• Title/Summary/Keyword: Relative bias

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Estimation of confidence interval in exponential distribution for the greenhouse gas inventory uncertainty by the simulation study (모의실험에 의한 온실가스 인벤토리 불확도 산정을 위한 지수분포 신뢰구간 추정방법)

  • Lee, Yung-Seop;Kim, Hee-Kyung;Son, Duck Kyu;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.825-833
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    • 2013
  • An estimation of confidence intervals is essential to calculate uncertainty for greenhouse gases inventory. It is generally assumed that the population has a normal distribution for the confidence interval of parameters. However, in case data distribution is asymmetric, like nonnormal distribution or positively skewness distribution, the traditional estimation method of confidence intervals is not adequate. This study compares two estimation methods of confidence interval; parametric and non-parametric method for exponential distribution as an asymmetric distribution. In simulation study, coverage probability, confidence interval length, and relative bias for the evaluation of the computed confidence intervals. As a result, the chi-square method and the standardized t-bootstrap method are better methods in parametric methods and non-parametric methods respectively.

Properties Optimization for Perovskite Oxide Thin Films by Formation of Desired Microstructure

  • Liu, Xingzhao;Tao, Bowan;Wu, Chuangui;Zhang, Wanli;Li, Yanrong
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.43 no.11 s.294
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    • pp.715-723
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    • 2006
  • Perovskite oxide materials are very important for the electronics industry, because they exhibit promising properties. With an interest in the obvious applications, significant effort has been invested in the growth of highly crystalline epitaxial perovskite oxide thin films in our laboratory. And the desired structure of films was formed to achieve excellent properties. $Y_1Ba_2Cu_3O_{7-x}$ (YBCO) superconducting thin films were simultaneously deposited on both sides of 3 inch wafer by inverted cylindrical sputtering. Values of microwave surface resistance R$_2$ (75 K, 145 GHz, 0 T) smaller than 100 m$\Omega$ were reached over the whole area of YBCO thin films by pre-seeded a self-template layer. For implementation of voltage tunable high-quality varactor, A tri-layer structured SrTiO$_3$ (STO) thin films with different tetragonal distortion degree was prepared in order to simultaneously achieve a large relative capacitance change and a small dielectric loss. Highly a-axis textured $Ba_{0.65}Sr_{0.35}TiO_3$ (BST65/35) thin films was grown on Pt/Ti/SiO$_2$/Si substrate for monolithic bolometers by introducing $Ba_{0.65}Sr_{0.35}RuO_3$ (BSR65/35) thin films as buffer layer. With the buffer layer, the leakage current density of BST65/35 thin films were greatly reduced, and the pyroelectric coefficient of $7.6\times10_{-7}$ C $cm^{-2}$ $K^{-1}$ was achieved at 6 V/$\mu$m bias and room temperature.

Surface Reactions on the Bi4-xLaxTiO3O12 Thin Films Etched in Inductively Coupled CF4/Ar Plasma (유도결합 CF4/Ar 플라즈마에 의한 Bi4-xLaxTiO3O12 박막의 식각 표면 반응)

  • 김동표;김경태;김창일
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.378-384
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    • 2003
  • Etching species in CF$_4$/Ar plasma and the behavior of etching rate of Bi$_4$-$_{x}$L$_{x}$rTi$_3$O$_2$ (BLT) films were investigated in inductively coupled plasma (ICP) reactor in terms of etch parameters. The etching rate as functions of CF$_4$ contents showed the maximum 803 $\AA$/min at 20% CF$_4$ addition in CF$_4$/Ar plasma. The increase of RF power and DC bias voltage caused to an increase of etch rate. The variation of relative volume densities for F and he atoms were measured with the optical emission spectroscopy (OES). The chemical states of BLT were investigated with using X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS). XPS narrow scan analysis shows that La-fluorides remained on the etched surface. The presence of maximum etch rate at CF$_4$(20%)/Ar(80%) may be explained by the concurrence of two etching mechanisms such as physical sputtering and chemical reaction. The roles of he ion bombardment include destruction of metal (Bi, La, Ti)-O bonds as well as assistant for chemical reaction of metals with fluorine atoms.oms.

