• Title/Summary/Keyword: Opinion poll

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Measuring the Third-Person Effects of Public Opinion Polls: Focusing On Online Polls (여론조사보도에 대한 제3자효과 검증: 온라인 여론조사를 주목하며)

  • Kim, Sung-Tae;Willnat, Las;Weaver, David
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.32
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    • pp.49-73
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    • 2006
  • During the past decades, public opinion polls have become an ubiquitous tool for probing the complexity of people's beliefs and attitudes on a wide variety of issues. Especially since the late 1970s, the use of polls by news organizations has increased dramatically. Along with the proliferation of traditional polls, in the past few years pollsters and news organizations have come to recognize the advantages of online polls. Increasingly there has been more effort to take the pulse of the public through the Internet. With the Internet's rapid growth during the past years, advocates of online polling often emphasize the relative advantages over traditional polls. Researchers from Harris Black International Ltd., for example, argue that "Internet polling is less expensive and faster and offers higher response rates than telephone surveys." Moreover, since many of the newer online polls draw respondents from large databases of registered Internet users, results of online polls have become more balanced. A series of Harris Black online polls conducted during the 1998 gubernatorial and senatorial elections, for example, has accurately projected the winners in 21 of the 22 races it tracked. Many researchers, however, severely criticize online polls for not being representative of the larger population. Despite the often enormous number of participants, Internet users who participate in online polls tend to be younger, better educated and more affluent than the general population. As Traugott pointed out, the people polled in Internet surveys are a "self selected" group, and thus "have volunteered to be part of the test sample, which could mean they are more comfortable with technology, more informed about news and events ... than Americans who aren't online." The fact that users of online polls are self selected and demographically very different from Americans who have no access to the Internet is likely to influence the estimates of what the majority of people think about social or political issues. One of the goals of this study is therefore to analyze whether people perceive traditional and online public opinion polls differently. While most people might not differentiate sufficiently between traditional random sample polls and non representative online polls, some audiences might perceive online polls as more useful and representative. Since most online polls allow some form of direct participation, mostly in the form of an instant vote by mouse click, and often present their findings based on huge numbers of respondents, consumers of these polls might perceive them as more accurate, representative or reliable than traditional random sample polls. If that is true, perceptions of public opinion in society could be significantly distorted for those who rely on or participate in online polls. In addition to investigating how people perceive random sample and online polls, this study focuses on the perceived impact of public opinion polls. Similar to these past studies, which focused on how public opinion polls can influence the perception of mass opinion, this study will analyze how people perceive the effects of polls on themselves and other people. This interest springs from prior studies of the "third person effect," which have found that people often tend to perceive that persuasive communications exert a stronger influence on others than on themselves. While most studies concerned with the political effects of public opinion polls show that exit polls and early reporting of election returns have only weak or no effects on the outcome of election campaigns, some empirical findings suggest that exposure to polls can move people's opinions both toward and away from perceived majority opinion. Thus, if people indeed believe that polls influence others more than themselves, perceptions of majority opinion could be significantly altered because people might anticipate that others will react more strongly to poll results.

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Evaluation of People's Participation on Separate Collection of Garbage (가정의 음식물찌꺼기 분리수거 방안 도출을 위한 설문조사 연구)

  • Shin, Hang-Sik;Hwang, Eung-Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 1998
  • To suggest the separate collection system of garbage in household, people's disposition was evaluated. It was indicated that garbage be collected daily to minimize the odor which was major nuisance from garbage. However, most people wanted to discharge garbage in two or three days interval, as they did not prefer frequent handling. So, proper size of garbage container was determined as two to three days capacity. In contrast with it, it was major opinion that dicharged garbage should be collected everyday by local government to eliminate the outdoor pollution. Plastic bag was the most popular container, as it could be used instantly. Price of the bag affected on the efficiency of reduction and separate collection of garbage. Low price increased the separate collection and decreased the reduction, while high price introduced the opposite result. So, the dual price system was suggested to enhance both objectives.

