third case, those values used point estimates (mean, and maximum or 95% upper-bound value). As a result, while the excess cancer risk estimated by US EPA method considering only direct ingestion tended to be underestimated, the risk which was estimated by considering multi-route exposure without Monte-Carlo simulation and then using the maximum or 95% upper-bound value as input parameters tended to be overestimated. In risk assessment for Trihalomethanes, considering multi-route exposure with adopting Monte-Carlo analysis seems to provide the most reasonable estimations.

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Quantitative analysis of cholesterol in infant formula by isotope dilution liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (동위원소희석 액체크로마토그래피 질량분석법에 의한 분유 내 콜레스테롤의 정량)

  • Ahn, Eun Jeong;Lee, Hwa Shim;Kim, Byung Joo;Lee, Gae Ho
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.460-466
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    • 2015
  • An isotope dilution liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry was developed as a primary method for the quantitative analysis of cholesterol in infant formula. Cholesterol-d4 was used as an internal standard and spiked into the infant formula sample. In order to release cholesterol out of cholesteryl ester, which is cholesterol bound to fatty acids in infant formula, saponification was carried out. Saponification conditions were optimized with heating temperature, reaction time and the concentration of KOH. The optimum conditions were as follows; heating temperature was 70 ℃, reaction time was 180 min and the concentration of KOH was 0.8 mL of 8 M KOH for about 0.1 g infant formula sample. Extraction of cholesterol out of sample solution was carried out with hexane uisng liquid-liquid extraction. Chromatographic analysis was carried out using Phenomenex Kinetex C18 column. Mobile phase was 0.1% acetic acid in methanol/water (v/v, 99/1) and flow rate was 0.3 mL/min. Cholesterol and cholesterol-d4 were monitored at mass transfer m/z 369/259 and 373/263 respectively. Reproducibility of the method was evaluated to be 0.23% of the measurement result. The expanded uncertainty of the measurement result of cholesterol in infant formula was approximately 1.9% at a 95% confidence level. NIST standard reference material having certified values of cholesterol in infant formula, was analyzed in order to verify this method. The ID-LC/MS/MS results were well agreed with the certified values of NIST SRM within the uncertainty.

The Interpretation of Different Recreation Benefits According to Time Horizon in the Contingent Valuation Method (가상가치평가법(假想價値評價法)에서 시간범위(時間範圍)에 따른 휴양가치(休養價値)의 차이(差異) 해석(解析))

  • Kim, Joon-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.88 no.1
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 1999
  • Consumer surplus is to be a value concerning a time horizon. Especially it is very important how long time horizon would be chosen in contingent market. This study aimed to provide causes of difference recreation benefits through discount rate in many aspects. The data were collected by personal interviews with visitors in Songnisan National Park. The respondents answered yes or no, dichotomous choice, on recreation benefits according to a chosen time horizon, one year or five years. The probit model was used in the analysis. In order to avoid the truncation bias of upper bound, the median was chosen as the recreation benefits of visitor. As the result, the value was evaluated to be 16,569 Won for one year and 27,111 Won for five years. The discount rate is estimated 153% annually to coincide different recreation benefits. The reasons of the high discount rate were to be interpreted as following five types : (1)uncertainty of future consumption (2)increasing of probability of the substitution owing to increasing of time horizon (3)recognization of different time horizons (4) effect by the price ratio of goods and utility function (5) overestimation of the recreation benefits owing to a basic premium of payment vehicle.

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Portfolio of Real Estate Price Index for ICT Environment Study on Diversification Effect (ICT 환경에서 부동산 가격지수 포트폴리오 분산효과에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Dae-Seub;Min, Guy-Sik
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2014
  • ICT environment to the survey released by the Bureau of Statistics 2012 Household Finance. Korean Welfare survey 24.9% of all households in financial assets, real estate is about three times more than 69.9%, respectively. The problem is that the information is slow and income deciles(deciles 1-4), a relatively high proportion of households with low(78.8 to 69%) of the real estate assets of the expansion of the world economy with low growth and low uncertainty, work from home due to the information changes in the structure of the economy, such as increases in real estate prices remain exposed to the risk of a phenomenon such as Pour House Pour Talent and low-income people is bound to be more serious symptoms. This low correlation is by constructing a composite asset portfolio, the weighted average risk of the individual assets while increasing overall revenue decrease that risk is based on the principle of portfolio by type and different areas in the ICT environment in a portfolio of real estate price index low correlation to financial assets by including the effect of dispersion stable complex asset portfolio and empirical Growth was divided.

