• Title/Summary/Keyword: Normalized root mean square error

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Automatic Calibration of SWAT Model Using LH-OAT Sensitivity Analysis and SCE-UA Optimization Method (LH-OAT 민감도 분석과 SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 이용한 SWAT 모형의 자동보정)

  • Lee Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.677-690
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    • 2006
  • The LH-OAT (Latin Hypercube One factor At a Time) method for sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at University of Arizona) optimization method were applied for the automatic calibration of SWAT model in Bocheong-cheon watershed. The LH-OAT method which combines the advantages of global and local sensitivity analysis effectively identified the sensitivity ranking for the parameters of SWAT model over feasible parameter space. Use of this information allows us to select the calibrated parameters for the automatic calibration process. The performance of the automatic calibration of SWAT model using SCE-UA method depends on the length of calibration period, the number of calibrated parameters, and the selection of statistical error criteria. The performance of SWAT model in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSEF (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency), RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error), and NMSE (Normalized Mean Square Error) becomes better as the calibration period and the number of parameters defined in the automatic calibration process increase. However, NAE (Normalized Average Error) and SDR (Standard Deviation Ratio) were not improved although the calibration period and the number of calibrated parameters are increased. The result suggests that there are complex interactions among the calibration data, the calibrated parameters, and the model error criteria and a need for further study to understand these complex interactions at various representative watersheds.

Prediction of Power Consumptions Based on Gated Recurrent Unit for Internet of Energy (에너지 인터넷을 위한 GRU기반 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Dong-gu;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Sooh-wan;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2019
  • Recently, accurate prediction of power consumption based on machine learning techniques in Internet of Energy (IoE) has been actively studied using the large amount of electricity data acquired from advanced metering infrastructure (AMI). In this paper, we propose a deep learning model based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as an artificial intelligence (AI) network that can effectively perform pattern recognition of time series data such as the power consumption, and analyze performance of the prediction based on real household power usage data. In the performance analysis, performance comparison between the proposed GRU-based learning model and the conventional learning model of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is described. In the simulation results, mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), forecast skill score, normalized root mean square error (RMSE), and normalized mean bias error (NMBE) are used as performance evaluation indexes, and we confirm that the performance of the prediction of the proposed GRU-based learning model is greatly improved.

A Study on Statistical Parameters for the Evaluation of Regional Air Quality Modeling Results - Focused on Fine Dust Modeling - (지역규모 대기질 모델 결과 평가를 위한 통계 검증지표 활용 - 미세먼지 모델링을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hee;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Jang, Min;Chun, Sungnam;Kang, Suji;Ko, Kwang-Kun;Lee, Jong-Jae;Lee, Hyo-Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.272-285
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    • 2020
  • We investigated statistical evaluation parameters for 3D meteorological and air quality models and selected several quantitative indicator references, and summarized the reference values of the statistical parameters for domestic air quality modeling researcher. The finally selected 9 statistical parameters are MB (Mean Bias), ME (Mean Error), MNB (Mean Normalized Bias Error), MNE (Mean Absolute Gross Error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), IOA (Index of Agreement), R (Correlation Coefficient), FE (Fractional Error), FB (Fractional Bias), and the associated reference values are summarized. The results showed that MB and ME have been widely used in evaluating the meteorological model output, and NMB and NME are most frequently used for air quality model results. In addition, discussed are the presentation diagrams such as Soccer Plot, Taylor diagram, and Q-Q (Quantile-Quantile) diagram. The current results from our study is expected to be effectively used as the statistical evaluation parameters suitable for situation in Korea considering various characteristics such as including the mountainous surface areas.

