• Title/Summary/Keyword: Relative risk

검색결과 1,125건 처리시간 0.033초

한국인의 초과 방사선 암 위험도 평가에 근거한 국내원전의 안전목표치 설정 방법론 (Methodology on the Safety Goal Setting of Reactor Operation based on the Radiogenic Excess Cancer Risk in Korea)

  • 장시영;정운관
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
    • /
    • 제24권3호
    • /
    • pp.131-142
    • /
    • 1999
  • 통계청에서 최근에 발표한 한국인 인구통계 자료와 미국 학술원 산하 '방사선의 생물학적 영향 위원회'의 최근 보고서(BEIR-V)의 수정 상대위험 투사모델을 적용하여 한국인의 방사선 피폭에 의한 초과 암발생 위험도를 평가하였다. 인구통계 자료로부터 유도한 사소위험도(trivial risk) 및 계산된 방사선유발 초과 암 위험도를 비교한 후 사소위험도의 수준으로 개인의 피폭선량을 유지하기 위한 국내 원전의 안전운영 목표치를 유도하였다. 방사선 피폭 유발 초과 암 위험도는 0.1 Gy의 단일피폭의 경우에는 $5.5{\times}10^{-3}$, 1.0 mGy/y로 생애연속 피폭 시엔 $3.7{\times}10^{-3}$인 것으로 평가되었다. 한국인의 모든 원인에 의한 기저사망 위험도 및 사소위험도는 각각 $5.2{\times}10^{-3}$$5.2{\times}10^{-6}$인 것으로 예상되었다. 한국인의 사소위험도 및 방사선 위험도 평가 결과로부터 유도한 국내 원전운영의 안전목표치는 대략 0.05 mSv/y로, 이 값은 미국 원자력규제위원회(USNRC)가 연방규제법 10CFR50 부록 I에서 제시하고 있는 ALARA 지침값과 거의 동일한 값으로 밝혀졌다.

  • PDF

Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Using the Gail Model: a Turkish Study

  • Erbil, Nulufer;Dundar, Nursel;Inan, Cigdem;Bolukbas, Nurgul
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.303-306
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to determine risk of developing of breast cancer among Turkish women. Materials and Methods: Using a descriptive and cross-sectional approach, data were collected from 231 women. Breast cancer risk was calculated using the National Cancer Institute's on-line verson of called as the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool or the Gail Risk Assesment Tool. Results: The average age of women was $45.0{\pm}8.06$ years. It was revealed that 6.1% of participants reported having first degree relatives who had had breast cancer, with only four women having more than one first-degree relative affected (1.7%). The mean five-year breast cancer risk for all women was $0.88{\pm}0.91%$, and 7.4% of women had a five-year breast cancer risk >1.66% in this study. Mean lifetime breast cancer risk up to age 90 years was $9.3{\pm}5.2%$. Conclusions: The breast cancer risk assessment tool can help in the clinical management of patient seeking advice concerning screening and prevention. Healthcare providers in Turkey can use this approach to estimate an individual's probability of developing breast cancer.

미생물학적 위해성 평가 (Microbial Risk Assessment)

  • 이건형
    • 미생물학회지
    • /
    • 제37권2호
    • /
    • pp.101-108
    • /
    • 2001
  • 환경에서 병원성 미생물의 발생에 관련된 자료를 분석하는 일은 잠재적 보건 위해성을 판단하고 그에 따른 적절한 조치를 취하는데 종종 결정적인 역할을 한다. 이러한 일들은 과거에는 주로 정성적이고, 주관적인 방법으로 이루어 졌지만, 최근에는 정량적 위해성 평가(Quantitative Risk Assessment: QRA)로 이루어지는데, 이러한 QRA는 병원성 미생물로부터의 감염이나 발병, 또는 치사율 등의 위해성을 정량적인 방법으로 표현하는 접근법이다. 따라서, 이와 같은 정보는 정책 결정권자가 위해성의 확대와 비용부담, 그리고 적절한 조치를 취했을 때 기대할 수 있는 이점을 결정하는데 보다 더 잘 이용할 수 있다. 본 문에서는 위해성 분석의 과제에 대한 일반적인 배경을 살펴보고 문제해결 과정에서 미생물 위해성 평가가 어떻게 활용 가능한지를 살펴보았다.

