• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilities Values

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Internet Worm Propagation Model Using Centrality Theory

  • Kwon, Su-Kyung;Choi, Yoon-Ho;Baek, Hunki
    • Kyungpook Mathematical Journal
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.1191-1205
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    • 2016
  • The emergence of various Internet worms, including the stand-alone Code Red worm that caused a distributed denial of service (DDoS), has prompted many studies on their propagation speed to minimize potential damages. Many studies, however, assume the same probabilities for initially infected nodes to infect each node during their propagation, which do not reflect accurate Internet worm propagation modelling. Thus, this paper analyzes how Internet worm propagation speed varies according to the number of vulnerable hosts directly connected to infected hosts as well as the link costs between infected and vulnerable hosts. A mathematical model based on centrality theory is proposed to analyze and simulate the effects of degree centrality values and closeness centrality values representing the connectivity of nodes in a large-scale network environment on Internet worm propagation speed.

Constructing Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Proportions from Multivariate Binomial Distributions

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we consider simultaneous confidence intervals for the difference of proportions between two groups taken from multivariate binomial distributions in a nonparametric way. We briefly discuss the construction of simultaneous confidence intervals using the method of adjusting the p-values in multiple tests. The features of bootstrap simultaneous confidence intervals using non-pooled samples are presented. We also compute confidence intervals from the adjusted p-values of multiple tests in the Westfall (1985) style based on a pooled sample. The average coverage probabilities of the bootstrap simultaneous confidence intervals are compared with those of the Bonferroni simultaneous confidence intervals and the Sidak simultaneous confidence intervals. Finally, we give an example that shows how the proposed bootstrap simultaneous confidence intervals can be utilized through data analysis.

Setup and Atomic Calibration of Particle Induced X-ray Emission System

  • Song, Jin-Ho;Song, Jae-Bong;;Kim, Jun-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2014.02a
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    • pp.206.2-206.2
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    • 2014
  • Recently, particle induced X-ray emission (PIXE) analysis system was installed at the 2MV ion acceleration system in Korea institute science and technology (KIST). This installation is for complement to low atomic resolution of heavy atoms at Rutherford backscattering spectrometry (RBS) system. For quantitative analysis, a mass calibration of the PIXE set-up has been done with thin film standards and. The GUPIX software package has been used to process the PIXE spectra and the results are compared with the values from RBS system. Therefore, the instrumental constant H (solid angle and correction factor) is determined relying completely on the GUPIX data base (cross-sections, fluorescence and Coster-Kronig probabilities, stopping powers and attenuation coefficients) for a large set of elements. These H values can be used in future analysis.

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GEOSTATISTICAL UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS IN SEDIMENT GRAIN SIZE MAPPING WITH HIGH-RESOLUTION REMOTE SENSING IMAGERY

  • Park, No-Wook;Chi, Kwang-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a geostatistical methodology to model local uncertainty in spatial estimation of sediment grain size with high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, the IKONOS imagery is used as local means both to estimate the grain size values and to model local uncertainty at unsample locations. A conditional cumulative distribution function (ccdf) at any locations is defined by mean and variance values which can be estimated by multi-Gaussian kriging with local means. Two ccdf statistics including condition variance and interquartile range are used here as measures of local uncertainty and are compared through a cross validation analysis. In addition to local uncertainty measures, the probabilities of not exceeding or exceeding any grain size value at any locations are retrieved and mapped from the local ccdf models. A case study of Baramarae beach, Korea is carried out to illustrate the potential of geostatistical uncertainty modeling.

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Valuing Drinking Water Risk Reductions Using Experimental Market Method (실험시장접근법을 이용한 먹는 물 수질개선에 대한 지불의사 측정)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.747-771
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    • 2000
  • This paper reports the results of a study to elicit willingness to pay (WTP) for changes in health risks from exposure to As, Pb, THM in tap water using experimental market method. The experimental market method, compared with other non-market valuation methods, allows us to use incentive compatible demand revealing scheme, to acquire market-like experience through repetitive auctions, and to incorporate learning process by providing new information during the session. Participants seemed to utilize the objective risk information in a 'rational' manner, and to change their WTP bids accordingly. Moreover they were able to reduce the 'ambiguity' in risk perception processes when objective risk probabilities provided are quite different from their subjective perceptions. Nonetheless, anchoring effects appeared to be still persistent in spite of market-like experience and learning opportunity. And implicit values entailed by WTP bid/risk tradeoffs indicate a wide variation in values across alternative risk reductions and overrated responses to very small risk reductions.

