• 제목/요약/키워드: Process selection

검색결과 3,390건 처리시간 0.034초

불확실성을 고려한 기후변화 시나리오의 선정 (Selecting Climate Change Scenarios Reflecting Uncertainties)

  • 이재경;김영오
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제22권2호
    • /
    • pp.149-161
    • /
    • 2012
  • Going by the research results of the past, of all the uncertainties resulting from the research on climate change, the uncertainty caused by the climate change scenario has the highest degree of uncertainty. Therefore, depending upon what kind of climate change scenario one adopts, the projection of the water resources in the future will differ significantly. As a matter of principle, it is highly recommended to utilize all the GCM scenarios offered by the IPCC. However, this could be considered to be an impractical alternative if a decision has to be made at an action officer's level. Hence, as an alternative, it is deemed necessary to select several scenarios so as to express the possible number of cases to the maximum extent possible. The objective standards in selecting the climate change scenarios have not been properly established and the scenarios have been selected, either at random or subject to the researcher's discretion. In this research, a new scenario selection process, in which it is possible to have the effect of having utilized all the possible scenarios, with using only a few principal scenarios and maintaining some of the uncertainties, has been suggested. In this research, the use of cluster analysis and the selection of a representative scenario in each cluster have efficiently reduced the number of climate change scenarios. In the cluster analysis method, the K-means clustering method, which takes advantage of the statistical features of scenarios has been employed; in the selection of a representative scenario in each cluster, the selection method was analyzed and reviewed and the PDF method was used to select the best scenarios with the closest simulation accuracy and the principal scenarios that is suggested by this research. In the selection of the best scenarios, it has been shown that the GCM scenario which demonstrated high level of simulation accuracy in the past need not necessarily demonstrate the similarly high level of simulation accuracy in the future and various GCM scenarios were selected for the principal scenarios. Secondly, the "Maximum entropy" which can quantify the uncertainties of the climate change scenario has been used to both quantify and compare the uncertainties associated with all the scenarios, best scenarios and the principal scenarios. Comparison has shown that the principal scenarios do maintain and are able to better explain the uncertainties of all the scenarios than the best scenarios. Therefore, through the scenario selection process, it has been proven that the principal scenarios have the effect of having utilized all the scenarios and retaining the uncertainties associated with the climate change to the maximum extent possible, while reducing the number of scenarios at the same time. Lastly, the climate change scenario most suitable for the climate on the Korean peninsula has been suggested. Through the scenario selection process, of all the scenarios found in the 4th IPCC report, principal climate change scenarios, which are suitable for the Korean peninsula and maintain most of the uncertainties, have been suggested. Therefore, it is assessed that the use of the scenario most suitable for the future projection of water resources on the Korean peninsula will be able to provide the projection of the water resources management that maintains more than 70~80% level of uncertainties of all the scenarios.

AHP를 이용한 국방정보기술표준 선정 평가 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of Evaluation Model for Selecting a Standard for DITA using AHP)

  • 김자희;김우제;조현기;이은영;서민우
    • 산업공학
    • /
    • 제25권1호
    • /
    • pp.96-105
    • /
    • 2012
  • Recently, the interoperability has become more important to enhance the net-centric capabilities of the warfighter. DITA (Defense Information Technical stAndard) is the set of IT standards for improving interoperability, scalability, effectiveness, and efficiency. In this paper, we analyzed the standardizing process to derive the selection criteria and structurized the derived selection criteria using the KJ (Kawakita Jiro) method. Finally, we developed an evaluation model for selecting a standard for DITA using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process). As a result, we present eight selection criteria (maintainability, trend, stability, portability, effect of other standard, constraint of the network, and applicability to the systems). We also applied some examples that several IT standards to our selection model for validating the model. We expect our model to help to decide objectively whether the new standard can be listed in DITA.

특징점들의 적응적 선택에 근거한 B-spline 곡선근사 (B-spline Curve Approximation Based on Adaptive Selection of Dominant Points)

  • 이주행;박형준
    • 한국CDE학회논문집
    • /
    • 제11권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper addresses B-spline curve approximation of a set of ordered points to a specified toterance. The important issue in this problem is to reduce the number of control points while keeping the desired accuracy in the resulting B-spline curve. In this paper we propose a new method for error-bounded B-spline curve approximation based on adaptive selection of dominant points. The method first selects from the given points initial dominant points that govern the overall shape of the point set. It then computes a knot vector using the dominant points and performs B-spline curve fitting to all the given points. If the fitted B-spline curve cannot approximate the points within the tolerance, the method selects more points as dominant points and repeats the curve fitting process. The knots are determined in each step by averaging the parameters of the dominant points. The resulting curve is a piecewise B-spline curve of order (degree+1) p with $C^{(p-2)}$ continuity at each knot. The shape index of a point set is introduced to facilitate the dominant point selection during the iterative curve fitting process. Compared with previous methods for error-bounded B-spline curve approximation, the proposed method requires much less control points to approximate the given point set with the desired shape fidelity. Some experimental results demonstrate its usefulness and quality.

