• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk indicators

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The Incidence of Malignant Tumors in Environmentally Disadvantaged Regions of Kazakhstan

  • Mamyrbayev, Arstan;Djarkenov, Timur;Dosbayev, Askar;Dusembayeva, Nailya;Shpakov, Anatolyi;Umarova, Gulmira;Drobchenko, Yelena;Kunurkulzhayev, Temirgali;Zhaylybaev, Mukhtar;Isayeva, Gulnar
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.5203-5209
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    • 2016
  • Objective: To explore the prevalence of malignant tumors in the adult population through 2003-2014 in parts of the Aral Sea region: a zone of ecological disaster, a zone of ecological crisis and a zone of precritical conditions. Methods: The long-time average annual levels of cancer morbidity stratified by zones of the Aral Sea region and trends of long-time average annual incidence indicators of malignant tumors were identified. Leading cancer localizations in the adult population was established and associations between cancer incidence and environmental pollution were analyzed. In addition, associations between individual risk factors and cancer incidence in the adult population was established. Correlations between a hazard index and the cancer incidence in the adult population were calculated. Results: In all three Aral Sea regions, as well as in Zhanaarkinskii district, leading cancer in adult population was esophageal, stomach, tracheal, lung, hepatobiliary, and breast. Long-time average annual levels of cancer morbidity in adult population living in the Aral sea region is 1.5 times higher comparing to the control region. In particular, long-time average annual levels of cancer morbidity in adult population living in the zone of ecological disaster was 57.2% higher, in the zone of ecological crisis - 61.9% higher, and in the zone of precritical condition - 16.8% higher. Long-time average annual levels in the adult population of the Aral Sea region significantly exceeded control levels for brain and central nervous system cancer, cancer of bone and articular cartilage, and thyroid cancer. Conclusion: It has was established that the total cancer morbidity depended on the total hazard index associated with the inhalation of nickel and the combined cadmium intake (r=0.8).

A Study of Policy Change on K-ETS and its Objective Conformity (한국 배출권거래제 정책 변동의 목적 부합성 연구)

  • Oh, Il-Young;Yoon, Young Chai
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.325-342
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    • 2018
  • The Korea Emissions Trading Scheme ( K-ETS), which manages roughly 70% of the greenhouse gas emissions in South Korea, was initiated in 2015, after implementation of its 1st basic plan and the 1st allocation plan (2014) for the 1st phase (2015-2017). During the three and a half years since the launch of K-ETS, there have been critical policy change such as adjustment of the institutions involved, development and revision of the 2030 national GHG reduction roadmap, and change in the allocation plans. Moreover, lack of liquidity and fluctuation of carbon prices in the K-ETS market during this period has forced the Korean government to adjust the flexibility mechanism and auction permits of the market stability reserve. To evaluate the policy change in the K-ETS regarding conformance to its objectives, this study defines three objectives (Environmental Effectiveness, Cost Effectiveness and Economic Efficiency) and ten indicators. Evaluation of Environmental Effectiveness of K-ETS suggests that the national GHG reduction roadmap, coverage of GHG emitters and credibility of MRV positively affect GHG mitigation. However, there was a negative policy change implemented in 2017 that weakened the emission cap during the 1st phase. In terms of the Cost Effectiveness, the K-ETS policies related to market management and flexibility mechanism (e.g. banking, borrowing and offsets) were improved to deal with the liquidity shortage and permit price increase, which were caused by policy uncertainty and conservative behavior of firms during 2016-2018. Regarding Economic Efficiency, K-ETS expands benchmark?based allocation and began auction-based allocation; nevertheless, free allocation is being applied to sectors with high carbon leakage risk during the 2nd phase (2018-2020). As a result, it is worth evaluating the K-ETS policies that have been developed with respect to the three main objectives of ETS, considering the trial?and?error approach that has been followed since 2015. This study suggests that K-ETS policy should be modified to strengthen the emission cap, stabilize the market, expand auction-based allocation and build K-ETS specified funds during the 3rd phase (2021-2025).