  • PDF

A two-step interval risk assessment method for water inrush during seaside tunnel excavation

  • Zhou, Binghua;Xue, Yiguo;Li, Zhiqiang;Gao, Haidong;Su, Maoxin;Qiu, Daohong;Kong, Fanmeng
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • 제28권6호
    • /
    • pp.573-584
    • /
    • 2022
  • Water inrush may occur during seaside urban tunnel excavation. Various factors affect the water inrush, and the water inrush mechanism is complex. In this study, nine evaluation indices having potential effects on water inrush were analysed. Specifically, the geographic and geomorphic conditions, unfavourable geology, distance from the tunnel to sea, strength of the surrounding rock, groundwater level, tidal action, cyclical footage, grouting pressure, and grouting reinforced region were analysed. Furthermore, a two-step interval risk assessment method for water inrush management during seaside urban tunnel excavation was developed by a multi-index system and interval risk assessment comprised of an interval analytic hierarchy process, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and relative superiority analysis. The novel assessment method was applied to the Haicang Tunnel successfully. A preliminary interval risk assessment method for water inrush was performed based on engineering geological conditions. As a result, the risk level fell into a risk level IV, which represents a section with high risk. Subsequently, a secondary interval risk assessment method was performed based on engineering geological conditions and construction conditions. The risk level of water inrush is reduced to a risk level II. The results agreed with the current tunnel situation, which verified the reliability of this approach.

A study on the factors affecting the usage and diffusion of Mobile Easy Payment Services

  • Lee, Eunyoung;Shin, Chan;Baatdawa, Baatdawa
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.38-43
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study examines the factors affecting the usage and diffusion of mobile easy payment services which is fast growing industry recently. After wide reviewing previous research about mobile payment, Some factors are identified as the factors influencing intention to use mobile easy payment services-confidence, innovativeness, mobile self-efficacy, relative advantage- through several mediating factors- perceived ease, perceived usefulness, perceived risk. Empirical study for a research model showed confidence, mobile self-efficacy and relative advantage are effective to the intention to use mobile easy payment services via perceived usefulness and perceived risk. Based on the results of the study, some practical implication for customer retention and acquisition are suggested.

Relative toxicites of aflatoxins for the risk assessment

  • Kim, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Myoung;Lee, Sook-Jin;Park, Cheol-Beom;Hong, Jin-Tae;Yoo, Hwan-Soo;Kang, Jong-Koo;Kim, Dae-Joong;Yun, Young-Won
    • 한국독성학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국독성학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.58-58
    • /
    • 2003
  • Aflatoxins are metabolites of fungi Aspergillus spp. that world-widely contaminate diverse foodstuffs including com and peanuts. It is well known that aflatoxins are highly mutagenic, carcinogenic and possibly teratogenic. Although aflatoxins have received the great attention among the various mycotoxins due to their potent hepatocarcinogenicity in certain species, it is extremely crucial to elucidate the relative toxicity and carcinogenicity of the types (B$_1$, B$_2$, G$_1$ and G$_2$) of aflatoxins for the risk assessment.(omitted)

  • PDF

Postnatal weight gain in the first two weeks as a predicting factor of severe retinopathy of prematurity requiring treatment

