• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제49권4호
• /
• pp.13-22
• /
• 2007

The uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modeling system under uncertainty was described and demonstrated for use in watershed management and receiving-water quality prediction. A watershed model (HSPF), a receiving water quality model (WASP), and a wetland model (NPS-WET) were incorporated into an integrated modeling system (modified-BASINS) and applied to the Hwaseong Reservoir watershed. Reservoir water quality was predicted using the calibrated integrated modeling system, and the deterministic integrated modeling output was useful for estimating mean water quality given future watershed conditions and assessing the spatial distribution of pollutant loads. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainties on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorous (T-P) in the Hwaseong Reservoir, considering uncertainty, would be less than about 4.8 and 0.26 mg 4.8 and 0.26 mg $L^{-1}$, respectively, with 95% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and a constructed wetland (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaseong Reservoir to less than 3.54 and 0.15 mg ${L^{-1}$, 26.7 and 42.9% improvements, respectively, with 95% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modeling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended.

• 한국환경보건학회지
• /
• 제17권1호
• /
• pp.50-56
• /
• 1991

The purpose of this study was development of a simple phytoplankton model for reservoir and applied DaeCheung reservoir. The effects of light intensity, PO$_{4}$-P, settling rate and flushing loss on phytoplankton growth are analyzed. This paper describes as investigation of the potential of simple phytoplankton models to d/splay chaotic instability, but given the observation of chaotic behavior in other simple simulation systems, such behavoir may actually be real fluctuation in the system response.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.539-542
• /
• 2003

In South Korea, flooding is controlled with large or small reservoirs scattered spatially over the territory. Because recent unexpected hard-rain events requires more flood control capacities, the pre-release system is considered with the most economical alternative. In this case time and volume of discharge should be determined by the simulation. But, existing pre-release simulation system has the problem of specificity. Therefore, GASS is considered to estimate the pre-release time and volume with different configurations of pre-release system. This paper shows that pre-release simulation system could be constructed with arranging GASAtmosphere, GASWatershed, Reservoir, Gate components using GASS. It is also shows that GASS could be used as a foundation for constructing pre-release simulation system that is easy to use and is flexible to reflect the changing configurations of reservoir systems.

• 물과 미래
• /
• 제19권4호
• /
• pp.339-346
• /
• 1986

소양강댐 및 충\ulcorner댐의 실시간 홍수조절 모형을 개발하기 위한 방법으로 Min-Max Dynamic Programming에 의한 최적화 기법을 사용하였다. 최적화 모형의 목적 함수로서는 각 댐의 최대 방류량을 최소화하도록 하였으며, 각 저수지 및 하도의 특성에 따른 제약 조건을 고려하였다. 개발된 단일 저수지 운영 모형에 의한 홍수조절 효과를 평가하는 척도로서 조절율과 이용율을 사용하였다. Technical ROM, Rigid ROM 및 Linear Decision rule과 같은 simulation 모형에 의한 조절 효과와 비교한 결과 모든 빈도에 대하여 DP에 의한 최적화 방법이 더 좋은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.50-58
• /
• 1993

The sedimentation patterns at a reservoir, important to the reservoir capacity curve were simulated using a depth averaged, two-dimensional sediment transport model, that is capable of depicting velocity distributions and sediment transportation. The Banweol reservoir, whose stage capacity relationships have been surveyed before and after the construction, was selected and the daily inflow rates and stages were simulated using a reservoir operation model(DI-ROM). The applicability of the transport model was tested from the comparisons of simulated sedimentation patterns to the surveyed results. The simulated inflow rates and water level fluctuations at the reservoir during twenty-one years from 1966 to 1986, showed that water levels exceeding 80 percent of the total capacity occurred for 70 percent of the periods and inflow rates less than 5000rn$^3$/day sustained for 54 percent of the spans. Dorminant flow directions were simulated from two streamflow inlets to the dam site. And simulated sediment concentrations were higher near the inlets and lower at the inside of the reservoir. Sediment was deposited heavily near the inlets, and portions of sediments were distributed along the flow paths within the reservoir. The comparisons between the simulation results and the surveyed depositions were partially matched. However, it was not possible to compare two results at the upper parts of the reservoir where dredging was carried out few times for the purpose of reservoir maintenance. This study demonstrates that sedimentation patterns within the reservoir are closely related to incoming sediment and flow rates, water level fluctuations, and flow circulation within the reservoir.