지하공사 사례를 기반으로 한 터파기 공법 선정프로세스 분석 (Case Analyses of the Selection Process of an Excavation Method)

  • 박상현;이강;최명석;강현정;임홍철
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건축시공학회 2007년도 춘계학술논문 발표대회
    • /
    • pp.101-104
    • /
    • 2007
  • As the proportion of underground construction increases, the impact of inappropriate selection of a underground construction method for a construction size increases. The purpose of this study is to develop an objective way of selecting an excavation method. There have been several attempts to achieve the same goal using various data mining methods such as the artificial neural network, the support vector machine, and the case-based reasoning. However, they focused only on the selection of a retaining wall construction method out of six types of retaining walls. When we categorized an underground construction work into four groups and added more number of independent variables (i.e., more number of construction methods), the predictability decreased. As an alternative, we developed a decision tree by analyzing 25 earthwork cases with detailed information. We implemented the developed decision tree as a computer-supported program called Dr. underground and are still in the process of validating and revising the decision tree. This study is still in a preliminary stage and will be improved by collecting and analyzing more cases.

  • PDF

한국천문올림피아드 학생선발 및 교육방법 개선을 위한 조사연구 (A STUDY ON THE IMPROVEMENT OF KAO STUDENT SELECTION AND EDUCATIONAL METHOD)

  • 임인성;성현일;김유제
    • 천문학논총
    • /
    • 제27권5호
    • /
    • pp.431-438
    • /
    • 2012
  • A number of middle and high school students are selected at the Korea Astronomy Olympiad (KAO) in every year. In the first stage of the selection, the resume, school transcript, and recommendation letters from teachers are referred. In the second stage, after video lectures and weekend observation classes, students are tested with on-line homeworks, and interviewed through internet. For 118 students who have gone through the second stage of the 2012 KAO, we have conducted a questionnaire survey, which asks the students the motivation and preparation for the KAO. The survey has also included inquiries for the selection process and education program of the 2012 KAO; the replies will be used as feedbacks for the next year's KAO. The survey has revealed that the first stage worked well, while the second stage needs to be improved in terms of fairness and objectivity. We have found that most students received private tutorings for the KAO, so we suggest efforts should be made for students to be able to prepare the KAO without receiving private tutorings.

다중 스트림을 이용한 객체기반 MPEG-4 컨텐트의 적응 기법 (Adaptation for Object-based MPEG-4 Content with Multiple Streams)

  • 차경애
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.69-81
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, an adaptive algorithm is proposed in streaming MPEG-4 contents with fluctuating resource amount such as throughput of network conditions. In the area of adaptive streaming issue, a lot of researches have been made on how to represent encoded media(such as video) bitstream in scalable way. By contrast, MPEG-4 supports object-based multimedia content which is composed of various types of media streams such as audio, video, image and other graphical elements. Thus, it can be more effective to provide individual media streams in scalable way for streaming object-based content to heterogeneous environment. The proposed method provides the multiple media streams corresponding to an object with different qualities and bit rate in order to support object based scalability to the MPEG-4 content. In addition, an optimal selection of the multiple streams for each object to meet a given constraint is proposed. The selection process is adopted a multiple choice knapsack problem with multi-step selection for the MPEG-4 objects with different scalability levels. The proposed algorithm enforces the optimal selection process to maintain the perceptual qualities of more important objects at the best effort. The experimental results show that the set of selected media stream for presenting objects meets a current transmission condition with more high perceptual quality.

