• Title/Summary/Keyword: Load Forecasting

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hydraulic-power generation of electricity plan of multi-Purpose dam in electric Power system (전력계통에서의 다목적댐 수력발전계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Hyo;Ko, Young-Hoan;Hwang, In-Kwang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1248-1252
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    • 1999
  • To provide electricity power of good quality, it is essential to establish generation of electricity plan in electric power system based on accurate power-demand prediction and cope with changes of power-need fluctuating constantly. The role of hydraulic-power generation of electricity in electric power system is of importance because responding to electric power-demand counts or reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity which is designed for additional load in electric power system. So hydraulic-power generation of electricity must have fast start reserve. But the amount of water, resources of reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity is restricted and multi-used, so the scheduling of management by exact forecasting the amount of water is critical. That is why efficient hydraulic-power generation of electricity makes a main role on pumping up the utility of energy and water resource. This thesis introduced the example of optimal generation of electricity plan establishment which is used in managing reservoir-type hydraulic-power generation of electricity.

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A Study on Transmission System Expansion Planning using Fuzzy Branch and Bound Method

  • Park, Jaeseok;Sungrok Kang;Kim, Hongsik;Seungpil Moon;Lee, Soonyoung;Roy Billinton
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.2A no.3
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2002
  • This study proposes a new method for transmission system expansion planning using fuzzy integer programming. It presents stepwise cost characteristics analysis which is a practical condition of an actual system. A branch and bound method which includes the network flow method and the maximum flow - minimum cut set theorem has been used in order to carry out the stepwise cost characteristics analysis. Uncertainties of the permissibility of the construction cost and the lenient reserve rate and load forecasting of expansion planning have been included and also processed using the fuzzy set theory in this study. In order to carry out the latter analysis, the solving procedure is illustrated in detail by the branch and bound method which includes the network flow method and maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem. Finally, case studies on the 21- bus test system show that the algorithm proposed is efficiently applicable to the practical expansion planning of transmission systems in the future.

A Study on the Transmission System Expansion Planning using Fuzzy Integer Programming (Fuzzy 정수계획법을 이용한 송전망의 확충계획에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Sik;Moon, Seung-Pil;Lee, Young-Jin;Choi, Hyong-Lim;Choi, Jae-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.350-353
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    • 2001
  • This study proposes a new method for the transmission system expansion planning using the fuzzy integer programming. It presents stepwise cost characteristics analysis which is a practical condition of an actual systems. A branch and bound method which includes the network flow method and the maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem has been used in order to proceed the stepwise cost characteristics analysis. Uncertainties of the permission of the construction cost and not strict reserve rate and load forecasting of expansion planning have been included and also processed using fuzzy set theory in this study. In order to proceed the latter analysis, the solving procedure is illustrated in detail by branch and bound method which includes the network flow method and maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem. Finally, case studies on 21-bus test system show that the algorithm proposed is efficiently applicable to the practical expansion planning of transmission systems in future.

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Symptom-based reliability analyses and performance assessment of corroded reinforced concrete structures

  • Chen, Hua-Peng;Xiao, Nan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.1183-1200
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    • 2015
  • Reinforcement corrosion can cause serious safety deterioration to aging concrete structures exposed in aggressive environments. This paper presents an approach for reliability analyses of deteriorating reinforced concrete structures affected by reinforcement corrosion on the basis of the representative symptoms identified during the deterioration process. The concrete cracking growth and rebar bond strength evolution due to reinforcement corrosion are chosen as key symptoms for the performance deterioration of concrete structures. The crack width at concrete cover surface largely depends on the corrosion penetration of rebar due to the expansive rust layer at the bond interface generated by reinforcement corrosion. The bond strength of rebar in the concrete correlates well with concrete crack width and decays steadily with crack width growth. The estimates of cracking development and bond strength deterioration are examined by experimental data available from various sources, and then matched with symptom-based lifetime Weibull model. The symptom reliability and remaining useful life are predicted from the predictive lifetime Weibull model for deteriorating concrete structures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach for forecasting the performance of concrete structures subject to reinforcement corrosion. The results show that the corrosion rate has significant impact on the reliability associated with serviceability and load bearing capacity of reinforced concrete structures during their service life.

