• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk Reduction

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EFMDR-Fast: An Application of Empirical Fuzzy Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction for Fast Execution

  • Leem, Sangseob;Park, Taesung
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.37.1-37.3
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    • 2018
  • Gene-gene interaction is a key factor for explaining missing heritability. Many methods have been proposed to identify gene-gene interactions. Multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) is a well-known method for the detection of gene-gene interactions by reduction from genotypes of single-nucleotide polymorphism combinations to a binary variable with a value of high risk or low risk. This method has been widely expanded to own a specific objective. Among those expansions, fuzzy-MDR uses the fuzzy set theory for the membership of high risk or low risk and increases the detection rates of gene-gene interactions. Fuzzy-MDR is expanded by a maximum likelihood estimator as a new membership function in empirical fuzzy MDR (EFMDR). However, EFMDR is relatively slow, because it is implemented by R script language. Therefore, in this study, we implemented EFMDR using RCPP ($c^{{+}{+}}$ package) for faster executions. Our implementation for faster EFMDR, called EMMDR-Fast, is about 800 times faster than EFMDR written by R script only.

유엔의 재난위험 감소 추진체계 및 전략의 시사점 (Implementation System and Strategic Implications for Disaster Risk Reduction by the United Nations)

  • 김명희
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.211-219
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    • 2020
  • 이 논문은 한 국가의 재난전략 수립에 영향을 미치는 유엔(UN)의 재난위험 감소 추진체계와 전략을 심도 있게 고찰하고 2000년 이후 유엔이 제시한 재난위험 감소 전략인 효고 행동강령과 센다이 프레임워크에 나타난 재난위험 감소를 위한 글로벌 동향을 파악하는데 초점을 둔다. 논문의 목적은 복수의 국내·외 문헌들을 수집하여 이론적 분석을 시도하고 한 국가의 재난위험 감소 정책에 유의미한 시사점을 도출하여 대안을 제시하는데 있다. 분석의 결과에 따르면 유엔의 재난위험 감소 추진체계는 UNISDR이며 산하에 사무국으로서 UNDRR을 두고 있고 사무국장인 SRSG가 조직을 대표한다. 또한 지난 10년간 재난안전의 글로벌 전략이었던 효고 행동강령을 이은 센다이 프레임워크가 향후 10년간 글로벌 재난안전을 주도할 것이다. 두 전략의 분석에서 도출한 정책적 시사점으로 일관된 국제공조체계의 강조, 복원력의 강화, 그리고 통합적·포괄적 접근의 강조를 제시하고 결론에서 위험요인에 미리 대처하고 충격을 최소화하는 복원력 강화 시스템의 구축과 정부차원의 일관되고 조정된 국제공조 및 협력의 활성화, 대응체계의 신속성을 강화한 재난위험 감소 전략의 수립의 필요성을 제안하였다.

Risk of Carbon Leakage and Border Carbon Adjustments under the Korean Emissions Trading Scheme

  • Oh, Kyungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper examines South Korea's potential status as a carbon leakage country, and the level of risk posed by the Korean emissions trading scheme (ETS) for Korean industries. The economic effects of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) to protect energy-intensive Korean industries in the process of achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030 through the Korean ETS are also analyzed. Design/methodology - First, using the Korean Input-Output (IO) table, this paper calculates the balance of emissions embodied in trade (BEET) and the pollution terms of trade (PTT) to determine Korean industries' carbon leakage status. Analyses of the risk level posed by carbon reduction policy implementation in international trade are conducted for some sectors by applying the EU criteria. Second, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, three BCA scenarios, exemption regulations (EXE), reimbursement (REB), and tariff reduction (TAR) to protect the energy-intensive industries under the Korean ETS are addressed. Compared to the baseline scenario of achieving carbon reduction targets by 2030, the effects of BCAs on welfare, carbon leakage, outputs, and trading are analyzed. Findings - As Korea's industrial structure has been transitioning from a carbon importing to a carbon leaking country. The results indicate that some industrial sectors could face the risk of losing international competitiveness due to the Korean ETS. South Korea's industries are basically exposed to risk of carbon leakage because most industries have a trade intensity higher than 30%. This could be interpreted as disproving vulnerability to carbon leakage. Although the petroleum and coal sector is not in carbon leakage, according to BEET and PTT, the Korean ETS exposes this sector to a high risk of carbon leakage. Non-metallic minerals and iron and steel sectors are also exposed to a high risk of carbon leakage due to the increased burden of carbon reduction costs embodied in the Korean ETS, despite relatively low levels of trade intensity. BCAs are demonstrated to have an influential role in protecting energy-intensive industries while achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030. The EXE scenario has the greatest impact on mitigation of welfare losses and carbon leakage, and the TAF scenario causes a disturbance in the international trade market because of the pricing adjustment system. In reality, the EXE scenario, which implies completely exempting energy-intensive industries, could be difficult to implement due to various practical constraints, such as equity and reduction targets and other industries; therefore, the REB scenario presents the most realistic approach and appears to have an effect that could compensate for the burden of economic activities and emissions regulations in these industries. Originality/value - This paper confirms the vulnerability of the Korean industrial the risk of carbon leakage, demonstrating that some industrial sectors could be exposed to losing international competitiveness by implementing carbon reduction policies such as the Korean ETS. The contribution of this paper is the identification of proposed approaches to protect Korean industries in the process of achieving the 2030 reduction target by analyzing the effects of BCA scenarios using a CGE model.

