• Title/Summary/Keyword: National Crisis management

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A Study on the Volatility of Global Stock Markets using Markov Regime Switching model (마코브국면전환모형을 이용한 글로벌 주식시장의 변동성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.17-39
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the structural changes and volatility in the global stock markets using a Markov Regime Switching ARCH model developed by the Hamilton and Susmel (1994). Firstly, the US, Italy and Ireland showed that variance in the high volatility regime was more than five times that in the low volatility, while Korea, Russia, India, and Greece exhibited that variance in the high volatility regime was increased more than eight times that in the low. On average, a jump from regime 1 to regime 2 implied roughly three times increased in risk, while the risk during regime 3 was up to almost thirteen times than during regime 1 over the study period. And Korea, the US, India, Italy showed ARCH(1) and ARCH(2) effects, leverage and asymmetric effects. Secondly, 278 days were estimated in the persistence of low volatility regime, indicating that the mean transition probability between volatilities exhibited the highest long-term persistence in Korea. Thirdly, the coefficients appeared to be unstable structural changes and volatility for the stock markets in Chow tests during the Asian, Global and European financial crisis. In addition, 1-Step prediction error tests showed that stock markets were unstable during the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 except for Russia, and the Global crisis of 2007-2008 except for Korea and the European crisis of 2010-2011 except for Korea, the US, Russia and India. N-Step tests exhibited that most of stock markets were unstable during the Asian and Global crisis. There was little change in the Asian crisis in CUSUM tests, while stock markets were stable until the late 2000s except for some countries. Also there were stable and unstable stock markets mixed across countries in CUSUMSQ test during the crises. Fourthly, I confirmed a close relevance of the volatility between Korea and other countries in the stock markets through the likelihood ratio tests. Accordingly, I have identified the episode or events that generated the high volatility in the stock markets for the financial crisis, and for all seven stock markets the significant switch between the volatility regimes implied a considerable change in the market risk. It appeared that the high stock market volatility was related with business recession at the beginning in 1990s. By closely examining the history of political and economical events in the global countries, I found that the results of Lamoureux and Lastrapes (1990) were consistent with those of this paper, indicating there were the structural changes and volatility during the crises and specificly every high volatility regime in SWARCH-L(3,2) student t-model was accompanied by some important policy changes or financial crises in countries or other critical events in the international economy. The sophisticated nonlinear models are needed to further analysis.

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A Study on the Large-Scale Power Blackout Management System in the Level of National Crisis Management (대규모 정전상태에 대비한 국가위기관리 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Kwang-Rae;Joo, Il-Yeob
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.10
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    • pp.387-407
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    • 2005
  • Thanks to the developments of IT technologies, such critical infrastructures as fundamental structures of energies, material circulations, monetary circulations, and living necessaries are intertwined as well as mutually dependent. In this respect, the fact that national infrastructures are closely related to IT infrastructures implies not only expected benefits to provide diverse information-based services, but also anticipated costs to bring about new dangers. However, in spite of these threats, traditional researchers have not put enough interests in these indirect danger, which yield the damages in broad areas through paralyzing risk management systems, although they have investigated such direct threats as nuclear accidents, conflagrations, traffic troubles, and gasoline accidents. Considering that the tendency to depend on electricity, so-called electrification, which is caused by automation and informationalization, is intensified in all parts of society, the breakout problem as a factor to inhibit securities in information-oriented society is significant. Thus, the problems of large-scale power blackout should be treated as national crises. Also, preparation systems for large-scale power blackout have to be provided quickly. In this paper, with analyzing various cases of large-scale power blackout and investigation the causes of them, researches on the blackout management systems of Korea are to be present, on the basis of national crisis management states which are comprised of protection (mitigating and preparing), responding, and recovering(rewarding).

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Application of new management solutions in Food & Beverage Divisions of the A hotel (호텔 식음료업장의 구조조정에 관한 연구 - A호텔의 식욤료업장을 중심으로 -)

  • 박정화
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.4
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    • pp.481-499
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    • 1998
  • In the present situation of national economy crisis, known as IMF, the hotel and tourist industry are undergoing financial difficulties. Particularly the hotel food and beverage business has experienced a significant reduction in sales. The results of the case study of the wheat noodle restaurant of the A hotel prompt for a change in business style and management. After researching menu, business records and other factors, it was recommended to open a new korean style restaurant in place of the current one. It was also recommended to include noodle dishes into menu in order to keep old customers. Besides, these changes, considering the fact that the noodle restaurant typically has a peak hour at lunch time, and the Korea one at dinner, will be quite practically useful in proper personal management in the service aspect.