Application Management System with ZeroMQ and Alarms in Distribution Management System (배전운영 시스템에서의 ZeroMQ와 알람 정보를 이용한 운영기능 관리 시스템)

  • Kim, Pil-Seok;Kang, Ho-Young;Lim, Il-Hyung;Park, Jong-Ho;Shin, Yong-Hak
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.8
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    • pp.1161-1167
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    • 2015
  • Distribution Management System(DMS) ienhancing distribution automation system-based operation efficiency is an optimized system by various operational applications in a distribution network. DMS employs various applications like topology reconfiguration, volt/var control, and restoration at events such as overload, voltage violation, and a fault in a distribution system. An operation efficiency to employ multi-applications as restoration with short-term load forecasting is higher than a performance by a single application; and the applications are accomplished by an operator’s control. Applications’ combination is determined by various alarm information which means critical issues in order to operate a distribution system. Thus, this paper proposes an application management system which can configure application combination, control applications depending on alarm information and check their performance condition. The proposed application management system can be customized by operator easily and have high operation efficiency and reliability because it is worked by reviewed alarm information from operator.

Monthly Electric Load Forecasting Method Using Multiple Regression Model (다중회귀모형을 이용한 월간 전력수요 예측기법)

  • Moon, Jihoon;Kim, Yongsung;Park, Jinwoong;Hwang, Eenjun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2016.04a
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    • pp.567-570
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    • 2016
  • 전력수요 예측은 설비투자, 수급 안정, 구매전력비 등에 직결되는 중요한 요소이며 국가 경제에 미치는 영향이 크다. 특히 인구가 밀집한 대도시의 경우 정치, 교육, 문화, 경제적 활동들이 전력사용과 밀접한 연관이 있어 안정적인 전력공급을 위한 정확한 전력수요 예측이 필요하다. 최근 평균기온 및 국내총생산을 독립변수로 활용하여 다중회귀모형을 구성한 연구가 전국 단위 전력수요 예측에 유용한 결과를 보여주었다. 하지만 좀 더 작은 단위 지역의 전력수요를 예측할 때에는 지역마다 제반 여건에 따른 전력사용 용도가 다르므로, 그 지역의 전력수요와 상관관계가 높은 다른 변수들을 함께 고려해야 할 필요가 있다. 본 논문은 서울시 자치구별 월 단위 전력수요 예측을 위하여 과거 전력수요량을 독립변수, 평균기온, 지역내총생산, 자치구별 인구, 세대수, 지하철 승 하차 인원을 종속변수로 설정한 다중회귀모형을 구성하였다. 이를 기반으로 다양한 실험을 통해 자치구별 월간 전력수요 예측을 진행하였으며, 그 결과 이전보다 향상된 정확도를 얻을 수 있었다.

The Development of Production Simulation Methodology by Optimization Technique and It's Application to Utility Expansion Planning (최적화 기법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션 방법론의 개발 및 전원확충계획 문제에의 적용)

  • Song, K.Y.;Oh, K.H.;Kim, Y.H.;Cha, J.M.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1996.07b
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    • pp.793-796
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    • 1996
  • This study proposes a new algorithm which performs a production simulation under various constraints and maintains computational efficiency. In order to consider the environmental and operational constraints, the proposed algorithm is based on optimization techniques formulated in LP form In the algorithm, "system characteristic constraints" reflect the system characteristics such as LDC shape, unit loading order and forced outage rate. By using the concept of Energy Invariance Property and two operational rules i.e. Compliance Rule for Emission Constraint, Compliance Rule for Limited Energy of Individual Unit, the number of system characteristic constraints is appreciably reduced. As a solution method of the optimization problem, the author uses Karmarkar's method which performs effectively in solving large scale LP problem. The efficiency of production simulation is meaningful when it is effectively used in power system planning. With the proposed production simulation algorithm, an optimal expansion planning model which can cope with operational constraints, environmental restriction, and various uncertainties is developed. This expansion planning model is applied to the long range planning schemes by WASP, and determines an optimal expansion scheme which considers the effect of supply interruption, load forecasting errors, multistates of unit operation, plural limited energy plants etc.