Investigation of Microbial Safety and Correlations Between the Level of Sanitary Indicator Bacteria and the Detection Ratio of Pathogens in Agricultural Water (농업용수의 미생물학적 안전성 조사 및 위생지표세균 농도와 병원성미생물 검출률과의 상관관계 분석)

  • Hwang, Injun;Lee, Tae Kwon;Park, Daesoo;Kim, Eunsun;Choi, Song-Yi;Hyun, Jeong-Eun;Rajalingam, Nagendran;Kim, Se-Ri;Cho, Min
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.248-259
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    • 2021
  • BACKGROUND: Contaminated water was a major source of food-borne pathogens in various recent fresh produce-related outbreaks. This study was conducted to investigate the microbial contamination level and correlations between the level of sanitary indicator bacteria and the detection ratio of pathogens in agricultural water by logistic regression analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Agricultural water was collected from 457 sites including surface water (n=300 sites) and groundwater (n=157 sites) in South Korea from 2018 to 2020. Sanitary indicator bacteria (total coliform, fecal coliform, and Escherichia coli) and food-borne pathogens (pathogenic E. coli, E. coli O157:H7, Salmonella spp., and Listeria monocytogenes) were analyzed. In surface water, the coliform, fecal coliform, and E. coli were 3.27±0.89 log CFU/100 mL, 1.90±1.19 log CFU/100 mL, and 1.39±1.26 log CFU/100 mL, respectively. For groundwater, three kinds of sanitary indicators ranged in the level from 0.09 - 0.57 log CFU/100 mL. Pathogenic E. coli, Salmonella and Listeria monocytogenes were detected from 3%-site, 1.5%- site, and 0.6%-site water samples, respectively. According to the results of correlations between the level of sanitary indicator bacteria and the detection ratio of pathogens by logistic regression analysis, the probability of pathogen detection increased individually by 1.45 and 1.34 times as each total coliform and E. coli concentration increased by 1 log CFU/100mL. The accuracy of the model was 70.4%, and sensitivity and specificity were 81.5% and 51.7%, respectively. CONCLUSION(S): The results indicate the need to manage the microbial risk of agricultural water to enhance the safety of fresh produce. In addition, logistic regression analysis is useful to analyze the correlation between the level of sanitary indicator bacteria and the detection ratio of pathogens in agricultural water.

A study of the selection criteria for Localization of Military Weapon (무기체계 국산화 대상 선정기준 연구)

  • RYU, SEOKBEOM
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.338-344
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    • 2021
  • Elements that threaten domestic security, such as diplomatic changes in the four major powers surrounding the Korean Peninsula and restrictions on supply and demand of parts due to COVID-19, are constantly increasing. The importance of localizing weapon systems has grown to respond proactively to the threat. As localization is not conducted evenly by the field, it is necessary to change the criteria for selecting localization targets. Establishing standards for selecting targets is difficult due to a lack of research to identify targets. This paper emphasized that the smooth supply of parts from overseas should be examined to identify targets for localization. If suppliers are not distributed evenly in the market, there is a risk of potential supply problems. CRk and HHI, representing the market structure, were proposed as indicators for evaluating the degree of smoothness quantitatively. Among them, CRk is used in Korea to check the market concentration, but there is a limit in the subjectivity of the evaluator, so it cannot be applied without a separate study on the market structure. Therefore, HHI should be applied.

Current Trends in the U.S. Cybersecurity Laws (미국 사이버보안법의 최근 동향 - 「사이버보안 정보공유법」을 중심으로 하여 -)

