• Title/Summary/Keyword: Iowa Curve

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An Estimation on Average Service Life of Public Buildings in South Korea: In Case of RCC (우리나라 공공건물의 내용연수 추정: RCC를 중심으로)

  • Jung-Hoon Kwon;Jin-Hyung Cho;Hyun-Seung Oh;Sae-Jae Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.84-90
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    • 2023
  • ASL estimation of public building is based on how appropriate the maximum age of the asset is derived based on the age record of the asset in the statistical data owned by public institutions. This is because we get a 'constrained' ASL by that number. And it is especially true because other studies have assumed that the building is an Iowa curve R3. Also, in this study, the survival rate is 1% as the threshold value at which the survival curve and the predictable life curve almost coincide. Rather than a theoretical basis, in the national statistical survey, the value of residual assets was recognized from the net value of 10% of the acquisition value when the average service life has elapsed, and 1% when doubling the average service life has elapsed. It is based on the setting mentioned above. The biggest constraint in fitting statistical data to the Iowa curve is that the maximum ASL is selected at R3 150%, and the 'constrained' ASL is calculated by the proportional expression on the assumption that the Iowa curve is followed. In like manner constraints were considered. First, the R3 disposal curve for the RCC(reinforced cement concrete) building was prepared according to the discarding method in the 2000 work, and it was jointly worked on with the National Statistical Office to secure the maximum amount of vintage data, but the lacking of sample size must be acknowledged. Even after that, the National Statistical Office and the Bank of Korea have been working on estimating the Iowa curve for each asset class in the I-O table. Another limitation is that the asset classification uses the broad classification of buildings as a subcategory. Second, if there were such assets with a lifespan of 115 years that were acquired in 1905 and disposed of in 2020, these discarded data would be omitted from this ASL calculation. Third, it is difficult to estimate the correct Iowa curve based on the stub-curve even if there is disposal data because Korea has a relatively shorter construction history, accumulated economic wealth since the 1980's. In other words, "constrained" ASL is an under-estimation of its ASL. Considering the fact that Korea was an economically developing country in the past and during rapid economic development, environmental factors such as asset accumulation and economic ability should be considered. Korea has a short period of accumulation of economic wealth, and the history of 'proper' architectures faithful to building regulations and principles is short and as a result, buildings 'not built properly' and 'proper' architectures are mixed. In this study, ASL of RCC public building was estimated at 70 years.

A Study on the Estimation of Average Service Life for New Technology Products-in Case of Solor-cell (신기술 제품의 ASL 추정-솔라셀 사례 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, S.J.;Oh, H.S.;Baek, S.S.;Kim, O.J.;Kim, B.K.;Jeong, K.S.;Park, S.H.;Kwon, D.C.;Ko, J.H.;Ryu, J.H.;Shim, S.C.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.106-115
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    • 2014
  • Until now, because a new product (or facility) launched in market has been retired from one year of age, we can have had ASL by stub-curve method by Iowa curve. Recently, many innovative products with important role in market like display and solar-cell etc. are more durable and, what are better, they have the constant variance in ASL because of their good quality. Of course, there are some ones like smart mobile phone with relatively big dispersion in ASL. Estimating ASL of products like display and solar-cell etc., the new approach is needed. In this paper a new method applied traditional Iowa curve with accelerated reliability test (indoor/outdoor) etc. is proposed.

Transferring Distance-Amplitude Correction Curves - A Model-based Approach

  • Kim, Hak-Joon;Schmerr Lester W.;Song, Sung-Jin;Sedov Alexander
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.605-615
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    • 2003
  • In practice, it is common to manufacture reference blocks containing simple reflectors to obtain distance-amplitude correction (DAC) curves. However, the construction or DAC curves in this manner requires the use of a large number of specimens with appropriate curvatures and reference reflectors located at various depths. Therefore, less costly and quantitative procedures are strongly needed. To address such a need, in this study, we have developed model-based transfer curves to relate a DAC curve obtained in a particular reference configuration with that for a completely different configuration. An example of transferring DAC curves, using the proposed transfer curves, is given.

