• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic Characteristics

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Analysis of Cost and Efficiency of a Medical Nursing Unit Using Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing (시간-동인활동기준원가계산(Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing)을 이용한 일 내과병동 간호단위 원가계산 및 효율성 분석)

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Kim, Mi-Ja;Park, Chang-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.500-509
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Time-driven activity-based costing was applied to analyze the nursing activity cost and efficiency of a medical unit. Methods: Data were collected at a medical unit of a general hospital. Nursing activities were measured using a nursing activities inventory and classified as 6 domains using Easley-Storfjell Instrument. Descriptive statistics were used to identify general characteristics of the unit, nursing activities and activity time, and stochastic frontier model was adopted to estimate true activity time. Results: The average efficiency of the medical unit using theoretical resource capacity was 77%, however the efficiency using practical resource capacity was 96%. According to these results, the portion of non-added value time was estimated 23% and 4% each. The sums of total nursing activity costs were estimated 109,860,977 won in traditional activity-based costing and 84,427,126 won in time-driven activity-based costing. The difference in the two cost calculating methods was 25,433,851 won. Conclusion: These results indicate that the time-driven activity-based costing provides useful and more realistic information about the efficiency of unit operation compared to traditional activity-based costing. So time-driven activity-based costing is recommended as a performance evaluation framework for nursing departments based on cost management.

Dynamic Behaviors of an Impact System under Randomly Perturbed Harmonic Excitation by the Path-Integral Solution Procedure (Path-Integral Solution을 이용한 랜덤동요된 조화가진력을 받는 임팩트시스템의 거동분석)

  • 마호성
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2004
  • Nonlinear system responses of an impact system under randomly perturbed harmonic excitations are predicted in the probability domain by adopting the semi-analytical procedure previously developed. The semi-analytical procedure is obtained by solving the Fokker-Planck equation corresponding to the stochastic differential equation of the given impact system by utilizing the path-integral solution. The evolutionary joint probability density functions are generated by using the method, and the characteristics of nonlinear dynamic response behaviors of the system are examined. Noise effects on the responses are also examined. It Is found that the semi-analytical method can provides the accurate information of the responses via the joint probability functions for the impact system. It is found that the noises weaken and eventually terminate the chaos in the responses, but it is also found that the chaotic signatures reside in the presence of the external noise with relatively high intensity. The joint probability density function shows that the ensemble of the system responses are weakly stationary.

A Study on Logconductivity-Head Cross Covariance in Two-Dimensional Nonstationary Porous Formations (비정체형 2차원 다공성 매질의 대수투수계수-수두 교차공분산에 관한 연구)

  • 성관제
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 1996
  • An expression for the cross covariance of the logconductivity and the head in nonstationary porous formation is obtained. This cross covariance plays a key role in the inverse problem, i.e., in inferring the statistical characteristics of the conductivity field from head data. The nonstationary logconductivity is modeled as superposition of definite linear trend and stationary fluctuation and the hydraulic head in saturated aquifers is found through stochastic analysis of a steady, two-dimensional flow. The cross covariance with a Gaussian correlation function is investigated for two particular cases where the trend is either parallel or normal to the head gradient. The results show that cross covariances are stationary except along separation distances parallel to the mean flow direction for the case where the trend is parallel to head gradient. Also, unlike the stationary model, the cross covariance along distances normal to flow direction is non-zero. From these observations we conclude that when a trend in the conductivity field is suspected, this information must be incorporated in the analysis of groundwater flow and solute transjport.

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Finite Element A nalysis of Gradually and Rapidly Varied Unsteady Flow in Open Channel:I.Theory and Stability Analysis (개수로내의 점변 및 급변 부정류에 대한 유한요소해석 :I.이론 및 수치안정성 해석)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Park, Jae-Hong;Lee, Jong-Tae
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 1996
  • The simulation techniques of hydrologic data series have been developed for the purposes of the design of water resources system, the optimization of reservoir operation, and the design of flood control of reservoir, etx. While the stochastic models are usually used in most analysis of water resources fields for the generation of data sequences, the indexed sequential modeling (ISM) method based on generation of a series of overlapping short-term flow sequences directly from the historical record has been used for the data generation in western USA since the early of 1980's. It was reported that the reliable results by ISM were obtained in practical applications. In this study, we generate annual inflow series at a location of Hong Cheon Dam site by using ISM method and first order autoregressive model (AR(1)), and estimate the drought characteristics for the comparison aim between ISM and AR(1).

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Modification of Particle Dispersion in Isotropic Turbulence by Free Rotation of Particle (등방성 난류에서 입자의 회전에 의한 분산 특성의 변화)

  • Park, Yong-Nam;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.665-670
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    • 2010
  • The effect of a particle's spin is investigated numerically by taking into account the effect of lift forces originating due to difference between the rotations of a particle and of a fluid, such as the Saffman and Magnus lift forces. These lift forces have been ignored in many previous studies on particle-laden turbulence. The trajectory of the particles can be changed by the lift forces, resulting in a significant modification of the stochastic characteristics of heavy particles. Probability density functions and autocorrelations are evaluated from the velocity of solid particle, acceleration of solid particles, and acceleration of fluid at the position of solid particle. Changes in velocity statistics are negligible but statistics related with acceleration are affected by the rotation of particle. When a laden particle encounters coherent structures during its motion, the particle's rotation might significantly affects the motion due to intermittently large fluid acceleration near the coherent structures.

