• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regional Unemployment

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An Analysis of the Impact of Entrepreneurial Activities in Busan on Regional Economic Growth and Reduction of Unemployment Rate (부산지역 창업활동이 지역경제 성장과 실업률 저감에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Young;Lee, Ye Lim
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2016
  • Support and efforts are being strengthened at the national level for entrepreneurial activities that are expected to revitalize our economy. Generally, according to the previous studies, it is known that entrepreneurship positively affects economic growth and the reduction of unemployment rate through employment creation. The analysis of the impact of entrepreneurial activities on economic growth and job creation is mainly based on national comparative analysis. In this paper, however, the impact of start-up activities in the Busan metropolitan city on regional economic growth and employment improvement. In this study, the dummy variables were assigned to firms within three years, five years, and ten years after start-up according to the period since the start-up of the firm. As a result of the empirical analysis, the value of dummy variable of the start - up firms was found to be significant in the analysis of the sales growth rate as the dependent variable according to the preceding study by Evans(1987). Therefore, it can be seen that the growth rate of the start - up company is higher than that of the other companies and it is positive for the regional economic growth. In addition, the coefficient of the dummy variable decreases from the enterprise analysis to the latter within three years, five years, and ten years after the start-up, and confirms that the coefficient of the firm's start-up years has a negative value. I could see more clearly. On the other hand, in the analysis of the effect of start-up firms on unemployment rate reduction, the growth rate of regular workers was higher than that of other firms. This suggests that it positively affects the reduction of the unemployment rate in the region. In addition, in the dynamic analysis using the Almon estimation formula and the Koyck model, the effect of log-transformed net start-up firms on the growth rate of new workers is very significant. As a result of the above model, It is reaffirmed that start-up activity has a positive effect on employment growth.

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Unemployment Disparities and Their Dynamics of the Metropolitan Areas since the Financial Crisis of 1997 (외환위기 이후 대도시지역간 실업의 차이와 그 역동성: 사회적 배제의 구조화에 대한 함의)

  • Lee, Won-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.94-110
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    • 2008
  • This study examines the unemployment and labor market demand dynamics as well as their implication for social exclusion in the metropolitan areas of Korea since the financial crisis of 1997. The unemployment research containing significant implication for social exclusion is a key area to be explored with the research of skill and income polarization due to structural economic transformation. Skill polarization usually results in the job loss for some people, which most likely leads to the economic deprivation and social exclusion. The unemployment rate and its regional disparity began to fall since 2000, but the disparity reversed to increase after 2005. The labor market dynamics of the metropolitan areas are turned out to be related with the size of the city and the relative shares of both manufacturing and service sectors. In addition, the employment growth is turned out to be related with the changes of both output and productivity. It is also found that the unemployment is affected with the job change and the tertiarization of the economy. However, it is of more significance to recognize that the dynamics and patterns of the labor market in the metropolitan areas are quite spatially differentiated and the differentiation is likely determined by the factors such as industrial structure, employment dynamics and job demand changes.

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Cyclical Patterns of Real Wages and the Wage Curve (실질임금의 경기변동상 변화패턴과 임금곡선)

  • Shin, Donggyun;Cheon, Byungyou
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2002
  • This paper investigates how real wages adjust to regional and cyclical shocks in the Korean labor market. Major findings are as follows. First, like most longitudinal studies in this literature, we find that real wages are strongly procyclical and more procyclical for men than for women. Second, consistent with the theory prediction of efficiency wages, both permanent and transitory components of real wages are negatively correlated with the local unemployment rate. Third, when overall and local unemployment rates compete in a wage equation (our preferred specification), current wages are dominantly affected by the overall rate, and the effect of the local rate is rather small. This rejects the Blanchflower and Oswald's hypothesis that wages are primarily determined by local labor market conditions. Finally, no lagged effects on wages are detected in the overall or local unemployment rate.