  • Kim, Jongmoon;Jin, Jang Yong;Kim, Sung Shin
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
    • /
    • 제58권2호
    • /
    • pp.52-59
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the relative weight gain at 2-week intervals up to 6 weeks after birth to predict retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) requiring treatment among very low birth weight infants. Methods: A total of 211 preterm infants with birth weights <1,500 g and gestational age <32 weeks were retrospectively reviewed. The main outcome was the development of ROP requiring treatment. Body weight measurements were recorded daily. Relative weight gains (g/kg/day) were calculated at the second, fourth, and sixth week after birth. Results: Of the 211 infants, 89 developed ROP, of which 41 spontaneously regressed and 48 with early treatment of ROP type I required laser treatment. The relative weight gain at 2, 4, and 6 weeks postnatal age was significantly lower in infants with ROP requiring treatment than in infants without ROP or those with spontaneous regression (P<0.001, P=0.005, and P=0.004, respectively). On logistic regression, poor relative weight gain in the first 2 weeks was found to be related to ROP requiring treatment (adjusted odds ratio, 0.809; 95% confidence interval, 0.695-0.941; P=0.006). Relative weight gain at 2 weeks postnatal age was significantly lower in infants with ROP requiring treatment compared to that in ROP requiring no treatment (P=0.012). Conclusion: Poor postnatal weight gain in the first 2 weeks of life is an important and independent risk factor for ROP requiring treatment. Postnatal weight gain can predict the development of severe ROP requiring treatment.

Computational procedures for exponential life model incorporating Bayes and shrinkage techniques

  • Al-Hemyari, Zuhair A.;Al-Dabag, H.A.;Al-Humairi, Ali Z.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • 제16권2호
    • /
    • pp.55-79
    • /
    • 2015
  • It is well known that using any additional information in the estimation of unknown parameters with new sample of observations diminishes the sampling units needed and minimizes the risk of new estimators. There are many rational reasons to assure that the existence of additional information in practice and there exists many practical cases in which additional information is available in the form of target value (initial value) about the unknown parameters. This article is described the problem of how the prior initial value about the unknown parameters can be utilized and combined with classical Bayes estimator to get a new combination of Bayes estimator and prior value to improve the properties of the new combination. In this article, two classes of Bayes-shrinkage and preliminary test Bayes-shrinkage estimators are proposed for the scale parameter of exponential distribution. The bias, risk and risk ratio expressions are derived and studied. The performance of the proposed classes of estimators is studied for different choices of constants engaged in the estimators. The comparisons, conclusions and recommendations are demonstrated.

Quantitative Risk Assessment in Major Smartphone Operating Systems in Asian Countries

  • Joh, HyunChul
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권12호
    • /
    • pp.1494-1502
    • /
    • 2014
  • Since smartphones are utilized in the ranges from personal usages to governmental data exchanges, known but not patched vulnerabilities in smartphone operating systems are considered as major threats to the public. To minimize potential security breaches on smartphones, it is necessary to estimate possible security threats. So far, there have been numerous studies conducted to evaluate the security risks caused by mobile devices qualitatively, but there are few quantitative manners. For a large scale risk evaluation, a qualitative assessment is a never ending task. In this paper, we try to calculate relative risk levels triggered by software vulnerabilities from unsecured smartphone operating systems (Android and iOS) among 51 Asian countries. The proposed method combines widely accepted risk representation in both theory and industrial fields. When policy makers need to make a strategic decision on mobile security related agendas, they might find the presented approach useful.

시스템 구성요소 통합 및 현업서비스 구축 (Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale)

  • 신용순
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국농림기상학회 2014년도 추계 학술발표논문집
    • /
    • pp.74-85
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study is a part of "Early Warning Service for Weather Risk Management in Climate-smart Agriculture", describes the delivery techniques from 840 catchment scale weather warning information using 150 counties unit special weather report(alarm, warning) released from KMA(Korea Meteorological Administration) and chronic weather warning information based on daily weather data from 76 synoptic stations. Catchment weather hazard warning service express a sequential risk index map generated by countries report occurs and report grade(alarm, warning) convert to catchment scale using zonal summarizing method. Additional services were chronic weather warning service at crop growth and accumulated more than 4 weeks, based on an unsuitable weather conditions, representing a relative risk compared to its catchment climatological normal conditions (normal distribution ) in addition to special weather report. Service provided by a real-time catchment scale map overlaid with VWORLD open platform operated by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport. Also provide a foundation for weather risk information to inform individual farmers to farm located within the catchment zone warning occur.

  • PDF