Present Status and Prospect of Valuation for Tangible Fixed Asset in South Korea (유형고정자산 가치평가 현황: 우리나라 사례를 중심으로)

  • Jin-Hyung Cho;Hyun-Seung O;Sae-Jae Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2023
  • The records system is believed to have started in Italy in the 14th century in line with trade developments in Europe. In 1491, Luca Pacioli, a mathematician, and an Italian Franciscan monk wrote the first book that described double-entry accounting processes. In many countries, including Korea, the government accounting standards used single-entry bookkeeping rather than double-entry bookkeeping that can be aggregated by account subject. The cash-based and single-entry bookkeeping used by the government in the past had limitations in providing clear information on financial status and establishing a performance-oriented financial management system. Accordingly, the National Accounting Act (promulgated in October 2007) stipulated the introduction of double-entry bookkeeping and accrual accounting systems in the government sector from January 1, 2009. Furthermore, the Korean government has also introduced International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), and the System of National Accounts (SNA). Since 2014, Korea owned five national accounts. In Korea, valuation began with the 1968 National Wealth Statistics Survey. The academic origins of the valuation of national wealth statistics which had been investigated by due diligence every 10 years since 1968 are based on the 'Engineering Valuation' of professor Marston in the Department of Industrial Engineering at Iowa State University in the 1930s. This field has spread to economics, etc. In economics, it became the basis of capital stock estimation for positive economics such as econometrics. The valuation by the National Wealth Statistics Survey contributed greatly to converting the book value of accounting data into vintage data. And in 2000 National Statistical Office collected actual disposal data for the 1-digit asset class and obtained the ASL(average service life) by Iowa curve. Then, with the data on fixed capital formation centered on the National B/S Team of the Bank of Korea, the national wealth statistics were prepared by the Permanent Inventory Method(PIM). The asset classification was also classified into 59 types, including 2 types of residential buildings, 4 types of non-residential buildings, 14 types of structures, 9 types of transportation equipment, 28 types of machinery, and 2 types of intangible fixed assets. Tables of useful lives of tangible fixed assets published by the Korea Appraisal Board in 1999 and 2013 were made by the Iowa curve method. In Korea, the Iowa curve method has been adopted as a method of ASL estimation. There are three types of the Iowa curve method. The retirement rate method of the three types is the best because it is based on the collection and compilation of the data of all properties in service during a period of recent years, both properties retired and that are still in service. We hope the retirement rate method instead of the individual unit method is used in the estimation of ASL. Recently Korean government's accounting system has been developed. When revenue expenditure and capital expenditure were mixed in the past single-entry bookkeeping we would like to suggest that BOK and National Statistical Office have accumulated knowledge of a rational difference between revenue expenditure and capital expenditure. In particular, it is important when it is estimated capital stock by PIM. Korea also needs an empirical study on economic depreciation like Hulten & Wykoff Catalog A of the US BEA.

Estimation of Retirement Rate on Domestic Industrial Property (국내 산업설비의 폐기율 추정)

  • 오현승;김종수;조진형
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2002
  • In general, estimates of average service lives and of mortality functions are less well-based than most types of economic statistics published by statistical offices. Therefore, hypotheses about service lives of tangible assets and their distribution are most difficult aspects to tackle. In this paper, estimates of service lives based on directly observed data on domestic industrial property and retirement rates are presented.

Longitudinal Analysis of Body Weight and Feed Intake in Selection Lines for Residual Feed Intake in Pigs

  • Cai, W.;Wu, H.;Dekkers, J.C.M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2011
  • A selection experiment for reduced residual feed intake (RFI) in Yorkshire pigs consisted of a line selected for lower RFI (LRFI) and a random control line (CTRL). Longitudinal measurements of daily feed intake (DFI) and body weight (BW) from generation 5 of this experiment were used. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the use of random regression (RR) and nonlinear mixed models to predict DFI and BW for individual pigs, accounting for the substantial missing information that characterizes these data, and to evaluate the effect of selection for RFI on BW and DFI curves. Forty RR models with different-order polynomials of age as fixed and random effects, and with homogeneous or heterogeneous residual variance by month of age, were fitted for both DFI and BW. Based on predicted residual sum of squares (PRESS) and residual diagnostics, the quadratic polynomial RR model was identified to be best, but with heterogeneous residual variance for DFI and homogeneous residual variance for BW. Compared to the simple quadratic and linear regression models for individual pigs, these RR models decreased PRESS by 1% and 2% for DFI and by 42% and 36% for BW on boars and gilts, respectively. Given the same number of random effects as the polynomial RR models, i.e., two for BW and one for DFI, the non-linear Gompertz model predicted better than the polynomial RR models but not as good as higher order polynomial RR models. After five generations of selection for reduced RFI, the LRFI line had a lower population curve for DFI and BW than the CTRL line, especially towards the end of the growth period.