Development of a predictive functional control approach for steel building structure under earthquake excitations

  • Mohsen Azizpour;Reza Raoufi;Ehsan Kazeminezhad
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.187-198
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    • 2023
  • Model Predictive Control (MPC) is an advanced control approach that uses the current states of the system model to predict its future behavior. In this article, according to the seismic dynamics of structural systems, the Predictive Functional Control (PFC) method is used to solve the control problem. Although conventional PFC is an efficient control method, its performance may be impaired due to problems such as uncertainty in the structure of state sensors and process equations, as well as actuator saturation. Therefore, it requires the utilization of appropriate estimation algorithms in order to accurately evaluate responses and implement actuator saturation. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering simultaneously the saturation actuator. Accordingly, an extended PFC is presented based on the H-ifinity (H∞) filter (HPFC) while considering the saturation actuator. Thus, the structural responses are formulated by two estimation models using the H∞ filter. First, the H∞ filter estimates responses using a performance bound (𝜃). Second, the H∞ filter is converted into a Kalman filter in a special case by considering the 𝜃 equal to zero. Therefore, the scheme based on the Kalman filter (KPFC) is considered a comparative model. The proposed method is evaluated through numerical studies on a building equipped with an Active Tuned Mass Damper (ATMD) under near and far-field earthquakes. Finally, HPFC is compared with classical (CPFC) and comparative (KPFC) schemes. The results show that HPFC has an acceptable efficiency in boosting the accuracy of CPFC and KPFC approaches under earthquakes, as well as maintaining a descending trend in structural responses.

Robust and Non-fragile H Controller Design Algorithm for Time-delayed System with Randomly Occurring Uncertainties and Disturbances ) (임의발생 불확실성 및 외란을 고려한 시간지연시스템의 강인비약성 H 제어기 설계 알고리듬)

  • Yang, Seung Hyeop;Paik, Seung Hyun;Lee, Jun Yeong;Park, Hong Bae
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2015
  • This paper provides a robust and non-fragile $H_{\infty}$ controller design algorithm for time-delayed systems with randomly occurring polytopic uncertainties and disturbances. First, we design time-delayed system considering randomly occurring uncertainties and disturbances. Next, The sufficient condition for the existence of robust and non-fragile $H_{\infty}$ controller is presented by LMI(linear matrix inequality) using Lyapunov stability analysis and $H_{\infty}$ performance measure. Since the obtained condition can be expressed as a PLMI(parameterized linear matrix inequality) by changes of variables and Schur complement, all solutions including controller gain, degrees of controller satisfying non-fragility, $H_{\infty}$ norm bound ${\gamma}$ can be calculated simultaneously. Finally, numerical examples are given to illustrate the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed robust and non-fragile $H_{\infty}$ controller compared with the deterministic uncertainty model even though there exists randomly occurring uncertainties, disturbances and time delays.

A Study on the Relationships between Super Bowl Ad Meter and Advertising Appeals in Cultural Dimensions (슈퍼볼 애드미터와 광고 어필사이의 문화측면에서 연관성 연구)

  • Kim, Chinsol;Lee, Yuncheol
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.183-208
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    • 2016
  • The objective of the study was to find out whether the Super Bowl adverts with high Ad Meter scores had more advertising appeals related to U.S. culture in Hofstede's dimensions. The significance of the study lies in the analysis on U.S. consumer preferences on adverts in terms of culture under one of the most representative American sport event: Super Bowl. The study was based on a content analysis of top and bottom 10 Super Bowl adverts during a period of consecutive seven years 2005 through 2011. The top and bottom ten were grouped based on the Ad Meter scores by the USA Today. The number of adverts interpreted by two coders along with the author was 139. The coding results implies that adverts in the top 10 group carried more appeals connected to US culture in Hofstede dimensions, such as youth, untamed, and magic in uncertainty avoidance dimension. Meanwhile, such appeals as ornamental, vain, and status in high power distance dimension were mainly found in the bottom 10 adverts group. Grounded on the findings from the content analysis, links between the score levels and the presence of certain appeals may offer marketers a hint on what appeals they emphasize when producing adverts in a certain cultural bound, let alone Super Bowl adverts targeting TV viewers in the U. S. A.