Guidance Filter Design Based on Strapdown Seeker and MEMS Sensors (스트랩다운 탐색기 및 MEMS 센서를 이용한 유도필터 설계)

  • Yun, Joong-Sup;Ryoo, Chang-Kyung;Song, Taek-Lyul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.1002-1009
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    • 2009
  • Precision guidance filter design for a tactical missile with a strapdown seeker aided by low-cost strapdown sensors has been addressed in this paper. The low-cost strapdown sensors consist of an IMU with 3-axis accelerometers and gyroscopes, 3-axis magnetometers, and a barometer. Missile's position, velocity, attitude, and bias error of the barometer are considered as state variables. Since the state and measurement equations are highly nonlinear, we adopt UKF(Unscented Kalman Filter). The proposed guidance filter has a function of a navigation filter if target position error is not considered. In the case that the target position error is introduced, the proposed filter can effectively estimate the relative states of the missile to the true target. For specific engagement scenarios, we can observe that observability problems occur.

Estimation of Inflow into Namgang Dam according to Climate Change using SWAT Model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 남강댐 유입량 추정)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Sang-Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study was to estimate the climate change impact on inflow to Namgang Dam using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated using observed flow data from 2003 to 2014 for the study watershed. The $R^2$ (Determination Coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient), and RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error) were used to evaluate the model performance. Calibration results showed that the annual mean inflow were within ${\pm}5%$ error compared to the observed. $R^2$ were ranged 0.61~0.87, RMSE were 1.37~7.00 mm/day, NSE were 0.47~0.83, and RMAE were 0.25~0.73 mm/day for daily runoff, respectively. Climate change scenarios were obtained from the HadGEM3-RA. The quantile mapping method was adopted to correct bias that is inherent in the climate change scenarios. Based on the climate change scenarios, calibrated SWAT model simulates the future inflow and evapotranspiration for the study watershed. The expected future inflow to Namgang dam using RCP 4.5 is increasing by 4.8 % and RCP 8.5 is increasing by 19.0 %, respectively. The expected future evapotranspiration for Namgang dam watershed using RCP 4.5 is decreasing by 6.7 % and RCP 8.5 is decreasing by 0.7 %, respectively.

Effectiveness of Soyo-san (Xiaoyao-san) and its Modifications on Chronic Fatigue Syndrome: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (만성피로증후군에 대한 소요산(逍遙散)과 그 변방(變方)의 효과 : 메타분석을 통한 체계적인 문헌고찰)

  • Kim, Junyeol;Song, Jeongyun;Nam, Donghyun
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this review is to confirm whether Soyo-san (Xiaoyao-san) and its modifications is effective on alleviating clinical symptoms in chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) patients. We collected clinical trials (randomized controlled trial, quasi-randomized controlled trial, controlled clinical trial) to investigate the effects of Soyo-san and its modifications on general symptoms, fatigue, depression and anxiety in CFS patients. The databases used for data retrieval were Pubmed, Central Cochrane, Embase, CNKI, CQVIP, Wanfang, CiNii, OASIS, RISS, and Koreamed. We performed selection/exclusion process from the found studies to conform with prespecified criteria, and assessed the final included trials according to the Cochrane risk of bias tool. The included studies were classified based on the interventions in experimental and control group. Eight randomized controlled trials and one controlled clinical trial (total 921 participants) were eligible and their results were synthesized in the meta analysis. The synthesis showed a considerable effect of Soyo-san and its modifications on improvement of general symptoms (relative risk 0.27 [95% CI 0.19 to 0.39], Z=7.03, P<0.00001; I2=0%) and fatigue severity (SMD -1.20 [95% CI -1.46 to -0.93], Z=8.78, P<0.00001; I2=52%) in CFS patients, while Effect on depression and anxiety were inconclusive. We found that Soyo-san and its modifications were effective for improvement of general symptoms and fatigue severity in CFS post-treatment.

High Temperatures and Kidney Disease Morbidity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

  • Lee, Woo-Seok;Kim, Woo-Sung;Lim, Youn-Hee;Hong, Yun-Chul
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: In recent years, serious concerns have been raised regarding the impacts of rising temperatures on health. The present study was conducted to investigate the relationship between elevated temperatures and kidney disease through a systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods: In October 2017, 2 researchers independently searched related studies in PubMed and Embase. A meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model, including only studies that presented odds ratios, relative risks, or percentage changes, along with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The characteristics of each study were summarized, and the Egger test and funnel plots were used to evaluate publication bias. Results: Eleven studies that met the criteria were included in the final analysis. The pooled results suggest an increase of 30% (95% CI, 20 to 40) in kidney disease morbidity with high temperatures. In a disease-specific subgroup analysis, statistically significant results were observed for both renal colic or kidney stones and other renal diseases. In a study design-specific subgroup analysis, statistically significant results were observed in both time-series analyses and studies with other designs. In a temperature measure-specific subgroup analysis, significant results were likewise found for both studies using mean temperature measurements and studies measuring heat waves or heat stress. Conclusions: Our results indicate that morbidity due to kidney disease increases at high temperatures. We also found significant results in subgroup analyses. However, further time-series analyses are needed to obtain more generalizable evidence.