Determination of Dynamic Modulus of cold In-place Recycling Mixtures with Foamed Asphalt (폼드아스팔트를 이용한 현장 상온 재생 아스팔트 혼합물의 동탄성계수 결정)

  • Kim, Yong-Joo Thomas;Lee, Ho-Sin David
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2009
  • A new mix design procedure for cold in-place recycling using foamed asphalt (CIR-foam) has been developed for Iowa Department of Transportation. Some strengths and weaknesses of the new mix design parameters were considered and modified to improve the laboratory test procedure. Based on the critical mixture parameters identified, a new mix design procedure was developed and validated to establish the properties of the CIR-foam mixtures. As part of the validation effort to evaluate a new CIR-foam mix design procedure, dynamic moduli of CIR-foam mixtures made of seven different reclaimed asphalt pavement (RAP) materials collected throughout the state of Iowa were measured and their master curves were constructed. The main objectives of this study are to provide: 1) standardized testing procedure for measuring the dynamic modulus of CIR-foam mixtures using new simple performance testing (SPT) equipment; 2) analysis procedure for constructing the master curves for a wide range of RAP materials; and 3) impacts of RAP material characteristics on the dynamic modulus. Dynamic moduli were measured at three different temperatures and six different loading frequencies and they were consistent among different RAP sources. Master curves were then constructed for the CIR-foam mixtures using seven different RAP materials. Based upon the observation of the constructed master curves, dynamic moduli of CIR-foam mixtures were less sensitive to the loading frequencies than HMA mixtures. It can be concluded that at the low temperature, the dynamic modulus is affected by the amount of fines in the RAP materials whereas, at the high temperature, the dynamic modulus is influenced by the residual binder characteristics.

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Engineering Valuation Based on Small Samples

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Seo, Bo-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • Box-Cox model and T-factor method have been widely used to measure economic depreciations for industrial property. The Box-Cox model which combines economic efficiency with depreciation pattern is here extended to the reliability function. To do so a Rayleigh distribution which has been used to estimate the reliability of current assets was chosen as an efficiency curve of marginal productivity. Such an approach provides the possibility to classify the efficiency curves into four categories. It is also possible to analyze the types of depreciation curves. Therefore, the power family of a non-linear Box-Cox model could be set at certain constant values, then the model can be transformed into a linear model to estimate the economic depreciation rates by utilizing the reliability function. Estimating the resultant linear regression equation requires minimal number of observations, while at the same time facilitating the test of hypothesis on depreciation rates.

Angle Beam Ultrasonic Testing Models and Their Application to Identification and Sizing of Surface Breaking Vertical Cracks

  • Song, Sung-Jin;Kim, Hak-Joon;Jung, Hee-Jun;Kim, Young-H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.627-636
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    • 2002
  • Identification and sizing of surface breaking vertical cracks using angle beam ultrasonic testing in practical situation quite often become very difficult tasks due to the presence of non-relevant signals caused by geometric reflectors. The present work introduces effective and systematic approaches to take care of such a difficulty by use oi angle beam ultrasonic testing models that can predict the expected signals from various targets very accurately. Specifically, the model-based TIFD (Technique for Identification of Flaw signals using Deconvolution) is Proposed for the identification of the crack tip signals from the non-relevant geometric reflection signals. In addition, the model-based Size-Amplitude Curve is introduced for the reliable sizing of surface breaking vertical cracks.

An Estimation of ASL in Appraisal : Using Korea National Wealth Survey Data (유형고정자산 감정을 위한 내용연수 산정)

  • Oh, H.S.;Lee, S.J.;Kwon, J.H.;Jung, N.Y.;Cho, J.H.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2018
  • Although the 1997 Raw Data of the National Wealth Statistical Survey (South Korea) is timely 20-year-old data, it is meaningful as a benchmarking in the capital stock estimations of Korea, which is estimated by PIM (permanent inventory method). In the case of machinery/equipment, it is the data that can analyze in depth the changes in the industrial structure of Korea. In the case of ASL (average service life) which has economic concept, since the change of ASL is not so large, ASL yielded by the Raw Data of the 1997 National Wealth Statistical Survey is meaningful as reference value for the ASL estimated by the Bank of Korea and the National Statistical Office. As you know Japan has changed its service life due to changes in its industrial structure. However, many of its assets are still used for the years indicated in Showa (before 1989). The same trend with other countries such as Japan. However, the United States is constantly devoted to assessing the useful ASL and value of assets by distinguishing between the Hulten-Wykoff models and those not. Korea has also benchmarked the useful ASL of the United States and Japan when it conducted its own survey every 10 years by due diligence until 1997. In this study, the 'constraint' Iowa curve estimation by the Raw Data of the 1997 National Wealth Statistical Survey is based on the age records of the assets and the maximum age of the assets appropriately derived. And then we made modified Iowa curve by smoothing. From this modified one, we suggested ASL by asset. After 1997, the vintage disposal data directly were collected by the National Statistical Office with Oh Hyun Seung, Cho Jin Hyung, in order to estimate the useful ASL. Since then, the B/S team of the Economic and Statistics Bureau of the Bank of Korea has been working on a new concept of content training.