• Title/Summary/Keyword: Frequentist

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Frequentist and Bayesian Learning Approaches to Artificial Intelligence

  • Jun, Sunghae
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2016
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) is making computer systems intelligent to do right thing. The AI is used today in a variety of fields, such as journalism, medical, industry as well as entertainment. The impact of AI is becoming larger day after day. In general, the AI system has to lead the optimal decision under uncertainty. But it is difficult for the AI system can derive the best conclusion. In addition, we have a trouble to represent the intelligent capacity of AI in numeric values. Statistics has the ability to quantify the uncertainty by two approaches of frequentist and Bayesian. So in this paper, we propose a methodology of the connection between statistics and AI efficiently. We compute a fixed value for estimating the population parameter using the frequentist learning. Also we find a probability distribution to estimate the parameter of conceptual population using Bayesian learning. To show how our proposed research could be applied to practical domain, we collect the patent big data related to Apple company, and we make the AI more intelligent to understand Apple's technology.

Development of Matching Priors for P(X < Y) in Exprnential dlstributions

  • Lee, Gunhee
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.421-433
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, matching priors for P(X < Y) are investigated when both distributions are exponential distributions. Two recent approaches for finding noninformative priors are introduced. The first one is the verger and Bernardo's forward and backward reference priors that maximizes the expected Kullback-Liebler Divergence between posterior and prior density. The second one is the matching prior identified by matching the one sided posterior credible interval with the frequentist's desired confidence level. The general forms of the second- order matching prior are presented so that the one sided posterior credible intervals agree with the frequentist's desired confidence levels up to O(n$^{-1}$ ). The frequentist coverage probabilities of confidence sets based on several noninformative priors are compared for small sample sizes via the Monte-Carlo simulation.

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Developing Noninformative Priors for the Common Mean of Several Normal Populations

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Sohn, Eun-Seon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2004
  • The paper considers the Bayesian interval estimation for the common mean of several normal populations. A Bayesian procedure is proposed based on the idea of matching asymptotically the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals with their frequentist counterparts. Several frequentist procedures based on pivots and P-values are introduced and compared with Bayesian procedure through simulation study. Both simulation results demonstrate that the Bayesian procedure performs as well or better than any available frequentist procedure even from a frequentist perspective.

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Do Foreign Direct Investment, Energy Consumption and Urbanization Enhance Economic Growth in Six ASEAN Countries?

  • LONG, Nguyen Tien
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2020
  • The neoclassical economic supporters have suggested that foreign direct investment and raw material (e.g., coal, electricity, gas, and oil) are critical economic growth inputs. Few previous studies have analyzed the relationship between foreign direct investment and energy consumption on economic growth. However, existing studies usually have applied the frequentist inference. The limitation of the frequentist inference is that, if the coefficient of the independent variable is not yet significant, then conclusions might be unreliable. By applying the Bayesian approach, the main aim of this study is to revisit the impact of foreign direct investment, electricity consumption, and urbanization on economic growth in six ASEAN countries from 1980 to 2016. The obtained outcome shows that the impact of electricity consumption is evident and positive on economic growth in both frequentist and Bayesian inferences. However, the influence of foreign direct investment is not identified by frequentist inference, while Bayesian inference provides evidence that foreign direct investment is a moderately positive impact on economic growth. The empirical result from Bayesian inference contributes to the literature on foreign direct investment modeling and could be of significant importance for a more efficient foreign direct investment attracting and achieve sustainability in the long-term.

Noninformative Priors for Stress-Strength System in the Burr-Type X Model

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X model. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior as well as the Jeffreys prior are the second order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved. The frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for samll samples via simulation study.

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Noninformative Priors in Freund's Bivariate Exponential Distribution : Symmetry Case

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Baek, Sung-Uk;Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.235-242
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the ratio of failure rates under Freund's bivariate exponential distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Baysian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. Also the propriety of posterior under the noninformative priors is proved and the frequentist coverage probabilities are investigated for small samples via simulation study.

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Comparing Bayesian model selection with a frequentist approach using iterative method of smoothing residuals

  • Koo, Hanwool;Shafieloo, Arman;Keeley, Ryan E.;L'Huillier, Benjamin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.48.2-48.2
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    • 2021
  • We have developed a frequentist approach for model selection which determines consistency of a cosmological model and the data using the distribution of likelihoods from the iterative smoothing method. Using this approach, we have shown how confidently we can distinguish different models without comparison with one another. In this current work, we compare our approach with conventional Bayesian approach based on estimation of Bayesian evidence using nested sampling for the purpose of model selection. We use simulated future Roman (formerly WFIRST)-like type Ia supernovae data in our analysis. We discuss limits of the Bayesian approach for model selection and display how our proposed frequentist approach, if implemented appropriately, can perform better in falsification of individual models.

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Reference Priors in a Two-Way Mixed-Effects Analysis of Variance Model

  • Chang, In-Hong;Kim, Byung-Hwee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.317-328
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    • 2002
  • We first derive group ordering reference priors in a two-way mixed-effects analysis of variance (ANOVA) model. We show that posterior distributions are proper and provide marginal posterior distributions under reference priors. We also examine whether the reference priors satisfy the probability matching criterion. Finally, the reference prior satisfying the probability matching criterion is shown to be good in the sense of frequentist coverage probability of the posterior quantile.

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A SIMULATION STUDY OF BAYESIAN PROPORTIONAL HAZARDS MODELS WITH THE BETA PROCESS PRIOR

  • Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, theoretical properties of Bayesian nonparametric survival models have been studied and the conclusion is that although there are pathological cases the popular prior processes have the desired asymptotic properties, namely, the posterior consistency and the Bernstein-von Mises theorem. In this study, through a simulation experiment, we study the finite sample properties of the Bayes estimator and compare it with the frequentist estimators. To our surprise, we conclude that in most situations except that the prior is highly concentrated at the true parameter value, the Bayes estimator performs worse than the frequentist estimators.

Bayesian Analysis for Burr-Type X Strength-Stress Model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.191-197
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we develop noninformative priors that are used for estimating the reliability of stress-strength system under the Burr-type X distribution. A class of priors is found by matching the coverage probabilities of one-sided Bayesian credible interval with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. It turns out that the reference prior is a first order matching prior. The propriety of posterior under matching prior is provided. The frequentist coverage probabilities are given for small samples.

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