• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression Model Optimization

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Nonparametic Kernel Regression model for Rating curve (수위-유량곡선을 위한 비매개 변수적 Kernel 회귀모형)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Cho, Sung-Jin;Chun, Si-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1025-1033
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    • 2003
  • In common with workers in hydrologic fields, scientists and engineers relate one variable to two or more other variables for purposes of predication, optimization, and control. Statistics methods have improved to establish such relationships. Regression, as it is called, is indeed the most commonly used statistics technique in hydrologic fields; relationship between the monitored variable stage and the corresponding discharges(rating curve). Regression methods expressed in the form of mathematical equations which has parameters, so called parametric methods. some times, the establishment of parameters is complicated and uncertain. Many non-parametric regression methods which have not parameters, have been proposed and studied. The most popular of these are kernel regression method. Kernel regression offer a way of estimation the regression function without the specification of a parametric model. This paper conducted comparisons of some bandwidth selection methods which are using the least squares and cross-validation.

The Development of a SVR-based Empirical Model for the Effect of the Unbalanced Floor Height on MVC of Lifting Task (불균형한 바닥높이가 들기 작업의 최대발휘근력에 미치는 영향 분석을 위한 SVR 예측모델 설계)

  • Oh, Hyunsoo;Chang, Seong Rok;Kim, Younghwan;Lee, Chang Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.153-159
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    • 2014
  • Low back pain is one of major issues in musculoskeletal diseases mainly caused by MMH (Manual Material Handling) tasks. In Korea, the standards of NIOSH(National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health) Lift Equations in U. S. A. have been most widely used. However, there is no standard in case the height of one feet is higher than that of another one. Moreover, since the standards are developed in U. S. A., there are many limitations for the applicability of Korean workers. In this study, MVC(Maximum Voluntary Contraction) for four postures are measured and an empirical model based on SVR(Support Vector Regression) is constructed. Constructing SVR model, PSO(Particle Swarm Optimization) is employed to investigate the optimal parameters of SVR. The results show that the performance of this empirical model is approximately accurate, even if the deviation of experimental values is large due to the individual differences. This empirical model may contribute to establish the standards of MMH tasks in Korea.

Network traffic prediction model based on linear and nonlinear model combination

  • Lian Lian
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.461-472
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    • 2024
  • We propose a network traffic prediction model based on linear and nonlinear model combination. Network traffic is modeled by an autoregressive moving average model, and the error between the measured and predicted network traffic values is obtained. Then, an echo state network is used to fit the prediction error with nonlinear components. In addition, an improved slime mold algorithm is proposed for reservoir parameter optimization of the echo state network, further improving the regression performance. The predictions of the linear (autoregressive moving average) and nonlinear (echo state network) models are added to obtain the final prediction. Compared with other prediction models, test results on two network traffic datasets from mobile and fixed networks show that the proposed prediction model has a smaller error and difference measures. In addition, the coefficient of determination and index of agreement is close to 1, indicating a better data fitting performance. Although the proposed prediction model has a slight increase in time complexity for training and prediction compared with some models, it shows practical applicability.

Machinability investigation and sustainability assessment in FDHT with coated ceramic tool

  • Panda, Asutosh;Das, Sudhansu Ranjan;Dhupal, Debabrata
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.681-698
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    • 2020
  • The paper addresses contribution to the modeling and optimization of major machinability parameters (cutting force, surface roughness, and tool wear) in finish dry hard turning (FDHT) for machinability evaluation of hardened AISI grade die steel D3 with PVD-TiN coated (Al2O3-TiCN) mixed ceramic tool insert. The turning trials are performed based on Taguchi's L18 orthogonal array design of experiments for the development of regression model as well as adequate model prediction by considering tool approach angle, nose radius, cutting speed, feed rate, and depth of cut as major machining parameters. The models or correlations are developed by employing multiple regression analysis (MRA). In addition, statistical technique (response surface methodology) followed by computational approaches (genetic algorithm and particle swarm optimization) have been employed for multiple response optimization. Thereafter, the effectiveness of proposed three (RSM, GA, PSO) optimization techniques are evaluated by confirmation test and subsequently the best optimization results have been used for estimation of energy consumption which includes savings of carbon footprint towards green machining and for tool life estimation followed by cost analysis to justify the economic feasibility of PVD-TiN coated Al2O3+TiCN mixed ceramic tool in FDHT operation. Finally, estimation of energy savings, economic analysis, and sustainability assessment are performed by employing carbon footprint analysis, Gilbert approach, and Pugh matrix, respectively. Novelty aspects, the present work: (i) contributes to practical industrial application of finish hard turning for the shaft and die makers to select the optimum cutting conditions in a range of hardness of 45-60 HRC, (ii) demonstrates the replacement of expensive, time-consuming conventional cylindrical grinding process and proposes the alternative of costlier CBN tool by utilizing ceramic tool in hard turning processes considering technological, economical and ecological aspects, which are helpful and efficient from industrial point of view, (iii) provides environment friendliness, cleaner production for machining of hardened steels, (iv) helps to improve the desirable machinability characteristics, and (v) serves as a knowledge for the development of a common language for sustainable manufacturing in both research field and industrial practice.