A New Bootstrap Simulation Method for Intermittent Demand Forecasting (간헐적 수요예측을 위한 부트스트랩 시뮬레이션 방법론 개발)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Lee, Ha Neul;Jung, Gisun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2014
  • Demand forecasting is the basis of management activities including marketing strategy. Especially, the demand of a part is remarkably important in supply chain management (SCM). In the fields of various industries, the part demand usually has the intermittent characteristic. The intermittent characteristic implies a phenomenon that there frequently occurs zero demands. In the intermittent demands, non-zero demands have large variance and their appearances also have stochastic nature. Accordingly, in the intermittent demand forecasting, it is inappropriate to apply the traditional time series models and/or cause-effect methods such as linear regression; they cannot describe the behaviors of intermittent demand. Markov bootstrap method was developed to forecast the intermittent demand. It assumes that first-order autocorrelation and independence of lead time demands. To release the assumption of independent lead time demands, this paper proposes a modified bootstrap method. The method produces the pseudo data having the characteristics of historical data approximately. A numerical example for real data will be provided as a case study.

Characteristics of Scattered Rays Depending on the Use of a Flattening Filter (선속평탄 여과판 사용 유무에 따른 산란선 특성)

  • Jin, SeongJin;Park, ChulWoo;Je, Jaeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2016
  • This Study aims at measuring scattered rays depending on the use of a flattening filter when radiation is irradiated using a linear accelerator. measurement of the scattered rays, an ionization chamber was used, and the energy of the irradiated radiation was 6 MV and 10 MV. The ionization chamber was located at the spot 15 cm, 25 cm, 35 cm and 45 cm far away from the center of gantry rotation, and the scattered rays were measured according to whether a flattening filter was used or not and to the distance. As the result of investigation of 100 cGy about each energy, when the flattening filter was not used with 6 MV, it occurred at a low level of 65%, and with 10 MV at that of 55%. In other words, it's been concluded that when a flattening filter is not used for radiation dose of the parts around the critical organ, scattered rays generate in a small quantity, and it's a useful way to decrease the stochastic effect of radiation.

Cash flow Forecasting in International Construction Projects through Categorized Risk Analysis (특성별 리스크 분석을 통한 해외건설공사 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeom, Sang-Min;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yeon;Nam, Ha-Na;Park, Hee-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, risk factors which can raise project cost are identified in the initial stage and picked out through the decision maker's baseline. And also this probable risks are implemented to the project cash flow to estimate the contingency and to build a risk management system in the level of project. The risks that affect the projects profits were classified in two categories in the risk checklist. Firstly, financial risks derived from the external economic conditions for example exchange rate, escalation, interest rates etc. are analyzed through the stochastic methods, Monte-Carlo Simulation. Secondly, the project individual risks which are come from the project characteristics, for example country risk, clime, owner etc., are evaluated using the utility curve of the decision maker. Finally these risk analysis methods are used to forecast the actual project cash flow and final profit.

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Assessment of Flood Probability Based on Temporal Distribution of Forecasted-Rainfall in Cheongmicheon Watershed (예보강우의 시간분포에 따른 청미천 유역의 홍수 확률 평가)

  • Lee, Hyunji;Jun, Sang Min;Hwang, Soon Ho;Choi, Soon-Kun;Park, Jihoon;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study was to assess the flood probability based on temporal distribution of forecasted-rainfall in Cheongmicheon watershed. In this study, 6-hr rainfalls were disaggregated into hourly rainfall using the Multiplicative Random Cascade (MRC) model, which is a stochastic rainfall time disaggregation model and it was repeated 100 times to make 100 rainfalls for each storm event. The watershed runoff was estimated using the Clark unit hydrograph method with disaggregated rainfall and watershed characteristics. Using the peak discharges of the simulated hydrographs, the probability distribution was determined and parameters were estimated. Using the parameters, the probability density function is shown and the flood probability is calculated by comparing with the design flood of Cheongmicheon watershed. The flood probability results differed for various values of rainfall and rainfall duration. In addition, the flood probability calculated in this study was compared with the actual flood damage in Cheongmicheon watershed (R2 = 0.7). Further, this study results could be used for flood forecasting.

A New Dynamic HRA Method and Its Application (새로운 동적인간신뢰도 방법론과 적용)

  • Jae, Moo-Sung;Park, Chan-Kue
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.292-300
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    • 1995
  • This paper present a new dynamic HRA (Human Reliability Analysis) method and its application for Quantifying the human error probabilities in implementing an accident management action. For comparisons of current HRA methods with the new method, the characteristics of THERP, HCR, and SLIM-MAUD, which are most frequently used methods in PSAs, are discussed. The action associated with the implementation of the cavity flooding during a station blackout sequence is considered for its application. This method is based on the concepts of the quantified correlation between the performance requirement and performance achievement. The MAAP 3.0B code and Latin Hypercube sampling technique are used to determine the uncertainty of the performance achievement parameter. Meanwhile, the value of the performance requirement parameter is obtained from interviews. Based on these stochastic distributions obtained, human error probabilities are calculated with respect to the various means and variances of the timings. It is shown that this method is very flexible in that it can be applied to any kind of the operator actions, including the actions associated with the implementation of accident management strategies.

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