• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.49-57
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• 2010

We extended a general attack tree to apply cyber attack model for network vulnerability analysis. We defined an extended cyber attack tree (E-CAT) which extends the general attack tree by associating each node of the tree with a transition of attack that could have contributed to the cyber attack. The E-CAT resolved the limitation that a general attack tree can not express complex and sophisticate attacks. Firstly, the Boolean expression can simply express attack scenario with symbols and codes. Secondary, An Attack Generation Probability is used to select attack method in an attack tree. A CONDITION-composition can express new and modified attack transition which a aeneral attack tree can not express. The E-CAT is possible to have attack's flexibility and improve attack success rate when it is applied to cyber attack model.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1998년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.657-659
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• 1998

In this paper we discuss an algorithm to discriminate a target under track against multiple acoustic counter-measure (ACM) sources, based on sequential testings of multiple hypotheses. The ACM sources are separated from the target under track and generate, while drifting, measurements with false range and Doppler information. The purpose of the ACM is to mislead the target tracking and to help the true target evade a pursuer. The proposed algorithm uses as a test statistic a function of both the sequences of processed waveform signature and the innovation sequences from extended Kalman filters to estimate the target dynamics and the drifting positions of the ACM sources. Numerical experiments on various scenarios show that the proposed algorithm discriminates the target faster with a higher probability of success than the algorithm using only the innovation sequences from extended Kalman filters.

• 경영과학
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• 제34권1호
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• pp.27-45
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to empirically analyze whether open innovation activities are significant and which methods are more effective in developing new businesses. Based on the latest technological innovation survey data of the Science and Technology Policy Institute, the results were analyzed by binary logistic regression analysis. As a result of the analysis, we confirmed that open innovation activities have a positive effect on the performance of developing new businesses. In the open innovation activities, Recruitment (invitation) of specialist in related fields, Business alliance technical agreement, Dispatch of personnel, M&A, Acquisitions identify related field trends showed more influence in order. It would be beneficial to improve the performance of developing new businesses with a low probability of success if utilize more effective innovation activities in developing new business in enterprises or organizations throughout this study.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.94-115
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• 2005

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the economic value of a biotechnology in the middle of R&D and to examine strategies to manage a variety of risks and uncertainties intrinsic in research and development of biotechnologies through economic valuation in consideration of technological and industrial characteristics of the technology. To do this, this study analyzes the probability of commercial success of the technology development in qualitative terms, evaluates the quantitative value of the technology on the basis of a determined model, and proposes the implications on R&D strategy. In concrete, this study analyzes the economic value of the technology by constructing a decision tree reflecting the characteristics of the R&D process of the technology and draw the implications on the future R&D strategies of the technology.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.187-197
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• 2020

In order to avoid the high cost and high risk of demonstration mission of rendezvous-docking technology, missions using nanosatellites have recently been increasing. However, there are few successful mission cases due to many limitations of nanosatellites like small size, power limitation, and limited performances of sensor, thruster, and controller. To improve the probability of rendezvous-docking mission success using nanosatellite, a rendezvous-docking phase analysis tool for nanosatellites is developed. The tool serves to analyze the relative position and attitude control of the chaser satellite at the docking phase. In this tool, the Model Predictive Controller (MPC) is implemented as a controller, and Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) is adopted as a filter for noise filtering. To verify the performance and effectiveness of the developed tool for nanosatellites, simulation study was conducted. Consequently, we confirmed that this tool can be used for the analysis of relative position and attitude control for nanosatellites in the rendezvous-docking phase.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.229-234
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• 2012

Operator's action time is evaluated from MAAP4 analysis used in conventional probabilistic safety assessment(PSA) of a nuclear power plant. MAAP4 code which was developed for severe accident analysis is too conservative to perform a realistic PSA. A best-estimate code such as RELAP5/MOD3, MARS has been used to reduce the conservatism of thermal hydraulic analysis. In this study, operator's action time of core cooling recovery operation is evaluated by using the MARS code, which its Fussell-Vessely(F-V) value was evaluated as highly important in a small break loss of coolant(SBLOCA) event and loss of component cooling water(LOCCW) event in previous PSA. The main conclusions were elicited : (1) MARS analysis provides larger time window for operator's action time than MAAP4 analysis and gives the more realistic time window in PSA (2) Sufficient operator's action time can reduce human error probability and core damage frequency in PSA.

• 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.19-27
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• 2016

Many countries concentrated on the space developments to enhance the national security and the people's quality of life. A space launch vehicle for accessing the space is a typical large complex system that is composed of the high-technology like high-performance, high-reliability, superhigh-pressure, etc. The project developing large complex system like space launcher is mostly conducted in the uncertain environment. To achieve a goal of the project, its success probability should be enhanced consistently by reducing its uncertainty during the life cycle: it's possible to reduce the project's uncertainty by performing the risk management (RM) that is a method for identifying and tracing potential risk factors in order to eliminate the risks of the project. In this paper, we introduce the risk management (RM) process applied for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2000년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.473-476
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• 2000

The network reliability is to be computed in terms of the terminal reliability. The computation of a termini reliability is started with a Boolean sum of products expression corresponding to simple paths of the pair of nodes. This expression is then transformed into another equivalent expression to be a Disjoint Sum of Products form. But this computaion of the terminal reliability obviously does not consider the communication between any other nodes but for the source and the sink. In this paper, we derive the overall network reliability which is the probability of communication that each node in the network communicates with all other remaining nodes. For this, we propose a method to make the SOP disjoint for deriving the network reliability expression from the system success expression using the modified Sheinman's method and modified BDD method.

• International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.16-23
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• 2012

In this paper we discussed a new methodology for Urdu Character Recognition system using Dempster-Shafer theory which can powerfully estimate the similarity ratings between a recognized character and sampling characters in the character database. Recognition of character is done by five probability calculation methods such as (similarity, hamming, linear correlation, cross-correlation, nearest neighbor) with Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions. The main objective of this paper is to Recognition of Urdu letters and numerals through five similarity and dissimilarity algorithms to find the similarity between the given image and the standard template in the character recognition system. In this paper we develop a method to combine the results of the different distance measurement methods using the Dempster-Shafer theory. This idea enables us to obtain a single precision result. It was observed that the combination of these results ultimately enhanced the success rate.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.5-14
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• 2006

The correct and opportune decision of reengaging the intercepted target is required in order to enhance the engagement performance of the surface to air missile systems that has the ability to defense or attack against various targets at the same time. The engagement efficiency and success of these systems will be largely enhanced by assigning quickly its system resources to the intercepted target and minimizing the waste of system resources for the target which is not able to attack any more. The kill-assessment algorithm has to be able to evaluate automatically whether various targets intercepted by missiles are killed or not on the basis of the reasonable confidence level. The definition of kill assessment is discussed and the kill assessment algorithm is designed reliably by using Kalman filter and a probability theory. Finally its performance is evaluated and analyzed by the Monte Carlo simulation.