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Hybrid Energy Storage System with Emergency Power Function of Standardization Technology (비상전원 기능을 갖는 하이브리드 에너지저장시스템 표준화 기술)

  • Hong, Kyungjin
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2019
  • Hybrid power storage system with emergency power function for demand management and power outage minimizes the investment cost in the building of buildings and factories requiring emergency power generation facilities, We propose a new business model by developing technology that can secure economical efficiency by reducing power cost at all times. Normally, system power is supplied to load through STS (Static Transfer Switch), and PCS is connected to system in parallel to perform demand management. In order to efficiently operate the electric power through demand forecasting, the EMS issues a charge / discharge command to the ESS as a PMS (Power Management System), and the PMS transmits the command to the PCS controller to operate the system. During the power outage, the STS is rapidly disengaged from the system, and the PCS becomes an independent power supply and can supply constant voltage / constant frequency power to the load side. Therefore, it is possible to secure reliability through verification of actual system linkage and independent operation performance of hybrid ESS, By enabling low-carbon green growth technology to operate in conjunction with an efficient grid, it is possible to improve irregular power quality and contribute to peak load by generating renewable energy through ESS linkage. In addition, the ESS is replacing the frequency follow-up reserve, which is currently under the charge of coal-fired power generation, and thus it is anticipated that the operation cost of the LNG generator with high fuel cost can be reduced.

The Design and Implementation of a Vendor Managed Inventory System for Smaller Online Shopping Malls (중소 인터넷 쇼핑몰을 위한 판매자 재고관리 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Choi, O-Hoon;Lim, Jung-Eun;Na, Hong-Seok;Baik, Doo-Kwon
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2008
  • With universality of e-commerce through internet, smaller online shopping malls are increased. A Smaller online shopping mall by nature lacks an extra space to load many inventory quantities. Therefore, it is difficult to response immediately with client request with traditional inventory management method. VMI has a character that supplier can control volume of inventory according to sales of seller. This paper proposes SOHO-VMI that is applied VMI into smaller online shopping mall. Proposed SOHO-VMI supports M $\times$ N structure can interact with multiple suppliers and sellers. And it uses XML/EDI for interaction with EDI documents use to legacy system. Also, This paper proposes logistics statistic prediction algorithm can adjust production and distribution volumes to supplier considering seller's product distribution information and seasonal factor.

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Analysis of Pollutant Loads and Physical Oceanographic Status at the Developing Region of Deep Sea Water in East Sea, Korea (동해 심층수 개발해역의 오염부하량 해석과 해황변동)

  • Lee, In-Cheol;Kim, Kyung-Hoi;Yoon, Han-Sam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.340-345
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    • 2003
  • This study, as a basic study for establishing a influence forecasting/estimating model when drain the deep sea water to the ocean after using it, carried out studies as follows; 1) estimating the amount of river discharge and pollutant loads inflowing into the developing region of deep sea water in East Sea, Korea 2) a field observation of tidal current, vertical distribution of water temperature and salinity, and 3-D numerical experiment of tidal current to analysis physical oceanographic status. The amount of river discharge flowing into the study area was estimated about $462.6{times}10^{3}m^{3}/day$ of daily mean in 2002 year. annual mean pollutant load of COD, TN and TP were estimated 7.02 ton-COD/day, 4.06 ton-TN/day and 0.39 ton/day, respectively. Field observation of tidal current results usually show about $20{\sim}40cm/sec$ of current velocity at the surface layer, it indicated a tendency that the current velocity decreases under 20cm/sec as the water depth increases. We could find a stratification within approximately the depth of 30m in field observation area, and the depth increases. We could find a stratification within approximately the depth of 30m in field observation area, and the differences of water temperature and salinity between the surface layer and bottom layer were about $18^{\circ}C$ and 0.8 psu, respectively. On the other hand, we found that there was a definite as the water mass of deep sea water about 34 psu of salinity.

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