• 한국지리정보학회지
• /
• 제11권1호
• /
• pp.20-30
• /
• 2008

본 연구에서는 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 유역내 농업용 저수지의 운영이 유역 출구인 하천 지점에서의 유출에 미치는 영향을 분석하고자 하였다. 안성천 유역 공도수위관측소의 상류 유역을 대상으로, 유역내 고삼과 금광 농업용 저수지의 방류량 고려시와 미고려시에 대한 공도지점에서의 각각의 하천유출 거동을 분석하였다. SWAT 모형에서 저수지 물수지 분석모듈을 수정하여, 저수지의 일별 관측 저수위로부터 계산된 저수량과 수표면적을 이용하여 저수지의 일 방류량 자료를 생성하였다. 이를 이용하여 공도수위관측소의 5개년(1997~2001) 동안의 일별 하천 유출량 자료를 대상으로 모형의 보정(1997, 1998, 1999년)과 검증(2000, 2001년)을 실시하였다. 검증기간에 대한 Nash-Sutcliffe 모델효율은 0.55, RMSE는 2.33 mm/day로 나타났다. 한편, 두 저수지의 방류량을 고려하지 않은 상태에서의 모의결과는 한 결과, Nash-Sutcliffe 모델효율은 0.37로, RMSE는2.91 mm/day로 나타나 저수지 고려시의 결과와 비교하면 각각 0.18의 모델효율 저하, 0.58%의 오차증가를 보였다. 따라서 농업용 저수지가 있는 유역에서는 SWAT 모형의 활용시, 저수지 유역에서의 저수지에 의한 저류효과 및 방류 영향을 고려하여야 하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제33권1호
• /
• pp.15-30
• /
• 2000

본 연구는 소규모 저수지의 위험도와 초기저수지 수위와의 관계를 설정하기 위하여 신뢰도 분석기법을 적용하였다. 저수지의 안전성을 평가하기 위해서는 변수들의 불확실성을 파악하여야 하며 기능 수행함수를 설정하여야 한다. 저수지의 위험도를 산정하는 절차는 우선 월류에 대한 기능수행함수의 위험도 기준을 설정한 후 변수들의 불확실성을 파악하고 적정한 신뢰도 분석기법에 의하여 위험도를 산정하게 된다. 적용된 신뢰도 분석기법은 MCS(Monte Carly simulation) 법과 MVFOSM (mean value first order second momet) 법이며 이를 이용하여 저수지의 위험도를 산정하였다. 이에 따라 설계 재현기간에 따른 위험도-초기 저수지 수위의 관계를 설정하였으며 이는 저수지의 운용에 유용하게 사용될 것으로 생각된다.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• 제10권4호
• /
• pp.423-436
• /
• 2016

Currently, there is a great interest in the coupling between multiphase fluid flow and geomechanical effects in hydrocarbon reservoirs and surrounding rocks. The ideal solution for this coupled problem is to introduce the geomechanical effects through the stress analysis solution and implement an algorithm, which assures that the equations governing the flow and stress analyses are obeyed in each time step. This paper deals with the implementation of a program (FORTRAN90 interface code), which was developed to couple conventional reservoir (ECLIPSE) and geomechanical (ABAQUS) simulators, using a partial coupling algorithm. The explicit coupled hydro-mechanical behavior of Iranian field during depletion and $CO_2$ injection is studied using the soils consolidation procedure available in ABAQUS. Time dependent reservoir pressure fields obtained from three dimensional compositional reservoir models were transferred into finite element reservoir geomechanical models in ABAQUS as multi-phase flow in deforming reservoirs cannot be performed within ABAQUS. The FEM analysis of the reservoir showed no sign of plastic strain under production and $CO_2$ injection scenarios in any part of the reservoir and the stress paths do not show a critical behavior.

• 한국물환경학회지
• /
• 제23권1호
• /
• pp.52-63
• /
• 2007

The objectives of this study were to setup a laterally-averaged two-dimensional eutrophication model in Daecheong Reservoir, and to validate the model under two different hydrological conditions; drought year (2001) and wet year (2004). The suggested modeling approach was found to be very effective to simulate the dynamic variations of water temperature, nutrients, dissolved oxygen, and algae in the reservoir. The model satisfactorily replicated the algal bloom that happened between Janggae (Sta.4) and Haenam (Sta.5) during summer of 2001, although the peak concentration was slightly underestimated due to the laterally averaged assumption. The allochthonous phosphorus and algae induced from upstream and So-oak stream during several rainfall events were found to be most significant sources of algal bloom in 2001. In contrast to draught year, the flood events happened during summer months of 2004 tended to remove the hypolimnetic anaerobic conditions and dilute the dissolved phosphorus in the upper reach of the reservoir, and in turn mitigated algal bloom. It implies that the impact of hydrological and hydrodynamic conditions on the reservoir water quality is highly significant, and a drought year may be more vulnerable to algal bloom in the reservoir.

• 생태와환경
• /
• 제45권2호
• /
• pp.200-209
• /
• 2012

The current of the water body is very important information for the water quality management on reservoirs. It is applied to hydraulics and water quality model for simulation. In this regard, the current characteristic of water body is the basic information that can be used to predict various conditions. However, it is very slow flowing and is affected by the reservoir operations and external factors. As such, an accurate measurement of the current is a difficult problem. In order to measure the water current, we constructed a drifter. According to the result of flow survey at Yongdam reservoir, 5m and 10 m depth layer flow was investigated from the upstream to the downstream, during a flood period. Maximum flow rate of 5 m depth is 13.8 cm $sec^{-1}$ and 10 m depth shows 4 cm $sec^{-1}$, respectively. But 2m depth shows a backward flow and maximum flow rate is 4 cm $sec^{-1}$. Density currents flow plays the role of back flow in reservoirs. Flow velocity in the reservoir was measured in the range of 1~2 cm $sec^{-1}$, at normal flow season, and the flow direction were different for each survey. This phenomenon occurs because the reservoir volume is very large, compared to the inflow and outflow volume.