Rotor Track and Balance of a Helicopter Rotor System Using Modern Global Optimization Schemes (최신의 전역 최적화 기법에 기반한 헬리콥터 동적 밸런싱 구현에 관한 연구)

  • You, Younghyun;Jung, Sung Nam;Kim, Chang Ju;Kim, Oe Cheul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.41 no.7
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    • pp.524-531
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    • 2013
  • This work aims at developing a RTB (Rotor Track and Balance) system to alleviate imbalances originating from various sources encountered during blade manufacturing process and environmental factors. The analytical RTB model is determined based on the linear regression analysis to relate the RTB adjustment parameters and their track and vibration results. The model is validated using the flight test data of a full helicopter. It is demonstrated that the linearized model has been correlated well with the test data. A hybrid optimization problem is formulated to find the best solution of the RTB adjustment parameters using the genetic algorithm combined with the PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization) algorithm. The optimization results reveal that both track deviations and vibration levels under various flight conditions become decreased within the allowable tolerances.

Optimization of Fuzzy Inference Systems Based on Data Information Granulation (데이터 정보입자 기반 퍼지 추론 시스템의 최적화)

  • 오성권;박건준;이동윤
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.415-424
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we introduce and investigate a new category of rule-based fuzzy inference system based on Information Granulation(IG). The proposed rule-based fuzzy modeling implements system structure and parameter identification in the efficient form of “If..., then...” statements, and exploits the theory of system optimization and fuzzy implication rules. The form of the fuzzy rules comes with three types of fuzzy inferences: a simplified one that involves conclusions that are fixed numeric values, a linear one where the conclusion part is viewed as a linear function of inputs, and a regression polynomial one as the extended type of the linear one. By the nature of the rule-based fuzzy systems, these fuzzy models are geared toward capturing relationships between information granules. The form of the information granules themselves becomes an important design features of the fuzzy model. Information granulation with the aid of HCM(Hard C-Means) clustering algorithm hell)s determine the initial parameters of rule-based fuzzy model such as the initial apexes of the membership functions and the initial values of polynomial function being used in the Premise and consequence Part of the fuzzy rules. And then the initial Parameters are tuned (adjusted) effectively with the aid of the improved complex method(ICM) and the standard least square method(LSM). In the sequel, the ICM and LSM lead to fine-tuning of the parameters of premise membership functions and consequent polynomial functions in the rules of fuzzy model. An aggregate objective function with a weighting factor is proposed in order to achieve a balance between performance of the fuzzy model. Numerical examples are included to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. They are also contrasted with the performance of the fuzzy models existing in the literature.

Modeling of Process Plasma Using a Radial Basis Function Network: A Cases Study

  • Kim, Byungwhan;Sungjin Rark
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.268-273
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    • 2000
  • Plasma models are crucial to equipment design and process optimization. A radial basis function network(RBFN) in con-junction with statistical experimental design has been used to model a process plasma. A 2$^4$ full factorial experiment was employed to characterized a hemispherical inductively coupled plasma(HICP) in characterizing HICP, the factors that were varied in the design include source power, pressure, position of shuck holder, and Cl$_2$ flow rate. Using a Langmuir probe, plasma attributes were collected, which include typical electron density, electron temperature. and plasma potential as well as their spatial uniformity. Root mean-squared prediction errors of RBEN are 0.409(10(sup)12/㎤), 0.277(eV), and 0.699(V), for electron density, electron temperature, and Plasma potential, respectively. For spatial uniformity data, they are 2.623(10(sup)12/㎤), 5.704(eV) and 3.481(V), for electron density, electron temperature, and plasma potential, respectively. Comparisons with generalized regression neural network(GRNN) revealed an improved prediction accuracy of RBFN as well as a comparable performance between GRNN and statistical response surface model. Both RBEN and GRNN, however, experienced difficulties in generalizing training data with smaller standard deviation.