Serum vitamin D status and metabolic syndrome: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

  • Lee, Kyueun;Kim, Jihye
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.329-345
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    • 2021
  • BACKGROUD/OBJECTIVES: Evidence has suggested an association between serum vitamin D and metabolic syndrome (MetS), but prospective studies are very limited. The objective was to assess the dose-response association between serum vitamin D concentration and MetS risk using a systematic review and meta-analysis of updated observational studies. MATERIALS/METHODS: Using MEDLINE, PubMed, and Embase, a systematic literature search was conducted through February 2020 and the references of relevant articles were reviewed. A random-effects model was used to estimate the summary odds ratio/relative risk and 95% confidence interval (CI). Heterogeneity among studies was evaluated with I2 statistic. In total, 23 observational studies (19 cross-sectional studies, and four cohort studies) were included in the meta-analysis. RESULTS: The pooled estimates (95% CI) for MetS per 25-nmol/L increment in serum vitamin D concentration were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76-0.84; I2 = 53.5) in cross-sectional studies, and 0.85 (95% CI, 0.72-0.98; I2 = 85.8) in cohort studies. Similar results were observed, irrespectively of age of study population, study location, MetS criteria, and adjustment factors. There was no publication bias for the dose-response meta-analysis of serum vitamin D concentrations and MetS. CONCLUSIONS: Dose-response meta-analysis demonstrated that a 25-nmol/L increment in the serum vitamin D concentration was associated with 20% and 15% lower risks of MetS in cross-sectional studies and cohort studies, respectively.

Assessment of Performance on the Asian Dust Generation in Spring Using Hindcast Data in Asian Dust Seasonal Forecasting Model (황사장기예측자료를 이용한 봄철 황사 발생 예측 특성 분석)

  • Kang, Misun;Lee, Woojeong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kim, Mi-Gyeong;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated the prediction skill of the Asian dust seasonal forecasting model (GloSea5-ADAM) on the Asian dust and meteorological variables related to the dust generation for the period of 1991~2016. Additionally, we evaluated the prediction skill of those variables depending on the combination of the initial dates in the sub-seasonal scale for the dust source region affecting South Korea. The Asian dust and meteorological variables (10 m wind speed, 1.5 m relative humidity, and 1.5 m air temperature) from GloSea5-ADAM were compared to that from Synoptic observation and European Centre for medium range weather forecasts reanalysis v5, respectively, based on Mean Bias Error (MBE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) as evaluation criteria. In general, the Asian dust and meteorological variables in the source region showed high ACC in the prediction scale within one month. For all variables, the use of the initial dates closest to the prediction month led to the best performances based on MBE, RMSE, and ACC, and the performances could be improved by adjusting the number of ensembles considering the combination of the initial date. ACC was as high as 0.4 in Spring when using the closest two initial dates. In particular, the GloSea5-ADAM shows the best performance of Asian dust generation with an ACC of 0.60 in the occurrence frequency of Asian dust in March when using the closest initial dates for initial conditions.

Methodology of Correcting Barometer Using Moving Drone and RTK Receiver (동적 드론과 RTK 수신기를 이용한 기압계 보정정보 생성 방법론)

  • Kim, Suyeol;Yun, Jeonghyeon;Park, Byungwoon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2022
  • Barometers have been used to calculate altitude, and with the development of technology, barometer which had a large volume have now been reduced to about centimeter-level. The altitude calculation using barometer is proceeded using the relationship between reference sea level pressure and the pressure obtained by barometer, and for this, pre-calibration of the barometer is essential. In addition, the barometer has a certain level of bias from actual pressure due to production, and many smartphone manufacturers correct it during the manufacturing process, but it is difficult to correct errors caused by environmental variables. In this paper, we extended methodology of correcting barometer using static reference station to moving drone, and it was possible to calculate the altitude more accurately.