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Place-based Policy and Urban Poverty: An Analysis of Employment Mismatch and Placeness of Regional Labor Market (장소기반 정책과 도시빈곤: 일자리 미스매치와 지역노동시장의 장소성 분석)

  • Lee, Wonho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2016
  • This study investigates the employment and spatial mismatch as a significant acting factor of deepening urban poverty and analyses the placeness of regional labor market that the more efficient place-based labor market intervention needs to take into account. The change of unemployment rate as a regional labor market outcome in metropolitan cities is determined by the dynamic interaction between disequilibrium of labor supply and demand and employment mismatch according to various labor market conditions and its process is certainly differentiated across the metropolitan regional labor markets. In addition, it is analyzed that during the employment suburbanization the spatial mismatch puts differentiated impacts on different labor groups through human capital requirements and industry-selective job opportunities. As a result, because this whole process works with its unique process within individual regional labor markets, in order to link between urban poverty and employment mismatch and to promote problem-solving labor market intervention, we need to develop place-based policy based on the placeness of regional labor marekt.

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Effect of Fiscal and Non-fiscal Variables on Regional Economy: The Case of 16 Wide-area Autonomous Communities in Korea (재정변수 및 비재정변수가 지역경제에 미치는 영향: 16개 시도를 중심으로)

  • Park, Wan Kyu;Kim, Du-Su
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.554-566
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyses the relationship between regional economic power defined as GRDP per capita and various socioeconomic variables such as fiscal variables(revenue, expenditure, etc.) as well as nonfiscal variables(population, ratio of old population, unemployment rate, dependency ration) using the pooling data of 16 local governments from 1998 to 2012. To put it concretely, following the Granger causality test, regression analysis has been done with the regional economic power being the dependent and variables which have either one or two direction causality being independent variables. And test of cumulative effects has been done with variables showing statistical significance in the regression analysis. Local tax revenues per capita, expenditures of social development per capita and median age have positive effects, while dependency ratio has negative effect on regional economy. And national subsidy per capita, local tax revenues per capita, expenditures of social development per capita and median age all have cumulative effects on regional economy.

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Analysis of Regional Fertility Gap Factors Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence (설명 가능한 인공지능을 이용한 지역별 출산율 차이 요인 분석)

  • Dongwoo Lee;Mi Kyung Kim;Jungyoon Yoon;Dongwon Ryu;Jae Wook Song
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2024
  • Korea is facing a significant problem with historically low fertility rates, which is becoming a major social issue affecting the economy, labor force, and national security. This study analyzes the factors contributing to the regional gap in fertility rates and derives policy implications. The government and local authorities are implementing a range of policies to address the issue of low fertility. To establish an effective strategy, it is essential to identify the primary factors that contribute to regional disparities. This study identifies these factors and explores policy implications through machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence. The study also examines the influence of media and public opinion on childbirth in Korea by incorporating news and online community sentiment, as well as sentiment fear indices, as independent variables. To establish the relationship between regional fertility rates and factors, the study employs four machine learning models: multiple linear regression, XGBoost, Random Forest, and Support Vector Regression. Support Vector Regression, XGBoost, and Random Forest significantly outperform linear regression, highlighting the importance of machine learning models in explaining non-linear relationships with numerous variables. A factor analysis using SHAP is then conducted. The unemployment rate, Regional Gross Domestic Product per Capita, Women's Participation in Economic Activities, Number of Crimes Committed, Average Age of First Marriage, and Private Education Expenses significantly impact regional fertility rates. However, the degree of impact of the factors affecting fertility may vary by region, suggesting the need for policies tailored to the characteristics of each region, not just an overall ranking of factors.