  • PDF

지문인식도어락 디자인 개발 사례연구 (Case Study for Fingerprint ID Doorlock Design Development)

  • 서수웅
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
    • /
    • 제4권3호
    • /
    • pp.115-123
    • /
    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 지문인식 도어락제품의 특징에 대해 살펴보고, 디자인 컨셉을 결정짓는 체계적인 방법론에 대해 알아본다. 디자인 개발 프로세스는 제품의 종류와 그 특성에 따라 많은 단계를 거치게 된다. 특히 개발 초기의 컨셉을 선택하는 단계는 시장에서의 성패를 좌우하는 매우 중요한 시기이다. 본 연구에서는 다소 주관적이고, 비논리적 일 수 있는 컨셉 선택과정을 보다 객관적이고, 체계적 인 프로세스로 정립할 수 있는 방법론을 모색한다. 컨셉 선택 프로세스는 크게 두 가지 단계로 나누어진다. 우선, 컨셉을 결정짓는 요소들을 매트릭스로 구조화하여 많은 대안이 제시되었을 때보다 신속하고 합리적으로 대안을 선별해 나가는 과정이 있다. 다음으로는 선택에 영향을 주는 요소들에 가중치를 적용하여 평가함으로써 보다 이상적인 컨셉을 선택해가는 과정이 있다. 선택된 컨셉을 구체화하여 양산을 위한 디자인 확정안에 대한 렌더링을 결과로써 제시한다.

  • PDF

AHP를 이용한 스마트TV 제품모델 선정 방법 (Method for Selecting a Smart Television Product Model Using AHP)

  • 변대호
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.69-77
    • /
    • 2014
  • 스마트 TV는 일반 TV와 달리 방송시청이라는 목적 외에 다양한 기능을 가지고 있기 때문에 구매자들은 제품 선정시 복잡한 의사결정 문제에 직면하게 된다. 제조사별로 다양한 모델이 출시되고 있기 때문에 이들 제품들 간 비교 평가를 요구하고 있다. 본 연구는 소비자들이 스마트 TV를 구입할 때 고려되어야 하는 선정기준을 도출하고, 계층적 분석과정(AHP)을 사용한 일련의 의사결정 방법을 제안한다. 이용자테스트 방법을 제안하며 Expert Choice를 사용하여 구현 예를 보인다.

A STUDY ON THE PROCESS OF LARGE-SCALE REPAIR OF A CONDOMINIUM

  • Seki, Eiji;Akiyama, Tetukazu
    • 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국주거학회 2002년도 추계학술발표대회
    • /
    • pp.295-300
    • /
    • 2002
  • Since the contents of large-scale repair of a condominium were various, a plan document was not prepared. The owners association of the condominium has given priority to decision-making of price priority over quality. Examination is not performed about the contents of the construction supervision business, which checks whether suitable construction is performed, either. On the other hand, the know-how for builders, such as decision of the process plan under which the repair work lessens influence to the safety and life as much as possible since the place where the resident is living turns into a construction site, and selection of a method of construction, is just going to ask. It is an important subject how the structure of the construction contractor selection, which considered quality, is built. Then, this research focuses on large-scale repair construction of the condominium, and arranges the actual condition of a series of processes from plan document creation to construction supervision. The method of research collects the construction documents of the condominium that carried out Barge-scale repair construction. Next, collection arrangement of the data of construction builder selection is carried out. The method of the construction builder selection of those other than a construction price is examined. The method of quality control of large-scale repair construction is examined.

  • PDF

BTL사업자의 효율적인 선정 및 운영에 관한 연구 (A study on the effective operation&selection of the BTL project)

  • 김경석;최문복;조영준
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.599-602
    • /
    • 2007
  • 사회간접자본시설에 대한 투자는 국가 경쟁력 강화에 필요한 인프라 구축을 위해 필수 불가결한 국가적 과제이다. SOC투자에 소요되는 재원을 국가 재정으로만 부담하는 것에는 한계가 있다. 따라서 정부는 민간투자사업 제도를 도입하여 적극 장려하고 있으며, 그 결과 2006년 계획 중인 8조3천억 원 사업 중 45개 사업 3조8천억 원이 이미 고시되었다. 그러나 급격한 증가에도 불구하고 BTL사업의 운영 및 선정과정에서 많은 문제점을 드러내고 있으며, 이러한 문제점들은 민간투자사업의 성공적 추진에 걸림돌이 되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 다음과 같이 BTL사업자의 효율적인 운영 및 선정방안을 제시하였다. 비용 및 견적요인에 대한 사전조사를 통한 물가변동에 따른 공사비 상승을 파악해야하고, 건설사업 관리기법 활용 극대화하여 본사와 현장간의 언어소통 극대화하고 업무 일원화 및 세분화시켜야 할 것이며, 사업시행자 선정 절차단계를 보완해야 한다.

  • PDF