• Title/Summary/Keyword: Optimal Order Point

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A Study on the Method for Estimating the 30 m-Resolution Daily Temperature Extreme Value Using PRISM and GEV Method (PRISM과 GEV 방법을 활용한 30 m 해상도의 격자형 기온 극값 추정 방법 연구)

  • Lee, Joonlee;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Jeong, Ha-Gyu
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.697-709
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    • 2016
  • This study estimates and evaluates the extreme value of 30 m-resolution daily maximum and minimum temperatures over South Korea, using inverse distance weighting (IDW), parameter-elevation regression on independent slopes model (PRISM) and generalized extreme value (GEV) method. The three experiments are designed and performed to find the optimal estimation strategy to obtain extreme value. First experiment (EXP1) applies GEV firstly to automated surface observing system (ASOS) to estimate extreme value and then applies IDW to produce high-resolution extreme values. Second experiment (EXP2) is same as EXP1, but using PRISM to make the high-resolution extreme value instead of IDW. Third experiment (EXP3) firstly applies PRISM to ASOS to produce the high-resolution temperature field, and then applies GEV method to make high resolution extreme value data. By comparing these 3 experiments with extreme values obtained from observation data, we find that EXP3 shows the best performance to estimate extreme values of maximum and minimum temperatures, followed by EXP1 and EXP2. It is revealed that EXP1 and EXP2 have a limitation to estimate the extreme value at each grid point correctly because the extreme values of these experiments with 30 m-resolution are calculated from only 60 extreme values obtained from ASOS. On the other hand, the extreme value of EXP3 is similar to observation compared to others, since EXP3 produces 30m-resolution daily temperature through PRISM, and then applies GEV to that result at each grid point. This result indicates that the quality of statistically produced high-resolution extreme values which are estimated from observation data is different depending on the combination and procedure order of statistical methods.

A Study on the Effect of Hot Lines and the Assembly of Flange for a Refrigerator to Reduce Dew Generation (냉장고 Flange부 이슬 맺힘 방지를 위한 열선의 영향 및 조립에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Na Hyun;Cho, Jong Rae;Park, Sang Hu
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.391-396
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    • 2015
  • When the temperature of a flange in a refrigerator is reduced to the dew point, condensation is generated on the flange. Generally, hot lines, having a temperature of $35^{\circ}C$, are located near the flange to increase its surface temperature above the dew point. Hot lines are installed in close contact with the flange in order to increase the heat transfer from the hot lines to the flange surface. Through this work, the effects of the hot line shape and installation conditions, including a gap between the hot line and flange, and the function of a spacer in the inner case of the refrigerator were investigated. Additionally, an optimal shape of the inner case for easy assembling is proposed considering the contact between the hot line and flange.

Capabilities of stochastic response surface method and response surface method in reliability analysis

  • Jiang, Shui-Hua;Li, Dian-Qing;Zhou, Chuang-Bing;Zhang, Li-Min
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.111-128
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    • 2014
  • The stochastic response surface method (SRSM) and the response surface method (RSM) are often used for structural reliability analysis, especially for reliability problems with implicit performance functions. This paper aims to compare these two methods in terms of fitting the performance function, accuracy and efficiency in estimating probability of failure as well as statistical moments of system output response. The computational procedures of two response surface methods are briefly introduced first. Then their capabilities are demonstrated and compared in detail through two examples. The results indicate that the probability of failure mainly reflects the accuracy of the response surface function (RSF) fitting the performance function in the vicinity of the design point, while the statistical moments of system output response reflect the accuracy of the RSF fitting the performance function in the entire space. In addition, the performance function can be well fitted by the SRSM with an optimal order polynomial chaos expansion both in the entire physical and in the independent standard normal spaces. However, it can be only well fitted by the RSM in the vicinity of the design point. For reliability problems involving random variables with approximate normal distributions, such as normal, lognormal, and Gumbel Max distributions, both the probability of failure and statistical moments of system output response can be accurately estimated by the SRSM, whereas the RSM can only produce the probability of failure with a reasonable accuracy.

An Experimental Study on Variations of Exhaust Gas Temperature and Concentration with Synthetic Gas Combustion in Exhaust Manifold (배기관에서의 합성가스 연소에 따른 배기가스 온도 및 농도 변화에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Cho, Yong-Seok;Lee, Seang-Wock;Yang, Seung-Il;Song, Chun-Sub;Park, Young-Joon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2008
  • A synthetic gas reformed from hydrocarbon-based fuels consists of $H_2$, CO and $N_2$. Hydrogen contained in the synthetic gas is a very useful species in chemical processes, due to its wide flammability range and fast burning speed. The ESGI (Exhaust Synthetic Gas Injection) technology is developed to shorten the light-off time of three way catalysts through combustion of the synthetic gas in the exhaust manifold during the cold start period of SI engines. Before the ESGI technology is applied to the test engine, the authors set a test rig that consists of gas temperature and composition controllers, an exhaust pulse generator and an exhaust manifold with a visualization window, in order to optimize the point and conditions of injection of the synthetic gas. Through measuring burned gas temperatures and taking photographs of synthetic gas combustion at the outlet of the exhaust manifold, the authors tried to find the optimal injection point and conditions. Analysis of burned gas composition has been performed for various $O_2$ concentrations. As a result, when the synthetic gas is injected at the port outlet of the cylinder No. 4 and $O_2$ concentration exceeds 4%, combustion of the synthetic gas is strong and effective in the exhaust manifold.

