• 제목/요약/키워드: Military threats

검색결과 231건 처리시간 0.022초

북한 비대칭 위협 대응한 한국 해군전력 발전방향 (Directions of ROK Navy's Future Developments in Responding to Asymmetric Threats posed by North Korea)

  • 부형욱
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • 통권40호
    • /
    • pp.190-215
    • /
    • 2016
  • As North Korea's asymmetric threats are growing, there have been numerous discussions to find out effective counter-measures and many official plans and procurements efforts have been established. However, discussions on ROK Navy's roles in countering North Korea's asymmetric threats have been taken place very limitedly. Decision makers and military planners put enormous efforts in getting counter-measures, however, most of the options on the table are systems of Army and Air Force. This is true if one looks at components of Kill-Chain, KAMD, and KMPR. With worsening security environment of the Korean peninsula, it has been said by many commentators that ROK Navy needs to consider expanding its roles in countering against North Korea's asymmetric military threats. They asked ROK Navy to go beyond the mind-set that has confined Navy's roles in deterring North Korean naval threats. That is, ROK Navy should fight 'from the sea' as well as fight 'on the sea.' If ROK Navy begins to think about fight 'from the sea,' there would be many possibilities for the Navy to be a part of countering North Korea's asymmetric military threats. In order to pursue proactive roles in countering North Korea's asymmetric threat, ROK Navy needs to consider various options. Massive missile forces, nuclear-propelled submarines, naval special forces may be some of them. With those measures, ROK Navy would launch massive and decisive attacks from the sea without risking survivability of our forces. Considering North Korean Navy's weakness, it is very probable that sea would be safer place than ground or sky. Expanding ROK Navy's roles and being a proactive deterrent forces against North Korean asymmetric threats would provide very reliable counter-measures to South Korean military. Thus, military planners should think how to take the best advantage of expanded ROK Navy's roles and capabilities against North Korean asymmetric threats.

회귀분석 기법을 이용한 실질 국방비 규모와 실질 GDP와의 관계 분석 (The Analysis on the Relation between Real Military Expenditure and Real GDP through Regression Analysis)

  • 백병선;문장렬
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
    • /
    • 제36권2호
    • /
    • pp.143-152
    • /
    • 2010
  • 군사력은 국가안전보장을 위한 가장 직접적이며 실질적인 수단이다. 이러한 군사력을 건설 정비 유지 관리하기 위해서는 적정 국방비가 요구되지만 자원이 한정되어 있기 때문에 국방비를 무작정 증액할 수 없는 상황이다. 국방비 규모를 결정하는 변수로는 안보위협과 경제적 여건이 있으며, 한국의 경우 1990년대 경제적 여건에 의해 더 많은 영향을 받고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 실질 국방비 규모와 실질 GDP의 규모 즉, 경제적 여건과의 관계를 회귀기법을 사용하여 살펴보았다.

해양안보위협의 확산에 따른 한국해군의 역할 확대방안 (Extending Plans of the Role of ROK Navy vis-'a-vis the Expansion of Maritime Security Threats)

