• Title/Summary/Keyword: La-Nina

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Hydro-meteorological analysis of January 2021 flood event in South Kalimantan Indonesia using atmospheric-hydrologic model

  • Chrysanti, Asrini;Son, Sangyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.147-147
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    • 2022
  • In January 2021 heavy flood affected South Kalimantan with causing many casualties. The heavy rainfall is predicted to be generated due to the ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation). The weak La-Nina mode appeared to generate more convective cloud above the warmed ocean and result in extreme rainfall with high anomaly compared to past historical rainfall event. Subsequently, the antecedent soil moisture distribution showed to have an important role in generating the flood response. Saturated flow and infiltration excess mainly contributed to the runoff generation due to the high moisture capacity. The hydro-meteorological processes in this event were deeply analyzed using the coupled atmospheric model of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) and the hydrological model extension (WRF-Hydro). The sensitivity analysis of the flood response to the SST anomaly and the soil moisture capacity also compared. Result showed that although SST and soil moisture are the main contributors, soil moisture have more significant contribution to the runoff generation despite of anomaly rainfall occurred. Model performance was validated using the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) and Soil Moisture Operational Products System (SMOPS) and performed reasonably well. The model was able to capture the hydro-meteorological process of atmosphere and hydrological feedbacks in the extreme weather event.

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Annual Cycle and Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Frequency in the CMIP5 Climate Models: Use of Genesis Potential Index (CMIP5 기후모델에서 나타나는 열대저기압 생성빈도의 연진동과 경년변동성: 잠재생성지수의 이용)

  • Kwon, MinHo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2012
  • The potential for tropical cyclogenesis in a given oceanic and atmospheric environments can be represented by genesis potential index (GPI). Using the 18 Coupled Model Inter Comparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) models, the annual cycle of GPI and interannual variability of GPI are analyzed in this study. In comparison, the annual cycle of GPI calculated from reanalysis data is revisited. In particular, GPI differences between CMIP5 models and reanalysis data are compared, and the possible reasons for the GPI differences are discussed. ENSO (El Nino and Southern Oscillation) has a tropical phenomenon, which affects tropical cyclone genesis and its passages. Some dynamical interpretations of tropical cyclogenesis are suggested by using the fact that GPI is a function of four large-scale parameters. The GPI anomalies in El Nino or La Nina years are discussed and the most contributable factors are identified in this study. In addition, possible dynamics of tropical cyclogenesis in the Northern Hemisphere Pacific region are discussed using the large-scale factors.

Deriving a Reservoir Operating Rule ENSO Information (ENSO 정보를 이용한 저수지 운영울의 산출)

  • Kim, Yeong-O
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.593-601
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    • 2000
  • Analyzing monthly inflows of the Chung-Ju Dam associated with EI Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Kim and Lee(2000) reported that the fall and winter inflows in EI Nino years tended to be low while those in La Nina years tended to be high. This study proposes a methodology of employing such a teleconnection between ENSO and inflow in reservoir operations. The ENSO information is used as a hydrologic state variable in stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) to derive a monthly optimal rule for operating the Chung- Ju Dam. An alternative operating rule is also derived with the SDP with no hydrologic state variable. Both of the SDP operating rules are simulated and compared to examine the value of using the ENSO information in operations of the Chung-Ju Dam. The simulation results show that the operating rule using the ENSO information increases energy generation and reliability of water supply as well as reduces spill. spill.

