• Title/Summary/Keyword: Markov-chain

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Performance Analysis of a Loss Retrial BMAP/PH/N System

  • Kim Che-Soong;Oh Young-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.32-37
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the mathematical model of multi-server retrial queueing system with the Batch Markovian Arrival Process (BMAP), the Phase type (PH) service distribution and the finite buffer. The sufficient condition for the steady state distribution existence and the algorithm for calculating this distribution are presented. Finally, a formula to solve loss probability in the case of complete admission discipline is derived.

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The Mixing Properties of Subdiagonal Bilinear Models

  • Jeon, H.;Lee, O.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.639-645
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    • 2010
  • We consider a subdiagonal bilinear model and give sufficient conditions for the associated Markov chain defined by Pham (1985) to be uniformly ergodic and then obtain the $\beta$-mixing property for the given process. To derive the desired properties, we employ the results of generalized random coefficient autoregressive models generated by a matrix-valued polynomial function and vector-valued polynomial function.

Determination of the Appropriate Promotion Size and Sensitivity Analysis of Promotion Probabilities (적정 진급인원수 결정 및 진급확률 민감도 분석)

  • Lee Ik-Ju;Min Gye-Ryo
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.20-37
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    • 1989
  • A markov chain is used to derive the models for determining the size of persons to be promoted and for conducting the sensitivity analysis of promotion probabilities. To compute the former case a future wastage rate is forecasted by using the double exponential smoothing method. The model for sensitivity analysis is used to simulate the impact of change in graded-size targets and hiring policy on the promotion probabilities.

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A Performance Comparison between Operation Strategies for Idle Vehicles in Automated Guided Vehicle System

  • Kim, Kap-Hwan;Kim, Jae-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 1998
  • An Automated Guided Vehicle System (AGVS) with a unidirectional loop guide path is modeled as a discrete-time stationary Markov chain. It is discussed how to estimate the mean response time, the utilization, and the cycle time of AGV for a delivery order. Three common operation strategies for idle vehicles - central zone positioning rule, circulatory loop positioning rule and point of release positioning rule - are analyzed. These different operation strategies are compared with each other based on the performance measures.

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Statistical Design of VSS $\overline{A}$ Charts for Monitoring an AR(1) Process (AR(l) 공정을 탐지하는 VSS $\overline{A}$ 관리도의 통계적 설계)

  • 이재헌
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.126-135
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    • 2003
  • A basic assumption in standard applications of control charts is that the observations are statistically independent. However, this assumption is often violated from processes in many industries. The presence of autocorrelation has a serious impact on the performance of control charts, causing a dramatic increase in the frequency of false alarms. This paper considers a process in which the observations can be modeled as a first order autoregressive(AR(1)) process, and develops (equation omitted) charts with the variable sample size(VSS) scheme for monitoring the mean of this process.

An introductory research of application of Markov process to literary study

  • Park, Chae-Heung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2000
  • This paper attempts to apply Markove chain theory to literary works. the objective of this paper is to show the trend of authors and his works by way of Markovian Models. In this introductory research, it is useful to make simple criteria as virtue and evil, good and bad, justice and injustice, positive and negative, man and woman, etc. Markovian transition matrixes which are derived by M.L.E. and A.U.E are almost same. In case of Hamlet, we are able to know the author of Hamlet or his works are inconsistent and fickle.

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ON BAYESIAN ESTIMATION AND PROPERTIES OF THE MARGINAL DISTRIBUTION OF A TRUNCATED BIVARIATE t-DISTRIBUTION

  • KIM HEA-JUNG;KIM Ju SUNG
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.245-261
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    • 2005
  • The marginal distribution of X is considered when (X, Y) has a truncated bivariate t-distribution. This paper mainly focuses on the marginal nontruncated distribution of X where Y is truncated below at its mean and its observations are not available. Several properties and applications of this distribution, including relationship with Azzalini's skew-normal distribution, are obtained. To circumvent inferential problem arises from adopting the frequentist's approach, a Bayesian method utilizing a data augmentation method is suggested. Illustrative examples demonstrate the performance of the method.

A SIMULATION STUDY OF BAYESIAN PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS WITH THE BETA PROCESS PRIOR

  • Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, theoretical properties of Bayesian nonparametric survival models have been studied and the conclusion is that although there are pathological cases the popular prior processes have the desired asymptotic properties, namely, the posterior consistency and the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. In this study, through a simulation experiment, we study the finite sample properties of the Bayes estimator and compare it with the frequentist estimators. To our surprise, we conclude that in most situations except that the prior is highly concentrated at the true parameter value, the Bayes estimator performs worse than the frequentist estimators.

Semiparametric Bayesian multiple comparisons for Poisson Populations

  • Cho, Jang Sik;Kim, Dal Ho;Kang, Sang Gil
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to the multiple comparisons problem for I Poisson populations using Dirichlet process priors. We describe Gibbs sampling algorithm for calculating posterior probabilities for the hypotheses and calculate posterior probabilities for the hypotheses using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Also we provide a numerical example to illustrate the developed numerical technique.

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Semiparametric Bayesian Estimation under Structural Measurement Error Model

  • Hwang, Jin-Seub;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.551-560
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    • 2010
  • This paper considers a Bayesian approach to modeling a flexible regression function under structural measurement error model. The regression function is modeled based on semiparametric regression with penalized splines. Model fitting and parameter estimation are carried out in a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology. Their performances are compared with those of the estimators under structural measurement error model without a semiparametric component.