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Performance Enhancement of Speaker Identification in Noisy Environments by Optimization Membership Function Based on Particle Swarm (Particle Swarm 기반 최적화 멤버쉽 함수에 의한 잡음 환경에서의 화자인식 성능향상)

  • Min, So-Hee;Song, Min-Gyu;Na, Seung-You;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2007
  • The performance of speaker identifier is severely degraded in noisy environments. A study suggested the concept of observation membership for enhancing performances of speaker identifier with noisy speech [1]. The method scaled observation probabilities of input speech by observation identification values decided by SNR. In the paper [1], the authors suggested heuristic parameter values for membership function. In this paper we attempt to apply particle swarm optimization (PSO) for obtaining the optimal parameters for speaker identification in noisy environments. With the speaker identification experiments using the ETRI database we prove that the optimization approach can yield better performance than using only the original membership function.

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CONSTRAINED DEFUZZIFICATION

  • Yager, Ronald R.;Filev, Dimitar P.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1167-1170
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    • 1993
  • We look at the problem of defuzzification in situations in which in addition to the usual fuzzy output of the controller there exists some ancillary restriction on the allowable defuzzified values. We provide two basic approaches to address this problem. In the first approach we enforce the restriction by selecting the defuzzified value through a random experiment in which the values which have nonzero probabilities are in the allowable region, this method is based on the RAGE defuzzification procedure and makes use of a nonmonotonic conjunction operator. The second approach which in the spirit of the commonly used methods, a kind of expected value, converts the problem to a constraint optimization problem.

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Computation of Noncentral F Probabilities using multilayer neural network (다층 신경 망을 이용한 비중심F분포 확률계산)

  • Gu, Sun-Hee
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.9B no.3
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2002
  • The test statistic in ANOVA tests has a single or doubly noncentral F distribution and the noncentral F distribution is applied to the calculation of the power functions of tests of general linear hypotheses. Although various approximations of noncentral F distribution are suggested, they are troublesome to compute. In this paper, the calculation of noncentral F distribution is applied to the neural network theory, to solve the computation problem. The neural network consists of the multi-layer perceptron structure and learning process has the algorithm of the backpropagation. Using fables and figs, comparisons are made between the results obtained by neural network theory and the Patnaik's values. Regarding of accuracy and calculation, the results by neural network are efficient than the Patnaik's values.

View Maintenance Policy for considering MIN/MAX query in Data warehousing (데이터웨어하우징에서 MIN/MAX질의를 고려한 뷰관리 정책)

  • 김근형;김두경
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.6 no.8
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    • pp.1336-1345
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    • 2002
  • Materialized views in data warehouse play important roles in rapidly answering to users's requests for information Processing. More views in data warehouse, can respond to the users more rapidly because the user's requests may be processed by using only the materialized views with higher probabilities rather than accessing base relations. The limited duration, during which the materialized views are updated due to base relations's changes, limits the number of materialized views in data warehouse. In this paper, we propose efficient policy for updating the materialized views, which can save the update duration of views although MIN/MAX values frequently change in base relation. The policy updates the materialized views by distinguishing whether MIN/MAX values's changes in the base relation are insert value or delete value. Then, the number of accesses to the base relation is descreased when updating the MIN/MAX values in the materialized views.

A study on the distribution of the distance of Mal movement in Yut board game (윷놀이에서 말이 가는 거리의 분포)

  • Kim, Do-Hyeong;Oh, Chang-Hyuck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1281-1288
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    • 2010
  • We consider Yut board game with four Yut sticks which are of the same shape and the same size so that they have the same probability of showing back when they are tossed. Since, in Yut board game, a player have to toss four sticks one more when sawi Mo or sawi Yut appears, the player may be interested in the distance which Mal can move in one's turn. Therefore, the probability mass function of the distance is obtained and probabilities with several values of back probability are summarized in a table. Also, the expectation, the variance, the skewness, and the kurtosis of the distribution are calculated and their values are also tablized for some values of back probability.