On the Estimation of Regional Job-matching Functions of Korea (우리나라의 지역별 일자리결합함수의 추정)

  • Yang, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ho-Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.248-259
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    • 2009
  • This paper analyzes the interactions among regional labor markets in Korea. Specifically, we focus on the job market externality between neighboring regions. To estimate the job matching functions, we construct panel data on unemployment, vacancies and hires for the period of January 2004 through December 2007 for 15 cities and provinces in Korea. We employ various spatial econometric techniques to avoid the problem of spatial autocorrelation which frequently arises when dealing with regional data. Main findings are as follows. First, estimation results are consistent with conventional job matching theory. That is, as the number of job searchers and vacancies increase, the number of hires also rises. And it is relatively easier for firms to hire workers than for job seekers to find jobs. Second, it is found that, other things equal, the possibility of job matching is higher in large metropolitan areas than rural areas. Finally, the findings show that the number of job searchers in neighboring areas is negatively correlated with the number of hires in the area. Likewise, the number of vacancies in neighboring areas is positively correlated with number of hires in the area. These provide clear evidence on the existence of regional spillover effects.

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Migration to the Capital Region in Korea: Assessing the Relative Importance of Place Characteristics and Migrant Selectivity (우리나라 수도권으로의 인구이동: 시기별 유출지역 특성과 이주자 선별성의 상대적 중요도 평가)

  • Kwon, Sang-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.571-584
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    • 2005
  • The population concentration in the Capital region of Korea has become an important issue for the pursuit of the balanced regional human capital development. Considering migration both as a geographic and a social movement, migration to the capital region could be examined in the push factors and the selective migrant characteristics from the out-migration region. Their relative importance reveals that age and education level are important in almost all years, but the importance of the percentage of manufacturing sector and rural/urban region moves to the years of education, the percentage of unskilled occupation and manufacturing sector and unemployment ratio recently. Since the brain drain has been occurring under the highly unbalanced regional development in Korea, the results suggest that regional human capital investment should be accompanied with enlarging quality employment opportunities to reap the benefits.

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Minimum Wages and Employment of Youth, Old, and Woman by Region : With Special Reference to Use of Wage Distribution Differentials among Regions (최저임금과 지역별 청년·장년·여성 고용 - 지역 간 임금분포 격차 활용을 중심으로 -)

  • Bai, Jin Han
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.1-42
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    • 2019
  • In this study we find that relatively high minimum wages should make the employment ratios of youth, old, and woman lower very significantly in those regions concerned, futhermore, make the overall employment ratios of those regions lower also by using a proxy variable, the Regional Minimum Wages-Half Median Wages Ratio which represents well the very stable differential structure of wage distributions among regions in Korea. In large Cities those effects become much stronger. But we find also that those effects on the rates of regional unemployment are somewhat double-faced except the case of youth because of the probable generating of many discouraged unemployed among the old and women. So, we can conclude that because of the differential regional economic situations it is not sustainable to increase the overall minimum wages uniformly and excessively and strongly necessary to explore ways toward introducing the proper system of regional minimum wages.

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Relationship between local authority deprivation and activity limitation in adults aged 50 or over (지역 박탈수준과 중고령층의 활동제한의 연관성)

  • Yoon, Tae-Ho;Kim, Soo-Young;Yun, Mi-Sook;Moon, Kyung-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: As the increasing of the length of the lifespan, more recent policy interest are concerned with how many years of life are lived without functional disability or activity limitation. We investigated the relationship between deprivation and activity limitation at the 251 local authority level. Methods: The data were derived from the 2010 Census 10% sample data. Crude and age-standardized activity limitation rates by gender at the ages of 50 or over and deprivation index were calculated. Mapping and multiple linear regression analysis were applied to explore relationship between area activity limitation and area deprivation. Results: There were considerable differences in activity limitation rate across the 251 local authorities. Age-standardized activity limitation rate in both male and female were strongly associated with the level of area deprivation. Especially, low social class, male unemployment, or non-apartment residents at the local level were strong positive association with local authorities' age-standardized activity limitation. Conclusion: More policy attention is needed for tackling regional inequality in activity limitation among older adults.