• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• v.2
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• pp.635-638
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• 2006

Regression of conventional prediction techniques in data mining uses the model which is generated from the training step. This model is applied to new input data without any change. If this model is applied directly to time series, the rate of prediction accuracy will be decreased. This paper proposes an incremental regression for time series prediction like typhoon track prediction. This technique considers the characteristic of time series which may be changed over time. It is composed of two steps. The first step executes a fractional process for applying input data to the regression model. The second step updates the model by using its information as new data. Additionally, the model is maintained by only recent data in a queue. This approach has the following two advantages. It maintains the minimum information of the model by using a matrix, so space complexity is reduced. Moreover, it prevents the increment of error rate by updating the model over time. Accuracy rate of the proposed method is measured by RME(Relative Mean Error) and RMSE(Root Mean Square Error). The results of typhoon track prediction experiment are performed by the proposed technique IMLR(Incremental Multiple Linear Regression) is more efficient than those of MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) and SVR(Support Vector Regression).

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.211-221
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• 2012

Many metric-based classification models have been proposed to predict fault-proneness of software module. This paper presents two prediction models using Bayesian classifier which is one of the most popular modern classification algorithms. Bayesian model based on Bayesian probability theory can be a promising technique for software quality prediction. This is due to the ability to represent uncertainty using probabilities and the ability to partly incorporate expert's knowledge into training data. The two models, Na$\ddot{i}$veBayes(NB) and Bayesian Belief Network(BBN), are constructed and dimensionality reduction of training data and test data are performed before model evaluation. Prediction accuracy of the model is evaluated using two prediction error measures, Type I error and Type II error, and compared with well-known prediction models, backpropagation neural network model and support vector machine model. The results show that the prediction performance of BBN model is slightly better than that of NB. For the data set with ambiguity, although the BBN model's prediction accuracy is not as good as the compared models, it achieves better performance than the compared models for the data set without ambiguity.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.61-81
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• 2023

This study presents an ensemble learning based Bayesian model updating approach for structural damage diagnosis. In the developed framework, the structure is initially decomposed into a set of substructures. The autoregressive moving average (ARMAX) model is established first for structural damage localization based structural motion equation. The wavelet packet decomposition is utilized to extract the damage-sensitive node energy in different frequency bands for constructing structural surrogate models. Four methods, including Kriging predictor (KRG), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), support vector regression (SVR), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), are selected as candidate structural surrogate models. These models are then resampled by bootstrapping and combined to obtain an ensemble model by probabilistic ensemble. Meanwhile, the maximum entropy principal is adopted to search for new design points for sample space updating, yielding a more robust ensemble model. Through the iterations, a framework of surrogate ensemble learning based model updating with high model construction efficiency and accuracy is proposed. The specificities of the method are discussed and investigated in a case study.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.137-147
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• 2013

For the effective management of groundwater resources, it is necessary to predict groundwater level fluctuations in response to rainfall events. In the present study, time series models using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVMs) have been developed and applied to groundwater level data from the Gasan, Shingwang, and Cheongseong stations of the National Groundwater Monitoring Network. We designed four types of model according to input structure and compared their performances. The results show that the rainfall input model is not effective, especially for the prediction of groundwater recession behavior; however, the rainfall-groundwater input model is effective for the entire prediction stage, yielding a high model accuracy. Recursive prediction models were also effective, yielding correlation coefficients of 0.75-0.95 with observed values. The prediction errors were highest for Shingwang station, where the cross-correlation coefficient is lowest among the stations. Overall, the model performance of SVM models was slightly higher than that of ANN models for all cases. Assessment of the model parameter uncertainty of the recursive prediction models, using the ratio of errors in the validation stage to that in the calibration stage, showed that the range of the ratio is much narrower for the SVM models than for the ANN models, which implies that the SVM models are more stable and effective for the present case studies.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.10 no.4 s.36
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• pp.123-132
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• 2005

A version control system is used in a rapidly changed environment or a program which developed in a complicated environment. And configuration thread information supporting and it's processing method has an important part in version control. Configuration thread tool such as a system model of DSEE, a view of ClearCase, a label of SourceSafe, and the package of CCC/Harvest have applied to formalized configuration rule by user and obtained a desired configuration information of the version. But it is a problem of configuration thread in supporting information that we. in this method. can't know a exactly well-defined configuration rule information and a predefined information. And these information have a demerit that can't supported the close connection along with undefined version and a meta-information. In this paper. we have modeling a system for these problems to solve and a efficiently configuration thread supported. We also proposed a mixed retrieval model included a boolean retrieval model and a vector retrieval model for support efficiently configuration thread information. We applied and designed the libraries using extended facet method.

• IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.119-125
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• 2008

This paper presents the polygon-based Q-leaning and Cascade Support Vector Machine algorithm for object search with multiple robots. We organized an experimental environment with ten mobile robots, twenty five obstacles, and an object, and then we sent the robots to a hallway, where some obstacles were lying about, to search for a hidden object. In experiment, we used four different control methods: a random search, a fusion model with Distance-based action making (DBAM) and Area-based action making (ABAM) process to determine the next action of the robots, and hexagon-based Q-learning and dodecagon-based Q-learning and Cascade SVM to enhance the fusion model with DBAM and ABAM process.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.81-90
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• 2017

We have analyzed the performance of 58 kWp photovoltaic (PV) power systems installed in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Performance ratio (PR) of 3 PV systems with 3 desert-type PV modules using monitoring data for 1 year showed 85.5% on average. Annual degradation rate of 5 individual modules achieved 0.26%, the regression model using monitoring data for the specified interval of one year showed 0.22%. Root mean square error (RMSE) of 6 big data analysis models for power output prediction in May 2016 was analyzed 2.94% using a support vector regression model.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.345-354
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• 2003

An incremental kernel principal component analysis(IKPCA) is proposed for the nonlinear feature extraction from the data. The problem of batch kernel principal component analysis(KPCA) is that the computation becomes prohibitive when the data set is large. Another problem is that, in order to update the eigenvectors with another data, the whole eigenvectors should be recomputed. IKPCA overcomes this problem by incrementally updating the eigenspace model. IKPCA is more efficient in memory requirement than a batch KPCA and can be easily improved by re-learning the data. In our experiments we show that IKPCA is comparable in performance to a batch KPCA for the classification problem on nonlinear data set.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.43-50
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• 2008

Multinomial logistic regression is a well known multiclass classification method in the field of statistical learning. More recently, the development of sparse multinomial logistic regression model has found application in microarray classification, where explicit identification of the most informative observations is of value. In this paper, we propose a sparse multinomial kernel logistic regression model, in which the sparsity arises from the use of a Laplacian prior and a fast exact algorithm is derived by employing a bound optimization approach. Experimental results are then presented to indicate the performance of the proposed procedure.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2008.06a
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• pp.971-972
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• 2008

In this paper, we present a novel method for classifying pornography images using adaptive skin detection. From an input image, we detect initial skin regions and construct an adaptive skin probability density model using color information for the detected skin regions. From the skin probability density model, we extract feature vectors and train the images using Support Vector Machine to classify pornography images.