리스크요소가 리스크관리 성공에 미치는 영향 분석 연구 (Analysis of Effect of Risk Factors on the Success of Risk Management)

  • 정연교;정병화
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2014
  • 최근 건설프로젝트에서 발생하는 리스크는 매년 감소하고 있지만 사망사고 등 중대리스크는 증가하는 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 국내 건설회사의 리스크요소를 분석하기 위해 설문조사를 수행하였다. 그 결과 리스크관리 성공에 미치는 영향 요소인 공정, 공사비, 공사계획, 공사성공률, 발주자 만족도, 타공사 성공률 등을 종속변수로 하고 국내 건설회사의 리스크요소를 독립변수로 하여 다중회귀분석으로 분석하였다. 분석결과 리스크관리 성공에 미치는 리스크요소로는 Prototype선정, Simulation, 안전조직도 등이 중요한 요소로 분석되었다.

Risk Assessments for Ports and Waterways

  • Jeong, Duke H.;Harrald, John R.
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 1999년도 춘계학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this research is to ensure that the ports and waterways management system can establish and maintain a reasonable level of safety level during high density passenger operations. The research model was developed included computer based model that could be used that can be used to measure and monitor risk and evolved overtime. The research methodology provides model for assessing relative risk and evaluating risk reduction measures. The risk analysis based on expert judgement was refined overtime. They provide a basis for risk reduction and risk management policies and strategies. The evaluation and validation of risk model and development of data, methods, tools required to measure, monitor and evaluate ports and waterway risk was implemented.

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센다이프레임워크 전환에 따른 재해위험경감 관련 국내 정책동향변화 및 과학기술의 역할 (Analysis of Domestic Policy Trend and Role of Science and Technology After Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction)

  • 최윤조;홍승환;이수진;손홍규
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.765-773
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    • 2017
  • 2015년 효고행동강령이 종료됨에 따라 2015년 3월 개최된 제3차 세계재난위기경감회의에서 센다이프레임워크가 재해위험경감을 위한 새로운 글로벌 아젠다로 채택되었다. 재해위험경감을 위한 글로벌 아젠다에 대한 지속적인 파악은 글로벌 수준뿐만 아니라 국가 수준에서의 재해위험경감에 있어서도 매우 중요하다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 재해위험경감을 위한 글로벌 아젠다가 효고행동강령에서 센다이프레임워크로 전환됨에 따라 아젠다의 주요 변화 내용을 살펴보았으며, 효고행동강령 이행에 대한 국내 주요 성과와 센다이프레임워크 채택에 따른 현재까지의 국내 현황을 분석하였다. 또한 센다이프레임워크는 정책결정에 있어서 과학 및 기술의 역할을 강조하고 있으며, 국내에서 과학기술 분야의 연구 동향을 살펴보았다. 재난관리 단계 중 예방을 위한 노력이 49.9%로 가장 많이 이루어지고 있었으며, 행동우선순위 1 (40.4%)과 4 (35.8%) 관련 계획들이 주로 추진되고 있었다. 재난관리를 위한 과학기술 연구 개발 또한 활발하게 진행되고 있는 것으로 분석되었으나, 행동우선순위 4와 관련된 과제가 79.7%로 대부분을 차지하고 있었으며, 4가지 행동우선순위를 모두 고려한 개발이 필요하다고 할 수 있다. 최근 위성기술, 빅데이터 등의 차세대 방재기술을 활용한 재해관리가 요구되고 있으며, 이를 지원할 수 있는 교육 및 정책 수립을 통해 재해위험경감에 효과적으로 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