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Optimization for Concurrent Spare Part with Simulation and Multiple Regression (시뮬레이션과 다중 회귀모형을 이용한 동시조달수리부속 최적화)

  • Kim, Kyung-Rok;Yong, Hwa-Young;Kwon, Ki-Sang
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the study in efficient operation, maintenance, and equipment-design have been growing rapidly in military industry to meet the required missions. Through out these studies, the importance of Concurrent Spare Parts(CSP) are emphasized. The CSP, which is critical to the operation and maintenance to enhance the availability, is offered together when a equipment is delivered. Despite its significance, th responsibility for determining the range and depth of CSP are done from administrative decision rather than engineering analysis. The purpose of the paper is to optimize the number of CSP per item using simulation and multiple regression. First, the result, as the change of operational availability, was gained from changing the number of change in simulation model. Second, mathematical regression was computed from the input and output data, and the number of CSP was optimized by multiple regression and linear programming; the constraint condition is the cost for optimization. The advantage of this study is to respond with the transition of constraint condition quickly. The cost per item is consistently altered in the development state of equipment. The speed of analysis, that simulation method is continuously performed whenever constraint condition is repeatedly altered, would be down. Therefore, this study is suitable for real development environment. In the future, the study based on the above concept improves the accuracy of optimization by the technical progress of multiple regression.

Optimization of front Bump Steer for Improving Vehicle Handling Performances (차량의 조종 안정성 향상을 위한 전륜 범프 스터어 최적화)

  • 서권희;이윤기;박래석;박상서;윤희석
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.80-88
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a method to optimize the bump steer characteristics (the change of toe angle with vertical wheel travel) with respect to hard points in the double wishbone front suspension of the four-wheel-drive vehicle using the design of experiment, multibody dynamics simulation, and optimum design program. Front and rear suspensions are modeled as the interconnection of rigid bodies by kinematic joints and force elements using DADS. The design variables with respect to the kinematic characteristics are obtained through the experimental design sensitivity analysis. An object function is defined as the area of absolute differences between the desired and experimental toe angle. By the design of experiment and regression analysis, the regression model function of bump steer characteristics is extracted. The design variables that make the toe angle optimized are selected using the optimum design program DOT. The lane change simulations and tests of the full vehicle models are implemented to evaluate the improvement of vehicle handling performances by the optimization of front bump steer characteristics. The results of the lane change simulations show that the vehicle with optimized bump steer has the weaker understeer tendency than the vehicle with initial bump steer.

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Investment strategy using AESG rating: Focusing on a Korean Market

  • KIM, Eunchong;JEONG, Hanwook
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study used ESG grade, but defined AESG, adjusted to the size of a company and examines whether it can be used as an investment strategy. Research design, data and methodology: The analysis sample in this study is a company that has given an ESG rating among companies listed on the Korea Stock Exchange. We examine the results through portfolio analysis and Fama-macbeth regression analysis. Results: As result of examining the long-only performance and the long-short performance by constructing quintile portfolios, it was observed that a significant positive return was shown. It was observed that there was an alpha that could not be explained in asset pricing models. Also, AESG had a return prediction effect in the result of a Fama-Macbeth regression that controlled corporate characteristic variables in individual stocks. Next, we confirmed AESG's usage through various portfolio composition. In the portfolio optimization, the Risk Efficient method was the most superior in terms of sharpe ratio and the construct multi-factor model with Value, Momentum and Low Vol showed statistically significant performance improvement. Conclusions: The results of this study suggest that it can be helpful in ESG investment to reflect the ESG rating of relatively small companies more through the scale adjustment of the ESG rating (i.e.AESG).