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Building a Emergency Response System for the Infectious Diseases Crisis Management (감염병 위기관리를 위한 긴급대응체계 구축)

  • Byun, Sung-Soo;Shin, Woo-Ri;Cho, Seong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.484-494
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    • 2018
  • Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), which occurred in the Middle East in 2015, is the most acute respiratory infectious disease in Korea. The limitations of the government's ability to respond to the spread of MERS and the inadequate communication of the government to the public have reduced the public's confidence in the government's infectious disease management policy. And it became an opportunity to raise awareness that infectious diseases could easily break down the national anti-virus system. Therefore, this study investigated the emergency response system of the infectious disease in the United States and sought to improve the infection control system in Korea. In order to achieve the purpose of the study, we analyzed the government's response to the MERS in 2015, analyzed the organization structure and role of the US CDC, and IMS.

Analysis and Improvement Strategies for Korea's Cyber Security Systems Regulations and Policies

  • Park, Dong-Kyun;Cho, Sung-Je;Soung, Jea-Hyen
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.18
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    • pp.169-190
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    • 2009
  • Today, the rapid advance of scientific technologies has brought about fundamental changes to the types and levels of terrorism while the war against the world more than one thousand small and big terrorists and crime organizations has already begun. A method highly likely to be employed by terrorist groups that are using 21st Century state of the art technology is cyber terrorism. In many instances, things that you could only imagine in reality could be made possible in the cyber space. An easy example would be to randomly alter a letter in the blood type of a terrorism subject in the health care data system, which could inflict harm to subjects and impact the overturning of the opponent's system or regime. The CIH Virus Crisis which occurred on April 26, 1999 had significant implications in various aspects. A virus program made of just a few lines by Taiwanese college students without any specific objective ended up spreading widely throughout the Internet, causing damage to 30,000 PCs in Korea and over 2 billion won in monetary damages in repairs and data recovery. Despite of such risks of cyber terrorism, a great number of Korean sites are employing loose security measures. In fact, there are many cases where a company with millions of subscribers has very slackened security systems. A nationwide preparation for cyber terrorism is called for. In this context, this research will analyze the current status of Korea's cyber security systems and its laws from a policy perspective, and move on to propose improvement strategies. This research suggests the following solutions. First, the National Cyber Security Management Act should be passed to have its effectiveness as the national cyber security management regulation. With the Act's establishment, a more efficient and proactive response to cyber security management will be made possible within a nationwide cyber security framework, and define its relationship with other related laws. The newly passed National Cyber Security Management Act will eliminate inefficiencies that are caused by functional redundancies dispersed across individual sectors in current legislation. Second, to ensure efficient nationwide cyber security management, national cyber security standards and models should be proposed; while at the same time a national cyber security management organizational structure should be established to implement national cyber security policies at each government-agencies and social-components. The National Cyber Security Center must serve as the comprehensive collection, analysis and processing point for national cyber crisis related information, oversee each government agency, and build collaborative relations with the private sector. Also, national and comprehensive response system in which both the private and public sectors participate should be set up, for advance detection and prevention of cyber crisis risks and for a consolidated and timely response using national resources in times of crisis.

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How Should We Approach Nurse Suicide in Korea: With the Aspect of Prevention-Intervention-Postvention Management (간호사 자살이 남긴 과제: 일상 속의 예방관리-적극적 개입관리-체계적 사후관리)

  • Kim, Hyoung Suk;Bae, Hyun Ji;Kang, Kyeong Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.408-413
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    • 2021
  • Recently, nurse suicide has emerged as one of the major issues. We tried to review the status of nurse suicide and its management in Korea through inspecting related web sites, news articles, and research. However, there were no sufficient reports or statistics along with the research throughout the country. Moreover, there were no organized nurse suicide management systems or programs including suicide prevention, suicide intervention, suicide postvention management. In other countries, there were various trials and successful experiences about nurse suicide programs, and those have been managed in organized and integrated ways. It gave us a lot of implications. To effectively prevent and manage the nurse suicide in Korea, nursing workforce, nursing managers, and nursing researchers should be concerned about nurse suicide. Furthermore, discussions and the research must be made actively. Based on such efforts, appropriate programs, organized manage systems, and policies must be devised at institution and national level.