  • Yang, Chun-Soo;Jee, Yu-Mi
    • Journal of Legislation Research
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    • no.54
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    • pp.155-192
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    • 2018
  • As the 'hyper-connected society' has emerged through the 'Fourth Industrial Revolution, public interests as well as social dangers have increased. Above all, the risk of infringement of information, including confidential personal information, is dramatically increasing. As the hyper-connected society has been realized, even if only one of the internet devices is hacked, there would be a danger that the ripple effect of such a hacking spreads to the whole network. Therefore, the necessity and importance of information security, including cybersecurity, has been increasing. In other words, the stability of cyberspace and internet space is becoming more important. As a result, the Korean government is seeking to build a legal system related to information security, which would be able to cope with the information infringement problem in the hyper-connected society. However, it seems that the government is still struggling with the direction of building such a legal system. In this context, a comparative review examining the legal systems of advanced foreign countries will provide meaningful implications as to what kinds of legal policies we should devise and implement for information security. In particular, the U.S. legislative act that actively responds to the cybersecurity violations is worthy of reference. For this reason, this article systematically analyzes the current status of the U.S. cybersecurity laws. Especially, this article focuses on the "Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act of 2015"(hereinafter "CISA"), that was recently enacted by the U.S. congress. The CISA prescribes the systemic and detailed information-sharing between national and private entities. The CISA, that actively promotes information-sharing, is full of suggestions for us, in that information-sharing is an effective way to properly realize information security in today's hyper-connected society.

Study on Estimation of Unmanned Enforcement Equipment Installation Criteria and Proper Installation Number (무인교통단속장비 설치 판단 기준 및 설치대수 산정 연구)

  • So, Hyung-Jun;Kim, Yong-Man;Kim, Nam-Seon;Hwang, Jae-Seong;Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2020
  • The number of traffic control equipment installed to prevent traffic accidents increases every year due to continuous installation by the National Police Agency and local governments. However, it is installed based on qualitative judgment rather than engineering analysis results. The purpose of this study was to present additional installations in the future by presenting the installation criteria considering the severity of accidents for each road type and calculating the appropriate number of installations. ARI indicators that can indicate the severity of traffic accidents were developed, and road types were classified through analysis of variance and cluster analysis, and accident information by road type was analyzed to derive ARI of clusters with high traffic accident severity. The ARI values required to determine the installation of equipment for each road type were presented, and 5,244 additional installation points were analyzed.

Performance Comparison of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms for Futures Scalping (해외선물 스캘핑을 위한 강화학습 알고리즘의 성능비교)

  • Jung, Deuk-Kyo;Lee, Se-Hun;Kang, Jae-Mo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.697-703
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    • 2022
  • Due to the recent economic downturn caused by Covid-19 and the unstable international situation, many investors are choosing the derivatives market as a means of investment. However, the derivatives market has a greater risk than the stock market, and research on the market of market participants is insufficient. Recently, with the development of artificial intelligence, machine learning has been widely used in the derivatives market. In this paper, reinforcement learning, one of the machine learning techniques, is applied to analyze the scalping technique that trades futures in minutes. The data set consists of 21 attributes using the closing price, moving average line, and Bollinger band indicators of 1 minute and 3 minute data for 6 months by selecting 4 products among futures products traded at trading firm. In the experiment, DNN artificial neural network model and three reinforcement learning algorithms, namely, DQN (Deep Q-Network), A2C (Advantage Actor Critic), and A3C (Asynchronous A2C) were used, and they were trained and verified through learning data set and test data set. For scalping, the agent chooses one of the actions of buying and selling, and the ratio of the portfolio value according to the action result is rewarded. Experiment results show that the energy sector products such as Heating Oil and Crude Oil yield relatively high cumulative returns compared to the index sector products such as Mini Russell 2000 and Hang Seng Index.

Study on the Anti-stress Effect of Chenwangbosim-Dan Extract∘Fermented Rice Extract (GABA ː gamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) Complex : A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study (천왕보심단(天王補心丹)∘쌀발효추출물(GABAːgamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) 복합물의 항(抗)스트레스에 대한 유효성 연구ː무작위 배정 및 이중맹검)

