• 한국지반공학회논문집
• /
• 제35권3호
• /
• pp.37-46
• /
• 2019

최근 다른 현장시험에 비하여 비교적 정확성이 높은 CPT 기반 액상화 평가법의 사용이 증가하고 있다. CPT 기반 액상화 평가는 다양한 흙의 특성을 예측하고 이를 액상화 평가에 활용할 수 있다. 특히, 세립분 함량은 CPT 기반 액상화 평가에서 중요한 입력 변수 중 하나로 이에 대한 정확한 예측식의 사용 및 예측 변동성을 정량적으로 파악하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 2017년 포항지진 시 액상화 현상이 관측된 지점에서 수행된 CPT 자료를 이용하여 기존 세립분 함량 예측식들의 오차를 분석하고 포항지역에 적합한 세립분 함량 예측식을 선정하였다. 또한, 지반의 고유한 변동성을 분석하고 CPT의 측정오차, 선정된 예측식에 대한 변환 불확실성을 고려한 세립분 함량의 예측 변동성을 정량적으로 평가하였다.

• 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
• /
• 제57권4호
• /
• pp.413-431
• /
• 2018

In this study, I developed an activity oriented lesson to support the understanding of probabilistic and quantitative estimating population ratios according to the standard statistical principles and discussed its implications in didactical respects. The developed activity lesson, as an efficient physical simulation activity by sampling with replacement, simulates unknown populations and real problem situations through completely closed 'Closed Box' in which we can not see nor take out the inside balls, and provides teaching and learning devices which highlight the representativeness of sample ratios and the sampling variability. I applied this activity lesson to the gifted students who did not learn estimating population ratios and collected the research data such as the activity sheets and recording and transcribing data of students' presenting, and analyzed them by Qualitative Content Analysis. As a result of an application, this activity lesson was effective in recognizing and reflecting on the representativeness of sample ratios and recognizing the random sampling variability. On the other hand, in order to show the sampling variability clearer, I discussed appropriately increasing the total number of the inside balls put in 'Closed Box' and the active involvement of the teachers to make students pay attention to controlling possible selection bias in sampling processes.

• 한국경영과학회지
• /
• 제20권3호
• /
• pp.43-59
• /
• 1995

This paper presents a method for estimating the population variability distribution of the failure parameter (failure rate or failure probability) for each failure mode considered in PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment). We focus on the utilization of generic estimates from various industry compendia for the estimation. The estimates are complicated statistics of failure data from plants. When the failure data referred in two or more sources are overlapped, dependency occurs among the estimates provided by the sources. This type of problem is first addressed in this paper. We propose methods based on ML-II estimation in Bayesian framework and discuss the characteristics of the proposed estimators. The proposed methods are easy to apply in real field. Numerical examples are also provided.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제4권1호
• /
• pp.33-39
• /
• 1997

Tsutakawa(1988) proposed a mixed model for using empirical Bayes method to study the geographic variability in mortality rates of a disease. In particular cases of the analysis in mortality rate, we need to consider the effect of time. If observed data are collected annually for the time period, then time effect will be emphasized. Here, an extended model for estimating the geographic effect and the mortality rates of the disease with time effect is proposed.

• 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 추계 학술대회
• /
• pp.199-204
• /
• 2006

ANOVA is widely used for measurement system analysis. It assumes that the measurement error is normally distributed, which may not be seen in some industrial cases. In this study, the estimates of the measurement system variability and PTR (precision-to-tolerance ratio) are obtained by using weighted standard deviation for the case where the measurement error is non-normally distributed. The Standard Bootstrap method is used for estimating confidence intervals of measurement system variability and PTR. The point and confidence interval estimates for the cases with normally distributed measurement error are compared to those with non-normally distributed measurement errors through computer simulation.

• 오토저널
• /
• 제14권3호
• /
• pp.90-101
• /
• 1992

An experimental study was carried out to investigate the characteristics of cyclic variability of combustion in a single cylinder spark ignition engine. Cylinder pressure of 240 consecutive cycles were measured for various engine operating conditions. From these data, a thermody-n amic analysis was performed for the typical cases in order to identify the cause and effect re -lation of the cyclic variation. In determining the number of cycles required for estimating the coefficient of variation of IMEP and so on, the oprating conditions must be cosidered to fit the objective of the analysis. It is thought that the variation in early flame stage is amplified through the flame propagation and results in the phase change between pressure and volume, which can be the major reason of cyclic variation of IMEP in case of lean operation.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
• /
• pp.691-695
• /
• 2004

In recent years, mary studies for efact estimation of groudwater recharge has been performed. They can be categorized into three groups : analytical method by means of groundwater recession curve, water budget analysis based on watershed, and the method using groundwater model. Since groundwater recharge rate shows the spatial-temporal variability due to hydrogeological heterogeneity, existing studies have various limits to deal with these characteristics. The method of estimating daily recharge rate with spatial-temporal variation based on rainfall-runoff model is suggested in this study for this purpose. This method is expected to enhance existing indirect method by means of reflecting climatic conditions, land use and hydrogeological heterogeneity.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.10-19
• /
• 2007

ANOVA is widely, used for measurement system analysis. It assumes that the measurement error is normally distributed, which nay not be seen in some industrial cases. In this study the estimates of the measurement system variability and PTR (precision-to-tolerance ratio) are obtained by using weighted standard deviation for the case where the measurement error is non-normally distributed. The Standard Bootstrap method is used foy estimating confidence intervals of measurement system variability and PTR. The point and confidence interval estimates for the cases with normally distributed measurement error are compared to those with non-normally distributed measurement errors through computer simulation.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제38권7호
• /
• pp.517-526
• /
• 2005

현재 우리나라에서 주로 사용되는 지하수 함양량 추정방법은 지하수 감수곡선에 의한 기저유출분리법과 관측공의 자료를 이용한 지하수위 변동법으로 대별된다. 기저유출분리법은 연단위기반의 집중형 개념의 접근법을 사용하며, 지하수위변동곡선해석법은 유역단위의 물수지 개념보다는 국지적인 지하수 관측정의 변화에 주로 의존하고 있다. 한편 지하수 함양량은 기후조건, 토지이용, 관개와 수리지질학적 비균질성에 의해 현저한 시공간적 변동성을 나타내고 있어서 위의 두 가지 방법으로는 이같은 특성을 고려하는데 여러 가지 한계를 보인다. 이에 본 연구에서는 준분포형 강우-유출모형인 SWAT모형을 이용하여 공간적변동성을 고려한 일단위 함양량 산정기법을 제시하였다. 이 방법을 이용하면 기존의 유역 대표 함양량 대신 각 소유역의 비균질한 특성을 반영한 함양량의 분포를 산정할 수 있다. 산정된 일단위 함양량은 기후조건 토지이용 및 수리지질학적 비균질성과 토양층에서의 지체등 물리적인 거동까지 반영된 것이어서 기존의 간접적 추정방식에 의한 연단위 함양률을 크게 개선할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한불안의학회지
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.26-31
• /
• 2007

Object : This study was designed to assess the change of heart rate variability (HRV) during stimulation test among the patients with major depressive disorder. Methods : 15 patients with major depressive disorder (MDD) and 15 normal controls were enrolled in this study. We sequentially measured HRV at baseline, during cognitive stimuli and emotional stimuli. Results : There are significant differences between the two groups in HRV index, TINN on baseline state and under cognitive stimulus. Conclusion : Stimulation protocol using HRV can be useful in estimating autonomic nervous function.