  • 길병옥
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • 통권30호
    • /
    • pp.63-98
    • /
    • 2012
  • Northeast Asia has a multi-layered security structure within which major economic and military powers both confront one another and cooperate at the same time. Major regional powers maintain mutually cooperative activities in the economic sphere while competing one another in order to secure a dominant position in the politico-military arena. The multifarious threats, posed by the North Korea's nuclear development, territorial disputes, and maritime demarcation line issues demonstrate that Northeast Asia suffers more from military conflicts and strifes than any other region in the world. Specifically, major maritime security threats include North Korea's nuclear proliferation and missile launching problems as well as military provocations nearby the Northern Limit Line(NLL) as witnessed in the Cheonan naval ship and Yeonpyong incidents. The ROK Navy has been supplementing its firm military readiness posture in consideration of North Korea's threats on the NLL. It has performed superb roles in defending the nation and establishing the Navy advanced and best picked. It also has been conducive to defend the nation from external military threats and invasion, secure the sea lanes of communications, and establish regional stability and world peace. In order to effectively cope with the strategic environment and future warfares, the ROK Navy needs to shift its military structure to one that is more information and technology intensive. In addition, it should consolidate the ROK-US alliance and extend military cooperative measures with neighboring countries in the Asia-Pacific region. Evolved steadily for the last 60 years, the ROK-US alliance format has contributed to peace and security on the Korean peninsula and in the Northeast Asian region. In conclusion, this manuscript contends that the ROK Navy should strive for the establishment of the following: (1) Construction of Jeju Naval Base; (2) Strategic Navy Equipped with War Deterrence Capabilities; (3) Korean-type of System of Systems; (4) Structure, Budget and Human Resources of the Naval Forces Similar to the Advanced Countries; and (5) Strategic Maritime Alliance and Alignment System as well as Domestic Governance Network for the Naval Families.

  • PDF

북 핵·미사일 시대의 억제전략 : 도전과 나아갈 방향 (Deterrent Strategy in the era of North Korea's WMD and Missile Threats : Challenges and the Ways to go)

  • 이상엽
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • 통권41호
    • /
    • pp.232-260
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this paper is to open a debate about what kind of deterrent strategy the ROK military should pursue in the era of NK's weapons of mass destruction and missile threats. I argue that the ROK military needs a comprehensive deterrent strategy that reflects the international security situations and trends and that builds on clear understanding of the basic concepts and how deterrence operates. The paper starts with surveying the basic knowledge of deterrence from the perspectives of both theory and practice. Then, it provides explanations on why deterrence against NK can be particularly difficult given the security environment in and around the Korean peninsula. For example, South Korea and North Korea hardly share 'common knowledge' that serves as a basic element for the operation of deterrence. Deterrence against North Korea involves complex situations in that both deterrence and compellence strategies may be relevant particularly to North Korea's WMD and missile threats. It also involves both immediate and general deterrence. Based on the discussion, I suggest several ideas that may serve as guidelines for establishing a deterrent strategy against NK. First, our threats for deterrence should be the ones that can be realized, particularly in terms of the international norms. In other words, they must be considered appropriate among other nations in the international community. Second, there should be separate plans for the different kinds of threats: one is conventional, local provocations and the other is WMD/missile related provocations. Third, we should pursue much closer cooperative relations with the U.S. military to enhance the effectiveness of immediate deterrence in the Korean peninsula. Fourth, the ROK military should aim to accomplish 'smart deterrence' maximizing the benefits of technological superiority. Fifth, the ROK military readiness and structure should be able to deny emerging North Korean military threats such as the submarine-launched ballistic missiles and intercontinental ballistic missiles. Lastly, in executing threats, we should consider that the current action influences credibility and reputation of the ROK, which in turn affect the decisions for future provocations. North Korea's WMD/missile threats may soon become critical strategic-level threats to South Korea. In retrospect, the first debate on building a missile defense system in South Korea dates back to the 1980s. Mostly the debate has centered on whether or not South Korea's system should be integrated into the U.S. missile defense system. In the meantime, North Korea has become a small nuclear power that can threaten the United States with the ballistic missiles capability. If North Korea completes the SLBM program and loads the missiles on a submarine with improved underwater operation capability, then, South Korea may have to face the reality of power politics demonstrated by Thucydides through the Athenians: "The strong do what they have the power to do, the weak accept what they have to accept."