  • Choyoung, Hong;Seo, Sang Gwon;Seunggon, Na;Hosong, Cho;Mi-Kyung, Lee;Mu Hyun, Jin;Seok-Seon, Roh;Youngsung, Ju
    • The Korea Journal of Herbology
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • Objectives : From this study, we sight to identify Anti-stress effect of Chenwangbosim-Dan (Tianwangbuxin-Dan) Extract∘Fermented Rice Extract (GABA : gamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) Complex Methods : In order to measure the degree of functional evaluation of tension relief due to stress, it was evaluated whether the psychological indicators VAS(Visual Analog Scale) and POMS(Profile Of Mood State) were improved. Which is generally used for stress measurement and has a high frequency of clinical use. All clinical trial subjects were required to take the drug once a day at 9 ± 30 min in the morning for 2 weeks. Results : After intake, the group that Chenwangbosim-Dan(Tianwangbuxin-Dan) Extract∘Fermented Rice Extract (GABA : gamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) Complex had a statistically significant improvement effect compared to before intake due to an improved 30.81% of the VAS scores. The POMS-T score improved 54.13%, the POMS-V score improved 117.5% and the POMS-F score improved 59%, which had a statistically significant effect compared to Placebo group (p<0.001). There is a significant difference between two group, so even considering the placebo effect, the anti stress effect was confirmed in the Chenwangbosim-Dan (Tianwangbuxin-Dan) Extract∘Fermented Rice Extract (GABA : gamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) Complex intake group. Conclusions : The above results showed that the Chenwangbosim-Dan(Tianwangbuxin-Dan) Extract∘Fermented Rice Extract (GABA : gamma-aminobutyric acid 30%) Complex had an anti-stress effect. Therefore, it is expected to be developed as a safe and comfortable mental care health functional food that can reduce the risk of drug abuse.

Strategies and Challenges in Digitizing Archaeological Data (고고 디지털 아카이브 구축의 과제와 전략)

  • KIM Bumcheol
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.6-19
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    • 2023
  • As data management and intelligence capability become proxy indicators of national power, the risk provoked by high depending on digital technology ironically increases. The quicker the changes come to be, the more important digitizing existing data and management of digital data are. The management of archaeological data could not be exceptional. It has to be performed in a more comprehensive, systematic and rapid manner. In order to perform the task, the nature of archaeological data contained in the digital archive should be properly recognized in advance: the primary data are generated by excavation as a process destroying their sources, the data are enormous in type and quantity, including long-term and various human experience, and the natural extinction of primary data in handwritten form is likely to be more crucial than in any other discipline. These characteristics of archaeological data unimaginably devastated the possibility of recovering archives, when we face a digital dark age. Considering both recent trend and the nature of archaeological data mentioned above, we can derive strategies for building a sustainable archaeological digital archive. As an archaeology-major consumer of the digital data, I propose four strategic considerations: ① establishing a system of digital data literacy; ② enhancing evaluation and capability of data reuse; ③ building an international data sharing system; ④ developing it into the platform for digital archaeology.

Study on Developing the Information System for ESG Disclosure Management (ESG 정보공시 관리를 위한 정보시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-wook
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.77-90
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    • 2024
  • While discussions on ESG are actively taking place in Europe and other countries, the number of countries pushing for mandatory ESG information disclosure related to non-financial information of listed companies is rapidly increasing. However, as companies respond to mandatory global ESG information disclosure, problems are emerging such as the stringent requirements of global ESG disclosure standards, the complexity of data management, and a lack of understanding and preparation of the ESG system itself. In addition, it requires a reasonable analysis of how business management opportunities and risk factors due to climate change affect the company's financial impact, so it is expected to be quite difficult to analyze the results that meet the disclosure standards. In order to perform tasks such as ESG management activities and information disclosure, data of various types and sources is required and management through an information system is necessary to measure this transparently, collect it without error, and manage it without omission. Therefore, in this study, we designed an ESG data integrated management model to integrate and manage various related indicators and data in order to transparently and efficiently convey the company's ESG activities to various stakeholders through ESG information disclosure. A framework for implementing an information system to handle management was developed. These research results can help companies facing difficulties in ESG disclosure at a practical level to efficiently manage ESG information disclosure. In addition, the presentation of an integrated data management model through analysis of the ESG disclosure work process and the development of an information system to support ESG information disclosure were significant in the academic aspects needed to study ESG in the future.