• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction rate

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Service Life Prediction of Components or Materials Based on Accelerated Degradation Tests (가속열화시험에 의한 부품·소재 사용수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Accelerated degradation tests can speed time to market and reduce the test time and costs associated with long term reliability tests to verify the required service life of a product or material. This paper proposes a service life prediction method for components or materials using an accelerated degradation tests based on the relationships between temperature and the rate of failure-causing chemical reaction. Methods: The relationship between performance degradation and the rate of a failure-causing chemical reaction is assumed and least square estimation is used to estimate model parameters from the degradation model. Results: Methods of obtaining acceleration factors and predicting service life using the degradation model are presented and a numerical example is provided. Conclusion: Service life prediction of a component or material is possible at an early stage of the degradation test by using the proposed method.

Performance Improvements with Two-Source Decomposition and DCT-WHT for Transform Coding of Interframe Prediction Errors (프레임간 예측오차의 신호분리 및 DCT-WHT를 이용한 변환 부호화의 성능 개선)

  • 채유석;박래홍
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.1513-1521
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    • 1988
  • BMA, which is generally adopted in low bit-rate motion-compensated coding, performs properly under an assumption of rigid-body motion of moving objects. Since, however, the assumption can not be held in practical coding , the prediction errors with low correlation are generated. For effective transform codings of the interframe prediction errors, we propose a new transform coding technique which decomposes the prediction errors into two sources and then transforms them with DCT and WHT consecutively. The performance of the proposed algorithm is compared to those of the two conventional algorithms in terms of bit rate and subjective image quality.

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An Empirical Study on Aircraft Repair Parts Prediction Model Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 항공기 수리부속 예측 모델의 실증적 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Woong-Yi;Choi, Youn-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2018
  • In order to predict the future needs of the aircraft repair parts, each military group develops and applies various techniques to their characteristics. However, the aircraft and the equipped weapon systems are becoming increasingly advanced, and there is a problem in improving the hit rate by applying the existing demand prediction technique due to the change of the aircraft condition according to the long term operation of the aircraft. In this study, we propose a new prediction model based on the conventional time-series analysis technique to improve the prediction accuracy of aircraft repair parts by using machine learning model. And we show the most effective predictive method by demonstrating the change of hit rate based on actual data.

Implementing an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Emotion Prediction Based on Heart Rate Variability(HRV) (심박변이도를 이용한 적응적 뉴로 퍼지 감정예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung Soo;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2019
  • An accurate prediction of emotion is a very important issue for the sake of patient-centered medical device development and emotion-related psychology fields. Although there have been many studies on emotion prediction, no studies have applied the heart rate variability and neuro-fuzzy approach to emotion prediction. We propose ANFEP(Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy System for Emotion Prediction) HRV. The ANFEP bases its core functions on an ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) which integrates neural networks with fuzzy systems as a vehicle for training predictive models. To prove the proposed model, 50 participants were invited to join the experiment and Heart rate variability was obtained and used to input the ANFEP model. The ANFEP model with STDRR and RMSSD as inputs and two membership functions per input variable showed the best results. The result out of applying the ANFEP to the HRV metrics proved to be significantly robust when compared with benchmarking methods like linear regression, support vector regression, neural network, and random forest. The results show that reliable prediction of emotion is possible with less input and it is necessary to develop a more accurate and reliable emotion recognition system.

Efficient Residual Upsampling Scheme for H.264/AVC SVC (H.264/AVC SVC를 위한 효율적인 잔여신호 업 샘플링 기법)

  • Goh, Gyeong-Eun;Kang, Jin-Mi;Kim, Sung-Min;Chung, Ki-Dong
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.549-556
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    • 2008
  • To achieve flexible visual content adaption for multimedia communications, the ISO/IEC MPEG & ITU-T VCEG form the JVT to develop SVC amendment for the H.264/AVC standard. JVT uses inter-layer prediction as well as inter prediction and intra prediction that are provided in H.264/AVC to remove the redundancy among layers. The main goal consists of designing inter-layer prediction tools that enable the usage of as much as possible base layer information to improve the rate-distortion efficiency of the enhancement layer. But inter layer prediction causes the computational complexity to be increased. In this paper, we proposed an efficient residual prediction. In order to reduce the computational complexity while maintaining the high coding efficiency. The proposed residual prediction uses modified interpolation that is defined in H.264/AVC SVC.

