• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability education

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A Study on Analysis of Likelihood Principle and its Educational Implications (우도원리에 대한 분석과 그에 따른 교육적 시사점에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sun Yong;Yoon, Hyoung Seok
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.193-208
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzes the likelihood principle and elicits an educational implication. As a result of analysis, this study shows that Frequentist and Bayesian interpret the principle differently by assigning different role to that principle from each other. While frequentist regards the principle as 'the principle forming a basis for statistical inference using the likelihood ratio' through considering the likelihood as a direct tool for statistical inference, Bayesian looks upon the principle as 'the principle providing a basis for statistical inference using the posterior probability' by looking at the likelihood as a means for updating. Despite this distinction between two methods of statistical inference, two statistics schools get clues to compromise in a regard of using frequency prior probability. According to this result, this study suggests the statistics education that is a help to building of students' critical eye by their comparing inferences based on likelihood and posterior probability in the learning and teaching of updating process from frequency prior probability to posterior probability.

Coherence Structure in the Discourse of Probability Modelling

  • Jang, Hongshick
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2013
  • Stochastic phenomena induce us to construct a probability model and structure our thinking; corresponding models help us to understand and interpret the reality. They in turn equip us with tools to recognize, reconstruct and solve problems. Therefore, various implications in terms of methodology as well as epistemology naturally flow from different adoptions of models for probability. Right from the basic scenarios of different perspectives to explore reality, students are occasionally exposed to misunderstanding and misinterpretations. With realistic examples a multi-faceted image of probability and different interpretation will be considered in mathematical modelling activities. As an exploratory investigation, mathematical modelling activity for probability learning was elaborated through semiotic analysis. Especially, the coherence structure in mathematical modelling discourse was reviewed form a semiotic perspective. The discourses sampled from group activities were analyzed on the basis of semiotic perspectives taxonomical coherence relations.

Analysis of structural dynamic reliability based on the probability density evolution method

  • Fang, Yongfeng;Chen, Jianjun;Tee, Kong Fah
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • A new dynamic reliability analysis of structure under repeated random loads is proposed in this paper. The proposed method is developed based on the idea that the probability density of several times random loads can be derived from the probability density of single-time random load. The reliability prediction models of structure based on time responses under several times random loads with and without strength degradation are obtained by using the stress-strength interference theory and probability density evolution method. The resulting differential equations in the prediction models can be solved by using the forward finite difference method. Then, the probability density functions of strength redundancy of the structures can be obtained. Finally, the structural dynamic reliability can be calculated using integral method. The efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated numerically through a speed reducer. The results have shown that the proposed method is practicable, feasible and gives reasonably accurate prediction.

A Comparative Study on Statistics Education Between Korea and USA

  • Kim, Sang-Lyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1107-1117
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    • 2006
  • In this thesis, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of the current situation and the inherent problems found in modern statistics education in Korea. We investigate the American probability and statistics curriculum currently used in Wisconsin and discuss the overall state of statistics education in The United States. Through comparison of both the Korean and Wisconsin model, we explore the future direction of statistical education.

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NORMAL FUZZY PROBABILITY FOR TRAPEZOIDAL FUZZY SETS

  • Kim, Changil;Yun, Yong Sik
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.269-278
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    • 2013
  • A fuzzy set A defined on a probability space (${\Omega}$, $\mathfrak{F}$, P) is called a fuzzy event. Zadeh defines the probability of the fuzzy event A using the probability P. We define the normal fuzzy probability on $\mathbb{R}$ using the normal distribution. We calculate the normal fuzzy probability for generalized trapezoidal fuzzy sets and give some examples.

Applications of R statistical package on Probability and Statistics Education in Elementary, Middle and High School(II) (초.중.고등학교 확률 및 통계영역 교육에서의 R 통계패키지의 활용(II))

  • Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Communications of Mathematical Education
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    • v.21 no.2 s.30
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    • pp.227-270
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    • 2007
  • We described the overall explanation about R statistical package in Jang(2007). With referring the contents of the 7th national mathematics curriculum, we suggest the plan for applications of R package on probability and statistics education in elementary, middle and high school mathematics.

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Comparisons of Probability and Statistics Education in Mathematics Textbooks in Korea High School

  • Lee, Sang-Bock
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.523-529
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    • 2004
  • In Korea, mathematics education has been changed according to the 7th national mathematics curriculum renovated by the Ministry of Education and Human Resources Development announcement in 1997. The education of probability and Statistics has been carried out as a part of this curriculum. We analyze and compare 3 kinds of mathematics textbooks for 10-12 grade students. Descriptions of random variable, sample variance and sample standard deviation, distribution of sample mean, and etc. which are on some textbooks, are misleaded in school education. We suggest the unbiased estimator of sample variance in textbooks and distributions of sample means with normal population assumption.

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집합을 도입한 체계적 확률의 지도연구

  • Yu Byeong U
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.16-28
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    • 1966
  • According to the modernization of mathematics education, new abstract concepts such as the concept of sets are introduced in many fields of it. The purpose of this thesis is to adopt the concept of sets to 'probability' which is included in the curriculum of high school matematics education. The considerations of the preceding chapter III, and their obvious generalizations to more complicated experiments, justify the conclusion that probability theory consists of the study of sets. An event is a set, its opposite event is the complementary set; mutually exclusive events are disjoint sets, and an event consisting of the simultaneous occurrence of two other events is a sets obtained by intersecting two other sets it is clear how this glossary, translating physical terminology into set theoretic terminology, may be continued. Furthermore, the important theorems of probability; Additional theorem, multiplication theorem, their applications and so on, are proved by the technical operations of sets. Thinking of the mathematics education introduced by the concept of sets is very important in future.

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A Study on Electronic Text Development for Probability and Statistical Education ('확률과 통계'교육을 위한 전자교재 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Sook-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2002
  • With advancement of computer and network, world wide web(WWW) as medium of information communication is generalized in many fields. In educational aspect, applications of WWW as alternative media for class teaching or printed matter are increasing. In this article, we demonstrate a web based electronic text on the 'probability and statistics' which is one of six fields of mathematics in 7th curriculum. This text places importance on comprehension of concepts and fundamentals of probability and statistics as applied sciences and not on simple calculations of probability and statistics.

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Education Improvement Plan Related to Data Analysis & Processing in the ICT Field for the Era of Hyperconnectivity & Superintelligence

  • LEE, Seung-Woo;LEE, Sangwon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2021
  • Since the 4th Industrial Revolution is implemented based on superintelligence, new insights must be provided through convergence studies with other fields to find optimal solutions to create new ideas. In this paper, we intende to present improvement measures for probability and statistical education, which is an athlete's subject on data analysis and processing in the ICT(Information & Communication Technologies) field in the era of superintelligence of the 4th industrial revolution. This paper aims to strengthen competitiveness through early development and commercialization of new technologies by presenting probabilities and statistical curriculums that require linkage in the ICT field. Second, it is necessary to present an educational system diagram linking probabilities and statistics in the ICT field to prepare a mid- to long-term response strategy for ICT education in response to innovative changes. Third, through a survey, we intend to present an effective educational operation plan linking probability and statistics to ICT major subjects by analyzing the perception of probability, statistical importance, and utilization of majors in this field.