• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• 제30권sup호
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• pp.5.1-5.5
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• 2015

Objectives To protect public health from risk, the Minister of Environment in Korea legislated an act concerning the registration and evaluation of chemical substances. In this study, we estimated the value of a statistical life (VSL) of carcinogenic chemicals to evaluate the socioeconomic analysis in Korea. Methods The estimation of the health benefit can be calculated through an individual's VSL and willingness to pay (WTP). To estimate the VSL and WTP, we used a contingent valuation method through a web-based survey. Results The survey is conducted with 1434 people living in Seoul and six large cities. An analysis of the survey is essential to review the distribution of the characteristics of the target population. The statistically significant variables affecting the WTP are location, age, household income, quality of life. Through the review of data, we secured statistical validity. The WTP was estimated as 41205 Korean won (KRW)/person, and the estimated VSL appeared as 796 million KRW/person. Conclusions There is a case in which the amount of statistical life value is estimated in connection with domestic environmental policy, fine dust, etc. However, there are no cases of evaluation for chemical. The utilization of this result is possible for conducting other study with chemicals.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.231-235
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• 2013

The purpose of this paper is to compare with estimation of equivalent fatigue load in time domain and frequency domain and estimate the fatigue life of structure with multi-axial vibration loading. The fatigue analysis with two methods is implemented with various signals like random, sinusoidal signals. Also an equivalent fatigue life estimated by rainflow cycle counting in time domain is compared with results estimated with probability density function of each signal in frequency domain. In case of frequency domain, equivalent fatigue life can estimate through Dirlik's method with probability density function. And the work proposed in this paper compared the fatigue damage accumulated under uni-axial loading to that induced by multi-axial loading. The comparison is preformed for a simple cantilever beam, which is exposed to vibrations of several directions. For verification of estimation performance of fatigue life, results are compared to those of FEM analysis (ANSYS).

• 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.64-70
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• 2019

In recent years, attention has been paid to the integrity of steam generator (SG) tubes due to severe accident and beyond design basis accident conditions. In these transient conditions, steam generator tubes may be damaged by high temperature and pressure, which might result in a risk of fission products being released to the environment due to the failure. Alloy 690 which has increased the Cr content has been replaced for the SG tube due to its high corrosion resistance against stress corrosion cracking (SCC). However, there is lack of research on the high temperature creep rupture and life prediction model of Alloy 690. In this study, creep test was performed to estimate the high temperature creep rupture life of Alloy 690 using tube specimens. Based on manufacturer's creep data and creep test results performed in this study, creep life prediction was carried out using the Larson-Miller (LM) Parameter, Orr-Sherby-Dorn (OSD) parameter, Manson-Haford (MH) parameter, and Wilshire's approach. And a hyperbolic sine (sinh) function to determine master curves in LM, OSD and MH parameter methods was used for improving the creep life estimation of Alloy 690 material.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제14권10호
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• pp.35-43
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• 2023

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the structural relationship between the possibility of socioeconomic class elevation of wage earners, happiness and organizational commitment, and life satisfaction. Research design, data and methodology: Data from the 24th fiscal year (2021) of the Korea Labor Panel data were used for analysis. Only wage earners who measured job satisfaction and organizational engagement were analyzed, and a sample of 9,138 respondents was finally used, excluding missing values. Structural Equation Modeling was performed using AMOS 23.0, and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) was used as a model estimation method. Results: First, the hypothetical structural model set up for the study was found to be suitable. Second, the Possibility of Socioeconomic Class Elevation of wage earners, happiness, and organizational commitment were found to have a direct impact on life satisfaction. Third, the possibility of improving the socio-economic status of wage earners affects life satisfaction, and happiness and organizational commitment appear to have a partially mediating effect. Conclusions: This study is significant in that it has increased interest in organizational participation and life satisfaction, which were not covered in previous studies on the possibility of wage workers moving up the socioeconomic class.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.68-75
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• 2005

The fatigue life of welded joints is associated with crack initiation and propagation life. Theses cannot be easily separated, since the definition of crack initiation is vague due to the initiation of multiple cracks that are distributed randomly along the weld toes. In this paper a method involving a notch strain and fracture mechanical approach, which considers the characteristics of welded joints, e.g. welding residual stress and statistical characteristics of multiple cracks, is proposed, in an attempt to reasonably estimate these fatigue lives. The fatigue crack initiation life was evaluated statistically, e.g. the probability of failure occurrence in 2.3, 50 and $97.7\%$, in which the cyclic response of the local stress/strain hi the vicinity of the weld toes and notch factors derived by the irregular shape of the weld bead are taken into account. The fatigue crack propagation life was simulated by using Monte-Carlo method in consideration of the Ad-factor and the mechanical behavior of mutual interaction/coalescence between two adjacent cracks. The estimated total fatigue life, $(N_T)_{P50\%}$, as a sum of crack initiation and propagation life under the probability of failure occurrence in $50\%$ showed a good agreement with the experimental results. The developed technique for fatigue lift estimation enables to provide a quantitative proportion of crack initiation and propagation life in the total fatigue life due to the nominal stress range, ${\Delta}S$.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.48-55
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• 2016

