• Title/Summary/Keyword: OLS회귀분석

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Analysis of Factors Influencing Korea's Air Trade with China

  • Lim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Young-Rok;Choi, Yun-Chul;Choi, Yu-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to identify the representative factors affecting the air trade between the two countries over the past 20 years, targeting China, Korea's largest trading partner for air transport. In the analysis, the two countries' GDP, GDP per capita, and tariff rates, as well as exchange rates, international oil prices, and FTAs were used as variables. For the analysis method, OLS multiple regression analysis was performed, and each was analyzed by dividing the export amount, import amount, and trade amount. As a result of the analysis, China's GDP and Korea's GDP per capita showed a positive (+) direction, an increase in the exchange rate resulted in an increase in the amount of trade, and an increase in the tariff rate resulted in a decrease in the amount of trade. Whether the FTA was concluded or not acted as a factor in increasing the amount of trade between the two countries.

The Estimation of Temporal Change Patterns associated with Economic Growth and Urban Areas in a Border Region using DMSP-OLS Nighttime Imagery Data: The Case Study of Jilin Province, China (DMSP-OLS 야간영상자료를 이용한 접경지역의 경제성장과 시가지 면적의 시계열 변화 패턴 추정: 중국 지린성을 사례로)

  • Kim, Minho;Joh, Young-Kug
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.458-471
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    • 2019
  • DMSP-OLS nighttime satellite imagery could be used to derive the sum of lights (SOL) and built-up area, and the two indices have been widely employed to make the estimation of socio-economic variables and the dynamics of urban developments. Considering it, this research investigated the spatiotemporal patterns of economic growth and urbanized area in Jilin Province, China, using DMSP-OLS data for a time span between 1992 and 2012. This study found the SOLs of both the province and most cities to tend to grow during the period. While SOL-weighted centroids' means moved towards northwestern direction, urban-area centroids' means followed the trend of south-eastern migration. These directional patterns could be associated with the Northeast Revitalization Plan of Chinese governments. Nonetheless, a future study will need to consider SNPP VIIRS DNB imagery in order to overcome temporal limitation of DMSP-OLS data. In addition, it is also necessary to estimate socio-economic indices, e.g., growth regional domestic product, using a regression model developed with correlation relationship between economic statistics ad SOL.

Glass ceiling in arts and culture professionals: Between J and R industries (문화예술분야 전문인력에 대한 유리천장효과 분석: J산업과 R산업 중심으로)

  • Chan, Jong-Sub;Heo, Shik
    • Review of Culture and Economy
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.3-28
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    • 2018
  • This study focuses on analyzing the glass ceiling effect in arts and culture professionals through the quintile decomposition applied to the RIF unconditional quantile regression and Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition technique. From the industrial viewpoint, we divide arts and culture professionals into cultural contents professionals(large category J industry) and arts professionals(large category R industry). For our analysis, we employ the pooling data of 'Wage Structure Survey' from 2009 to 2016. Our results are summarized as follows. First, as OLS wage decomposition showed that the gender wage gap among the arts professionals was lower than cultural contents professionals, but the discrimination portion of total gender wage gap was larger. Second, from quintile regression decompositions, the glass ceiling effects of two types of professionals showed different results. Cultural contents sector was observed with the "steady glass ceiling effect" as the portion of the discrimination was continuously increased, while the arts sector was observed with the "limited glass ceiling effect" as the discrimination had drastically increased in the 80s and 90s.

Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application (공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to visualize the housing market dynamics with ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) using MATLAB toolbox, in terms of the modeling housing market dynamics in the Busan Metropolitan City. The data are used the real housing price transaction records in Busan from the first quarter of 2006 to the second quarter of 2009. Hedonic house price model, which is not reflecting spatial autocorrelation, has been a powerful tool in understanding housing market dynamics in urban housing economics. This study considers spatial autocorrelation in order to improve the traditional hedonic model which is based on OLS(Ordinary Least Squares) method. The study is, also, investigated the comparison in terms of $R^2$, Sigma Square(${\sigma}^2$), Likelihood(LR) among spatial econometrics models such as SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models), SEM(Spatial Errors Models), and SAC(General Spatial Models). The major finding of the study is that the SAR, SEM, SAC are far better than the traditional OLS model, considering the various indicators. In addition, the SEM and the SAC are superior to the SAR.

A Comparative Study on the Goodness of Fit in Spatial Econometric Models Using Housing Transaction Prices of Busan, Korea (부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격을 이용한 공간계량모형의 적합도 비교연구)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Kim, Sung-Woo;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2012
  • The OLS(ordinary least squares) method is widely used in hedonic housing models. One of the assumptions of the OLS is an independent and uniform distribution of the disturbance term. This assumption can be violated when the spatial autocorrelation exists, which in turn leads to undesirable estimate results. An alterative to this, spatial econometric models have been introduced in housing price studies. This paper describes the comparisons between OLS and spatial econometric models using housing transaction prices of Busan, Korea. Owing to the approaches reflecting spatial autocorrelation, the spatial econometric models showed some superiority to the traditional OLS in terms of log likelihood and sigma square(${\sigma}^2$). Among the spatial models, the SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models) seemed more appropriate than the SAC(General Spatial Models) and the SEM(Spatial Errors Models) for Busan housing markets. We can make sure the spatial effects on housing prices, and the reconstruction plans have strong impacts on the transaction prices. Selecting a suitable spatial model will play an important role in the housing policy of the government.