재해분석과 실태조사를 통한 스마트 팩토리 공정의 위험성 감소 방안 (Plan for Risk Reduction of Smart Factory Process through Accident Analysis and Status Survey)

  • 변정환
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제37권5호
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    • pp.22-32
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    • 2022
  • The domestic smart factory is being built and spread rapidly, mainly by mid-sized companies and large enterprises according to the government's active introduction and support policy. But these factories only promote production system and efficiency, so harmfulness and risk factors are not considered. Therefore, to derive harmful risk factors in terms of industrial safety for 12,983 government-supported smart factory workplaces from 2014 to 2019, industrial accident status analysis compared workplaces with automation facilities and government-supported workplaces with automation facilities. Also, to reduce risks associated with domestic smart factory processes, twenty government-supported workplaces with automation facilities underwent analysis, evaluating risks through a status survey using the process evaluation table. In addition, the status survey considered region, size, industry, construction level, and accident rate; the difference in risk according to the structure of the process was confirmed. Based on the smart factory process evaluation results, statistical analysis confirmed that serial, parallel, and hybrid structures pose different risk levels and that the risks of mixed structures are greater. Finally, safety control system application was presented for risk assessment and reduction in the smart factory process, reflecting the results of disaster analysis and actual condition investigation.

환경오염으로 인한 위해도 감소에 대한 지불의사금액 추정에 관한 연구 (Estimation of Willingness to Pay for Reduction of Environmental Mortality Risk)

  • 김예신;이용진;박화성;남정모;김진흠;신동천
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2003
  • To estimate the annual WTP for risk reduction of environmental problems such as outdoor and indoor air pollution, and drinking water contamination, a questionnaire survey was conducted by dichotomous contingent valuation method in Seoul. Several covariate models based on Turnbull, Weibull and Spike models were developed and applied to WTP estimation with uncertainty analysis. WTP estimates for risk reduction of air pollution were 13,000 won, 12,000 won, and 10,000 won per month in low-bounded Turnbull, Weibull and Spike models, respectively. The estimates for indoor air pollution were 17,000 won,20,000 won and 21,000 won and these for drinking water contamination were 10,000 won, 13,000 won and 14,000 won in each model, respectively. Goodness of fit for Weibull model was better than those for other models. WTP estimates for indoor air pollution were higher than those for other pollution problems.

A study on interaction effect among risk factors of delirium using multifactor dimensionality reduction method

  • Lee, Jong-Hyeong;Lee, Yong-Won;Lee, Yoon-Seok;Lee, Jea-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1257-1264
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    • 2011
  • Delirium is a neuropsychiatric disorder accompanying symptoms of hallucination, drowsiness, and tremors. It has high occurrence rates among elders, heart disease patients, and burn patients. It is a medical emergency associated with increased morbidity and mortality rates. That s why early detection and prevention of delirium ar significantly important. And This mental illness like delirium occurred by complex interaction between risk factors. In this paper, we identify risk factors and interactions between these factors for delirium using multi-factor dimensionality reduction (MDR) method.

액체로켓 시험설비에서의 위험감소 방법 (A Study on the Risk Reduction Method for Liquid Rocket Test Facility)

  • 이정호;김용욱;베르샤드스키;강선일;조상연;오승협
    • 한국추진공학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2005
  • 액체산소(LOx)와 케로신(Kerosene)을 연료로 사용하는 액체로켓엔진 시험설비에서 지상연소시험을 수행할 경우에 발생하는 위험도를 감소시키는 방법을 연구하였다. 본 방법은 잠재적인 사고 발생확률을 낮추고 그에 따른 발생 가능한 손실을 낮추기 위해서 사고 발생 가능한 한계선에 대한 연구와 기술적 해결방법을 바탕으로 하고 있다. 시험설비에서 사고 상황을 야기 할 수 있는 위험한 상황에 관한 개략도와 추진제 유출 사고시 발전 양상 및 발전 프로세스에 대한 도표, 기술적인 해결방법, 위험성 감소 평가 방법을 제시함으로써 기존의 확률적인 통계 값을 바탕으로 하는 것과는 또 다른 방법으로써 위험도 감소를 위한 대안으로 사용하고자 한다.