• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Rates

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Analysis of Exchange Rates of major countries and Domestic Interest Rate Fluctuations Affecting Exports (수출에 영향을 미치는 주요국의 환율과 국내 금리 변동에 관한 분석)

  • Choi, Soo-Ho;Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we selected interest rates and won/dollar, won/yen, won/yuan to find out the indicators affecting domestic exports in the age of convergence. Correlation, regression analysis, indicator analysis and model analysis were performed for 210 months since January 2000. As a result, the correlation between exports and won/dollar, won/yuan, won/yen was negative(-). Therefore the directions were different from each other. In regression analysis, only interest rate and won/dollar were statistically significant for export. In the coefficient, interest rate calculated positive(+) and won/dollar was negative(-). It is interpreted that the won/dollar depreciation positively affects export growth. In this study if the won/dollar exchange rate falls, exports will increase. This is different from previous studies. Therefore, it is necessary to review the posterior relationship by time difference. Korea is highly dependent on exports. Therefore, the study on the indicators affecting exports to increase exports should continue.

The Value of Reverse Mortgage Loans: Case Study of the Chinese Market

  • Wang, Ping;Kim, Ji-Pyo
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2014
  • This study contributes to addressing the problem of an aging population by providing important information that determines feasible monthly payments for the clients of Chinese reverse mortgage products and by promoting the implementation of reverse mortgages in China. The variables used in this study include mean values obtained from time series data, of the rate of increase of housing prices, and the probability value, interest rate, and mortality rate obtained through the geometric Brownian motion (GBM). For mortality rates, China Life Insurance female mortality rates (2000-2003) were used. This study aims to apply the main variables that affect reverse mortgage products in a monthly payment model based on Chinese financial market conditions, and determine loan values. In this study, Shanghai's reverse mortgage monthly payments, by age levels, were calculated through the loan-to-value (LTV) and payment (PMT) methods to evaluate the value of the reverse mortgages. Based on the optimal combination of the three factors of payment amount, loan interest rates, and the level of acceptance of prices, efforts must be made to extract the best value for the elderly. Only in this way can the interests of both lenders and borrowers be protected, by increasing the market share and economies of scale of the reverse mortgage industry and effectively improving the living standards of the elderly.

Determinants of Corporate Bond Yield: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • MEGANANDA, Danthi;ENDRI, Endri;OEMAR, Fahmi;HUSNA, Asmaul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1135-1142
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine the factors that determine bond yields in infrastructure companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The research sample used 31 bonds issued by the company during the 2015-2019 period. The data analysis method to estimate the determinant of bond yield uses multiple regression models. The results prove that the increase in the coupon rate causes bond yields to increase, while the inflation rate has the opposite effect of decreasing bond yield. Interest rate, exchange rate, duration, and bond rating variables cannot affect the bond yield. The results of this study imply that investors will be interested in investing in bonds with better yields if the company has to set a higher coupon rate, especially in economic conditions that experience low inflation rates. Interest rates and exchange rates as macroeconomic variables have not been considered by investors in purchasing bonds. Bond characteristic factors, namely, the duration and rating of the bonds, are considered less important factors in bond investment decisions because they are more oriented towards getting higher yields. Therefore, further research needs to be explored further related to the behavior of Indonesian bond investors who may have different characters from investors in other countries.

Controlled Inquiry Rates of Clinical Interviews in Telehomecare

  • Moskowitz, Samuel E.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1945-1950
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    • 2003
  • Conceived to acquire personal information for an electronic medical record, the clinical interview contains probing questions. The number and type of inquiries are assumed to fulfill medical protocols, and therefore are deemed essential for treatment - but the rate can and should be controlled. High rates of inquiry merely intimidate the patient and affect replies. The purpose of this paper is to mathematically formulate permissible rates of clinical interviews held during telehomecare virtual visits and designed to avoid patient anxiety. Mental stress is derived as a function of the weight of importance assigned by the patient, virtual visit duration, and the rate of questioning in the direction of greater sensitivity. Two operations are of interest: Collecting and recording information by the provider, and maintaining synchrony of questions and answers by the patient. The Lorentz transformation yields the patient’s view of the operational rates. Conservation of information momentum is postulated and applied before and after replies are recorded. It is shown that the weight of importance designated by the patient to collecting and recording personal information is driven by a singularity that depends on the rate of questioning. The findings should serve as a guideline in interviewer training programs.

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Using Structural Changes to support the Neural Networks based on Data Mining Classifiers: Application to the U.S. Treasury bill rates

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2003
  • This article provides integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change-point detection. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in interest rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the interest rate with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models to represent the structural change.