A Convergence Analysis of Normalized Sign Algorithm for Adaptive Noise Canceler (적응잡음제거기를 위한 정규 부호화 알고리즘의 수렴특성 분석)

  • 김현태;박장식;배종갑;손경식
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.6B
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    • pp.1203-1210
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    • 1999
  • Coefficients of the adaptive filter are misadjusted by primary signals which are uncorrelated with reference signals of the adaptive filter. In this paper, the normalized sign algorithm is analyzed and compared with the NLMS algorithm by the steady state performance and the transient characteristics when target signals are included in primary signals. The excess mean square error of the NLMS algorithm is proportional to the power of target signals. That of normalized sign algorithm is proportional to the square root of the target signal power. However, the convergence speed of the normalized sign algorithm is slower than that of NLMS algorithm. In this paper, it is shown that theoretical analysis of the steady state performance and the transient characteristics are well consisted with the results of computer simulation.

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Prediction of stress intensity factor range for API 5L grade X65 steel by using GPR and MPMR

  • Murthy, A. Ramachandra;Vishnuvardhan, S.;Saravanan, M.;Gandhi, P.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.81 no.5
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    • pp.565-574
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    • 2022
  • The infrastructures such as offshore, bridges, power plant, oil and gas piping and aircraft operate in a harsh environment during their service life. Structural integrity of engineering components used in these industries is paramount for the reliability and economics of operation. Two regression models based on the concept of Gaussian process regression (GPR) and Minimax probability machine regression (MPMR) were developed to predict stress intensity factor range (𝚫K). Both GPR and MPMR are in the frame work of probability distribution. Models were developed by using the fatigue crack growth data in MATLAB by appropriately modifying the tools. Fatigue crack growth experiments were carried out on Eccentrically-loaded Single Edge notch Tension (ESE(T)) specimens made of API 5L X65 Grade steel in inert and corrosive environments (2.0% and 3.5% NaCl). The experiments were carried out under constant amplitude cyclic loading with a stress ratio of 0.1 and 5.0 Hz frequency (inert environment), 0.5 Hz frequency (corrosive environment). Crack growth rate (da/dN) and stress intensity factor range (𝚫K) values were evaluated at incremental values of loading cycle and crack length. About 70 to 75% of the data has been used for training and the remaining for validation of the models. It is observed that the predicted SIF range is in good agreement with the corresponding experimental observations. Further, the performance of the models was assessed with several statistical parameters, namely, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Coefficient of Efficiency (E), Root Mean Square Error to Observation's Standard Deviation Ratio (RSR), Normalized Mean Bias Error (NMBE), Performance Index (ρ) and Variance Account Factor (VAF).

Artificial Neural Network Prediction of Normalized Polarity Parameter for Various Solvents with Diverse Chemical Structures

  • Habibi-Yangjeh, Aziz
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.1472-1476
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    • 2007
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are successfully developed for the modeling and prediction of normalized polarity parameter (ETN) of 216 various solvents with diverse chemical structures using a quantitative-structure property relationship. ANN with architecture 5-9-1 is generated using five molecular descriptors appearing in the multi-parameter linear regression (MLR) model. The most positive charge of a hydrogen atom (q+), total charge in molecule (qt), molecular volume of solvent (Vm), dipole moment (μ) and polarizability term (πI) are input descriptors and its output is ETN. It is found that properly selected and trained neural network with 192 solvents could fairly represent the dependence of normalized polarity parameter on molecular descriptors. For evaluation of the predictive power of the generated ANN, an optimized network is applied for prediction of the ETN values of 24 solvents in the prediction set, which are not used in the optimization procedure. Correlation coefficient (R) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.903 and 0.0887 for prediction set by MLR model should be compared with the values of 0.985 and 0.0375 by ANN model. These improvements are due to the fact that the ETN of solvents shows non-linear correlations with the molecular descriptors.