Designing a Path Management Method in Large-scale Multiple Sensor Networks (대규모 다중 센서 네트워크에서 효과적인 경로 관리 기법)

  • Lim, Yu-Jin;Park, Jae-Sung;Ahn, Sang-Hyun
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.15C no.3
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2008
  • In the environment with multiple heterogeneous wireless sensor networks with a single point of sensed data collection or a gateway (GW), relay points (RPs) may be required for the energy efficient delivery of sensed data from static or mobile sinks to the GW. The optimal placement of RPs becomes an even more difficult problem if static sinks are dynamically added or the trajectory of mobile sinks can not be known in advance. In order to resolve this problem, we propose a mechanism to deploy RPs in a grid pattern and to use the tree-based relaying network for reducing the cost of the RP and for reducing the control overhead incurred by the route setup from sinks to the GW. For the performance evaluation of our proposed mechanism, we have carried out a numerical analysis on a single route setup from a sink to the GW and, for more general performance evaluations, ns-2 based simulations have been carried out. According to the performance evaluation results, our tree-based relaying network mechanism outperforms that based on AODV in terms of the data delivery time, the network service time and the control overhead.

A comparison study of various robust regression estimators using simulation (시뮬레이션을 통한 다양한 로버스트 회귀추정량의 비교 연구)

  • Jang, Soohee;Yoon, Jungyeon;Chun, Heuiju
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.471-485
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    • 2016
  • Least squares (LS) regression is a classic method for regression that is optimal under assumptions of regression and usual observations. However, the presence of unusual data in the LS method leads to seriously distorted estimates. Therefore, various robust estimation methods are proposed to circumvent the limitations of traditional LS regression. Among these, there are M-estimators based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), L-estimators based on linear combinations of order statistics and R-estimators based on a linear combinations of the ordered residuals. In this paper, robust regression estimators with high breakdown point and/or with high efficiency are compared under several simulated situations. The paper analyses and compares distributions of estimates as well as relative efficiencies calculated from mean squared errors (MSE) in the simulation study. We conclude that MM-estimators or GR-estimators are a good choice for the real data application.

A Comparative Study on Obesity Judgment Criteria in the Frequently used Obesity Indices (주요 비만 판정 지수의 비만 기준 비교)

  • Yi, Kyong-Hwa
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.93-108
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    • 2010
  • R$\ddot{o}$hrer index, Vervaeck index and Body Mass Index(BMI) are frequently used in order to judge obese subjects in clothing & textiles field. However, there are no certain criteria of judging the degree of obesity. Each researcher utilized these obesity indices according to their own criteria so far. Therefore, the purpose of the study is to suggest a reliable obesity index and new criteria for judging the degree of obesity. The results are as follows; Utilizing frequency analysis, main percentiles, minimums, maximums and ranges were presented by 5 age groups from twenties to sixties. Obesity rates dramatically increased, the subject got older. Especially, obesity rate of the subjects in their fifties and sixties were much higher than other age groups. 1.6 & higher can be used in the R$\ddot{o}$hrer index, 98 & higher can be used in the Vervaeck index, and 25 & higher can be used in the BMI as the Optimal criteria of the obesity. Total of 24 body measurements and 3 obesity indices were used for analyzing the correlation analysis. All heights measurements showed negative correlation with the 3 obesity indices. It is determined heights measurements have high correlation with R$\ddot{o}$hrer index compare to other indices. Crotch height, interscye back, neck shoulder point to breast point, bust circumference, waist circumference, upper arm circumference and armscye circumference have high positive correlation with all obesity indices. According to the ANOVAs by each percentile group of the R$\ddot{o}$hrer and Vervaeck indices, there are big significances in all measurements and obesity indices except arm length. In general, heights decreased significantly by getting bigger, while circumferences and lengths, widths and indices increased rapidly by getting bigger. The results of the analysis by each percentile group in the BMI, it showed the significant differences in the all measurements except cervical height and arm length. There were similar tendency of differences according to the degree of the obesity in BMI percentile groups. It was confirmed that the BMI is the most reliable index for judging the obesity owing to the high correlations and significant differences with other measurements.