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Inorganic Nutrient Distributions in Association with Thermocline at KOMO Station in the Northeast Equatorial Pacific Ocean during 1995-2002 (북동태평양 KOMO 정점에서 수온약층에 따른 무기영양염 분포 특성(1995-2002))

  • Son, Seung-Kyu;Son, Ju-Won;Kim, Kyeong-Hong;Kang, Jung-Hoon;Chi, Sang-Bum;Yoo, Chan-Min;Park, Cheong-Kee;Kim, Woong-Seo
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.377-384
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    • 2004
  • Annual variations of inorganic nutrients such as nitrate(+nitrite), phosphate and silicate in association with thermocline were investigated in the upper 200 m of the water column at KODES Long-term Monitoring (KOMO) station in the northeast equatorial Pacific from 1995 to 2002. Global climatic disturbances such as El Nino and La Nina, should have affected KODES area during the study period. In 1995-97 and 2000-2002, a thermocline where temperatures rapidly decrease with depth, was formed at 50-70 m water depth. Nutrient depletion, specially for nitrate and phosphate, was extended down to approximately 50 m depth, which coincided with the surface mixed layer depth. In 1998 and 1999, however a very fluctuating thermocline was observed at 20-100 m water depth. In the photic zone (up to 100 m depth), depth integration of nitrate, phosphate and silicate ranged from 2.02 to $23.14\;gN/m^2$, from 0.87 to $4.05\;gP/m^2$ and from 35.67 to $176.21\;gSi/m^2$, respectively. As a result of changes in the water column structures, nutrient concentrations also showed fluctuation parallel to the changes of thermocline in the study area.

Seasonal Predictability of Typhoon Activity Using an Atmospheric General Circulation Model and Observed Sea Surface Temperature Data (대기 대순환 모헝과 해수면 온도 관측 자료를 이용한 태풍 활동의 계절 예측 가능성)

  • Han, Ji-Young;Baik, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.653-658
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    • 2006
  • The seasonal predictability of typhoon activity over the western North Pacific is investigated using an atmospheric general circulation model GCPS. A ten-member ensemble with different initial conditions is integrated for five months using observed sea surface temperature data for each year from 1979 to 2003. It is shown that the monthly variation of occurrence frequency of simulated tropical storms and the distribution of tropical storm genesis location are similar to those of observed tropical storms, but the model is unable to reliably predict the interannual variation of the occurrence frequency of tropical storms. This is largely because the observed relationship between tropical storm occurrence frequency and ENSO is different from the simulated one. Unlike the observation, in which the tropical storm occurrence frequency has no relation to ENSO, the model has a tendency to generate more (less) tropical storms than normal during El Nino (La Nina). On the other hand, the interannual variation of the mean longitude of tropical storms that shows a close connection with ENSO in both observations and simulations is simulated similar to the observation.

Changes in fishing characteristics and distributions of Korean tuna purse seine fishery by oceanographic conditions in the Pacific Ocean (태평양 수역 우리나라 다랑어선망어업의 조업 특성 및 해양환경에 따른 어장 변동)

  • LEE, Mi-Kyung;LEE, Sung-Il;LEE, Chun-Woo;KIM, Zang-Geun;KU, Jeong-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.149-161
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    • 2016
  • Fishing characteristics of Korean tuna purse seine fishery in the Pacific Ocean were investigated using logbook data compiled from captain onboard and the statistical data from 1980 to 2014. Changes in fishing ground and correlation between marine environmental factors and fishing patterns were investigated using Oceanographic index. The proportion of unassociated set was higher than that of associated set. The catch proportion of yellowfin was higher in the unassociated set, while that of skipjack and bigeye was higher in the associated set. Due to vessels, fishing gears and Korean captains' high-level of skills in fishing technology optimized for the unassociated set and preference of large fishes, especially large yellowfin tuna, it showed unique fishing characteristics focusing on the unassociated set. As for fishing distributions of Korean tuna purse seine fishery and impacts of oceanographic conditions on the fishery, the main fishing ground was concentrated on the area of $5^{\circ}N{\sim}10^{\circ}S$, $140^{\circ}E{\sim}180^{\circ}$ through the decades. When stronger El-nino occurred, the range of fishing ground tended to expand and main fishing ground moved to the eastern part of western and central Pacific Ocean. During this season, yellowfin tuna had high CPUE and catch proportion of yellowfin tuna in the eastern part also increased. As for the proportion of fishing effort by set type, proportion of log associated set was high during El-nino season while that of FAD associated set was high during La-nina season.