Investigation of the Prediction Accuracy for the Stamping CAE of Thin-walled Automotive Products (고강도강 차체 박판부품 프레스성형 CAE의 예측 정확도 고찰)

  • Jung, D.G.;Kim, S.H.;Rho, J.D.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.446-452
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    • 2014
  • In the current study finite element forming analysis is performed to understand the final geometric accuracy limitations for the stamping of an automotive S-rail from four different steel sheets having tensile strengths of 340MPa, 440MPa, 590MPa and 780MPa. Comparisons between the analysis and the experiments for both springback and formability as measured by the amount of edge draw-in and the thickness distribution were conducted. The springback modes were classified according to a scheme proposed in the current investigation and the error was calculated using the normalized root mean square error method. While the analysis results show fairly good agreement with the experimental data for deformation and formability, the simulation accuracy is lower for predicting wall curl, camber and section twist as the UTS of steel sheet increases.

Estimation of Shoulder Flexion Torque and Angle from Surface Electromyography for Physical Human-Machine Interaction (물리적 인간-기계 상호작용을 위한 표면 근전도 신호 기반의 어깨 굴곡 토크 및 각도 추정)

  • Park, Ki-Han;Lee, Dong-Ju;Kim, Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.663-669
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines methods to estimate torque and angle in shoulder flexion from surface electromyography(sEMG) signals for intuitive and delicate control of robotic assistance device. Five muscles on the upper arm, three for shoulder flexion and two for shoulder extension, were used to offer favorable sEMG recording conditions in the estimation. The methods tested were the mean absolute value (MAV) with linear regression and the artificial neural network (ANN) method. An optimal condition was sought by varying combination of muscles used and the parameters in each method. The estimation performance was evaluated using the correlation values and normalized root mean square error values. In addition, we discussed their possible use as an estimation of motion intent of a user or as a command input in a physical human-machine interaction system.

Effects of Reclaimed Wastewater Irrigation on Paddy Rice Yields and Fertilizer Reduction using the DSSAT Model (하수처리수의 농업용수 재이용에 따른 논벼 수확량 모의)

  • Jeong, Han-Seok;Seong, Choung-Hyun;Jang, Tae-Il;Jung, Ki-Woong;Kang, Moon-Seong;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2011
  • The objectives of this study were to assess the rice yields and evaluate fertilizer reduction effect of reclaimed wastewater irrigation in paddy fields using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) v4.5 model. The experimental plots were designed, which was located near the Suwon wastewater treatment plant in Gyeonggi-do, Korea. The rice yield, irrigation amount, irrigation water quality and soil data were monitored and collected between 2006 and 2009. The DSSAT model was calibrated and validated with observed data. The methods that were used to evaluate this model were the root mean square error (RMSE), normalized root mean square error (nRMSE), and index of agreement (d). The values of RMSE, nRMSE, and d ranged from 145 to $789\;kg\;ha^{-1}$, 3.0 to 13.3 %, and 0.90 to 0.95 for the calibration period, respectively and represented from 91 to $538\;kg\;ha^{-1}$, 2.0 to 10.4 %, 0.94 to 0.98 for the validation period, respectively. Overall, this model showed good agreement with observed data of rice yields irrigated with reclaimed wastewater. The fertilizer reduction effect in paddy field of reclaimed wastewater irrigation was assessed about 60 % in 2008 and 40 % in 2009.

Prediction of Agricultural Wind and Gust Using Local Ensemble Prediction System (국지앙상블시스템을 활용한 농경지 바람 및 강풍 예측)

  • Jung Hyuk Kang;Geon-Hu Kim;Kyu Rang Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.115-125
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    • 2024
  • Wind is a meteorological factor that has a significant impact on agriculture. Gust cause damage such as fruit drop and damage to facilities. In this study, low-altitude wind speed prediction was performed by applying physical models to Local Ensemble Prediction System (LENS). Logarithmic Law (LOG) and Power Law (POW) were used as the physical models, and Korea Ministry of Environment indicators and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data were applied as indicator variables. We collected and verified wind and gust data at 3m altitude in 2022 operated by the Rural Development Administration, and presented the results in scatter plot, correlation coefficient, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and Threat Score (TS). The LOG-applied model showed better results in wind speed, and the POW-applied model showed better results in gust.