Effects of Urban Environments on Pedestrian Behaviors: a Case of the Seoul Central Area (보행에 대한 도시환경의 차이: 서울 도심을 중심으로)

  • Kwon, Daeyoung;Suh, Tongjoo;Kim, Soyoon;Kim, Brian Hong Sok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.638-650
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to identify the causes of pedestrian volume path to the destination by investigating the influential levels of regional and planning features in the central area of Seoul. Regional characteristics can be classified from the result of the analysis and through the spatial characteristics of pedestrian volume. For global scale analysis, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression is used for the degree of influence of each characteristics to pedestrian volume. For the local scale, Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is used to identify regional influential factors with consideration for spatial differences. The results of OLS indicate that boroughs with transportation facilities, commercial business districts, universities, and planning features with education research facilities and planning facilities have a positive effect on pedestrian volume path to the destination. Correspondingly, transportation hubs and congested areas, commercial and business centers, and university towns and research facilities in the Seoul central area can be identified through the results of GWR. The results of this study can provide information with relevance to existing plans and policies about the importance of regional characteristics and spatial heterogeneity effects on pedestrian volume, as well as significance in the establishment of regional development plans.

Geographically Weighted Regression on the Characteristics of Land Use and Spatial Patterns of Floating Population in Seoul City (서울시 유동인구 분포의 공간 패턴과 토지이용 특성에 관한 지리가중 회귀분석)

  • Yun, Jeong Mi;Choi, Don Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2015
  • The key objective of this research is to review the effectiveness of spatial regression to identify the influencing factors of spatial distribution patterns of floating population. To this end, global and local spatial autocorrelation test were performed using seoul floating population survey(2014) data. The result of Moran's I and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ as used in the analysis derived spatial heterogeneity and spatial similarities of floating population patterns in a statistically significant range. Accordingly, Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to identify the relationship between land use attributes and population floating. Urbanization area, green tract of land of micro land cover data were aggregated in to $400m{\times}400m$ grid boundary of Seoul. Additionally public transportation variables such as intersection density transit accessibility, road density and pedestrian passage density were adopted as transit environmental factors. As a result, the GWR model derived more improved results than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) regression model. Furthermore, the spatial variation of applied local effect of independent variables for the floating population distributions.

A Comparative Analysis of Areal Interpolation Methods for Representing Spatial Distribution of Population Subgroups (하위인구집단의 분포 재현을 위한 에어리얼 인터폴레이션의 비교 분석)

  • Cho, Daeheon
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2014
  • Population data are usually provided at administrative spatial units in Korea, so areal interpolation is needed for fine-grained analysis. This study aims to compare various methods of areal interpolation for population subgroups rather than the total population. We estimated the number of elderly people and single-person households for small areal units from Dong data by the different interpolation methods using 2010 census data of Seoul, and compared the estimates to actual values. As a result, the performance of areal interpolation methods varied between the total population and subgroup populations as well as between different population subgroups. It turned out that the method using GWR (geographically weighted regression) and building type data outperformed other methods for the total population and households. However, the OLS regression method using building type data performed better for the elderly population, and the OLS regression method based on land use data was the most effective for single-person households. Based on these results, spatial distribution of the single elderly was represented at small areal units, and we believe that this approach can contribute to effective implementation of urban policies.

Evaluating the Accuracy of Spatial Interpolators for Estimating Land Price (지가 추정을 위한 공간내삽법의 정확성 평가)

  • JUN, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.125-140
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    • 2017
  • Until recently, regression based spatial interpolation methods and Kriging based spatial interpolation methods have been largely used to estimate land price or housing price, but less attention has been paid on comparing the performance of these spatial interpolation methods. In this regard, this research applied regression based spatial interpolators and Kriging based spatial interpolators for estimating the land prices in Dalseo-gu, Daegu metropolitan city and evaluated the accuracy of eight spatial interpolators. OLS, SLM, SEM, and GWR were used as regression based spatial interpolators while SK, OK, UK, and CK were employed as Kriging based spatial interpolators. The global accuracy was statistically evaluated by RMSE, adjusted RMSE, and COD. The relative accuracy was visually compared by three-dimensional residual error map and scatterplot. Results from statistical and visual analyses indicate that GWR reflecting the spatial non-stationarity was a relatively more accurate spatial predictor to estimate land prices in the study area than SAR and Kriging based spatial interpolators considering the spatial dependence. The findings from this research will contribute to the secondary research into analyzing the urban spatial structure with land prices.

Comparisons of Kruglyak and Lander's Nonparametric Linkage Test and Weighted Regression Incorporating Replications (KRUGLYAK과 LANDER의 유전연관성 비모수 방법과 반복 자료를 고려한 가중 회귀분석법의 비교)

  • Choi, Eun-Kyeong;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2008
  • The ordinary least squares regression method of Haseman and Elston(1972) is most widely used in genetic linkage studies for continuous traits of sib pairs. Kruglyak and Lander(1995) suggested a statistic which appears to be a nonparametric counterpart to the Haseman and Elston(1972)'s regression method, but in fact these two methods are quite different. In this paper the relationships between these two methods are described and will be compared by simulation studies. One of the characteristics of the sib-pair linkage study is that the explanatory variable has only three different values and thus dependent variable is heavily replicated in each value of the explanatory variable. We propose a weighted least squares regression method which is more appropriate to this situation and the efficiency of the weighted regression in genetic linkage study was explored with normal and non-normal simulated continuous traits data. Simulation studies demonstrated that the weighted regression is more powerful than other tests.