구조물의 수명관리는 일반적으로 불확실성의 효율적 고려를 위해 신뢰성 이론을 적용한다. 전체 구조시스템의 신뢰성 평가는 구조요소의 신뢰성 평가와 구조시스템의 모델링을 통해 이루어진다. 구조시스템은 신뢰도에 대한 구조요소의 역할과 기여도를 고려하여 모델링 된다. 따라서, 구조시스템의 신뢰도는 구조요소의 모델링과 구조요소의 상관관계에 따라 서로 다른 결과를 제시하게 된다. 최초 구조시스템의 신뢰도 평가와 열화요소를 반영한 구조시스템의 수명 평가를 바탕으로 생애주기 비용 최소화와 관련된 목적함수를 가지는 최적화 과정을 통해 수명관리가 이루어진다. 본 논문에서는 구조시스템을 구성하는 구조요소의 상관관계와 더불어 기존의 연구에서 고려된 바 없는 유지보수 간의 상관관계에 따른 수명평가 영향분석을 수행하며, 이를 통해 향후 좀 더 효율적인 수명관리 기법 개발에 활용하고자 한다. 또한, 예방유지보수와 필수유지보수를 모두 고려하며, 유지보수간 독립 상태와 완전상관 상태에 따른 수명 예측 및 최적화 유지보수 계획 수립을 비교 제시한다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제40권10호
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• pp.895-900
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• 2016

리튬 이온 배터리의 잔존수명 추정은 품질보증, 운전계획, 교체주기 파악 등을 위해 활용된다는 점에서 그 필요성이 점점 커지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 에너지 저장 장치용 배터리의 잔존 수명을 단일지수 용량열화 모델과 마코프체인 몬테카를로(MCMC) 방법을 이용하여 추정한 결과를 제시한다. MCMC방법은 사전 정보가 제대로 주어지지 않았을 때, 추정결과가 모델 초기값과 입력 설정값에 따라 크게 변하게 되는 단점이 있어, 실제 현장에서 배터리 모델과 추정법에 익숙하지 않은 사용자가 활용하는데 어려움이 있다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하기 위해, 본 논문에서는 베이지안 추론법의 이론식을 전역 탐색하여 구한 이론값과 MCMC 추정값을 비교해서, 초기값과 설정값을 결정하는 과정을 제안한다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.413-422
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• 2000

In the class of models which include random effects, the variance component estimates are important to obtain accurate predictors and estimators. Variance component estimation is straightforward for balanced data but not for unbalanced data. Since orthogonality among factors is absent in unbalanced data, various methods for variance component estimation are available. REML estimation is the most widely used method in animal breeding because of its attractive statistical properties. Recently, Bayesian approach became feasible through Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods with increasingly powerful computers. Furthermore, advances in variance component estimation with complicated models such as generalized linear mixed models enabled animal breeders to analyze non-normal data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.627-641
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• 2021

An asymmetric least squares estimation method has been employed to estimate linear models for percentile regression. An asymmetric maximum likelihood estimation (AMLE) has been developed for the estimation of Poisson percentile linear models. In this study, we propose generalized nonlinear percentile regression using the AMLE, and the use of the parametric bootstrap method to obtain confidence intervals for the estimates of parameters of interest and smoothing functions of estimates. We consider three conditional distributions of response variables given covariates such as normal, exponential, and Poisson for three mean functions with one linear and two nonlinear models in the simulation studies. The proposed method provides reasonable estimates and confidence interval estimates of parameters, and comparable Monte Carlo asymptotic performance along with the sample size and quantiles. We illustrate applications of the proposed method using real-life data from chemical and radiation epidemiological studies.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.233-242
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• 2014

Estimating above-ground biomass is important in establishing an applicable methodology of Measurement, Reporting and Verification (MRV) System for Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation-Plus (REDD+). We developed an estimation model of diameter at breast height (DBH) from IKONOS-2 image that led to above-ground biomass estimation (AGB). The IKONOS image was preprocessed with dark object subtraction and topographic effect correction prior to watershed segmentation for tree crown delineation. Compared to the field observation, the overall segmentation accuracy was 64%. Crown detection percent had a strong negative correlation to tree density. In addition, satellite-based crown area had the highest correlation with the field measured DBH. We then developed the DBH allometric model that explained 74% of the data variance. In average, the estimated DBH was very similar to the measured DBH as well as for AGB. Overall, this method can potentially be applied to estimate AGB over a relatively large and remote tropical forest in Northern Borneo.