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A Case Study of Mixed-Mode Design Incorporated Mobile RDD into Telephone RDD (유·무선 RDD를 결합한 혼합조사설계: 2011 서울시장 보궐선거 예측조사 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Duk-Hyun;Hong, Young-Taek
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2012
  • We proposed a mixed-mode design with a landline survey and mobile survey as the solution for the problems of election opinion polls by the original telephone survey method, mostly with limited population coverage for young people not living at home and with lower efficiency in selecting valid voters. We numerically verified the applicability of the proposed dual frame survey by analyzing the preliminary opinion poll results of the Seoul mayor by-election of October 26 2011. This research achieved the result that relative standard errors were similar between a mobile RDD sample and landline RDD sample though the variance was bigger in the former. Though the combination of mobile RDD and landline RDD is not found to improve the forecast accuracy, it still is expected to have higher reliability for election polls by expanding the population coverage and compensating the weakness of each survey method.

Beliefs and Attitudes toward Physician-assisted Suicide among Korean Adults

  • In Cheol, Hwang;Jung Hun, Kang;Won-chul, Kim;Jeanno, Park;Hyun Sook, Kim;DaeKyun, Kim;Kyung Hee, Lee
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.198-203
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: To grasp public opinion accurately, we conducted an opinion poll on beliefs and attitudes toward physician-assisted suicide (PAS). Methods: A randomized telephone survey ensuring a representative sample was conducted, 1,007 participants aged 18 years or older (response rate, 9.5%). Results: The main results are as follows: i) 61.1% of participants thought that the current social support system for terminally ill patients and their families is insufficient; ii) 60% of participants did not recognize the term "hospice and palliative care"; iii) 81.7% of participants would not like to receive life-sustaining treatment if there is no possibility of recovery; iv) 58.4% of participants would like to receive hospice and palliative care if they are diagnosed with a terminal illness; v) the priorities for dignified dying were preparing a support system to reduce the burden of care (28.6%), economic support including reduction of medical expenses (26.7%), expansion of hospice and palliative care services (25.4%), and legalization of PAS (13.6%); and vi) 58.3% of participants agreed that the expansion of hospice and palliative care should precede the legalization of PAS. Conclusion: Koreans currently want other efforts, including expansion of hospice and palliative care services, instead of the legalization of PAS.

A Suggestion on Instruction Service Quality Assessment Tool (강의 서비스품질 측정도구 제안)

  • Choi Kyoung-Ho;Lee Seung-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.487-497
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    • 2005
  • The instruction assessment, which can be a tool to realize a class of high quality, evaluates instruction system and process. The result data of the instruction assessment is analysed and used to reorganize lecture contents or to improve teaching method. It enhances qualitative level of university education. The goal of the instruction assessment is to be a tool that provides high qualitative education to raise students' satisfaction. It is important to improve education service quality through instruction assessment as a useful tool for measuring service quality. The suggestion of valid tool for improving instruction service quality is described in this paper.

Prediction improvement of election polls by unstructured data analysis (비정형 데이터 분석을 통한 선거 여론조사 예측력 개선 방안 연구)

  • Park, Sunbin;Kim, Myung Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2018
  • Social network services (SNS) have become the most common tool for the communication of public and private opinions as well as public issues; consequently, one may form or drive public opinions to advocate by spreading positive content using SNS. Controversy for survey data based opinion poll accuracy continues in relation to response rate or sampling methodology. This study suggests complementary measures that additionally consider the sentiment analysis results of unstructured data on a social network by data crawling and sentiment dictionary adjustment process. The suggested method shows the improvement of prediction accuracy by decreasing error rates.

