• 제목/요약/키워드: Gaussian processes

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Computing the Ruin Probability of Lévy Insurance Risk Processes in non-Cramér Models

  • Park, Hyun-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.483-491
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    • 2010
  • This study provides the explicit computation of the ruin probability of a Le¢vy process on finite time horizon in Theorem 1 with the help of a fluctuation identity. This paper also gives the numerical results of the ruin probability in Variance Gamma(VG) and Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) models as illustrations. Besides, the paths of VG and NIG processes are simulated using the same parameter values as in Madan et al. (1998).

주파수 영역 해석 기법을 이용한 비정규 광대역 과정의 피로해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Fatigue Analysis of Non-Gaussian Wide Band Process using Frequency-domain Method)

  • 김현진;장범선
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.466-473
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    • 2018
  • Most frequency domain-based approaches assume that structural response should be a Gaussian random process. But a lot of non-Gaussian processes caused by multi-excitation and non-linearity in structural responses or load itself are observed in many real engineering problems. In this study, the effect of non-Normality on fatigue damages are discussed through case study. The accuracy of four frequency domain methods for non-Gaussian processes are compared in the case study. Power-law and Hermite models which are derived for non-Gaussian narrow-banded process tend to estimate fatigue damages less accurate than time domain results in small kurtosis and in case of large kurtosis they give conservative results. Weibull model seems to give conservative results in all environmental conditions considered. Among the four methods, Benascuitti-Tovo model for non-Gaussian process gives the best results in case study. This study could serve as background material for understanding the effect of non-normality on fatigue damages.

Superior and Inferior Limits on the Increments of Gaussian Processes

  • Park, Yong-Kab;Hwang, Kyo-Shin;Park, Soon-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.57-74
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    • 1997
  • Csorgo-Revesz type theorems for Wiener process are developed to those for Gaussian process. In particular, some results of superior and inferior limits for the increments of a Gaussian process are differently obtained under mild conditions, via estimating probability inequalities on the suprema of a Gaussian process.

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Implied Volatility Function Approximation with Korean ELWs (Equity-Linked Warrants) via Gaussian Processes

  • Han, Gyu-Sik
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 2014
  • A lot of researches have been conducted to estimate the volatility smile effect shown in the option market. This paper proposes a method to approximate an implied volatility function, given noisy real market option data. To construct an implied volatility function, we use Gaussian Processes (GPs). Their output values are implied volatilities while moneyness values (the ratios of strike price to underlying asset price) and time to maturities are as their input values. To show the performances of our proposed method, we conduct experimental simulations with Korean Equity-Linked Warrant (ELW) market data as well as toy data.

Equivalence-Singularity Dichotomies of Gaussian and Poisson Processes from The Kolmogorov's Zero-One Law

  • Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.367-378
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    • 1994
  • Let P and Q be probability measures of a measurable space $(\Omega, F)$, and ${F_n}_{n \geq 1}$ be a sequence of increasing sub $\sigma$-fields which generates F. For each $n \geq 1$, let $P_n$ and $Q_n$ be the restrictions of P and Q to $F_n$, respectively. Under the assumption that $Q_n \ll P_n$ for every $n \geq 1$, a zero-one condition is derived for P and Q to have the dichotomy, i.e., either $Q \ll P$ or $Q \perp P$. Then using this condition and the Kolmogorov's zero-one law, we give new and simple proofs of the dichotomy theorems for a pair of Gaussian measures and Poisson processes with examples.

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Statistical Estimation of Optimal Portfolios for non-Gaussian Dependent Returns of Assets

  • Taniguchi, Masanobu;Shiraishi, Hiroshi
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.55-58
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    • 2005
  • This paper discusses the asymptotic efficiency of estimators for optimal portfolios when returns are vector-valued non-Gaussian stationary processes. We give the asymptotic distribution of portfolio estimators ${\hat{g}}$ for non-Gaussian dependent return processes. Next we address the problem of asymptotic efficiency for the class of estimators ${\hat{g}}$ First, it is shown that there are some cases when the asymptotic variance of ${\hat{g}}$ under non-Gaussianity can be smaller than that under Gaussianity. The result shows that non-Gaussianity of X(t) does not always affect worse. Second, we give a necessary and sufficient condition for ${\hat{g}}$ to be asymptotically efficient when the return process is Gaussian, which shows that ${\hat{g}}$ is not asymptotically efficient generally. From this point of view we propose to use maximum likelihood type estimators for g, which are asymptotically efficient. We examine our approach numerically.

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Simulation of multivariate non-Gaussian wind pressure on spherical latticed structures

  • Aung, Nyi Nyi;Ye, Jihong;Masters, F.J.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.223-245
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    • 2012
  • Multivariate simulation is necessary for cases where non-Gaussian processes at spatially distributed locations are desired. A simulation algorithm to generate non-Gaussian wind pressure fields is proposed. Gaussian sample fields are generated based on the spectral representation method using wavelet transforms method and then mapped into non-Gaussian sample fields with the aid of a CDF mapping transformation technique. To illustrate the procedure, this approach is applied to experimental results obtained from wind tunnel tests on the domes. A multivariate Gaussian simulation technique is developed and then extended to multivariate non-Gaussian simulation using the CDF mapping technique. It is proposed to develop a new wavelet-based CDF mapping technique for simulation of multivariate non-Gaussian wind pressure process. The efficiency of the proposed methodology for the non-Gaussian nature of pressure fluctuations on separated flow regions of different rise-span ratios of domes is also discussed.

Valuation of European and American Option Prices Under the Levy Processes with a Markov Chain Approximation

  • Han, Gyu-Sik
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2013
  • This paper suggests a numerical method for valuation of European and American options under the two L$\acute{e}$vy Processes, Normal Inverse Gaussian Model and the Variance Gamma model. The method is based on approximation of underlying asset price using a finite-state, time-homogeneous Markov chain. We examine the effectiveness of the proposed method with simulation results, which are compared with those from the existing numerical method, the lattice-based method.

새로운 모형기반 군집분석 알고리즘

  • 박정수;황현식
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.97-100
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    • 2005
  • A new model-based clustering algorithm is proposed. The idea starts from the assumption that observations are realizations of Gaussian processes and so are correlated. With a special covariance structure, the posterior probability that an observation belongs to each cluster is computed using the ECM algorithm. A preliminary result of small-scale simulation study is given to compare with the k-means clustering algorithms.

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