Exploring the Predictive Factors of Passing the Korean Physical Therapist Licensing Examination (한국 물리치료사 국가 면허시험 합격 여부의 예측요인 탐색)

  • Kim, So-Hyun;Cho, Sung-Hyoun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2022
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to establish a model of the predictive factors for success or failure of examinees undertaking the Korean physical therapist licensing examination (KPTLE). Additionally, we assessed the pass/fail cut-off point. Methods : We analyzed the results of 10,881 examinees who undertook the KPTLE, using data provided by the Korea Health Personnel Licensing Examination Institute. The target variable was the test result (pass or fail), and the input variables were: sex, age, test subject, and total score. Frequency analysis, chi-square test, descriptive statistics, independent t-test, correlation analysis, binary logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed on the data. Results : Sex and age were not significant predictors of attaining a pass (p>.05). The test subjects with the highest probability of passing were, in order, medical regulation (MR) (Odds ratio (OR)=2.91, p<.001), foundations of physical therapy (FPT) (OR=2.86, p<.001), diagnosis and evaluation for physical therapy (DEPT) (OR=2.74, p<.001), physical therapy intervention (PTI) (OR=2.66, p<.001), and practical examination (PE) (OR=1.24, p<.001). The cut-off points for each subject were: FPT, 32.50; DEPT, 29.50; PTI, 44.50; MR, 14.50; and PE, 50.50. The total score (TS) was 164.50. The sensitivity, specificity, and the classification accuracy of the prediction model was 99 %, 98 %, and 99 %, respectively, indicating high accuracy. Area under the curve (AUC) values for each subject were: FPT, .958; DEPT, .968; PTI, .984; MR, .885; PE, .962; and TS, .998, indicating a high degree of fit. Conclusion : In our study, the predictive factors for passing KPTLE were identified, and the optimal cut-off point was calculated for each subject. Logistic regression was adequate to explain the predictive model. These results will provide universities and examinees with useful information for predicting their success or failure in the KPTLE.

Fuzzy Theory and Bayesian Update-Based Traffic Prediction and Optimal Path Planning for Car Navigation System using Historical Driving Information (퍼지이론과 베이지안 갱신 기반의 과거 주행정보를 이용한 차량항법 장치의 교통상황 예측과 최적경로 계획)

  • Jung, Sang-Jun;Heo, Yong-Kwan;Jo, Han-Moo;Kim, Jong-Jin;Choi, Sul-Gi
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2009
  • The vehicles play a significant role in modern people's life as economy grows. The development of car navigation system(CNS) provides various convenience because it shows the driver where they are and how to get to the destination from the point of source. However, the existing map-based CNS does not consider any environments such as traffic congestion. Given the same starting point and destination, the system always provides the same route and the required time. This paper proposes a path planning method with traffic prediction by applying historical driving information to the Fuzzy theory and Bayesian update. Fuzzy theory classifies the historical driving information into groups of leaving time and speed rate, and the traffic condition of each time zone is calculated by Bayesian update. An ellipse area including starting and destination points is restricted in order to reduce the calculation time. The accuracy and practicality of the proposed scheme are verified by several experiments and comparisons with real navigation.

Thermal based adsorption of daily food waste with the test of AI grey calculations

  • ZY Chen;Huakun Wu;Yahui Meng;ZY Gu;Timothy Chen
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2024
  • This study proposes the recycling of MVS as a value-added product for the removal of phosphate from aqueous solutions. By comparing the phosphate adsorption capacity of each calcined adsorbent at each temperature of MVS, it was determined that the optimal heat treatment temperature of MVS to improve the phosphate adsorption capacity was 800 ℃. MVS-800 suggests an adsorption mechanism through calcium phosphate precipitation. Subsequent kinetic studies with MVS-800 showed that the PFO model was more appropriate than the PSO model. In the equilibrium adsorption experiment, through the analysis of Langmuir and Freundlich models, Langmuir can provide a more appropriate explanation for the phosphate adsorption of MVS-800. This means that the adsorption of phosphate by MVS-800 is uniform over all surfaces and the adsorption consists of a single layer. Thermodynamic analysis of thermally activated MVS-800 shows that phosphate adsorption is an endothermic and involuntary reaction. MVS-800 has the highest phosphate adsorption capacity under low pH conditions. The presence of anions in phosphate adsorption reduces the phosphate adsorption capacity of MVS-800 in the order of CO 3 2-, SO 4 2-, NO 3- and Cl-. Based on experimental data to date, MVS-800 is an environmentally friendly adsorbent for recycling waste resources and is considered to be an adsorbent with high adsorption capacity for removing phosphates from aqueous solutions. This paper combines the advantages of gray predictor and AI fuzzy. The gray predictor can be used to predict whether the bear point exceeds the allowable deviation range, and then perform appropriate control corrections to accelerate the bear point to return to the boundary layer and achieve.