The Creativity in Decoration Designs with Coptic symbols

  • Michael, Vivian Shaker
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2011
  • This research aims to enrich the field of decorative designs for the T-shirts of youth clothes. Youth T-shirts have been chosen because they are essential apparel and one of the most important casualwear. T-shirts are probably the number one item sold across the world. Every tourist shop has many of them, worldwide. The decorative ideas have been inspired from some symbols of Coptic arts. This incorporates the cultural power of Coptic art as a vital starting point for new design ideas and development of products. However, the purpose of this research is to make our youth know something about the Coptic arts of Egypt, as a part of their history, and on the other hand for tourists as well. Youth are very suitable tools for spreading our new ideas where they are energetic and full of life. In this work, twenty-one designs are presented inspired from ten Coptic symbols. Five designs have been implemented in three different ways of printing and embroidery, i.e. there are fifteen models have been formed. An opinion poll has been occurred for two groups of youth, one is younger and the other is older, hence T-test has been applied. It is clarified that our designs are approved by the younger group than the older one. The results of this work can offer some good reasons for further investigations on the fashionable decorated designs for youth and tourists as well; in addition to the decoration education development.

A Proposal and Field test for Quality Improvement on Shotcrete Technology (국내 숏크리트 품질성능 향상을 위한 현장적용실험과 제안)

  • Ma, Sang-Joon;Choi, Jae-Seok;Kim, Dong-Min;Kim, Jae-Shin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.1307-1315
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    • 2005
  • Korean shotcrete technology has been developed by constructing underground space, roads and rails for expanding SOC project. To late, importance of shotcrete is raised due to the efforts for semi-permanent use of underground structure and a long term safety. Shotcrete method and quality criterion have been developed continuously in abroad, but there are no standard and quality criterion of shotcrete in Korea. International quality criterion has been used to domestic conditions, so various problems are occurred in construction field, material, mixture, equipment, and so on. In this study, to establish standard of domestic shotcrete, both internal and external quality criteria were investigate and opinion poll was performed in the construction field. Field test was performed to propose a quality improvement on the shotcrete material.

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A Investigation on the Quality of Shotcrete for Appliance of High-Performance Shotcrete (고성능 숏크리트 적응 가능성 파악을 위한 숏크리트 품질특성 검토)

  • Ma Sang-Joon;Choi Jae-Seok;Kim Dong-Min;Kim Jae-Shin
    • 한국터널공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2005
  • Korea shotcrete technology has been developed by constructing underground space, roads and rails for expanding Social Overhead Capital. To late, importance of shotcrete is raised due to the efforts for semi-permanent use of underground structure and a long term safety. Shotcrete testing method and quality criterion have been developed continusously in abroad, but there are no standard and quality criterion of shotcrete in Korea. International quality criterion has been used to domestic conditions, so various problems are occurred in construction field, material, mixture, equipment, and so on. In this study, to establish standard of domestic shotcrete, both criteria and quality of shotcrete were investigated and opinion poll was performed in the construction field. Indoor and field test were performed to investigate appliance possibility of high-performance shotcrete.

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황금비에 대한 통계적 고찰

  • 차경준;박영선;박진희
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.105-120
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    • 2000
  • In this study, it is certified that the golden ratio exists in the plants, the animals and human bodies(appearance), and is considered how much the ratio of positive and negative is in the psychological, political, social and cultural aspects. The result of this study shows that the golden sections or golden rectangles of the plants(N=58), the insects(N=44), the animals(N=21) and human bodies(N=260) are equal to $0.620{\pm}0.117$, $0.632{\pm}0.203$, $0.625{\pm}0.138$ and $0.60{\pm}0.169$, respectively. The slope in the regression analysis is equal to 0.627(R-square=0.925, p-value=0.0001). Whereas, for the public opinion poll, the ratios($mean{\pm}st.dev.$) of positive and negative of the public mental phenomena are equal to $0.508{\pm}0.179$, $0.808{\pm}0.216$ and $0.711{\pm}0.128$ in the political, economical, and sociocultural aspects, respectively. The slope in the regression is equal to 0.674(R-square=0.764, p-value=0.016). As results, we show that the golden ratio exists in the plants, the animals and human bodies in nature. This shows that the public mental phenomena has some more negative aspects than positive aspects and explains the shrinkage of the public mental phenomena in the economical field.

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