The Norwegian Model of Fisheries Bio-Resources Management (노르웨이 해역 수산생명자원 관리모델)

  • Oh, Hyun Taik;Lee, Won Chan;Song, Chi Mun;Kim, Hyung-Chul;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Jung, Rae-Hong
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2013
  • The Norwegian coastal area is the most efficient region for fishery production in the world's oceans, the Norway is the world's top 10 fisheries countries through efficient fishing and fishing aquaculture technology and its scientific management of fisheries bio-resources, with Norwegian salmon having attained the world's highest level. In the late 1980s, fisheries resources were depleted due to overfishing and fish diseases, resulting in a crisis in the fishing industry that lasted until the early 1990s. Since the national fishery emergency, people involved in the fishing industry, including fishermen, research scientists, and government officers, have tried to overcome the challenges facing the industry and identify an appropriate management model for fisheries bio-resources in the Norwegian coastal area. First, research vessels were used to monitor water and sediment conditions and fishery species, with the long-term aim of predicting fishery resources in real time and collecting information on species diversity, abundance, and distribution. Second, a "Healthy Fish Project" was promoted to counter natural disasters and fish disease problems with the development of vaccines against viruses and bacteria, eventually allowing for a decrease in the use of antibiotics and the production of notably healthier fish in the 2000s. Third, a systematic management model was developed to help with preparations for decreases in the total number of fishermen and increases in the proportion of elderly fishermen in the fishery industry using the development of automatic fishing aquaculture systems and short-chain systems. We could learn from the Norwegian model of fisheries bio-resources, management and could adopt it for the preparation of fishery bio-resources management policy for South Korean coastal areas in the near future.

A Research on the Information Quality of influence on work performance in Disaster Management Operation (정보속성이 재난관리 업무 성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Duke-H.;Shim, Hyoung-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 2008
  • The disaster damages resulted not only in life and property damages of the individual, but also, could be spread situation of national crisis. The information quality control in disaster management is essential to response and recover in the disaster management process. The improvement of efficiency of disaster management depends on information quality control to be right time and accuracy for effected area for the disaster management This research is to investigate the relationship of information quality and work performance on different phases in the disaster management.

A Study of the Effects on the Brand Crisis Form toward a Brand Attitude: Focusing on the Moderating Effect of Thinking Style, Self-monitoring, and Product Type (브랜드 위기 유형이 브랜드 태도에 미치는 영향 : 사고방식, 자기감시성, 제품유형의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Suh, Kyung-Do
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the moderate effects of self monitoring and the ways of thinking on the relationships and the moderate effects of brand credibility and brand attachment on the relationships between the negative information about a brand and the customer attitude holistic and analytic on the relationships between the negative information about a brand and customer attitude. To accomplish these purposes, this research divided negative information about a brand into corporate ability and corporate social responsibility. In addition, research also divided product type into functional product and symbolic product. participants are classified as having Low or High self monitoring. and the ways of thinking divided into holistic and analytic on the relationships between the negative information about a brand and customer attitude. The following are the summary of hypothesis test: (1)the consumers with low(high) level of self monitering are more likely to reveal high level of preference for negative information of corporate ability. (2)the consumers with analytic(holistic) ways of thinking are more likely to reveal high level of preference for negative information of corporate ability. (3)the consumers with low(high) level of self monitering are more likely to reveal high level of preference for functional product. (4)the consumers with analytic(holistic) ways of thinking aren't more likely to reveal high level of preference for functional(symbolic) product.

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Application of RAG(Resilience Assessment Grid) of the Aviation Safety Organization in Response to the COVID-19 Situation (코로나-19 상황에 대응하는 항공안전조직의 RAG(Resilience Assessment Grid) 적용)

  • Kim, Dae Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.38-46
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    • 2021
  • The Organization's ability to respond to social disasters has begun to be treated as important through social shock situations that have never been experienced, such as COVID-19. Among them, the ability to respond to unexpected risks and resilience is emerging. Since social disasters such as infectious diseases are periodically repeated, compounded, and enlarged, they develop into a global crisis situation, so this crisis response capability is treated as national competitiveness. Therefore, this study aims to improve the organization's response capability in terms of risk response and resilience under rapid social disasters such as COVID-19. The aviation safety field was taken as an example. From the Safety-II perspective, safety management focuses on the ability to resilience in response to system vulnerabilities in various situations. In this study, I intend to apply RAG(Resilience Assessment Grid) of Respond, Monitor, Learn and Anticipate, the four major potential of resilience engineering. Based on Hollnagel's research, potential elements were classified into four, and items were organized through an expert panel using Delphi techniques. The final configured RAG items are 15 Respond, 15 Monitor, 15 Learn and 11 Anticipate. The RAG was evaluated by 42 experts in the field of aviation safety.