Alliance of the Baltic States in the System of Collective Security

  • Kikste, Kaspars;Djakona, Antonina
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • 제22권9호
    • /
    • pp.189-194
    • /
    • 2022
  • The formation of a new world order is primarily caused by new conditions and military operations on the European continent. The intensification of military-political tension led to the formation of new centers of power and gravity, which in turn led to the concentration of weapons and general militarization. Changes in the world order as a result of military conflicts and an increase in hot spots in the world, an increase in threats and the formation of centers of military gravity, the inability of existing institutions to resolve the situation lead to the need to develop new security mechanisms. Studies show that in the current situation, the countries of the Baltic countries are especially actively increasing their level of technologization of the army and militarization in general. The creation of any alliance is always conditioned by the presence of external threats. Naturally, the increase in the number of threats creates preconditions for the development of new forms of cooperation within existing military alliances. It seems obvious that due to the current situation in the context of the military conflict and military aggression of Russia in Ukraine, as well as its constant threats, including to the Baltic countries, there is a need to form a certain alliance that can protect the eastern border of Europe and form a certain border between European countries and aggressor countries. The Baltic countries are actively involved in these processes, in addition, it is the Baltic countries that can enter the new military alliance proposed by Britain, which will unite Poland, Ukraine, the Baltic countries and, possibly, Great Britain.

비지도 학습 기법을 사용한 RF 위협의 분포 분석 (Analysis on the Distribution of RF Threats Using Unsupervised Learning Techniques)

  • 김철표;노상욱;박소령
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
    • /
    • 제19권3호
    • /
    • pp.346-355
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose a method to analyze the clusters of RF threats emitting electrical signals based on collected signal variables in integrated electronic warfare environments. We first analyze the signal variables collected by an electronic warfare receiver, and construct a model based on variables showing the properties of threats. To visualize the distribution of RF threats and reversely identify them, we use k-means clustering algorithm and self-organizing map (SOM) algorithm, which are belonging to unsupervised learning techniques. Through the resulting model compiled by k-means clustering and SOM algorithms, the RF threats can be classified into one of the distribution of RF threats. In an experiment, we measure the accuracy of classification results using the algorithms, and verify the resulting model that could be used to visually recognize the distribution of RF threats.

군보안상 드론위협과 대응방안 (A Study on the countermeasures and drones's threats in Military security)

  • 김두환;이윤환
    • 디지털융복합연구
    • /
    • 제16권10호
    • /
    • pp.223-233
    • /
    • 2018
  • 군은 적으로부터 국민의 생명과 재산을 보호하기 위해 헌법에서 규정한 조직으로서 조직의 특성상 군사보안은 전쟁에서의 성패를 결정지을 중요한 요소이다. 그런데 최근 제4차 산업혁명으로 대변되는 급격한 문명과 기술의 진보는 군내부 군사보안 환경에도 영향을 끼쳐 다양한 변화들을 일으키고 있다. 이런 환경의 변화에 자칫 적절한 대응을 하지 못할 경우, 군조직과 내부 보안에 치명적인 위해를 끼칠 수도 있는 상황이다. 이런 측면에서 군에 새로운 위협으로 대두되고 있는 군사보안위협 요소들을 살펴보고, 그중에서도 최근 가장 기술 진보적이면서도 광범위하게 유입되어질 수 있는 드론에 대해서 보다 중점적인 논의를 진행할 예정이다. 이를 위해 군의 지휘통제 정보작전 기동 화력 작전지속 지원에 이르기까지 그 범위를 광범위하게 확장시켜 나가는 드론이 가지고 있는 취약점과 문제점을 분석하고, 군사보안적인 측면에서 이러한 보안위협 요소에 대한 발전적 보안 대응방안 수립을 목표로 하고자 한다.

