• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1993.04a
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• pp.136-145
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• 1993

This paper considers a reliability problem as a special type of flow problem and presents an algorithm to evaluate the exact 2-terminal reliability of networks by using a backtracking technique. It employs a polygon-to-chain reduction in addition to series and parallel reduction techniques to reduce execution time. In comparisons, it presents a much better performance than other algorithms known to us. We also propose a methodology to apply the algorithm for approximation of the system reliability.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.95-109
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• 2007

The purpose of this paper is to study new notions of stochastic comparisons and ageing classes based on the total time on test transform order. We give relationships to other stochastic orders and aging classes given previously. Several preservation properties under the reliability operations of random minima and series system are given.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.5 no.4
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• pp.405-412
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• 2005

In this paper, we verified the failure mechanism of the discolored masking tape wrapped around the wire and studied an improved case study as well. Masking tapes are poly(Vinylchloride-co-Methyl methacrylate) (PVC) and the wire connecting with indoor/outdoor components of the air conditioner is chloroprene(CR). The masking tape under. the ultraviolet ray was accelerated to discolor fivefold. The results determined reveal the discoloration of masking tapes as an elution of the additives, dephenyl Amine series antioxidants, in the connecting wire. When changed dephenyl Amine series to phenol series, we found that the degree of discoloration was dramatically decreased. Due to stink of Thiourea and Thiuram monosulfide, as accelerators in CR wire, we controlled the vulcanization temperature and time without using these accelerators and could get the wire not to smell bad with the equal mechanical properties.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.41-53
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• 2006

The exact cause of the system's failure is often unknown in the masked system lifetime data. In such type of data, there are two observable quantities, namely (i) the systems time to failure and (ii) the set of systems components that contains the component, which might cause the system to fail. Our objective in this paper is to use the maximum likelihood procedure in the presence of masked data to make inference for the reliability of the system's components. We assume a multi-component series system where each component has a constant failure rate. Different cases that permit for closed form solutions of point estimates are considered. The results obtained in this paper generalize other published results.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.11-26
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• 2013

The availability equivalence factors of a general repairable series-parallel system is discussed in this paper based on the availability function of the system. The system components are assumed to be repairable and independent but not identical. The life and repair times of the system components are exponentially distributed with different parameters. Two types of availability equivalent factors of the system are derived. The results derived in this paper generalizes those given in the literature. A case study is introduced to illustrate how the idea of this work can be applied.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.39 no.5 s.166
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• pp.467-478
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• 2006

Water supply reliability for a dam is defined with a concept of probabilistic reliability. An evaluation procedure of the water supply reliability is shown with an analysis of long term firm yield reliability. The water supply reliabilities of Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam were evaluated. To evaluate the water supply reliability, forty one sets of monthly runoff series were generated by SAMS-2000. HEC-5 model was applied to the reservoir simulation to compute the firm yield from a monthly data of time series. The water supply reliability of the firm yield from the design runoff data of Soyanggang Dam is evaluated by 80.5 % for a planning period of 50 years. The water supply reliability of the firm yield from the historic runoff after the dam construction is evaluated by 53.7 %. The firm yield from the design runoff is 1.491 billion $m^3$/yr and the firm yield from the historic runoff is 1.585 billion $m^3$/yr. If the target draft Is 1.585 billion $m^3$/yr, additional water of 0.094 billion $m^3$ could be supplied every year with its risk. From the similar procedures, the firm yield from the design runoff of Chungju Dam is evaluated 3.377 billion $m^3$/yr and the firm yield from the historic runoff is 2.960 billion $m^3$/yr. If the target draft is 3.377 billion $m^3$/yr, water supply insufficiency occurs for all the sets of time series generated. It may result from overestimation of the spring runoff used for design. The procedure shown can be a more objective method to evaluate water supply reliability of a dam.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.131-135
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• 2001

Two general methods of construction leading to several series of universally optimal block designs for complete diallel crosses are provided in this paper. A method of constructing variance balance designs is also given.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 1993.10a
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• pp.195-200
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• 1993

This paper develops practical and realistic reliability models and methods for the evalusion of system reliability and system reliability-based rating of R.C box-girder bridge superstructures. The precise prediction of reserved carrying capacity of bridge as a system is extremely difficult expecially when the bridges are highly redundant and significantly deteriorated or damaged. This paper proposes a new approach for the evaluation of reserved system carrying capacity of bridges in terms of equivalent system-strength, which may be defined as a bridge system-strength corresponding to the system reliability of the bridge. This can be derived from an inverse process based on the concept of FOSM form of system reliability index. The strength limit state models for R.C box-girder bridges suggested in the paper are based on the basic bending and shear strength. and the system reliability problem of box-girder superstructure is formulated as parallel-series models obtained from the FMA(Failure Mode Approach) based on major failure mechanism or critical failure states of each girder. AFOSM and IST(Importance Sampling Technique) simulation algorithm is used for the reliability analysis of the proposed models.

• IE interfaces
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.214-222
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• 2009

In the early design stage, system reliability must be estimated from life testing data at the component level. Previously, a point estimate of system reliability was obtained from the unbiased estimate of the component reliability after assuming that the number of failed components for a given time followed a binomial distribution. For deriving the confidence interval of system reliability, either the lognormal distribution or the normal approximation of the binomial distribution was assumed for the estimator of system reliability. In this paper, a new estimator is used for the component level reliability, which is biased but has a smaller mean square error than the previous one. We propose to use the beta distribution rather than the lognormal or approximated normal distribution for developing the confidence interval of the system reliability. A numerical example based on Monte Carlo simulation illustrates advantages of the proposed approach over the previous approach.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.837-844
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• 2003

In this paper, we obtain the estimator of system reliability for the bivariate Pareto model with bivariate type 1 censored data. We obtain the estimators and approximated confidence intervals of the reliability for the parallel system based on likelihood function and the relative frequency, respectively. Also we present a numerical example by giving a data set which is generated by computer.