Development of Nonlinear Low-Order Climate Model and Simulated ENSO Characteristics (비선형 저차 기후모델 개발과 모의된 ENSO 특징)

  • Wie, Jieun;Moon, Byung-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.611-616
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    • 2015
  • El Nino and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) presents a broad band (2-8 year) variability and slowly changing amplitude and period, which are respectively referred to as ENSO irregularity and ENSO modulation. In this study, we developed a nonlinear low-order climate model by combining the Lorenz-63 model of nonlinear atmospheric variability and a simple ENSO model with recharge oscillator characteristics. The model successfully reproduced the ENSO-like variations in the sea surface temperature of eastern Pacific, such as the peak period, wide periodicity, and decadal modulations. The results show that the chaotic atmospheric forcing can lead to ENSO irregularity and ENSO modulation. It is also suggested the high probability of La Nina development could be associated with strong convection of the western warm pool. Although it is simple, this model is expected to be used in research on long-term climate change because it well captures the nonlinear air-sea interactions in the equatorial Pacific.

The Effect of Climate Change on Water Quality in a Dammed River Basin (기후변화를 고려한 댐유역의 수질변화 분석)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Dong-Il;HwangBo, Hyun;Jung, Je-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.938-942
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    • 2010
  • 현재 기후변화가 심화되면서 기상변동성이 커지고 이에 따라 사막화 현상의 심화, 엘니뇨(El Nino), 라니냐(La Nina), 태풍, 집중호우 등의 이상기후 현상이 전 지구상에 걸쳐 광역적으로 나타나고 있는 실정이다. 이러한 기후변화는 앞서 말한 것과 같이 여러 기후인자들을 변화시켜 수자원의 양적변화 등 지속가능한 수자원 개발 관리에 큰 영향을 미치므로 이에 대한 연구가 국내외에서 활발히 진행되고 있다. 대표적으로 여러 가지 2CO2 시나리오에 대한 대기 순환 모형의 적용 결과를 이용하여, 이러한 기후변화가 수문순환에 영향을 미치는 기후인자인 기온, 강수량, 습도 및 풍속, 그리고 물의 수량 및 수질 등에 미치는 영향을 분석하고, 이를 기반으로 기후변화와 관련된 환경 및 수자원의 정책 개발에 대한 연구들이 주로 수행되고 있다. 국내 역시 기후 변화와 관련된 연구들이 수행되고는 있으나, 기후변화와 연계된 유량과 수질 예측에 대한 연구가 절실히 요구되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 IPCC의 배출 시나리오(Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, 이하 SRES) 중 인구증가율이 높고 경제발달과 기술변화가 느리고 환경에 무관심한 극한현상을 나타내는 A2 시나리오와 청정 및 자원 효율적인 기술 등 급격히 발전하고 조사대상 유역특성과 유사한 B1 시나리오를 선정하고, 이에 대한 유역의 기온과 강우량을 GCM을 적용하여 모의하였다. 또한 향후의 기후변화가 유출 수질(BOD, TN, TP)에 미치는 영향을 2020년, 2050년, 2080년에 대하여 평가하기 위하여 GIS 기반의 유역 모형인 SWAT을 대상모형으로 선정하였다. 신뢰성 평가를 위해 현재 상태에서의 모의를 검 보정 하여 실제 A2, B1 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 기온 및 강우량 변화 등에 대한 영향을 평가하여 보았다.

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Omega-7 producing alkaliphilic diatom Fistulifera sp. (Bacillariophyceae) from Lake Okeechobee, Florida