공간정보 디지털화에 대비한 메가시티 핵심노드 방호 대책 (How to Protect Critical Nodes of Megacities in Preparation for the Digitization of Spatial Information)

  • 심준학;조상근;박성준;박상혁
    • 문화기술의 융합
    • /
    • 제8권4호
    • /
    • pp.121-125
    • /
    • 2022
  • 4차 산업혁명의 기술이 발전함에 따라 공간정보의 디지털화가 심화되고 있다. 이제는 스마트폰으로도 메가시티 내의 국가·군사중요시설의 위치를 쉽게 식별할 수 있다. 이로 인해 메가시티의 국가·군사중요시설은 전통적 위협뿐만 아니라 테러, 사이버 해킹, 범죄 활동 등과 같은 비전통적 위협에 노출되었다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 위협으로부터 메가시티의 국가·군사중요시설을 방호할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다. 시간·자원의 제약을 고려할 때, 모든 국가·중요시설을 방호하는 것은 제한되므로 이들의 핵심노드에 집중해야 한다. 구체적으로 핵심노드와 주변 환경과의 조화로운 설계 및 배치, 지하·복토화, 허식(虛飾) 등의 방법을 융·복합하는 방안을 대책으로 제시하였다. 향후, 도심항공모빌리티와 자율주행차량의 등장으로 디지털 공간정보의 투명성은 더욱 증대될 것이다. 따라서, 미래 위협에 대비하기 위해 메가시티 핵심노드의 노출을 최소화하기 위한 방안이 강구되어야 할 것이다.

해양안보 위협 확산에 따른 한국 해군의 역할 확대방안 (Strategic Approaches and the Role of Naval Forces to Counter Increasing Maritime Threats)

  • 박창권
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • 통권31호
    • /
    • pp.220-250
    • /
    • 2013
  • South Korean national security strategy should be developed to effectively handle and counter increasing maritime threats and challenges. There are three major maritime threats South Korea faces today; maritime disputes on the EEZ boundary and Dokdo islet issues, North Korean threats, and international maritime security. Maritime disputes in the region are getting intensified and turned into a military confrontation after 2010. Now regional countries confront each other with military and police forces and use economic leverage to coerce the others. They are very eager to create advantageous de facto situations to legitimize their territorial claims. North Korean threat is also increasing in the sea as we witnessed in the Cheonan incident and Yeonpyoung shelling in 2010. North Korea resorts to local provocations and nuclear threats to coerce South Korea in which it may enjoy asymmetric advantages. The NLL area of the west sea would be a main hot spot that North Korea may continue to make a local provocation. Also, South Korean national economy is heavily dependent upon foreign trade and national strategic resources such as oil are all imported. Without an assurance on the safety of sea routes, these economic activities cannot be maintained and expanded. This paper argues that South Korea should make national maritime strategy and enhance the strength of naval forces. As a middle power, its national security strategy needs to consider all the threats and challenges not only from North Korea but also to maritime security. This is not a matter of choice but a mandate for national survival and prosperity. This paper discusses the importance of maritime security, changing characteristics of maritime threats and challenges, regional maritime disputes and its threat to South Korea's security, and South Korea's future security strategy and ways to enhance the role of naval forces. Our national maritime strategy needs to show middle and long term policy directions on how we will protect our maritime interests. Especially, it is important to build proper naval might to carry out all the roles and missions required to the military.

  • PDF

대전차 위협체 상태추정을 위한 퍼지 규칙기반 적응적 칼만필터 (Fuzzy Rule-Based Adaptive Kalman Filter for State Estimation of Anti-Tank Threats)

  • 이의혁;조규공;박상순;강윤식
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.57-65
    • /
    • 2012
  • To neutralize fast Anti-Tank Guided Missiles(ATGMs) or Anti-Tank Rockets(ATRs) projected at short ranges, the trajectories and times that the threats arrive at hard-kill systems should be predicted precisely. The trajectories of ATGMs or ATRs are almost stationary but the velocity and acceleration are very changeable in the terminal stage, so that it is needed to predict the characteristics of ATGMs and ATRs for filtering. In this paper the Fuzzy Rule based Adaptive Kalman Filter(FRAKF) is proposed to estimate the position, velocity and acceleration of the threats with accuracy and the performance of it is compared with the existing tracking filter considering the maneuvering characteristics of threats.