A Study on the Boil-Off Rate Prediction of LNG Cargo Containment Filled with Insulation Powders (단열 파우더를 채용한 LNGCC의 BOR예측에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Ki-Chul;Hwang, Soon-Wook;Cho, Jin-Rae;Kim, Joon-Soo;Yoon, Jong-Won;Lim, O-Kaung;Lee, Shi-Bok
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2011
  • A BOR(Boil-Off Rate) prediction model for the NO96 membrane-type LNG insulation containment filled with superlite powders during laden voyage is presented in this paper. Finite element model for the unsteady-state heat transfer analysis is constructed by considering the air and water conditions and by employing the homogenization method to simplify the complex insulation material composition. BOR is evaluated in terms of the total amount of heat invaded into LNGCC and its variation to the major variables is investigated by the parametric heat transfer analysis. Based upon the parametric results, a BOR prediction model which is in function of the LNG tank size, the insulation layer thickness and the powder thermal conductivity is derived. Through the verification experiment, the accuracy of the derived prediction model is justified such that the maximum relative difference is less than 1% when compared with the direct numerical estimation using the FEM analysis.

The study of blood glucose level prediction model using ballistocardiogram and artificial intelligence (심탄도와 인공지능을 이용한 혈당수치 예측모델 연구)

  • Choi, Sang-Ki;Park, Cheol-Gu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to collect biosignal data in a non-invasive and non-restrictive manner using a BCG (Ballistocardiogram) sensor, and utilize artificial intelligence machine learning algorithms in ICT and high-performance computing environments. And it is to present and study a method for developing and validating a data-based blood glucose prediction model. In the blood glucose level prediction model, the input nodes in the MLP architecture are data of heart rate, respiration rate, stroke volume, heart rate variability, SDNN, RMSSD, PNN50, age, and gender, and the hidden layer 7 were used. As a result of the experiment, the average MSE, MAE, and RMSE values of the learning data tested 5 times were 0.5226, 0.6328, and 0.7692, respectively, and the average values of the validation data were 0.5408, 0.6776, and 0.7968, respectively, and the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.9997. If research to standardize a model for predicting blood sugar levels based on data and to verify data set collection and prediction accuracy continues, it is expected that it can be used for non-invasive blood sugar level management.

Numerical Life Prediction Method for Fatigue Failure of Rubber-Like Material Under Repeated Loading Condition

  • Kim Ho;Kim Heon-Young
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2006
  • Predicting fatigue life by numerical methods was almost impossible in the field of rubber materials. One of the reasons is that there is not obvious fracture criteria caused by nonstandardization of material and excessively various way of mixing process. But, tearing energy as fracture factor can be applied to a rubber-like material regardless of different types of fillers, relative to other fracture factors and the crack growth process of rubber could be considered as the whole fatigue failure process by the existence of potential defects in industrial rubber components. This characteristic of fatigue failure could make it possible to predict the fatigue life of rubber components in theoretical way. FESEM photographs of the surface of industrial rubber components were analyzed for verifying the existence and distribution of potential defects. For the prediction of fatigue life, theoretical way of evaluating tearing energy for the general shape of test-piece was proposed. Also, algebraic expression for the prediction of fatigue life was derived from the rough cut growth rate equation and verified by comparing with experimental fatigue lives of dumbbell fatigue specimen in various loading condition.

Post-Examination Analysis on the Student Dropout Prediction Index (학생 중도탈락 예측지수에 관한 사후검증 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Eun
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2019
  • Drop-out issue is one of the challenges of cyber university. There are about 130,000 students enrolled in cyber universities, but the dropout rate is also very high. To lower the dropout rate, cyber universities invest heavily in learning analytics. Some cyber universities analyze the possibility of dropout and actively support students who are more likely to drop out. The purpose of this paper is to identify the learning data affecting the dropout prediction index. As a result of the analysis, it is confirmed that number of lessons(progress), credits, achievement and leave of absence have a significant effect on dropout rate. It is necessary to increase the accuracy of the prediction model through post-test on the student dropout prediction index.

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Multi-resolution Lossless Image Compression for Progressive Transmission and Multiple Decoding Using an Enhanced Edge Adaptive Hierarchical Interpolation

  • Biadgie, Yenewondim;Kim, Min-sung;Sohn, Kyung-Ah
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.6017-6037
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    • 2017
  • In a multi-resolution image encoding system, the image is encoded into a single file as a layer of bit streams, and then it is transmitted layer by layer progressively to reduce the transmission time across a low bandwidth connection. This encoding scheme is also suitable for multiple decoders, each with different capabilities ranging from a handheld device to a PC. In our previous work, we proposed an edge adaptive hierarchical interpolation algorithm for multi-resolution image coding system. In this paper, we enhanced its compression efficiency by adding three major components. First, its prediction accuracy is improved using context adaptive error modeling as a feedback. Second, the conditional probability of prediction errors is sharpened by removing the sign redundancy among local prediction errors by applying sign flipping. Third, the conditional probability is sharpened further by reducing the number of distinct error symbols using error remapping function. Experimental results on benchmark data sets reveal that the enhanced algorithm achieves a better compression bit rate than our previous algorithm and other algorithms. It is shown that compression bit rate is much better for images that are rich in directional edges and textures. The enhanced algorithm also shows better rate-distortion performance and visual quality at the intermediate stages of progressive image transmission.