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No Arbitrage Condition for Multi-Facor HJM Model under the Fractional Brownian Motion

  • Rhee, Joon-Hee;Kim, Yoon-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.639-645
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    • 2009
  • Fractional Brwonian motion(fBm) has properties of behaving tails and exhibiting long memory while remaining Gaussian. In particular, it is well known that interest rates show some long memories and non-Markovian. We present no aribitrage condition for HJM model under the multi-factor fBm reflecting the long range dependence in the interest rate model.

CONVERGENCE RATES FOR SEQUENCES OF CONDITIONALLY INDEPENDENT AND CONDITIONALLY IDENTICALLY DISTRIBUTED RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Yuan, De-Mei
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.1275-1292
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    • 2016
  • The Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund strong law of large numbers for conditionally independent and conditionally identically distributed random variables is an existing, but merely qualitative result. In this paper, for the more general cases where the conditional order of moment belongs to (0, ${\infty}$) instead of (0, 2), we derive results on convergence rates which are quantitative ones in the sense that they tell us how fast convergence is obtained. Furthermore, some conditional probability inequalities are of independent interest.

A MULTIVARIATE JUMP DIFFUSION PROCESS FOR COUNTERPARTY RISK IN CDS RATES

  • Ramli, Siti Norafidah Mohd;Jang, Jiwook
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2015
  • We consider counterparty risk in CDS rates. To do so, we use a multivariate jump diffusion process for obligors' default intensity, where jumps (i.e. magnitude of contribution of primary events to default intensities) occur simultaneously and their sizes are dependent. For these simultaneous jumps and their sizes, a homogeneous Poisson process. We apply copula-dependent default intensities of multivariate Cox process to derive the joint Laplace transform that provides us with joint survival/default probability and other relevant joint probabilities. For that purpose, the piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) theory developed in [7] and the martingale methodology in [6] are used. We compute survival/default probability using three copulas, which are Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM), Gaussian and Student-t copulas, with exponential marginal distributions. We then apply the results to calculate CDS rates assuming deterministic rate of interest and recovery rate. We also conduct sensitivity analysis for the CDS rates by changing the relevant parameters and provide their figures.

Additive Properties of Crude, Age Specific and Age Adjusted Rates for Cancer Incidence and Mortality

  • Takiar, Ramnath;Shrivastava, Atul
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.13
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    • pp.5407-5409
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    • 2014
  • Background: In National Cancer Registry Programme (NCRP) reports, various rates are routinely provided for 50 cancer sites of males and 54 cancer sites of females. Very often, depending on our interest, we wish to see these rates for group of cancers like head and neck cancers, oral cancers, and reproductive cancers. In such a situation, the desired rates are calculated independently from the actual data and reported. The question is can we derive the rates for groups of cancers from the published reports when the data is provided only for the individual sites? Objective: In the present paper, an attempt is made to explore the mathematical properties of various rates to derive them directly for the group of cancer sites from the published data when the rates are provided only for the individual sites. Source of data: The cancer incidence data collected by two urban Population Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs), under the network of NCRP for the period of 2006-08 was considered for the study purposes. The Registries included were: Bangalore and Bhopal. Results: In the present communication, we have shown that the crude rate (CR), age specific rates and age-adjuste rates (AAR) all possess additive properties. This means, given the above rates for individual sites, the above rates can be calculated for groups of sites by simply adding them. In terms of formula it can be stated that CR(Site1+Site2+++ SiteN) = CR(Site1)+CR(Site2) +++ CR(SiteN). This formula holds good for age specific rates as well as for AAR. This property facilitates the calculation of various rates for defined groups of cancers by simply adding the above rates for individual sites from which they are made up.

A Study of Efficiency about Nonlife Insurance Asset Management to Low Interest (저금리에 따른 손해보험회사 자산운용의 효율화 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Je
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.35-49
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to see what the problem is and what the direction of the strategy of asset management after this study has analyzed asset management status of nonlife insurance companies according to interest rate trends, analyzing in time series asset state, management asset lists, asset distribution state, securities list and total asset yield of Nonlife insurance companies during year 2009~2014. As the study result, nonlife insurance companies have managed assets in stability than profitability according to safety asset was increased, but risky asset was decreased. Performance rate of total asset was dropped according to interest rate declined trends. Trend between stock index and performance rates of total asset was not accord. The correlation coefficient between interest rate and performance rates of total asset was highly plus, but the correlation coefficient of KOSPI and performance rate of total asset showed minus.