  • Berthold, David Erwin;Rosa, Nina de la;Engene, Niclas;Jayachandran, Krish;Gantar, Miroslav;Laughinghouse, Haywood Dail IV;Shetty, Kateel G.
    • ALGAE
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 2020
  • Incorporating renewable fuel into practice, especially from algae, is a promising approach in reducing fossil fuel dependency. Algae are an exceptional feedstock since they produce abundant biomass and oils in short timeframes. Algae also produce high-valued lipid products suitable for human nutrition and supplement. Achieving goals of producing algae fuels and high-valued lipids at competitive prices involves further improvement of technology, especially better control over cultivation. Manipulating microalgae cultivation conditions to prevent contamination is essential in addition to promoting optimal growth and lipid yields. Contamination of algal cultures is a major impediment to algae cultivation that can however be mitigated by choosing extremophile microalgae. This work describes the isolation of alkali-tolerant / alkaliphilic microalgae native to South Florida with ideal characteristics for cultivation. For that purpose, water samples from Lake Okeechobee were inoculated into Zarrouk's medium (pH 9-12) and incubated for 35 days. Selection resulted in isolation of three strains that were screened for biomass and lipid accumulation. Two alkali-tolerant algae Chloroidium sp. 154-1 and Chlorella sp. 154-2 were poor lipid accumulators. One of the isolates, the diatom Fistulifera sp. 154-3, was identified as a lipid accumulating, alkaliphilic organism capable of producing 0.233 g L-1 d-1 dry biomass and a lipid content of 20-30% dry weight. Lipid analysis indicated the most abundant fatty acid within Fistulifera sp. was palmitoleic acid (52%), or omega-7, followed by palmitic acid (17%), and then eicosapentanoic acid (15%). 18S rRNA phylogenetic analysis formed a well-supported clade with Fistulifera species.

A Prediction Model for Forecast of the Onset Date of Changmas (장마 시작일 예측 모델)

  • Lee, Hyoun-Young;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.112-122
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    • 1993
  • Since more than 50${\%}$ of annual precipitation in Korea falls during Changma, the rainy season of early summer, and Late Changma, the rainy season of late summer, forcasting the onset days Changmas, and the amount related rainfalls would be necessary not only for agriculture but also for flood-control. In this study the authors attempted to build a prediction model for the forecast of the onset date of Changmas. The onset data of each Changma was derived out of daily rainfall data of 47 stations for 30 years(1961~1990) and weather maps over East Asia. Each station represent any of the 47 districts of local forecast under the Korea Meteorological Administration. The average onset dates of Changma during the period was from 21 through 26 June. The dates show a tendency to be delayed in El Ni${\~{n}}o years while they come earlier than the average in La Nina years. In 1982, the year of El Ni${\~{n}}o, the date was 9 Julu, two weeks late compared with the average. The relation of sea surface temperature(SST) over Pacific and Northern hemispheric 500mb height to the Changma onset dates was analyzed for the prediction model by polynomial regression. The onset date of Changma over Korea was correlated with SST in May(SST${_(5)}{^\circ}$C) of the district (8${^\circ}$~12${^\circ}S, 136${^\circ}~148${^\circ}W)of equatirial middle Pacific and the 500mb height in March (MB${_(3)}$"\;"m)over the district of the notrhern Hudson Bay. The relation between this two elements can be expressed by the regression: Onset=5.888SST${_5}"\;"+"\;"0.047MB${_(3)}$"\;"-251.241. This equation explains 77${\%}$ of variances at the 0.01${\%}$ singificance level. The onset dates of Late Changma come in accordance with the degeneration of the Subtro-pical High over northern Pacific. They were 18 August in average for the period showing positive correlation(r=0.71) with SST in May(SST)${_(i5)}{^\circ}$C) over district of IndiaN Ocean near west coast of Australia (24${^\circ}$~32${^\circ}$S, 104${^\circ}$~112${^\circ}$E), but negativ e with SST in May(SST${_(p5)}{^\circ}$ over district (12${^\circ}$~20${^\circ}$S,"\;"136${^\circ}$~148${^\circ}$W)of equatorial mid Pacific (r=-0.70) and with the 500mb height over district of northwestern Siberia (r=-0.62). The prediction model for Late Changma can be expressed by the regression: Onset=706.314-0.080 MB-3.972SST${_(p5)}+3.896 SST${_(i5)}, which explains 64${\%}$ of variances at the 0.01${\%}$ singificance level.

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