• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.911-918
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• 2013

This study deals with the small sample likelihood based inference for the ratio of two normal variances. The small sample likelihood inference is an approximation method. The signed log-likelihood ratio statistic and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio statistic, which converge to standard normal distribution, are proposed for the normal variance ratio. Through the simulation study, the coverage probabilities of confidence interval and power of the exact, the signed log-likelihood and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio statistic will be compared. A real data example will be provided.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.655-666
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• 2008

Small sample likelihood based inference for the shape parameter of the inverse Gaussian distribution is the purpose of this paper. When shape parameter is of interest, the signed log-likelihood ratio statistic and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio statistic are derived. Hsieh (1990) gave a statistical inference for the shape parameter based on an exact method. Throughout simulation, we will compare the statistical properties of the proposed statistics to the statistic given by Hsieh (1990) in term of confidence interval and power of test. We also discuss a real data example.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.1173-1181
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• 2008

In this paper, when the parameter of interest is the shape parameter in Pareto distribution, we develop likelihood based inference for this parameter. Specially, we develop signed log-likelihood ratio statistic and the modified signed log-likelihood ratio statistic for the shape parameter. It is well-known that as sample size grows, the modified signed log-likelihood ratio statistic converges to standard normal distribution faster than the signed log-likelihood ratio statistic. But the computation of the modified signed log-likelihood statistic is hard or even impossible when the sufficient statistics and the ancillary statistics are not clear. In this case, one can consider an approximation to the modified signed log-likelihood statistic. Specially, when the parameter of interest is informationally orthogonal to the nuisance parameters, we propose the approximate modified signed log-likelihood statistic. Through simulation, we investigate the performances of the proposed statistics with the signed log-likelihood statistic.

• 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
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• 제55권2호
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• pp.193-208
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• 2016

This study analyzes the likelihood principle and elicits an educational implication. As a result of analysis, this study shows that Frequentist and Bayesian interpret the principle differently by assigning different role to that principle from each other. While frequentist regards the principle as 'the principle forming a basis for statistical inference using the likelihood ratio' through considering the likelihood as a direct tool for statistical inference, Bayesian looks upon the principle as 'the principle providing a basis for statistical inference using the posterior probability' by looking at the likelihood as a means for updating. Despite this distinction between two methods of statistical inference, two statistics schools get clues to compromise in a regard of using frequency prior probability. According to this result, this study suggests the statistics education that is a help to building of students' critical eye by their comparing inferences based on likelihood and posterior probability in the learning and teaching of updating process from frequency prior probability to posterior probability.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.895-903
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• 2009

The penalized partial likelihood based on restricted maximum likelihood method has been widely used for the inference of frailty models. However, the standard-error estimate for frailty parameter estimator can be downwardly biased. In this paper we show that such underestimation can be corrected by using hierarchical likelihood. In particular, the hierarchical likelihood gives a statistically efficient procedure for various random-effect models including frailty models. The proposed method is illustrated via a numerical example and simulation study. The simulation results demonstrate that the corrected standard-error estimate largely improves such bias.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.167-182
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• 2008

The objective of this paper is to discuss the stochastic analysis and the statistical inference of a three-states semi-Markov reliability model. Using the maximum likelihood procedure, the parameters included in this model are estimated. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system are gener-alized Weibull random variables, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Then, the distribution of the first passage time of this system is derived. Many important special cases are discussed. Finally, the obtained results are compared with those available in the literature.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.131-146
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• 2016

In research on behavioral studies, significant attention has been paid to the stage-sequential process for longitudinal data. Latent class profile analysis (LCPA) is an useful method to study sequential patterns of the behavioral development by the two-step identification process: identifying a small number of latent classes at each measurement occasion and two or more homogeneous subgroups in which individuals exhibit a similar sequence of latent class membership over time. Maximum likelihood (ML) estimates for LCPA are easily obtained by expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm, and Bayesian inference can be implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, unusual properties in the likelihood of LCPA can cause difficulties in ML and Bayesian inference as well as estimation in small samples. This article describes and addresses erratic problems that involve conventional ML and Bayesian estimates for LCPA with small samples. We argue that these problems can be alleviated with a small amount of prior input. This study evaluates the performance of likelihood and MCMC-based estimates with the proposed prior in drawing inference over repeated sampling. Our simulation shows that estimates from the proposed methods perform better than those from the conventional ML and Bayesian method.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.673-687
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• 2005

표본조사에서 이용하는 모수 추론 방법인 설계기반추론과 모형기반추론을 고찰하였다. 설계기반추론은 확률화 원리에 기초를 두고 있는 반면 모형기반추론은 가정한 모형에서 조건부 원리와 우도 원리에 바탕을 두고 있다. 두 추론은 서로 다른 이론적 근거를 사용하기 때문에 이론적 기초에 관한 논쟁이 오래 전부터 있어 왔으며 지금도 진행되고 있다. 이 논문에서는 두 추론 사이에 진행되었던 논쟁의 초점을 살펴보았고 몇 가지 관점에서 두 추론의 장단점을 비교하였다.

• 한국언어정보학회지:언어와정보
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.71-89
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• 2002

This paper proposes that concession should be analysed in terms of inferences based on the likelihood of event occurrence and that an alternative set of events should be presupposed in such inferences. In order to give an empirical content to this proposal this paper discusses the pragmatic aspects of the English word even and the Korean morpheme -lafo and claims that the notion of likelihood is the basis of the pragmatic inference of concession and the quasi-universal quantification erect. It is also claimed that unexpectedness, which is conceptually tied to concession, on the other hand, pertains to the same kind of pragmatic inference but presupposes the existence of an alternative set of individuals instead of an alternative set of situations.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.971-978
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• 2009

Poisson generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) have been widely used for the analysis of clustered or correlated count data. For the inference marginal likelihood, which is obtained by integrating out random effects is often used. It gives maximum likelihood(ML) estimator, but the integration is usually intractable. In this paper, we propose how to obtain the ML estimator via Laplace approximation based on hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood) approach under the Poisson GLMMs. In particular, the h-likelihood avoids the integration itself and gives a statistically efficient procedure for various random-effect models including GLMMs. The proposed method is illustrated using two practical examples and simulation studies.